The Alternate Future Hinging on Trump's Iran Decision
In one scenario, the Islamic Republic slowly restarts its nuclear program—and further destabilizes the region.
Last fall, a group of Israeli and American experts simulated what could happen next if Donald Trump were to do what he may well do Tuesday afternoon: reinstate sanctions lifted as part of the 2015 international nuclear deal with Iran. When the simulation concluded after nine hours, it wasn’t with a triumphant United States and a submissive Iran. While Trump argues that the U.S. “got nothing” from the “horrible agreement,” the exercise conducted by the Israel-based Institute for National Security Studies and the U.S.-based Rand Corporation suggested that nixing the agreement wouldn’t get America much either.
The participants, who included a former Israeli defense minister, a former Israeli ambassador to
