Why Israel Can't Wait: The Coming War Between Israel and Iran
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Israel is a "one-bomb state," such that one atomic weapon, even a relatively low-yield bomb of the type the United States dropped on Hiroshima or Nagasaki in World War II, would destroy the modern Jewish state as we know it today.
The Obama administration has repeatedly declared the intention of following up on the campaign promise to negotiate directly with Iran. This represents a fundamental policy shift from the Bush administration's efforts to apply international sanctions through the United Nations in an effort to force Iran to quit enriching uranium.
Consistently, Iran has insisted upon the nation's right as a signatory to the Non-Proliferation Treaty to pursue the "full fuel cycle," code words for Iran's determination to advance uranium enrichment technology in Iran under Iranian control.
In recent months, top Iranian government and military figures have issued warnings that the time is getting short, such that Iran might well have the capability to develop and deliver at least one nuclear weapon by the end of 2009 or the beginning of 2010.
At the same time, the international community has expressed doubt that the Iranian government will make any serious concessions on their atomic program.
In press conferences and speeches, President Obama has openly acknowledged the U.S. government now believes Iran is pursing a nuclear weapons program.
At the end of the Bush administration, the international press credibly reported that the Olmert government in Israel was denied fly-over rights in Iran in order to launch a military strike on Iran.
Known as the "Sampson Option," an Israeli first-strike on Iran's nuclear facilities becomes increasingly likely to the extent Israel feels isolated from the world community and concludes there is no chance the Obama administration will ever be able to induce Iran to stop enriching uranium, regardless how seriously the president intends to push direct negotiations as a strategy.
We have already seen two wars launched by Israel against terrorist surrogates financed and supported by Iran: the 2006 war against Hezbollah in Lebanon and the 2008 war against Hamas in the Gaza Strip. Now, a war between Israel and Iran is on the near horizon, possibly fated to occur before the end of 2009.
Jerome R. Corsi
Dr. Jerome Corsi received a Ph.D. from Harvard University in political science in 1972. He is the author of the #1 New York Times bestseller The Obama Nation: Leftist Politics and the Cult of Personality and the co-author of Unfit for Command: Swift Boat Veterans Speak Out Against John Kerry, which was also a #1 New York Times bestseller. He is a regular contributor to WorldNetDaily.com.
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Reviews for Why Israel Can't Wait
6 ratings3 reviews
- Rating: 1 out of 5 stars1/5A war mongering propaganda piece that never got it right.
- Rating: 5 out of 5 stars5/5Excellent for understanding what is ahead likely very soon.
- Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5he new Israeli government headed by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has repeatedly declared that a primary foreign policy objective is to prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons capability. Israel is a "one-bomb state," such that one atomic weapon, even a relatively low-yield bomb of the type the United States dropped on Hiroshima or Nagasaki in World War II, would destroy the modern Jewish state as we know it today. The Obama administration has repeatedly declared the intention of following up on the campaign promise to negotiate directly with Iran. This represents a fundamental policy shift from the Bush administration's efforts to apply international sanctions through the United Nations in an effort to force Iran to quit enriching uranium. Consistently, Iran has insisted upon the nation's right as a signatory to the Non-Proliferation Treaty to pursue the "full fuel cycle," code words for Iran's determination to advance uranium enrichment technology in Iran under Iranian control. In recent months, top Iranian government and military figures have issued warnings that the time is getting short, such that Iran might well have the capability to develop and deliver at least one nuclear weapon by the end of 2009 or the beginning of 2010. At the same time, the international community has expressed doubt that the Iranian government will make any serious concessions on their atomic program. In press conferences and speeches, President Obama has openly acknowledged the U.S. government now believes Iran is pursing a nuclear weapons program. At the end of the Bush administration, the international press credibly reported that the Olmert government in Israel was denied fly-over rights in Iran in order to launch a military strike on Iran. Known as the "Sampson Option," an Israeli first-strike on Iran's nuclear facilities becomes increasingly likely to the extent Israel feels isolated from the world community and concludes there is no chance the Obama administration will ever be able to induce Iran to stop enriching uranium, regardless how seriously the president intends to push direct negotiations as a strategy. We have already seen two wars launched by Israel against terrorist surrogates financed and supported by Iran: the 2006 war against Hezbollah in Lebanon and the 2008 war against Hamas in the Gaza Strip. Now, a war between Israel and Iran is on the near horizon, possibly fated to occur before the end of 2009.
Book preview
Why Israel Can't Wait - Jerome R. Corsi
Why Israel Can’t Wait
The Coming War Between Israel and Iran
Jerome R. Corsi, Ph.D.
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Copyright © 2009 by Jerome Corsi
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First Threshold Editions electronic edition August 2009
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Manufactured in the United States of America
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
ISBN 978-1-4391-7190-5
This book is dedicated to Dr. X,
a top-secret source who guided my work
and made this book possible,
in recognition of his important and continuing
classified contribution
to the national security
of the United States and the State of Israel.
In memory of David Ben-Gurion,
who dared to imagine
he could create the modern Jewish State of Israel.
Then they shall know that I am the Lord their God,
which caused them to be led into captivity among the heathen:
but I have gathered them unto their own land,
and have left none of them any more there.
—Ezekiel 39:28
Contents
Preface: Israel’s Right of Self-Defense
1. Postelection Turmoil in Iran
2. Iran’s Nuclear Weapons Program
3. Hezbollah, Hamas, and Syria
4. President Obama in Cairo
5. Prime Minister Netanyahu Responds
6 Ahmadinejad Consolidates Power
Conclusion: Why Israel Can’t Wait
Notes
Preface
Israel’s Right of Self-Defense
For us, a nuclear-armed Iran is an existential threat,
Vice Prime Minister and Minister of Strategic Affairs Moshe Yaalon told the author in a private, audio-recorded interview in his Jerusalem office, on June 14, 2009. We have to be ready to defend ourselves.
What I was next told by Yaalon was confirmed to me by virtually all Israeli officials in the Netanyahu government whom I interviewed: Iran’s nuclear weapons program is an existential threat to the survival of Israel, to the extent that Israel is reluctantly prepared to launch a preemptive military strike on Iran, with or without the approval of the United States, as early as the end of 2009 or the beginning of 2010, if the United States and the world community fail to stop Iran.
Today, Yaalon is the second-highest official in the Israeli government, outranked only by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. President Shimon Peres serves as Israel’s ceremonial head of state.
Yaalon has both the military background and the experience at the highest levels of the Israeli government needed to judge realistically the threat represented by Iran’s nuclear weapons program. Drafted into the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) in 1968, he served in the Nahal Paratroop Regiment. In the Yom Kippur War in 1973, Yaalon served as a reservist. Following this, he returned to active duty in the IDF and served in the elite Special Forces Sayeret Matkal, dedicated to gathering field intelligence and conducting top-secret operations, typically behind enemy lines. Sayeret Matkal is perhaps most famous for conducting the Operation Thunderbolt raid on the Entebbe Airport on the night of July 3 and the early morning of July 4, 1976, in which Israel rescued more than one hundred Air France airline passengers being held in Uganda by Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) terrorists. In this operation, Sayeret Matkal lost Lieutenant Colonel Yonatan Yoni
Netanyahu, the older brother of the prime minister.
Lieutenant General Yaalon held several command positions in the IDF Paratroop Brigade and was wounded in the 1982 Lebanon war. He was named head of Military Intelligence in 1995, after which he served as the chief of staff of the Israeli Defense Forces from 2002 to 2005. Vice Prime Minister Yaalon serves as a member of the Knesset, Israel’s parliament, from Likud, the party of Prime Minister Netanyahu.
When I interviewed Yaalon in Jerusalem, he had just returned from an intense week of meetings in Washington.
I asked him whether Israel has a chance to convince the White House of its position in the narrow window of opportunity before Iran has nuclear weapons capability. The appeasement road is not going to work with Iran,
he replied. It will be Israel and the reality of the situation that will convince Washington. I cannot see any U.S. administration ready to submit to radical Islamic jihadism. President Obama told Prime Minister Netanyahu at their last meeting that he was committed not to allow a military nuclear Iran and I hope he will keep his word.
¹
I asked Yaalon directly whether he would like to tell the world in precise and unequivocal words that Israel will not accept an Iran armed with nuclear weapons, even if that involves Israel launching an attack on Iran without the White House giving a green light for a military strike.
He responded equally directly: As bad as launching a military attack on Iran would be, the only worse choice would be to allow Iran to develop nuclear weapons. One way or another, Iran must be stopped from developing military weapons. We have the military intelligence we need to launch an effective military attack on Iran, if we have no other choice. The Israeli Defense Forces have the military capability to strike Iran’s nuclear facilities successfully, if that is what we are required to do.
How much more time does Israeli intelligence estimate that Iran will need to develop nuclear weapons capability?
In the 1990s when I was in military intelligence, we spoke about a decade,
he answered. "Today, we are speaking about months, certainly not more than a couple of years.
Each day, Iran advances its uranium-enrichment technology,
he explained. Each day, Iran moves closer to having the quantity of enriched uranium needed to produce one bomb. That’s not enough to have a true nuclear weapons capability, but Iran is well along the way.
What Is the Iranian Strategy?
The Iranian strategy has always been to have the indigenous capability to produce all components needed for a nuclear weapons program,
he answered. "This involves not just the ability to enrich uranium, but also the missile technology needed to develop a nuclear weapon.
Today, Iran has the ability to enrich uranium to weapons grade and to produce missiles that could carry a nuclear weapon. Iran wants ultimately to have missiles that could reach the United States and eventually Iran will possess that capability as well.
Would a nuclear-armed Iran be a threat to the continued existence of Israel?
For us, a nuclear-armed Iran is an existential threat,
he stressed. "We live here and we want to live here. We have to be ready to defend our citizens and