Atlantic Basin Satellite Image

Steering Currents

Not models. Based on historical storms and forward motion.

Current Wind Shear Speed (knots) and Direction Near Gordon

1. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN IN THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION HAS ALSO BECOME A LITTLE BETTER DEFINED. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM BEFORE THIS SYSTEM REACHES LAND IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTNORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. INTERESTS ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THIS SYSTEM...AS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING COULD BE NEEDED FOR PART OF THE COAST TODAY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON.

2. A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE COAST OF AFRICA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE... 10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

Remnants of T.D. 7 (70%)

94L (10%)

Current Wind Shear Speed (knots) and Direction Near 94L

36 Hour Forecast Upper Level Wind Shear

Approximate location of 93L

Forecast Total Rainfall Accumulations (Friday Through Sunday)