PROD 100

PROD 200

PROD 300

PROD 100

D 100

D 200

D 300

-500
1000

-500
1000
-600
-100
-1000
2000

-500
1000
-1200
-700
-1000
2000
-600
400
-1500
3000

500
-1000
1000
700
700
-1500
1000
1400
900

1000
-1500
2000
700
1200

MAXIMAX

500

1000

1500

1500

D 100

D 200

D 300

-500
1000

-500
1000
-600
-100
-1000
2000

-500
1000
-1200
-700
-1000
2000
-600
400
-1500
3000

VESI

500(2/5) + (-100)(2/5) + (-700)

20

APIORI

500
-1000
1000
700
700
-1500
1000
1400
900
2/5

APIORI
DEMANDA 100
DEMANDA 200
DEMANDA 300
TOTAL

2/10
12
6
2
20

5 /10
10
14
6
30

3/10
2
2
6
10

24
22
14
60

APIORI
DEMANDA 100
DEMANDA 200

2/10
12/20
6/20

5 /10
10/30
14/30

3/10
2/10
2/10

2/10 * 12/20
2/10 * 6/20

PROD 200

PROD 300

1000
-1500
2000
700
1200
2/5

700(2/5)+1000(2/5)+400(1/
760

900(2/5)+1200(2/5)+1500(1
1140

1500
1/5

CONJUNTA

DEMANDA 300

2/20

6/30

6/10

2/10 * 2/20

0.06
0.06
0.18

MARGINAL
0.35
0.35
0.30

D 100
0.34
0.17
0.07

D 100

D 200

D 300

-500
1000

-500
1000
-600
-100
-1000
2000

-500
1000
-1200
-700
-1000
2000
-600
400
-1500
3000

BAYES
0.12
0.06
0.02

M 1

PROD 100

CONJUNTA
0.17
0.23
0.10

BAYES
PROD 100
PROD 200
PROD 300

500
-1000
1000
700
700
-1500
1000
1400
900
0.34
171.43
240
308.57

1000
-1500
2000
700
1200
0.48
-47.62
476.19
571.43

1500
0.17
-120
68.57
257.14

M 2

D 100

D 200

D 300

-500
1000

-500
1000
-600
-100
-1000
2000

-500
1000
-1200
-700
-1000
2000
-600
400
-1500
3000

PROD 200

PROD 300

PROD 100

PROD 200

PROD 300
BAYES
PROD 100

500
-1000
1000
700
700
-1500
1000
1400
900
0.17
84.91

1000
-1500
2000
700
1200
0.66
-66.04

1500
0.17
-118.87

3.81

784.76

1137.14

-100

847.17

1200

PROD 200
PROD 300

118.87
152.83

660.38
792.45

67.92
254.72

MAXIMIN

MAXIMAX () + MAXIMIN (1-)

D 100

D 200

D 300

900 - 500

1200-(-100)

1500-(-700)

400

1300

2200

900-700

1200-100

1500-400

200

200

1100

900-900

1200-1200

1500-1500

500(0.70) + (-700)(0.30)
-700

140
1000(0.70)+(400)(0.30)

400

820
1500(0.70)+(900)(0.30)

900

1320

TEMPORADA
1
2
3
4
5

VESI

500(2/5) + (-100)(2/5) + (-700)(1/5)

20

DEMANDA
100
100
200
300
200

700(2/5)+1000(2/5)+400(1/5)
760
900(2/5)+1200(2/5)+1500(1/5)
1140

CONJUNTA
5/10 * 10/30 3/10 * 2/10
5/10 * 14/30 3/10 * 2/10

0.12
0.06

CONJUNTA
0.17
0.23

0.06
0.06

MARGINAL
0.35
0.35

5/10 * 6/30

3/10 * 6/10

BAYES
D 200
0.48
0.66
0.33

D 300
0.17
0.17
0.60

M 3

PROD 100

PROD 200

PROD 300
BAYES
PROD 100
PROD 200
PROD 300

0.02

0.10

0.18

D 100

D 200

D 300

-500
1000

-500
1000
-600
-100
-1000
2000

-500
1000
-1200
-700
-1000
2000
-600
400
-1500
3000

500
-1000
1000
700
700
-1500
1000
1400
900
0.07
33.33
46.67
60

1000
-1500
2000
700
1200
0.33
-33.33
333.33
400

VECIM
1148.08*(0.35)+(1200)*(0.35)+(1360)*(0.3)
1230
1230 - 1140
90

1500
0.60
-420
240
900

0.30

-420

620

1360

MINIMAX

LA PLACE
500 + (-100) + (-700)/3

2200

-100
700+1000+400/3

1100

700
900+1200+1500/3

1200