I.

Tng quan v t nc Philippines. 1. iu kin t nhin v vn ha Philippines. V ch a l :Philippines l mt qun o ca 7.107 hn o vi tng din tch t, bao gm c cc c quan ni a ca nc, xp x 300.000 km vung (120.000sqmi). 36.289 km ca n (22.549 dm) b bin lm cho t nc vi 5 ng b bin di nht trn th gii. N nm gia 116 40 'v 126 34' kinh E. v 4 40 ' v 21 10 'v N. c bao bc bi bin Philippine v pha ng, Bin Nam Trung Hoa v pha ty, bin Celebes pha nam. Din tch: 300,000 km2 Kh hu: nhit di nng m. Ton b b bin Philippines di 23.184 Km. 3/4 din tch l rng ni; dng bng thp, nh, hp v c nhiu thung lung xen k cc sun ni. Philippines nm trong khu vc c nhiu dng dt v ni la vi khong 10 ni la dang trong thi k hot dng. Philippines c kh hu nhit di gi ma, thung c bo ln (trung bnh 20 con bo/nam). Ti nguyn: Dn s: Tui trung bnh: g,du, nickel, bc, vng, mui, dng, c ban. 103,775,002 23.1 tui

Dn tc: Tagalog 28.1%, Cebuano 13.1%, Ilocano 9%, Bisaya/Binisaya 7.6%, Hiligaynon Ilonggo 7.5%, Bikol 6%, Waray 3.4%. Tn gio: Ngn ng : Thin cha La M (80.9%) o hi(5%),v cc do khc Philippine v Ting Anh (bn ng), v 8 ngn ng chnh khc:

Tagalog, Cebuano, Ilocano, Hiligaynon or Ilonggo, Bicol, Waray, Pampango, and Pangasinan . Vn ha Philippine: Philippine vn ha l mt s kt hp ca cc nn vn ha ng v phng Ty . Cc l hi truyn thng c gi l barrio Fiestas (huyn l hi) k nim ngy l ca v thnh bo tr l ph bin. Lin hoan Moriones v Sinulog Lin hoan l mt trong nhng ni ting. Nhng c hnh trong cng ng l nhng ln cho n ung no n, m nhc, khiu v v. Mt s truyn thng, tuy nhin, thay i hoc dn dn b lng qun do ho, hin i ho. H ni ting cho cc bui biu din mang tnh biu tng ca iu nhy Philippine nh tinikling v singkil rng c hai tnh nng s dng ca cc cc tre xung t. Barasoain Gio Hi trong Malolos, Bulacan Philippine u tin Cng ha c thnh lp. Mt trong nhng di sn gc Ty Ban Nha d thy nht l s ph bin ca tn Ty Ban Nha v h gia cc ngi Philippines. Tuy nhin, mt ci tn Ty Ban Nha v h khng nht thit phi biu th t tin Ty Ban Nha. iu ny c th, duy nht trong s nhng ngi dn chu ,
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n nh l mt kt qu ca mt ngh nh thuc a, sc lnh Clavera, phn phi cho h thng tn gia nh v thc hin h thng t tn Ty Ban Nha v dn s. Tn ca nhiu ng ph, th x, v cc tnh cng bng ting Ty Ban Nha Ty Ban Nha kin trc li du n Philippines trong nhiu th trn c thit k xung quanh mt qung trng trung tm hoc plaza th trng , nhng nhiu ngi trong s nhng ta nh mang nh hng ca n b ph hy trong chin tranh th gii th II. Mt s v d vn cn, ch yu l gia cc gio x ca t nc, cc ta nh chnh ph v cc trng i hc. Bn Philippine baroque nh th c bao gm trong danh sch ca UNESCO Di sn th gii : San Agustn Gio Hi ti Manila, Gio Hi Paoay Ilocos Norte, Nuestra Seora de Gio Hi la Asuncin (Santa Mara) trong Ilocos Sur, v Santo Toms de Villanueva Gio Hi ti Iloilo. Vigan trong Ilocos Sur cn ni ting vi Ty Ban Nha theo kiu nhiu ngi nh v cc ta nh bo qun c. Vic s dng ph bin ca ngn ng ting Anh l mt v d v tc ng x hi Philippines M. N gp phn vo s chp nhn sn sng v nh hng ca xu hng vn ha pop M . Mi quan h ny c thy trong tnh yu ngi Philippines thc n nhanh , phim v m nhc . Ca hng n nhanh c tm thy nhiu cc gc ph. M stalwarts chui thc n nhanh ton cu bc vo th trng, nhng a phng chui thc n nhanh nh Goldilocks v ng ch nht lJollibee , chui n nhanh hng u trong nc, xut hin v cnh tranh thnh cng vi cc i th nc ngoi ca h. 2. Tng quan v kinh t Philippines. Philippines l nuc kh giu ti nguyn thin nhin trn dt lin v dui bin, c nhiu khong tnh tr lung khong sn trong lng dt c tng gi tr khong t 800 dn 1000 t USD. Tuy nhin, hin nay Philippines mi ch xut khu khong sn khong 0,5 t USD/nam. Philippines ch yu vn l mt nuc nng nghip v trnh d pht trin cn thp, GDP du ngui 4,500 USD (2011, xp hng 156 ton cu). dn s da vo nng nghip l ch yu. Nng nghip chim 12.3% GDP. Cy trng chnh l la, ng, da, ma, chui, da, c ph, thuc l, bng, day, cc loi du v cy Abaca d ly si. Truc dy, cng nghip ca Philippines ch yu l khai khong, g v ch bin thc phm. Mt s ngnh mi ni ln l din t v may mc xut khu. Philippines bun bn ch yu vi M, Nht. Nhp khu chnh ca Philippines l: du m, than d, st thp, vt liu xy dng, thit b my mc, luong thc, ho cht..... Dch v Philippines pht trin kh mnh, chim trn 54.4% GDP. Xut khu lao dng rt quan trng, vi trn 10 triu ngui lao dng nuc ngoi, mi nam uc tnh gi v nuc khong 10 - 12 t USD. T 1946, vi chin luc "thay th nhp khu", kinh t Philippines bt du pht trin v c tc tng trung cao hon Indonesia, Malaysia v Thi Lan. Sang thp k 70, vi chin luc "hung vo xut khu", kinh t Philippines d c mt s kt qu tch cc: GNP nam 1979 dt 7,5% v bnh qun du ngui dt 590 USD. T 1983, kinh t Philippines khng hong. n 1986, uc s h tr tch cc ca cc nuc tu bn ln v cc t chc ti chnh quc t, kinh t Philippines Phc hi. Nam 1996, GDP dt 7,1%, d tr ngoi t dt 11,6 t USD, FDI dt 5,5 t USD, thu nhp bnh qun du ngui dt 1090 USD. T 1998 dn 2000 do khng hong ti chnh-tin t khu vc v tnh hnh ni b Philippines bt n nn kinh t Philippines suy gim. Gi tr dng peso gim mc thp nht.

T 2004 tr li dy, kinh t Philippines pht trin tuong di kh, dt mc tang trung 5 5,5%/nam, GDP nam 2005 dt 1.080 USD/ngui. Xut khu tang kh, dng Ps tang t 57 Ps/1 USD ln khong 50 Ps/1 USD. Nam 2009, do khng hong kinh t ton cu, GDP Philippines ch tang 1.1%. n nam 2010 v 2011, kinh t Philippines c du hiu phc hi vi mc tang GDP ln lut l 7.6% v 4.7%. Tuy nhin, kinh t Philippines cn nhiu kh khan do co cu kinh t ni chung, co cu kinh t vng ni ring khng hp l, quan h kinh t di ngoi chua da phuong ho, da dng ho, ngho di, dc bit nng thn chm duc gii quyt, bt n chnh tr, an ninh, dn s tang cao... II. c im kinh t ni bt. Vi lc lng lao ng tr, kinh t Philippines ha hn s tip tc tng trng mnh v c th tng trng nhanh th 6 th gii vo 2050. Vi 70 t USD d tr ngoi hi v ch phi tr li sut thp i vi cc khon n sau nhiu ln c nng hng tn dng, Philippines cam kt ng gp 1 t USD cho Qu tin t quc t (IMF) gp phn h tr cc nn kinh t chu u ang gp kh khn. y chnh l qu cu tr tng cu gip Philippines khi nc ny ri vo khng hong ti chnh trm trng u nhng nm 1980, i biu quc hi Mel Senen Sarmiento, i din cho bang Western Samar, cho bit. Ngy 4/7 va qua, Standard&Poors nng mc xp hng tn dng ca Philippines ln gn mc khuyn khch u t - mc cao nht ca quc gia ny k t nm 2003 v ngang bng vi Indonesia. Philippines hin l nn kinh t tng trng nhanh th 44 th gii, theo c tnh ca HSBC, nhng nu xu hng hin ti tip tc c duy tr, nc ny c th nhy ln v tr th 6 vo nm 2050. Trc tn hiu tch cc t S&P, th trng chng khon Philippines - mt trong nhng th trng hot ng tt nht trong khu vc ng ca mc cao k lc, v ng ni t, peso, cng tng gi ln mc cao nht so vi ng USD trong vng 4 nm qua. GDP qu I/2012 ca Philippines tng 6,4%, cao hn so vi cc nc khc chu , ngoi tr Trung Quc. Theo d on ca cc nh kinh t hc, GDP trong qu II cng s tng trng vi tc tng t qu I. Frederic Neumann, nh kinh t hc cao cp ca HSBC ti Hong Kong, cho bit Chng ti a ra d bo kh to bo v Philippines, nhng ti ngh l hp l. Tc tng trng dn s cao, t lu b coi l mt tr ngi trong tin trnh tin ln s thnh vng, hin li c xem l ng lc cho tng trng kinh t. Khong 61% dn s Philippines ang tui lao ng, 15-64 tui, v t l ny c d on s tip tc tng. Theo ng Neumann, nhng nm ti, mt s nc chu s phi i mt vi tnh trng gim st dn s trong tui lao ng, trong khi , Philippines ang ni ln l nc c dn s tr. Khi chi ph lao ng ti cc nc khc tng ln, Philippines vn duy tr c kh nng cnh tranh nh c lc lng lao ng di do. Rt nhiu ngi trong lc lng lao ng tr tui ang ng gp sc lao ng ca mnh cho s pht trin mnh m ca ngnh outsourcing Philippines, gip t nc ny ni ting Anh c

s dng rng ri - vt qua n tr thnh nc cung cp hng u th gii dch v outsourcing qua in thoi nh dch v chm sc khch hng qua in thoi (service call center). Theo y ban u t Philippines, nm 2011 cc trung tm chm sc khch hng nc ngoi s dng 683.000 ngi Philippines v mang li doanh thu khong 11 t USD, tng 24% so vi nm trc. Chnh ph Philippines ang tm cch m rng ngnh ny, v hy vng ngnh ny nm 2016 s mang li doanh thu 25 t USD. S thnh vng ngy mt tng ca Philippines cng c s ng gp ca 9,5 triu ngi lao ng Philippines khong 10% dn s - ang lm vic nc ngoi. Nm 2011, kiu hi ca Philippines t 20 t USD, tng ng k so vi 7,5 t USD nm 2003. Tuy nhin, Philippines ang cng phi i mt vi nhiu kh khn. t l kinh hong va qua nc ny, nhn chm gn na thnh ph Manila, cho thy s yu km ca c s h tng v Philippines d tn thng nh th no trc thm ha thin tai vn thng xuyn xy ra ti nc ny. Tuy vy, mt s quan chc chnh ph Philippines cho rng trn lt va qua c th gip tng trng kinh t v vic ti thit i hi phi tng chi tiu cng v nc ny s phi thc hin nhiu chng trnh nng cao kh nng chng chu tc ng ca thin tai. Mt tr ngi khc Philippines ang i mt l cha khai thc ht v tn dng c li th v ngun li t nhin. Theo c tnh ca chnh ph, mc d tr lng kim loi c nc (k c niken, st, ng v vng) t khong 21,5 t tn, nhng ngun li t nhin cha bao gi l ng lc cho tng trng kinh t do qun l khai thc km hiu qu. Bn cnh , nhiu ngi vn lo ngi rng s thnh vng hin nay ca Philippines vn l cha xa i gim ngho. Cc nc khc trong khu vc nh Trung Quc, Nht Bn thm ch c Thi Lan v Vit Nam, pht trin thnh cng ngnh sn xut ch to theo hng xut khu, gip a hng triu ngi ra khi tnh trng i ngho, v lm tng ng k tng lp trung lu. Thng thng ngnh sn xut cng nghip s thu ht lao ng t ngnh nng nghip. Tuy vy, rt nhiu cng ty nc ngoi mc d tp trung u t vo chu nhng li n trnh Philippines do tnh trng bt n chnh tr ko di ca quc gia ny. Lnh vc dch v cng gp phn pht trin kinh t ti cc thnh ph Philippines. Tuy vy, theo s liu ca Ngn hng Pht trin chu , lnh vc gia cng mi ch to ra 1% vic lm Philippines, v hng triu nng dn khu vc nng thn cha th tip cn c vic lm trong lnh vc ny. Rajat M. Nag, gim c iu hnh Ngn hng Pht trin Chu , cho bit: Mc d ngnh outsourcing ca Philippines t tc tng trng n tng, nhng ngnh ny vn s dng mt phn nh lc lng lao ng ca nc ny. Philippines cn pht trin mnh m hn na lnh vc sn xut ch to to thm vic lm. Cc ch s

III.

Cc chnh sch ca Philippines. 1. Gin gim thu quan AFTA. Trong mt thng co bo ch ngy 03 thng 4 nm 2009, FPI ku gi chnh ph xem xt cam kt ca mnh gim thu khng phn trm trong nm 2010 cho tt c cc hng ho theo T do Thng mi ASEANHip nh (AFTA). FPI cho bit, trong nh sng ca cc cuc khng hong nghim trng hin nay kinh t ton cu, mt tr hon ca bt k tip tc ct gim thu quan trong AFTA l theo th t, cng l thc t Philippine thu sut thu thp hn nhiu so vi cc nc ASEAN khc trong cc giai on tng t hoc cao cp hn pht trin. Hn na, FPI cho rng tr hon ny c thc hin quan trng hn bi thc t Phi-lp-pin, khng ging nh cc nc ASEAN khc, khng c cc chnh sch cn thit vi m p t cc bin php thu quan v phi thu quan bo v ngnh cng nghip a phng. Nhng bin php ny bao gm tng mc thu MFN, cp giy php v cc quy tc mi ng k nhp khu yu cu phi np sn lng nhp khu theo k hoch, hn ch pht hnh mt s loi nhp khu ca mt vi mt hng, bo v lnh vc c th v tr cp,cm thu lao ng nc ngoi v cc k hoch kch thch kinh t ln hn tc c cha u i i vi cc nh sn xut trong nc, trong s nhng ngi khc. FPI trch dn "Mua hng M" cung cp trn gi 787 t USD kch thch kinh t M thm ch cung cp mt bin cnh tranh ca 25% cho st thp v cc sn xut hng ho cho cc chi ph theo gi. N cng cp n mt bo co gn y ca Ngn hng Th gii 17 quc gia thuc Nhm 20 (G-20) thc hin 47 bin php hn ch thng mi bt chp nhng cam kt trc rng h s trnh cc bin php bo h. 2. H tr cho cc bin php bo v cho ngnh cng nghip thp a phng. Trong s tri dy ca cc bo co ca cc mc pht trin cc sn phm thp km cht lng nhp khu trong th trng a phng, FPI tuyn b h tr cho cc bin php bo v thu quan
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 bo v thp a phng ngnh cng nghip, c bit l cc nh sn xut ca cc thanh gc, nhp khu tng t bin c gim mnh th phn ca mnh trn th trng trong nc trong ba nm qua. Pht biu trc thnh thu quan Cng y ban v cc bin php t v i vi trong nc Ngnh cng nghip thp vo ngy 04 Thng Nm nm 2009, FPI Tng thng Gisu Lim Arranza gii thch rng cc bin php bo v l cn thit m bo mt sn chi bnh ng chng li t c tr cp nhp khu sn phm thanh gc t Trung Quc. 3. Khiu ni cho chnh ph gi iu 23 ca Hip nh ATIGA. Trong mt bc th cho Tng thng Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo ngy 16 Thng 10 / 2009, FPI hi chnh ph ngay lp tc gi iu 23 (tm thi Sa i hoc nh ch Nhng b) Thng mi ASEAN Hng ho Hip nh (ATIGA). Bc th trch dn lan rng tn ph do bo Ondoy v Pepeng v s cn thit cho mt thi gian phc hi cho cc lnh vc khc nhau ca a phng b nh hng trc khi truy cp tng nhp khu Hng ho ASEAN nn c cho php trong th trng trong nc, m theo Hip nh ATIGA s c hiu lc ngy 01 thng 1 2010. iu 23 ca Hip nh ATIGA, m chnh ph k ngy 26 thng hai nm 2009, v mt php l cho php Philp-pin tm thi sa i hoc nh ch cc ngha v ct gim thu quan do trng hp khn cp hoc c bit khc hn so vi nhng ngi nu ti iu 10 (Cc bin php bo v cn cn thanh ton), iu 24 (c bit iu tr trn Rice v ng) v iu 86 (bin php t v). FPI gii thch rng cch gi iu 23 l hp l cho cc nh nc hin hnh ca thin tai phn ln ca t nc v quy nh ny c thit k chnh xc cho cc trng hp khn cp tnh hung nh thin tai. 4. H tr cho cc vn phng i din thng mi Philippine. Mt vn ng chnh l FPI h tr cho vic thng qua ca Thng vin Bill s 3417 v House Bill s 5971, c hai u tm cch thit lp mt khun kh trch nhim v cc cuc m phn thng mi c trch nhim thng qua vic to ra cc Thng mi Philippines Vn phng i din (PTRO). Trong mt thng co bo ch ngy 30 thng 10 nm 2009, FPI lu rng trong hai thp k qua, thng mi cc cuc m phn c tin hnh trn c s c bit ngn cn vic t c s gn kt trong chnh sch thng mi v pht trin. Trong cc cuc m phn gn y hn, minh bch v trch nhim c chng minh, do cn phi np h s cc trng hp ca mt s bn lin quan trc khi Ti cao To n t cu hi v tnh hp hin ca cc quy nh quan trng trong tha thun. Hn na, cc m hnh ca tham vn c tin hnh nhiu ln c mong mun nh cc bn lin quan c yu cu np kin ca mnh v cc tha thun thng mi sp c k kt m khng cn cung cp cho h bn sao tho thun. R rng c phi l mt chuyn i m hnh trong vic xy dng cch chnh sch thng mi v m phn thng mi ang c thc hin. Nhng li ch v chi ph tham gia vo cc hip nh thng mi cn phi c r rng v khoa hc xc nh thng qua cc nghin cu chuyn su kinh t, x hi v php l. S khn ngoan ng sau nhng ha n cp pht chnh c nh du vi Thng ngh s Mar Roxas mnh authoring Thng vin Bill s 252 l tin thn ca SB 3417. L mt DTI c Th k ca ngi ng u nhm m phn Philippine trong thng mi quc t khc nhau
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cam kt, hiu bit su sc c gi tr ca Thng ngh s Roxas ch c th tr n rt cn thit ci tin t nc cn m bo rng li ch quc gia Philippine c bo qun trong mt t chc nh PTRO. L ting ni ca ngnh cng nghip, FPI lin tc tham gia tch cc trong vic gip c hai phng ca c quan lp php th cng cc d n lut ny. Vi tha thun thng mi nhiu hn c hnh dung v vi s phc tp ngy cng tng ca vic thc hin v iu hng thng qua cc tha thun thng mi song phng, khu vc v a phng hin nay, Thng mi Philippines Vn phng i din phi c ban hnh thnh lut v thnh lp cng sm cng tt. U ban cng hot ng trong vn ng chnh sch lin quan n cc vn lin quan n thng mi khc bn cnh hip nh thng mi quc t. IV. Quan h Philipines vi cc nc v asean. 1. Quan h Philippines vi M. Philippines l nc ng minh lu i nht trong 5 quc gia k kt hip c vi Hoa K. Hai nc cng tham gia mt Hip c Phng th Hn hp k nm 1951. Cc cn c qun s ca Hoa K ti Philippines ng ca hi u thp nin 1990. Nhng mi quan tm chnh ca Manila bao gm vic tng cng phng th trn bin v trn khng gia lc tnh hnh tip tc cng thng vi Trung Quc lin quan n quyn khai thc nng lng v nh bt c trong bin Nam Trung Hoa v s gip lin tc ca Hoa K trong vic i ph vi cc phn t ni dy Hi gio. Hoa K khng ng v pha no trong cuc tranh chp trn bin bin nam Trung Hoa, m ch khuyn khch cc nc trong khu vc, trong c cc nc tuyn b c ch quyn, hy gii quyt vn thng qua mt qui tc ng x c trin khai vi s tham gia ca Trung Quc. Tr li cuc phng vn ca bo The Wall Street Journal trc khi din ra cc cuc hi m ti Ta Bch c, Tng thng Aquino ni rng tuy cng thng c gim bt i cht, nhng vn c nh hng n cc nc khc trong khu vc. Cc cuc hi m ti Ta Bch c din ra vo lc Hoa K thc thi mt sch lc an ninh mi t khu vc Chu Thi bnh dng l u tin hng u. Tng thng Barack Obama cng b mt kha cnh quan trng ca sch lc ny hi nm ngoi trong mt tha thun gia Hoa K v Australia lin quan n vic cc binh s Thy qun lc chin M lun phin tr ng xuyn qua thnh ph cng Darwin. Hoa K v Philippines ang tho lun v mt k hoch tng t. ng Ernest Bower, Gim c Trung tm Nghin cu Quc t v Sch lc (CSIS) ni rng Hoa K v Philippines ang m rng cng cuc hp tc an ninh v qun s. ng Bower cho bit: Thit b qun s b sung m Philippines c th cn n, ti ngh chng ta s gi cho h mt tu tun ca hi qun, mt chin hm n Philippines. Chng ta s c gng ym tr vic hin i ha qun i ca h. Chng ta s tng gp i vin tr ngn sch quc phng ca h ln 30 triu la. V theo ti s c cc cuc tho lun v vic liu mt tha thun lun phin b tr qun i m ta vi Australia c th c p dng cho Philippines trong trong tng lai hay
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khng. Mt gii chc cao cp ca chnh ph cho bit nn t chuyn thm Hoa K ca Tng thng Aquino trong bi cnh ca vic ti cn bng phng th trong khu vc, v ghi nhn vic Hoa K v Philippines hp tc v an ninh hng hi, chng khng b. Mt gii chc khc ni rng Philippines theo ui vic hp tc vi Hoa K v qun i M theo nhng ng li nht qun vi mt iu khon trong hin php ca h cm khng cho qun i nc ngoi tr ng trn lnh th ca mnh. Gii chc ny nu ra cc n lc ca Hoa K gip chng khng b, cc cuc thao dt qun s chung v iu m gii chc ny gi l vic m rng cc cuc chng trnh hun luyn lun phin v cc xy dng kh nng trong khun kh ca mt mi quan h qun s gia hai qun i hai nc. Theo d kin, hai v tng thng s duyt li nhng kt qu trong cuc i thoi chin lc song phng. Cc gii chc cho bit ng Obama cng nhc li s ng h cho cc n lc qun tr tt ti Philippines v tho lun v vn hi nhp kinh t khu vc. Trc ngy hp vi Tng thng Obama ti Ta Bch c, Tng thng Aquino gp nhiu gii chc ti Washington, trong c cc nh lp php Hoa K. Trch http://www.voatiengviet.com/content/my-philippines-hoi-dam-ve-kinh-te-va-anninh/1204894.html 2. Quan h chnh tr Philippines Nht vi Trung Quc. Trch http://dantri.com.vn/the-gioi/nhat-philippines-that-chat-quan-he-de-de-phong-trungquoc-683538.htm Dn tr) - Ngoi trng Nht Bn hm qua ni rng Philppines l mt i tc chin lc trong khu vc v Nht Bn lun ng h s pht trin ca Philippines. Tuyn b ny c a ra trong bi cnh c Tokyo v Manila u c cc cuc tranh chp ch quyn trn bin vi Trung Quc.

Ngoi trng Nht Bn Fumio Kishida. Nh ngoi giao hng u Nht Bn Fumio Kishida hm nay s ti Manila, im dng chn u tin trong chuyn thm chu -Thi Bnh Dng ko di 1 tun. y cng l chuyn cng du nc ngoi u tin k t khi ng Kishida nhm chc ngoi trng Nht Bn hi cui nm ngoi. Trong tuyn b a ra hm qua trc thm chuyn thm Philippines, ng Kishida ti khng nh s hp tc gia 2 nc trong cc lnh vc nh kinh t, quc phng v h tr nhn o. Ngoi trng Nht ni rng vic tng cng hp tc vi cc nc lng ging chu , c bit l Philippines, c ngha quan trng nhm thc y lin minh Nht-M, mi quan h c xem l nhm i ph vi s nh hng ngy cng gia tng ca Trung Quc. V phn mnh, Philippines by t s ng h i vi cc k hoch ca chnh ph Nht Bn tng cng v th ca qun i. Ngoi trng Philippines Albert del Rosario tng a ra mt tuyn b hi nm ngoi trong ng cc xut nhm thay i hnh nh ho bnh ca nc Nht. Hi tun ny, ng Del Rosario ti khng nh tuyn b , ni rng mt nc Nht c ti v trang c th l mt lc lng cn bng trong khu vc. Philippines cng c k hoch mua 10 tu ng ph a chng nng ca Nht cho lc lng tun duyn nhm tng cng cc kh nng trn bin. Vn ny d kin s c tho lun trong cuc gp gia ng Del Rosario v ngi ng cp Nht Bn ti Manila vo hm nay. Nht Bn hin ang c tranh chp ch quyn vi Trung Quc lin quan ti mt qun o Hoa ng, trong khi Philippines c tranh chp ch quyn vi Trung Quc Bin ng. Ngoi trng Nht Bn ti Mania trong chuyn thm ko di 2 ngy. Sau , ng Kishida cng ti Singapore, Brunei v Australia. 3. Quan h xut nhp khu Philippin vi cc nc.
10

Ti th trng PLP mi cng b s liu ca thng 6 nm 2012 (nhp khu), thng 7 nm 2012 (xut khu) Trong : Philippines xut khu: Tng xut khu trong 7 thng u nm 2012 Philippines xut t 31,564 t USD vi mc tng khong 7,7% (so vi cng k nm ngoi 2011 l 29,306 t USD). Ring trong thng 7 nm 2012, tng xut ca Phil t 4,807 t USD, tng 7,8% so vi cng k nm ngoi, trong s: Xut khu 10 mt hng ln nht ca Philippines th c 7 mt hng vn gi c tc xut khu trung bnh mc cao nh cc mt hng: Than hot tnh, ph tng st thp, Chui ti, B nh la trong ng c, Da v cc sn phm t Da, c Ng, g gia dng. Mt hng xut khu ln nht trong thng 7 nm 2012 l sn phm in t t 1,675 t USD chim 34,9% tng kim ngch xut ca Philippines trong thng, Ph tng st thp t 647,64 triu USD chim 13,5% (ng th hai), th ba trong mt hng xut khu ca Philippines trong thng l g gia dng t 176,73 triu USD chim 3,7%, th t l Hng may mc v ph kin t 152,66 triu USD chim t trng 3,2%, ng th nm l B nh la trong ng c t 136,80 triu USD chim t trng 2,8%, tip theo l Du da t 105,02 triu USD, Chui ti t 68,50 triu USD, Da v sn phm t 46,95 triu USD, Than hot tnh t 39,56 triu USD, C Ng t 27,68 triu USD. Cc th trng xut khu chnh ca PLP trong thng l: Singapore 832,45 triu USD, chim t trng trong tng xut ca Phil trong thng l 17,3%, Nht Bn 764,13 triu USD chim t trng 15,9%, M 667,64 triu USD chim t trng 13,9%, Trung Quc 495,21 triu USD chim t trng 10,3%, tip theo l cc th trng Hong Kong 365,95 triu USD (7,6%), Thi Lan 273,17 triu USD, H Lan 192,60 triu USD, Hn Quc 191,48 triu USD, Indonesia 188,31 triu USD, i Loan 149,44 triu USD. - Philippines nhp khu: Tng nhp khu ca Phil trong 6 thng u nm 2012 t 30,761 t USD c mc tng nh 0,4% so vi cng k nm ngoi (30,653 t USD). Ring trong thng 6 nm 2012, tng nhp khu ca Phil l 5,101 t USD tng khong 13,3% so vi cng k nm ngoi (4,504 t USD), trong : Sn phm in t nhp l 1,458 t USD chim t trng 28,6% trong tng nhp khu ca Phil trong thng 6, Sn phm Du m v Nhin liu l 814,42 triu USD chim t trng 16,0%, Trang thit b Vn ti t 639,48 triu USD chim t trng 12,5%, My mc, thit b cng nghip 293,20 triu USD chim t trng 5,7%, Ng cc v sn phm ch bin 132,04 triu USD chim t trng 2,6%, Nha v sn phm 126,59 triu USD, St thp 113,59 triu USD, Ha cht Hu c v V c 110,54 triu USD, Thit b vin thng v in My 105,75 triu USD, Thuc tn dc 72,04 triu USD. Cc th trng nhp khu chnh ca PLP trong thng l: M 803,42 triu USD chim t trng 15,7%, Nht Bn 608,93 triu USD chim t trng 11,9%, Trung Quc 545,76 triu USD chim t trng 10,7% tng nhp ca Phil trong thng, i Loan 340,00 triu USD chim t trng 6,7%, Hn Quc 334,98 triu USD (6,6%), Singapore 323,14 triu USD, tip theo l cc th trng, Thi Lan 320,21 triu USD, Saudi Arabia 241,71 triu USD, Indonesia 235,01 triu USD v Malaysia 188,15 triu USD. V. Quan h kinh t, thng mi ca Philippines vi Vit Nam.
11

1. Tnh hnh xut nhp khu Vit Nam vi nc s ti v kim nhim. - Philippines cha cng b s liu thng k chi tit ca Hi Quan k t u nm 2012. - Theo s liu thng k ca Hi Quan Vit Nam (mi c n thng 7/2012) th Vit Nam xut khu sang PLP c 1.063.394.396 USD v nhp khu t nc ny l 511.759.937 USD. KN nhng mt hng chnh Vit Nam xut khu sang Philippines 7 thng Ngun: Tng cc Hi quan Vit Nam n v tnh: USD Tn hng Hng thy sn Ht iu C ph Ch Ht tiu Go Sn v cc sn phm t sn Bnh ko v cc SP t ng cc Than Ha cht Sn phm ha cht Cht do nguyn liu Sn phm t cht do Giy v cc sn phm t giy X, si dt cc loi Hng dt may Giy dp cc loi Thy tinh v cc SP t thy tinh St thp cc loi Sn phm t st thp 7T 2010 9.960.228 1.816.888 25.915.323 1.534.628 4.726.213 938.860.052 4.893.756 6.633.097 26.432.580 8.326.499 7.889.923 989.435 17.124.360 3.396.718 21.015.268 10.373.139 4.220.678 3.483.273 16.733.816 1.186.746 7T 2011 16.314.569 1.540.914 31.146.050 437.812 5.005.768 392.420.778 3.272.645 5.668.710 12.321.005 3.912.596 25.879.708 1.853.126 22.312.580 3.773.581 23.784.214 13.751.859 8.257.758 3.679.978 17.535.132 2.137.875 7T 2012 20.360.107 4.382.931 48.450.997 1.113.080 7.261.954 339.405.997 12.423.671 6.561.849 17.424.670 9.123.488 18.914.920 3.829.002 21.171.137 4.475.848 18.097.290 15.455.245 11.221.001 9.640.989 48.700.650 4.114.051 +/-%* 125 284 156 254 145 86 380 116 141 233 73 207 95 119 76 112 136 262 278 192
12

My vi tnh SP in t v linh kin in thoi cc loi v linh kin My mc TB dng c ph tng khc Dy in v dy cp in Phng tin vn ti v ph tng Tng KN xut

36.852.792 25.278.320 75.366.699 9.475.915 36.220.748

30.295.134 47.575.940 93.567.976 1.877.504 34.016.997

60.678.539 73.779.678 96.677.596 7.536.399 37.180.730

200 155 103 401 109

1.365.539.278 904.599.230

1.063.394.396 118

% tng/gim: So vi cng k nm trc. KN nhng mt hng chnh Vit Nam nhp khu t Philippines 7 thng Ngun: Tng cc Hi quan Vit Nam n v tnh: USD Tn hng Hng thy sn Sa v sn phm sa Bnh ko v cc SP t ng cc Thc n gia sc v nguyn liu Nguyn ph liu thuc l Sn phm ha cht Dc phm Phn bn cc loi Cht do nguyn liu Sn phm t cht do Sn phm t cao su Giy cc loi Vi cc loi St thp cc loi 7T 2010 1.254.140 2.962.253 19.023.028 10.452.754 4.886.633 6.309.569 3.470.110 28.538.191 22.392.576 5.350.728 1.047.901 11.480.989 340.200 4.279.015 7T 2011 2.733.855 3.299.033 21.545.446 12.010.872 8.458.051 7.632.547 4.022.841 79.534.962 12.047.596 6.817.961 1.064.360 12.768.246 1.179.756 1.253.806 7T 2012 2.794.792 2.831.920 16.577.251 13.130.464 12.068.735 7.913.688 13.861.675 79.475.104 13.924.413 7.724.615 1.165.592 8.136.630 1.158.142 706.655 +/-%* 102 86 77 109 143 104 345 100 116 113 110 64 98 56
13

Sn phm t st thp Kim loi thng khc Sn phm t kim loi thng khc My vi tnh sp in t v linh kin My mc tb dng c ph tng khc Dy in, dy cp in Linh kin, ph tng t Tng KN nhp

18.803.289 129.965.247 183.009 32.824.169 13.362.273 6.735.634 30.876.401 382.337.625

7.790.671 49.802.930 566.541 70.079.488 20.002.401 3.511.693 29.898.905 403.109.154

4.169.526 27.755.959 1.024.888 179.095.587 38.331.360 13.948.686 18.152.500 511.759.937

54 56 181 256 192 397 61 127

% tng/gim: So vi cng k nm trc.

2.

Nhn nh nguyn nhn tng gim xut nhp khu ca Vit Nam vo th trng nc s ti.

Theo s liu thng k ca Hi Quan Vit Nam, 7 thng u nm 2011 tng xut khu ca Vit Nam sang PLP l: Gn 905 triu USD v 7 thng u nm 2012 ta xut c l: 1,063 t USD, so snh mc tng kim ngch xut khu (1,063 t 905 triu) l: 158 triu USD, tng ng vi khong 118% ca cng k nm ngoi. Nhp khu ca Vit Nam t PLP trong 7 thng u nm 2011 l: 403 triu USD v 7 thng u nm 2012 l: 512 triu USD, so snh mc tng kim ngch nhp khu (512 403) l: 109 triu USD, tng ng vi khong 127% ca cng k nm ngoi. Cng da trn c s so snh s liu thng k nhng mt hng xut nhp khu chnh gia hai nc trong 7 thng u nm 2011 v 2012 cho chng ta thy: V xut khu i vi nhm hng Vit Nam xut sang PLP c xu hng tng Tn hng 01. Dy in v cp in 02. Sn v SP t sn 03. Ht iu 04. St thp cc loi 05. Thy tinh v SP 06. Ch 7T u 2011 1.877.504 3.272.645 1.540.914 17.535.132 3.679.978 437.812 7T u 2012 7.536.399 12.423.671 4.382.931 48.700.650 9.640.989 1.113.080 Mc tng% 401 380 284 278 262 254

14

07. Ha cht 08. Cht do nguyn liu 09. My vi tnh SP in t LK 10. SP t st thp 11. C ph 12. in thoi cc loi v LK 13. Ht tiu 14. Than 15. Giy dp cc loi 16. Hng thy sn 17. Giy v SP t giy 18. Bnh ko & SP t ng cc 19. Hng dt may 20. Phng tin vn ti v PT 21. My mc TB dng c, PT

3.912.596 1.853.126 30.295.134 2.137.875 31.146.050 47.575.940 5.005.768 12.321.005 8.257.758 16.314.569 3.773.581 5.668.710 13.751.859 34.016.997 93.567.976

9.123.488 3.829.002 60.678.539 4.114.051 48.450.997 73.779.678 7.261.954 17.424.670 11.221.001 20.360.107 4.475.848 6.561.849 15.455.245 37.180.730 96.677.596

233 207 200 192 156 155 145 141 136 125 119 116 112 109 103

Trong s liu thng k ca Hi quan Vit Nam nu trn c 25 mt hng xut khu sang Philippines c kim ngch xut cao th trong 7 thng u nm 2012 c ti 21 mt hng vn gi c tc tng trng so vi cng k nm ngoi v vi mc tng kim ngch xut l 158 triu USD. i vi nhm hng Vit Nam xut sang PLP c xu hng gim Tn hng 01. Go 02. Sn phm ha cht 03. X si dt cc loi 04. Sn phm t cht do 7T u 2011 392.420.778 25.879.708 23.784.214 22.312.580 7T u 2012 339.405.997 18.914.920 18.097.290 21.171.137 Mc gim% 86 73 76 95

Ch c 04 mt hng trong danh mc 25 mt hng c kim ngch xut khu ln ca Vit Nam sang Philippines c mc tng trng m so vi cng k nm ngoi l: Go gim 53 triu USD (bng 86% ca nm 2011), Sn phm ha cht gim 7 triu USD (bng 73%), Sn phm t cht do gim 1,1 triu USD (95%), X si dt cc loi gim 5,7 triu USD (76%).

15

V nhp khu i vi nhm hng Vit Nam nhp khu t PLP c xu hng tng 7T u 2011 3.511.693 4.022.841 70.079.488 20.002.401 566.541 8.458.051 12.047.596 6.817.961 1.064.360 12.010.872 7.632.547 2.733.855 7T u 2012 13.948.686 13.861.675 179.095.587 38.331.360 1.024.888 12.068.735 13.924.413 7.724.615 1.165.592 13.130.464 7.913.688 2.794.792 Mc tng% 397 345 256 192 181 143 116 113 110 109 104 102 Tn hng 01. Dy in v cp in 02. Dc phm 03. My vi tnh SP in t LK 04. My mc TB, DC, Ph tng 05. SP t kim loi thng khc 06. Nguyn ph liu thuc l 07. Cht do nguyn liu 08. Sn phm t cht do 09. Sn phm t cao su 10. Thc n gia sc v nguyn liu 11. Sn phm ha cht 12. Hng thy sn

Nh vy trong danh mc 21 mt hng c kim ngch nhp khu cao ca Vit Nam t th trng Philippines th trong 7 thng u nm 2012 ch c 12 mt hng c kim ngch nhp khu tng so vi cng k nm ngoi vi mc tng l 109 triu USD tng ng vi mc tng khong 127% so vi cng k nm 2011. - i vi nhm hng Vit Nam nhp khu t PLP c xu hng gim Tn hng 01. Sn phm t st thp 02. Kim loi thng khc 03. St thp cc loi 04. Linh kin, ph tng t 05. Giy cc loi 06. Bnh ko, SP t ng cc 07. Sa v SP sa 08. Vi cc loi 7T u 2011 7.790.671 49.802.930 1.253.806 29.898.905 12.768.246 21.545.446 3.299.033 1.179.756 7T u 2012 4.169.526 27.755.959 706.655 18.152.500 8.136.630 16.577.251 2.831.920 1.158.142 Mc gim% 54 56 56 61 64 77 86 98
16

09. Phn bn cc loi

79.534.962

79.475.104

100

Tng hp, phn tch nhng s liu thng k ( cp trn) cho ta thy: Kim ngch xut khu ca Vit Nam sang PLP tng 158 triu USD vi mc Tng l 118% so vi cng k nm ngoi. Kim ngch nhp khu ca Vit Nam t PLP cng tng 109 triu USD v vi mc tng l 127% so vi cng k nm ngoi. Do vy tng kim ngch xut nhp khu gia hai nc cng tng tng ng so vi 7 thng cng k nm 2011 l 267.445.949 triu USD vo khong 121% ca cng k nm ngoi. Trong , nguyn nhn tng ch yu l cc doanh nghip xut khu ca Vit Nam tch cc y mnh cc mt hng xut khu ch lc ca Vit Nam sang Philippines trong 7 thng qua nh: Dy in cp in, Sn v cc SP, My vi tnh SP in t, St thp cc loi, My mc ph tng, in thoi cc loi.. l nhng mt hng c gi tr cao v hu ht cc sn phm xut khu truyn thng ca Vit Nam sang Philippines u c s tng trng ng k nh Hng dt may, giy dp, thy sn, c ph, ht iu, ht tiu,giy v SP t giy 7 thng u nm 2011, PLP nhp khu 392 triu USD tin go t Vit Nam, trong khi 7 thng nm 2012 ta mi xut c 339 triu USD kim ngch ca mt hng go km nm ngoi 53 triu USD vi mc gim bng 86% kim ngch ca mt hng ny so vi cng k nm 2011. Tuy nhin, nh chng ta u bit trong nhiu nm qua Go lun l mt hng xut khu chnh ca Vit Nam sang Philippines v lun chim khong 50% tng kim ngch xut khu ca Vit Nam sang nc ny. Nhng tnh n thi im hin ti kim ngch mt hng Go tuy c gim mnh nhng tng kim ngch xut ca Vit Nam sang Philippines vn tng (158 triu USD) khong 118% so vi cng k nm ngoi v kim ngch mt hng Go ch cn chim khong 31% trong tng kim ngch xut ca Vit Nam sang nc ny. VI. Bi hc cho vit nam t Philippines. Vit Nam v Philippines chia s kinh nghim chng tham nhng Trao i ti bui tip Tng Thanh tra Philippines Conhita Carpio Morales ang thm v lm vic ti Vit Nam chiu 11/3, Th tng Nguyn Tn Dng cho rng, Vit Nam Philippines l hai nc lng ging v u l thnh vin ca ASEAN c quan h hu ngh, hp tc tt p, Vit Nam coi trng tng cng thc y quan h hp tc nhiu mt vi Philippines v li ch v s pht trin ca hai nc, cng nh v s pht trin vng mnh ca ASEAN. Theo Th tng Nguyn Tn Dng, bt c b my nh nc no trn th gii, bn cnh mt tch cc trong hot ng bao gi cng c mt tiu cc, trong biu hin r l hnh vi tham nhng. Tham nhng khng c nghim tr s nh hng trc tip ti s pht trin, cng nh nh hng ti lng tin ca ngi dn i vi b my nh nc v nh hng ti n nh chnh tr, x hi. Vi nhn thc nh vy, ng v Nh nc Vit Nam ht sc quan tm ti cng tc u tranh phng chng tham nhng, thc hin mc tiu tng bc ngn chn v y li tham nhng ra khi i sng x hi, coi y l cuc u tranh thng xuyn, lin tc vi cc gii php ng b,
17

quyt lit, kin tr, bn b, trong coi trng vic cao tnh cng khai, minh bch v x l nghim cc hnh vi tham nhng, tiu cc. Trn tinh thn ny, Vit Nam lun mong mun c chia s, hc hi kinh nghim trong cng tc u tranh phng, chng tham nhng ca cc nc trn th gii ni chung v ca Philippines ni ring. Chnh ph Vit Nam hoan nghnh c quan Thanh tra ca Philippines v Thanh tra Chnh ph Vit Nam tng cng hp tc, trao i kinh nghim trong cng tc thanh tra, phng, chng tham nhng, tiu cc; ng h 2 c quan thc hin hiu qu cc hot ng hp tc thng nht trong chuyn thm v lm vic ti Vit Nam ca Tng Thanh tra Philippines Conhita Carpio Morales. Theo , hai bn tho lun, trao i kinh nghim thit thc trong thc tin v cng tc phng, chng tham nhng, gp phn nng cao hiu lc, hiu qu qun l nh nc, tng cng cng khai, minh bch v trch nhim gii trnh trong hot ng cng v mi quc gia. Hai bn cng k Bn ghi nh hp tc, nn tng cho s tng cng quan h hu ngh, hp tc gia Thanh tra Chnh ph Vit Nam v c quan Thanh tra Philippines http://www.cand.com.vn/News/PrintView.aspx?ID=193672 VN hoc gi t vu Philippines kin TQa Gn nh mi quc gia trn th gii u c tm l e ngi Trung Quc, khng bit Trung Quc ngh g bi Trung Quc lun ni mt ng, lm mt no. T nm 2009 ti nay, i vi Vit Nam, ASEAN v cc nc khc, Trung Quc lun ni ti ha bnh hu ngh, hp tc lu di, khng mun lm phc tp thm tnh hnh... nhng bn thn Trung Quc lun lm phc tp thm tnh hnh. No l ct dy cp, mi thu du kh trong vng c quyn kinh t ca Vit Nam, n phng a cc lnh nh bt c... Ging nh chui domino, mi ngi s ngh n kh nng, nu Philippines lm vy, c th Vit Nam, Malaysia cng s lm. R rng tuyn b ng ch U vi phm UNCLOS th bt c nc no l thnh vin cng c cng c th lm. Chng hn nh Canada, rt xa Bin ng, c th kin ln ta trng ti rng Trung Quc vi phm. Nhng Canada c lm th khng khi h phi tnh ti li ch ca h? Cu chuyn ny l mt thch thc cho ASEAN, cho thy s on kt, c ch hp tc ca ASEAN thc t l lng lo.Suy ngh rng, ti y, c khi s phi nhn li c ch bo v cc thnh vin ca mnh hay cha? C th, n s thc y ASEAN cng ngi li vi nhau tm ra mt c ch hu hiu, hon ho hn. Cn i vi Vit Nam, B Ngoi giao ln ting v v vic. Chng ta phi th hin quan im r rng, mnh m trong v vic ny v nhng vn m Philippines phn i cng l vic chng ta ang phn i, li ch m nc ny ang bo v cng chnh l li ch ca chng ta. http://giaoduc.net.vn/Xa-hoi/Philippines-kien-Trung-Quoc-ra-toa-la-mot-bai-rat-khonngoan/271878.gd

18

Contents
Vi lc lng lao ng tr, kinh t Philippines ha hn s tip tc tng trng mnh v c th tng trng nhanh th 6 th gii vo 2050. .................................3 4. H tr cho cc vn phng i din thng mi Philippine...................................7 2. Quan h chnh tr Philippines Nht vi Trung Quc..........................................9 Dn tr) - Ngoi trng Nht Bn hm qua ni rng Philppines l mt i tc chin lc trong khu vc v Nht Bn lun ng h s pht trin ca Philippines. Tuyn b ny c a ra trong bi cnh c Tokyo v Manila u c cc cuc tranh chp ch quyn trn bin vi Trung Quc.......................................................................9 1. Tnh hnh xut nhp khu Vit Nam vi nc s ti v kim nhim..................12 2. Nhn nh nguyn nhn tng gim xut nhp khu ca Vit Nam vo th

trng nc s ti................................................................................................. 14 VN hoc gi t vu Philippines kin TQa........................................................................18 Contents................................................................................................................... 19

Nhm 11: ti: Tn thnh vin trong nhm: 1. Hong Hng Hoa. 2. inh Nht Minh. 3. Nguyn nh T.

19