CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTIONS BASED REGIONAL CLIMATE MODEL FOR FOREST FIRE POTENTIAL IN KAPUAS REGION Eko Suryanto1,

Akhmad Faqih2 Student of Department Geophysics and Meteorology 2 Lecture of Climatology Laboratory Department Geophysics and Meteorology
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Department Geophysics and Meteorology Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Science Meranti St. Wing 19 Lv.4 Campus Bogor Agricultural University (IPB) Dramaga Bogor 16880 Telp. +62 857 2753 0963 E-mail: suryantoeko26@yahoo.com / mazeko01@gmail.com

ABSTRACT
Indonesia's forests are located in Kalimantan is often burned because of highly potential of the fire. Therefore, Indonesia suffered a loss of biodiversity, financial, health, and production of oxygen. Accumulation of particles CO2 in the atmosphere is increasing and this impact on rising temperatures through the global warming process. Meteorological parameters that influence the potential for forest fires are the maximum air temperature with a coefficient determination of 68.5%. Modeling of climate change scenarios using a regional climate model (RegCM) needs to be done to determine the uncertainty of the future in response to climate change. Short-term climate projections (RCP4.5) shows that increasing coefficient of variance at three intervals, 2006-2013, 2014-2022, and 2023-2030 at 0.35; 0.41; and 0.57. This indicates that the mitigation activity must be done, one of them by banning the burning forests when high potential of fire, so the incidence of forest fires and that loss can be minimized. Key words: climate change, forest fire, RCP4.5, RegCM