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HIDROLOGIA APLICADA

Practica 3:
CONSTRUCCION DE CURVAS
INTENSIDAD-DURACIONFRECUENCIA

Mg.Sc. Ricardo Apaclla Nalvarte

Dadas las precipitaciones mximas en 24 horas para


diferentes perodos de retorno, construya las curvas IDF de
acuerdo a los modelos de Bell y Yance Tueros, para los
resultados del anlisis de frecuencia de las estaciones
Cutervo y Quiruvilca.

Exceedence
Probability
0.995
0.990
0.980
0.960
0.900
0.800
0.667
0.500

Predictions
Return
Calculated
Period
Value
200
97.7
100
90.2
50
82.7
25
75.2
10
65.0
5
57.0
3
50.6
2
44.8

Standard
Deviation
12.88
11.28
9.68
8.08
5.98
4.39
3.26
2.48

T
P.Max
aos
24 horas
200
97.7
100
90.2
50
82.7
25
75.2
10
65.0
5
57.0
3
50.6
2
44.8

T
aos
200
100
50
25
10
5
3
2

Lluvias mximas (mm).- Estacin Cutervo


Duracin en minutos
5
10
15
20
9.0
13.4
16.4
18.7
8.2
12.2
14.9
17.0
7.4
11.0
13.5
15.4
6.6
9.8
12.0
13.7
5.5
8.2
10.1
11.5
4.7
7.0
8.6
9.8
4.1
6.2
7.5
8.6
3.7
5.5
6.7
7.6

30
22.2
20.3
18.3
16.3
13.7
11.7
10.2
9.1

Intensidades mximas (mm/hora).- Estacin Cutervo


P.Max
Duracin en minutos
24 horas
5
10
15
20
30
97.7
107.4
80.4
65.5
56.1
44.5
90.2
97.9
73.2
59.7
51.1
40.5
82.7
88.3
66.1
53.9
46.1
36.6
75.2
78.7
58.9
48.0
41.1
32.6
65.0
66.0
49.4
40.3
34.5
27.3
57.0
56.5
42.3
34.4
29.5
23.4
50.6
49.4
37.0
30.1
25.8
20.5
44.8
43.8
32.8
26.7
22.9
18.1

60
29.2
26.6
24.0
21.4
17.8
15.3
13.4
11.9

60
29.2
26.6
24.0
21.4
17.8
15.3
13.4
11.9

a0=

1.98476043

K=

96.55

a1=

0.19341218

m=

0.1934122

a2=

-0.5271816

n=

0.5271816

Intensidades mximas.- Estacin Cutervo (mm/h)


I=

KT
tn

Duracin (t)
(minutos)
5
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120

K= 99.69
m= 0.193
n= 0.527
Perodo de Retorno (T) en aos
10
50
100
66.60
90.93
103.98
46.21
63.09
72.14
32.06
43.78
50.06
25.89
35.35
40.42
22.25
30.37
34.73
19.78
27.00
30.88
17.96
24.53
28.05
16.56
22.61
25.86
15.44
21.07
24.10
14.51
19.80
22.65
13.72
18.73
21.42
13.05
17.82
20.37
12.46
17.02
19.46

N de T
orden aos
1
200
2
100
3
50
4
25
5
10
6
5
7
3
8
2

5
107.4
97.9
88.3
78.7
66
56.5
49.4
43.8

Estacin Cutervo.-Intensidades mximas en mm/h


Duracin (minutos)
Y
X1
10
15
20
30
60
Log (P)
80.4 65.5 56.1 44.5
29.2
2.03100428
73.2 59.7 51.1 40.5
26.6
1.99078269
66.1 53.9 46.1 36.6
24
1.94596070
58.9
48
41.1 32.6
21.4
1.89597473
49.4 40.3 34.5 27.3
17.8
1.81954394
42.3 34.4 29.5 23.4
15.3
1.75204845
37
30.1 25.8 20.5
13.4
1.69372695
32.8 26.7 22.9 18.1
11.9
1.64147411
1.90525605
1.86451108
1.82020146
1.77011529
1.69372695
1.62634037
1.56820172
1.51587384
1.81624130
1.77597433
1.73158877
1.68124124
1.60530505
1.53655844
1.47856650
1.42651126
1.74896286
1.70842090
1.66370093
1.61384182
1.53781910
1.46982202
1.41161971
1.35983548
1.64836001
1.60745502
1.56348109
1.51321760
1.43616265
1.36921586
1.31175386
1.25767857
1.46538285
1.42488164
1.38021124
1.33041377
1.25042000
1.18469143
1.12710480
1.07554696

X2
Log (T )
Log (t)
2.30103000
0.69897000
2.00000000
0.69897000 Constante
1.69897000
0.69897000 Err estndar de est.Y
1.39794001
0.69897000 R cuadrada
1.00000000
0.69897000 Nm. de observaciones
0.69897000
0.69897000 Grados de libertad
0.47712125
0.69897000
0.30103000
0.69897000 Coeficient e(s) X
2.30103000
1.00000000 Error estndar de coef.
2.00000000
1.00000000
1.69897000
1.00000000
1.39794001
1.00000000
1.00000000
1.00000000
0.69897000
1.00000000
0.47712125
1.00000000
0.30103000
1.00000000
2.30103000
1.17609126
2.00000000
1.17609126
1.69897000
1.17609126
1.39794001
1.17609126
1.00000000
1.17609126
0.69897000
1.17609126
0.47712125
1.17609126
0.30103000
1.17609126
2.30103000
1.30103000
2.00000000
1.30103000
1.69897000
1.30103000
1.39794001
1.30103000
1.00000000
1.30103000
0.69897000
1.30103000
0.47712125
1.30103000
0.30103000
1.30103000
2.30103000
1.47712125
2.00000000
1.47712125
1.69897000
1.47712125
1.39794001
1.47712125
1.00000000
1.47712125
0.69897000
1.47712125
0.47712125
1.47712125
0.30103000
1.47712125
2.30103000
1.77815125
2.00000000
1.77815125
1.69897000
1.77815125
1.39794001
1.77815125
1.00000000
1.77815125
0.69897000
1.77815125
0.47712125
1.77815125
0.30103000
1.77815125

Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple
0.99528801
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2
0.990598224
R^2 ajustado
0.990180367
Error tpico
0.02253332
Observaciones
48
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Regresin
Residuos
Total

Intercepcin
Variable X 1
Variable X 2

2
45
47
Coeficientes
1.984760432
0.193412179
-0.527181624

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