Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
Datos
Semana
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Ventas (en
miles de
galones)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
25
20
15
10
Pronstico de
Promedio Mvil
5
0
1
11
Alfa
MSN= 8.98
25
20
15
10
Pronstico de Suav
Exponncial (Ft)
5
0
1
9 10 11 12
Alfa
MSN= 9.35
25
20
15
10
Pronstico de Suav
Exponncial (Ft)
5
0
1
9 10 11 12
Ventas (Yt)
(t*Yt)
en miles
21.6
21.60
22.9
45.80
25.5
76.50
21.9
87.60
23.9
119.50
27.5
165.00
31.5
220.50
29.7
237.60
28.6
257.40
31.4
314.00
264.50
1545.50
b1= 1.1
b0= 20.4
(t2)
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
385.00
Tendencia
21.5
22.6
23.7
24.8
25.9
27
28.1
29.2
30.3
31.4
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ventas (Yt) en
miles
Tendencia