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Randomized blocks ANOVA

2935.37375
2935.37375

ANOVA table
Source
Treatments
Blocks
Error
Total

Mean
2,032.50000
3,838.24750

n
8
8

1,778.70000
2,109.18000
2,439.65500
2,770.13500
3,100.61500
3,431.09000
3,761.57000
4,092.04500
2,935.37375

2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
16

SS
13,042,896.1350
9,174,118.1908
8,898,616.6908
31,115,631.0166

Std. Dev
12.24745 Treatment 1
1,606.75738 Treatment 2
334.17866
126.11957
586.41072
1,046.70895
1,507.00719
1,967.29834
2,427.59657
2,887.88773
1,440.26921

Block 1
Block 2
Block 3
Block 4
Block 5
Block 6
Block 7
Block 8
Total

df
MS
1 13,042,896.13503
7
1,310,588.31297
7
1,271,230.95583
15

F
10.26
1.03

p-value
.0150
.4845

Comparison of Groups
4,500.000
4,000.000
3,500.000
3,000.000
2,500.000
2,000.000
1,500.000
1,000.000
500.000
0.000
Treatment 1

Treatment 2

RESULTADOS DE LAS EXTRAPOLACIONES


SERIES TEMPORALES DOBLE EXPONENCIACION (Mtodo de Holt)
AOS
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
BDS test
p-value
Snedecor F

Au
Ag
US$/oz-troy
US$/oz-troy
1542.40
26.92
2198.36
39.41
2854.31
51.90
3510.27
64.39
4166.23
76.88
4822.18
89.37
5478.14
101.86
6134.09
114.35
0.0150
10.26

1.14E-15
91477.30

Sn
US$/lb
13.47
20.05
26.63
33.20
39.78
46.36
52.94
59.51

xidos T.R.
US$/lb
18.62
30.65
42.69
54.73
66.77
78.81
90.84
102.88

Cu
US$/lb
4.56
6.61
8.66
10.70
12.75
14.80
16.85
18.89

Zn
US$/lb
1.09
1.44
1.79
2.14
2.49
2.84
3.19
3.54

1.47E-05
53.87

7.12E-16
104659.05

1.37E-18
624537.72

3.19E-17
254158.16

Sn
xidos T.R.
US$/lb
US$/lb
6.322633
8.48130
6.318388
8.99608
6.317327
9.10993
6.317115
9.13511
6.317068
9.14068
6.317057
9.14191
6.317055
9.14219
6.317054
9.14225

Cu
US$/lb
1.842876
1.752589
1.732620
1.728203
1.727227
1.727011
1.726963
1.726952

Zn
US$/lb
0.751679
0.758323
0.759792
0.760117
0.760189
0.760205
0.760208
0.760209

5.38E-17
218906.84

4.96E-17
224115.10

5.38E-17
218944.18

5.27E-17
220232.38

xidos T.R.
US$/lb
51.8375
51.8400
51.8120
51.8433

Cu
US$/lb
2.7359
2.7369
2.7388
2.7373

Zn
US$/lb
1.92271
1.92275
1.92263
1.92313

ARIMA ( Tcnica de Box - Jenkins )


AOS
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
BDS test
p-value
Snedecor F

Au
Ag
US$/oz-troy
US$/oz-troy
434.01
9.0107
365.28
8.2511
350.08
8.0831
346.72
8.0459
345.98
8.0377
345.81
8.0359
345.78
8.0355
345.77
8.0354
8.34E-13
13892.77

6.19E-17
210322.23

REDES NEURALES ( Optimizacin de la Funcin Sigmoide )


AOS
2015
2020
2025
2030

Au
Ag
US$/oz-troy
US$/oz-troy
867.44
25.8692
867.70
25.8292
867.33
25.8225
866.75
25.8402

Sn
US$/lb
5.0149
5.0141
5.0198
5.0174

2035
2040
2045
2050
BDS test
p-value
Snedecor F

867.62
868.03
867.65
867.11

25.8553
25.8512
25.8459
25.8925

5.0085
5.0063
5.0182
5.0149

51.8672
51.8463
51.8613
51.8371

2.7376
2.7346
2.7359
2.7351

1.92268
1.92261
1.92308
1.92348

2.58E-15
72457.48

5.72E-17
215109.74

5.35E-17
219207.05

6.28E-17
209456.27

5.31E-17
219706.16

5.29E-17
219913.15

Au
Ag
US$/oz-troy
US$/oz-troy
476.80
8.5270
487.69
8.5681
498.58
8.6092
509.48
8.6504
520.37
8.6915
531.26
8.7327
542.15
8.7738
550.87
8.8067

Sn
US$/lb
7.7283
7.8285
7.9287
8.0289
8.1291
8.2293
8.3295
8.4097

xidos T.R.
US$/lb
7.16
6.97
6.77
6.58
6.38
6.19
5.99
5.84

Cu
US$/lb
1.07
1.02
0.96
0.91
0.86
0.81
0.76
0.72

Zn
US$/lb
0.55
0.54
0.52
0.51
0.49
0.47
0.46
0.44

5.12E-17
222025.41

4.71E-17
227451.74

7.00E-17
203071.91

5.66E-17
215742.03

5.39E-17
218816.66

Au
Ag
US$/oz-troy
US$/oz-troy
520.96082
10.89653
523.00763
9.31425
515.31580
8.08662
510.49469
8.10620
509.66153
8.02829
508.37640
8.10201
495.18130
8.13268
494.44641
8.11564

Sn
US$/lb
6.93271
7.02837
6.45197
6.72585
6.44161
6.50855
6.61405
6.48683

xidos T.R.
US$/lb
10.46175
10.14790
11.15154
10.91173
10.57073
10.35500
10.79564
10.68200

Cu
US$/lb
1.45689
1.38871
1.66384
1.62591
1.42379
1.36563
1.55806
1.39139

Zn
US$/lb
0.67998
0.68035
0.68029
0.68033
0.68046
0.68045
0.68037
0.68041

5.88E-17
213417.24

5.29E-17
220019.97

5.36E-17
219242.02

5.27E-17
220179.43

xidos T.R.
US$/lb
9.09
12.45

Cu
US$/lb
3.03
3.72

Zn
US$/lb
0.84
0.98

REGRESIN LINEAL MLTIPLE


AOS
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
BDS test
p-value
Snedecor F

1.04E-15
93995.25

KRIGING ORDINARIO TEMPORAL


AOS
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
BDS test
p-value
Snedecor F

2.86E-14
36445.54

8.26E-17
193681.24

ELLIOTT WAVE ( Onda de Ralph Nelson Elliott )


AOS

Au
Ag
US$/oz-troy
US$/oz-troy
2015
996.09
16.88
2020
1142.28
20.15

Sn
US$/lb
8.43
10.47

2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
BDS test
p-value
Snedecor F

798.58
876.34
748.82
863.90
589.41
645.40

11.55
11.76
12.01
12.85
11.41
12.56

7.87
9.59
7.63
9.04
6.66
8.65

8.01
9.91
6.76
9.55
3.29
4.36

2.86
3.44
2.70
2.87
2.61
2.64

0.73
0.81
1.62
2.16
1.34
1.41

4.37E-07
316.57

1.79E-16
155357.26

7.22E-17
201277.54

1.89E-16
152906.05

6.18E-17
210443.35

4.41E-17
231694.47

Pb
US$/lb
1.03
1.27
1.51
1.76
2.00
2.24
2.49
2.73
3.73E-17
242979.36

Pb
US$/lb
0.688816
0.674761
0.671628
0.670939
0.670787
0.670753
0.670746
0.670744
5.29E-17
220020.44

Pb
US$/lb
0.36504
0.36509
0.36514
0.36540

0.36502
0.36533
0.36527
0.36497
5.27E-17
220244.47

Pb
US$/lb
0.51
0.50
0.49
0.48
0.46
0.45
0.44
0.43
5.36E-17
219176.17

Pb
US$/lb
0.55599
0.54601
0.55150
0.54662
0.51797
0.51216
0.51156
0.49078
5.34E-17
219397.39

Pb
US$/lb
0.88
1.00

1.10
1.35
1.02
1.09
1.24
1.59
4.79E-17
226254.09