2 4.77 10.32 6.49 3 80.48 13.41 4 0.66 7.85 1.97 5 0.17 0.17 6 0.37 0.37 7 4.69 0.78 8 0.01 203.93 34 9 0.5 0.5 10 14.92 38.53 21.34 11 0.07 0.07 12 0.82 0.82 13 0.01 314.89 52.49 14 201.86 33.64 15 1.06 116.72 20.51 16 16.22 6.12 17.24 17 1.3 1.9 1.62 18 0.18 0.18 19 0.01 0.65 0.12 20 0.17 27 4.67 21 1 0.17 22 0.2 0.2 23 5.08 5.08 24 0.22 0.22 25 1.36 1.36 26 0.11 0.11 27 0.09 0.08 0.1 28 4.4 45.9 12.05 29 0.2 0.33 0.26 30 1.07 358.4 60.8 31 4.8 4.8 32 110.35 18.39 33 34 DATA HOME WORK 5. PREDICTING FIELD SIZE AND TYPE OF FIELD USING MARKOV CHAIN PROPERTY PROVEN RESERVES COMMERCIAL SEQUENCES T S M B JUMLAH T 10 3 3 2 18 Tiny Oil S 2 0 2 0 4 Small Oil M 5 0 2 0 7 Medium Gas B 0 1 1 0 2 Tiny Gas SUM 17 4 8 2 31 Tiny Oil Tiny Oil Tiny Gas T S M B SUM Medium Gas T 0.56 0.17 0.17 0.11 1 Tiny Oil S 0.5 0 0.5 0 1 Medium Oil M 0.71 0 0.29 0 1 Tiny Oil B 0 0.5 0.5 0 1 Tiny Oil SUM 1.77 0.67 1.45 0.11 4 Big Gas Medium Gas Medium Gas T S M B SUM Medium Oil T 0.51 0.15 0.28 0.06 1 Tiny Oil S 0.63 0.08 0.23 0.06 1 Tiny Oil M 0.6 0.12 0.2 0.08 1 Tiny Oil B 0.61 0 0.39 0 1 Small Gas SUM 2.35 0.35 1.1 0.2 4 Tiny Gas Tiny Oil WHERE : Small Oil Tiny Oil Tiny Oil Tiny Oil Tiny Oil Medium Gas Tiny Oil Big Gas Small Oil Medium Gas Tiny Oil FIRST ORDER Tiny Oil TWO ORDER Probability of SECOND ORDER Type of Field downward is Oil (60%) and Gas (40%). So, SECOND ORDER of Field Type downward is Oil (0.60) T = TINY; S = SMALL, M = MEDIUM, B = BIG, O = OIL, AND G = GAS FOR FIELD SIZE : FOR TYPE OF FIELD : Probability of SECOND ORDER Field Size downward is Tiny (60%), Medium (20%), Small (12%), and Big (8%). So, SECOND ORDER of Field Size downward is Tiny (0.60) Probability of FIRST ORDER Field Size downward is Tiny (71%), Medium (29%), Small (0%), and Big (0%). So, FIRST ORDER of Field Size downward is Tiny (0.71) CALCULATE FOR FIELD SIZE DATA HOME WORK 5. PREDICTING FIELD SIZE AND TYPE OF FIELD USING MARKOV CHAIN PROPERTY Probability of FIRST ORDER Type of Field downward is Oil (55%) and Gas (45%). So, FIRST ORDER of Field Type downward is Oil (0.55) FIELD SIZE TYPE OF FIELD FIRST ORDER SECOND ORDER O G SUM O 13 7 20 G 6 5 11 JUMLAH 19 12 31 O G SUM O 0.65 0.35 1 G 0.55 0.45 1 SUM 1.2 0.8 2 O G SUM O 0.61 0.39 1 G 0.6 0.4 1 SUM 1.22 0.78 2 Probability of SECOND ORDER Type of Field downward is Oil (60%) and Gas (40%). So, SECOND ORDER of Field Type downward is Oil (0.60) T = TINY; S = SMALL, M = MEDIUM, B = BIG, O = OIL, AND G = GAS FOR FIELD SIZE : FOR TYPE OF FIELD : Probability of SECOND ORDER Field Size downward is Tiny (60%), Medium (20%), Small (12%), and Big (8%). So, SECOND ORDER of Field Size downward is Tiny (0.60) Probability of FIRST ORDER Field Size downward is Tiny (71%), Medium (29%), Small (0%), and Big (0%). So, FIRST ORDER of Field Size downward is Tiny (0.71) CALCULATE FOR TYPE OF FIELD Probability of FIRST ORDER Type of Field downward is Oil (55%) and Gas (45%). So, FIRST ORDER of Field Type downward is Oil (0.55) FIRST ORDER SECOND ORDER Probability of SECOND ORDER Type of Field downward is Oil (60%) and Gas (40%). So, SECOND ORDER of Field Type downward is Oil (0.60) T = TINY; S = SMALL, M = MEDIUM, B = BIG, O = OIL, AND G = GAS FOR FIELD SIZE : FOR TYPE OF FIELD : Probability of SECOND ORDER Field Size downward is Tiny (60%), Medium (20%), Small (12%), and Big (8%). So, SECOND ORDER of Field Size downward is Tiny (0.60) Probability of FIRST ORDER Field Size downward is Tiny (71%), Medium (29%), Small (0%), and Big (0%). So, FIRST ORDER of Field Size downward is Tiny (0.71) Probability of FIRST ORDER Type of Field downward is Oil (55%) and Gas (45%). So, FIRST ORDER of Field Type downward is Oil (0.55)