ABSTRACT For over three decades, Mexican drug cartels have had a significant effect on the countrys economic and political stability. In this paper I discuss how drug cartels fight for control of territory and fight the government so they can continue to traffic drugs. We will take a look at how the war began and who promoted it along with how it is contributing to Mexicos economic crisis. I also discuss who is fighting the cartels and how the government is trying to pick up the Mexican economy. Recommendations are included that bring up possible proposals to promote government reform and citizen safety. INTRODUCTION Within the past three decades, Mexican drug cartels have had a significant impact on the countrys economic and political stability. When the drug wars began back in the late 60s, the drug cartels began to rise in power. As the Mexican government tried to put pressure on drug trafficking, the cartels fought back. Over the past decade, Mexican citizens have grown with fear throughout their daily lives. Mexicans used to believe that drug cartels only killed one another (Padgett, 2007). However, they are finding that this violence is broadening to a range of victims including politicians, police and innocent citizens (Padgett, 2007). As shown in Figure 1 below, the death rate due to the drug war has increased from an estimated 1,500 individuals to over 20,000 individuals since the year 2000. With death on the 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 2000 2005 2010 Present D e a t h s
Year Mexican Drug War Deaths over the Past Decade Rios, Viridiana & Shirk, David. 2010. Figure 1 up rise, the cartels continue to rise in power while the economic and political stability of Mexico falls. LITERATURE REVIEW
HOW THE MEXICAN WAR BEGAN The Party of the Institutionalized Revolution (PRI), which had ruled from the early 1900s to 2000, constructed governability in Mexico (Lindau, 2011). The practices the PRI used to govern Mexico, exploited drug trafficking organizations and cartels (Lindau, 2011). A set of unwritten rules were created that regulated the conduct of the organizations, cartels, and their relationship with Mexico (Lindau, 2011). After numerous political mistakes and economic deterioration during the 70s and 80s, the PRIs popularity and legitimacy diminished (Lindau, 2011). This forced the Mexican government to begin a gradual process of political reform (Lindau, 2011, p. 181). The Mexican Drug war began in the late 60s and early 70s in response to a reduced flow of drugs from the United States (Lindau, 2011). The United States pressured the Mexican state to enact a variety of measures to reduce the drug flow crossing the border (Lindau, 2011). In the 1980s, Ronald Reagan and George Bush worked to reduce the supply in drug-producing countries and increase the domestic penalties within the United States for drug distribution (Lindau, 2011). In response to the successful efforts to stop the flow of Colombian drugs into Florida, Colombian drug routes shifted to Mexico (Lindau, 2011). As this deepened, Mexican cartels began to share production and distribution with the Colombian cartels. In 1989, the largest cartel, the Arellano Felix cartel, was decapitated by the United States (Lindau, 2011). The cartels leader, Manuel Arellano Felix, was captured and this encouraged drug organizations all over Mexico to proliferate (Lindau, 2011). Law enforcement tasks were complicated and this caused violence to spread throughout Mexico. This rose the conflict that the Mexican police and military had with the drug cartels (Lindau, 2011). Cartels all over Mexico began to develop their own drug operations (Kellner & Pipitone, 2010). They were able to organize their own transportation, warehousing and the actual sale of the product to the United States (Kellner & Pipitone, 2010). Colombian and Mexican trafficking cartels joined forces. Working together, they smuggled and distributed drugs while reaping the benefits from one another (Kellner & Pipitone, 2010). Starting in 2002, an Attorney General of the United States, John Ashcroft, explained the size of the United States drug market. He reported that Americans spent $62.9 billion on drugs back in 2000 (Kellner & Pipitone, 2010). By 2009, the United States National Drug Intelligence Center estimated that the Colombian and Mexican cartels were profiting between $17 and $38 billion annually from drug sales to the United States (Kellner & Pipitone, 2010).
CARTELS FIGHT FOR CONTROL OF TERRITORY As the Mexican cartels grow, their tactics to control more territory and traffic drugs heightens. The cartels are willing to take any necessary steps to improve profit, gain control of territory and improve drug transportation. The cartels use armed assaults, targeted assassinations, ambushes, raids, blockades and car bombs. They magnify these tactics with savage hangings, beheadings and dismemberments. A statement is usually associated with the corpse to provide amplification to the incident (Sullivan & Elkus, 2011). With a continue rise of violence and drug trafficking, the innocent citizens of Mexico are at risk daily. Federal law enforcement, national security, and military are forced to grow in order to respond to these threats (Lindau, 2011). Cartels not only have access to a wide range of infantry weapons, but also have access to other military equipment and extensive human intelligence networks (Sullivan & Elkus, 2011). As the drug war matures, cartels continually access new weapons in pursuit of profit and power. With profit potential, the cartels will push any type of violence to sustain their quest for power. (Sullivan & Elkus, 2011).
MEXICO IS ECONOMICALLY AND POLITICALLY UNSTABLE The drug war has complicated Mexicos institutionalization of democracy, reduced the efficacy of judicial reforms and has undermined federalism (Lindau, 2011). Mexicos military and federal police agencies are funding the fight for the war, delaying the construction of an independent judiciary and enforcement structure (Lindau, 2011). All of these changes are happening on top of the growing corruption, violence, human right violations, and the expansion of the states penitentiary (Lindau, 2011, p. 178). Mexico must adapt and has had to adopt methods that are used to interrogate the cartels in order to conduct a successful war (Lindau, 2011). With a demand to conduct the war, fight the cartels and provide great security, law norms have been abandoned (Lindau, 2011). On top of all of this, after long efforts to create a less super-presidentialist system (Lindau, 2011, p. 183), the federal law, national security and military have grown. This has increased the power of the Executive branch and jeopardized their efforts (Lindau, 2011). Due to the war and expanding government size, the federal budget has grown. In 2003, the budget for Order, Security and Justice was 37.25 billion pesos. In 2010, the cost grew to 89.6 billion pesos (Lindau, 2011). The executive branch budget has also grown. The budget has expanded from 18.7 billion pesos in 2003 to 55.6 billion pesos in 2010 (Lindau, 2011, p. 184). The budget for the National System of Public Security has increased as well. This budget increased from 2.781 billion pesos in 1998 to 8.05 billion pesos in 2008 (Lindau, 2011, p. 184). This is a clear reflection of the drug wars impact on Mexicos economic crisis.
FELIPE CALDERN FIGHTS BACK In 2006, Felipe Caldern became Mexicos president and wanted to confront the drug cartels head on (Flannery, 2013). Immediately, Caldern sent 4,000 troops to patrol the hills in Mexico to capture and kill cartel leaders (Flannery, 2013). The cartels soared with anger and began to battle among and between each other for control of the drug trade (Flannery, 2013, p. 182). In 2010, Caldern announced that 2010 was the year with the most violent deaths in the country (Flannery, 2013, p. 182). By causing more violence to try and capture the cartels, violence among other organizations became worse and put society in even more danger. The Caldern administration dismissed the violence for years. They argued that disrupting the drug trafficking cartels was a sign of government effectiveness (Flannery, 2013). Caldern had good motives to bring back public security and to get government back on its feet, however failed to do so (Flannery, 2013). In 2012, Pea Nieto came into office as Mexicos new president. President Nieto has proposed crime reduction strategies that involve a variety of social, military and police programs (Flannery, 2013). Rather than taking Calderns approach to attack Mexicos drug cartels, he is prioritizing the reduction of violence as a whole.
RECOMMENDATIONS I represent the Security Department of the Mexican Government and have prepared recommendations on how President Pea Nieto can successfully enforce his new strategy and how we can stabilize Mexico so Nieto can focus on the economic crisis at hand. With a focus on government reform, labor market reforms and citizen safety, Mexico can begin to rebuild its economy. Rather than attacking the Mexican cartels head on, we need to focus on implementing effective security policies that will protect Mexicans citizens. The police force needs to focus on protecting our citizens rather than focusing on strategies that will bring more violence to the cartels. In doing this, cartels will not see government as much as a threat and will step back from directly attacking the military, police force, and innocent citizens. Nieto should also focus on reaching out to the United States to fund our anti-drug efforts (Newswire, 2012). A great majority of drug trafficking goes to the United States. With an effort to slow down drug trafficking, the United States would benefit off of this effort and should contribute a realistic dollar amount (Newswire, 2012). So far the United States has promised aid but has not pulled through in recent years to provide us with the full authorized dollar amount (Newswire, 2012). Reforming the labor market needs to be a priority of President Nietos. It is important to create jobs with economic opportunity, so Mexico has an option to move from gangs and move towards careers. Focusing on labor market reforms is absolutely necessary. As seen in Figure 2, the unemployment rate of Mexico has risen to the highest it has ever been. It is now around 5% of the entire population.
Judiciary reforms also should be prioritized. Leading up to recent years, prosecutors do not face an especially active or empowered defense bar and do not particularly defer to judges in the overall conduct of investigations (Simser, 2011, p. 8). There are slow paths to justice, corrupted officials, and inaccurate evidence from prosecutors (Simser, 2011). As this is prioritized and slowly fixed, the rule of law in Mexico will strengthen while weakening the cartels penetration against our criminal system (Simser, 2011).
CONCLUSION The Party of the Institutionalized Revolution seems to have a huge effect on where the relationship went wrong between drug cartels and the Mexican government. After they regulated illicit Figure 2 rules with the cartels, the cartels grew in power. When government realized that the PRI was not helping, they tried pushing the government towards reform. This was disastrous as it interfered with the illicit laws the government had with the cartels and slowly formed a war. From before 2000 to over a decade later, the deaths from the drug war has quadrupled. Now with Pea Nieto as President, Mexico can focus on decreasing the death rate, slowing violence, work on government and labor reform and then eliminate the cartels.
During my study of Mexico, I did not find any limitations. It took time to research and to find statistics that supported my thesis, however I was able to find everything I needed. To further research Mexicos economic and political crisis, it is necessary to follow President Pea Nieto as he journeys through reforming Mexico.
REFERENCES
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