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MODELING UTAH POPULATION DATA


Math 1010 Intermediate Algebra Group Project

According to data from the U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, the population of Utah
appears to have increased linearly over the years from 1980 to 2008. The following table shows
the population in IOO,OOO's living in Utah according to year. In this project, you will use the
data in the table to fmd a linear functionf(x) that represents the data, reflecting the change in
population in Utah.

Estimates of Utah Resident Population, in 1 OO,OOO's


Year

1981

1989

1993

1999

2005

2008

13

19

25

28

15.2

17.1

19

22

25

27.4

Population, y

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division

1.

Using the graph paper on the last page, plot the data given in the table as ordered pairs.
Label the x and y axes with words to indicate what the variables represent.

2.

Use a straight edge to draw on your graph what appears to be the line that "best fits" the
data you plotted. You will only have one line drawn, rather than several pieces of lines

3.

Estiinate the coordinates of two points that fall on your best~ fitting line. Write these
points below.

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Use the points that you wrote down to find a linear functionf(x) for the line. Show your
work!
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4.

What is the slope of your line? m =


7
Interpret its meaning. Does it make sense in the context of this situation? Please use
complete sentences to respond to these questions.

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result in the blank below.
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Use your function from part 3 to approximate in what year the residential population of
Utah reached 2,000,000. Show your work.

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7.

Compare your linear function with that of another student or group.

Comparison function: f(x) = () 1 Lf 5h7;<

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Is the comparison function the same as the function you wrote down for part 3?
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If they are different, explain why.
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If they are the same, explain why.


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8.

In actuality, using a linear growth model for population is not common. Most models are
exponential models, due to the fact that most populations experience relative growth, i.e.
2%-growth per year. Linear models f01;.nonlinear relationships like population work only
within a small time frame valid close to the time of the data modeled. Discuss some of
the false conclusions you might reach if you use your linear model for times far from
1980-2008.

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