AP Statistics

Unit 5 Advanced Regression Topics (Chapter 9)

Big Idea:

Before performing a statistical procedure like linear regression, one must consider if it is appropriate for the
given data. Residual plots are helpful in determining whether or not data has a linear form and if linear
regression should be used. Outliers can potentially affect regression results. Such outliers are called influential
points and can even change the direction of the regression line. Although a data pattern may be nonlinear,
regression may still be appropriate for a subset of the data and useful for making predictions. Finally, a causeand-effect relationship can never be concluded between the response and explanatory variables based on the
strength of the correlation due to the possible existence of lurking variables that are influencing both of them.

Skills:

Interpret the slope formula to explain the meaning of regression Lesson 1

Construct and interpret residual plots Lesson 2
Identify outliers as having high residuals, high leverage, or both Lesson 3
Determine if outliers are influential points and describe their effects on correlation and slope - Lesson 3
Identify potential lurking variables and understand the difficulty of concluding causation Lesson 4
Identify subsets of data that have linear trends Lesson 5

Vocabulary:
Extrapolation, outlier, leverage, influential point, lurking variable, residual plot, causation, subset, linear trend
Project/Activities :

Pasta Bridges

Assessments:

AP Free Response Questions (informal assessment)

Unit 5 Quiz (formal assessment)

Review:

Test A and TEST B from publishers on units 1-3

Barrons review problems

1. Monday 12/01/14

2. Tuesday 12/02/14

3. Wednesday 12/03/14

Before class:
Get lots of rest and prepare for next 3 weeks of Stats!!!
Video 44 and journal assignment
During class:
Continue review problems from TEST A
Lesson 1: What Does Regression Mean?
Before class:
Video 45 and journal assignment
Homework Assignment AP Free Response Question
During class:
More Problems from TEST A
Lesson 2: Residual Plots
Before class:
Video 46 and journal assignment
Homework Assignment residual plots
During class:
Continue TEST A review problems
Activity Pasta Bridges

4. Thursday 12/04/14

5. Friday 12/05/14

6. Monday 12/08/14

Before class:
Video 47 and journal assignment
Finish report for Pasta Bridges activity
During class:
Review Problems from Barrons
Lesson 3: Influential Points
Before class:
Video 48 and journal assignment
Homework Assignment Influential Points
During class:
Finish TEST A review problems
More Practice: Influential Points
Lesson 5: Lurking Variables and Causation
Before class:
Video 49 and journal assignment
Homework Assignment Subsets and Linear Trends
During class:
Warm Up More Subsets and Linear Trends
Unit 5 Quiz