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Variabel Assumption

Biaya Prwt Maintenance Cost Simulation

Financ. Anls
Sim Feasibility Calculator

Sensistivity
Anls Sensitivitas Analysis
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Loan Years 20
Discounted Factor 12%
Kurs US$ 1 Rp9,300 Rp645,161
Salvage value Rp0
Inflation Rate 0.00%
(Rp) (US$)
Investment Cost Rp43,238,113,714
USD 720,524

Adjustment M'tce Fact. 80%

Year Opportunity
1 223,499,070
2 234,337,747
3 237,327,534
4 240,967,223
5 240,967,223
6 240,967,223
7 244,788,896
8 244,788,896
9 244,788,896
10 248,801,653
11 248,801,653
12 248,801,653
13 253,015,048
14 253,015,048
15 253,015,048
16 257,439,112
17 257,439,112
18 257,439,112
19 262,084,380
20 262,084,380

Operational Cost
Year
1 98,949,628
2 103,285,099
3 104,481,014
4 105,936,889
5 105,936,889
6 105,936,889
7 107,465,558
8 107,465,558
9 107,465,558
10 109,070,661
11 109,070,661
12 109,070,661
13 110,756,019
14 110,756,019
15 110,756,019
16 112,525,645
17 112,525,645
18 112,525,645
19 114,383,752
20 114,383,752

Biaya Kepemilikan
Depresiasi (Straight Line) (P-F)/n (Investment Cost - Salvage value) / Loan Years
Bunga Ib x {(n+1)/2n} x P Discounted Rate / tahun x {(Loan Years + 1) / 2 x Loan Years} / Investment Cost
Asuransi Ia x {(n+1)/2n} x P Insurance Rate/ tahun x {(Loan Years + 1) / 2 x Loan Years} / Investment Cost
Catatan: Insurance rate=Ia = 3.75%
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Maintenance Cost Factor / year (n/n!)=C! Maintenance Cost / year(Adj. M'tc

Tahun 20 thn 15 thn 10 thn 5 thn 20 thn

1 0.48% 0.83% 1.82% 6.67% ###
2 0.95% 1.67% 3.64% 13.33% ###
3 1.43% 2.50% 5.45% 20.00% ###
4 1.90% 3.33% 7.27% 26.67% ###
5 2.38% 4.17% 9.09% 33.33% ###
6 2.86% 5.00% 10.91% ###
7 3.33% 5.83% 12.73% ###
8 3.81% 6.67% 14.55% ###
9 4.29% 7.50% 16.36% ###
10 4.76% 8.33% 18.18% ###
11 5.24% 9.17% ###
12 5.71% 10.00% ###
13 6.19% 10.83% ###
14 6.67% 11.67% ###
15 7.14% 12.50% ###
16 7.62% ###
17 8.10% ###
18 8.57% ###
19 9.05% ###
20 9.52% ###
ntenance Cost / year(Adj. M'tce Fact*C!*Investment cost)

15 thn 10 thn 5 thn

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Feasibility Calculator

Enter Values Feasibility Study Summary Result

Investment ### Net Present Value (NPV) #DIV/0!
Discounted Rate 11.70 % Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Err:523
Loan Period in Years 20 Pay Back Period (PBP) 113.82 Please Rechecking !
Number of Payments Per Year 1
Start Year of Investment 2007

Project Name: Anything

Write-Off Of Influence Of
Earning Before Influence Of Discount Cummulative
No. Int. Outlay Income Cashflow After Discounted
Outflow Inflow Income Tax Taxable ed Discounted
Year For Tax Taxes on Income Tax Cashflow
(EBIT) Income Factor Cashflow
Purpose Cashflow
0 (43,238,113,714) (43,238,113,714) 0 0 0 (43,238,113,714) 1.0000 (43,238,113,714) (43,238,113,714)
1 (263,666,251) 223,499,070 (40,167,182) ### ### ### 1,672,600,128 0.8953 1,497,403,875 -41,740,709,839
2 (432,718,346) 234,337,747 (198,380,599) ### ### ### 1,561,850,736 0.8015 1,251,794,907 -40,488,914,932
3 (598,630,885) 237,327,534 (361,303,351) ### ### ### 1,447,804,810 0.7175 1,038,844,383 -39,450,070,549
4 (764,803,384) 240,967,223 (523,836,161) ### ### ### 1,334,031,843 0.6424 856,946,094 -38,593,124,455
5 (929,520,008) 240,967,223 (688,552,785) ### ### ### 1,218,730,206 0.5751 700,876,841 -37,892,247,615
6 (1,094,236,631) 240,967,223 (853,269,408) ### ### ### 1,103,428,570 0.5149 568,100,518 -37,324,147,096
7 (1,260,481,924) 244,788,896 (1,015,693,028) ### ### ### 989,732,036 0.4609 456,189,638 -36,867,957,459
8 (1,425,198,548) 244,788,896 (1,180,409,652) ### ### ### 874,430,399 0.4126 360,827,694 -36,507,129,765
9 (1,589,915,171) 244,788,896 (1,345,126,275) ### ### ### 759,128,763 0.3694 280,438,018 -36,226,691,747
10 (1,756,236,898) 248,801,653 (1,507,435,245) ### ### ### 645,512,484 0.3307 213,487,728 -36,013,204,020
11 (1,920,953,522) 248,801,653 (1,672,151,869) ### ### ### 530,210,847 0.2961 156,987,005 -35,856,217,015
12 (2,085,670,145) 248,801,653 (1,836,868,492) ### ### ### 414,909,211 0.2651 109,980,325 -35,746,236,690
13 (2,252,072,127) 253,015,048 (1,999,057,079) ### ### ### 301,377,200 0.2373 71,518,623 -35,674,718,067
14 (2,416,788,750) 253,015,048 (2,163,773,703) ### ### ### 186,075,563 0.2124 39,531,648 -35,635,186,419
15 (2,581,505,374) 253,015,048 (2,328,490,326) ### ### ### 70,773,927 0.1902 13,460,950 -35,621,725,470
16 (2,747,991,624) 257,439,112 (2,490,552,511) ### ### ### (42,669,603) 0.1703 -7,265,539 -35,628,991,008
17 (2,912,708,247) 257,439,112 (2,655,269,135) ### ### ### (157,971,239) 0.1524 -24,080,976 -35,653,071,984
18 (3,077,424,871) 257,439,112 (2,819,985,759) ### ### ### (273,272,876) 0.1365 -37,294,038 -35,690,366,022
19 (3,243,999,602) 262,084,380 (2,981,915,222) ### ### ### (386,623,500) 0.1222 -47,236,527 -35,737,602,549
20 (3,408,716,225) 262,084,380 (3,146,631,846) (5,669,057,184) (8,815,689,030) (2,644,706,709) (501,925,137) 0.1094 -54,900,397 -35,792,502,946
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 Pay Back
Period Calc.
0 0
### Bananas 25 0 ### 0
-41,565,513,586 Oranges 38 1 ### 1
-40,003,662,850 Apples 40 2 ### 2
Pears Descripti
41
-38,555,858,040 3 ### 3
on
-37,221,826,197 Formula (Result) 4 ### 4
-36,003,095,991 2 Because there is5not an exact match,
### the position5of the next lowest value (38) in the range B2:B5 is returned. (2)
-34,899,667,422 4 6 in the range B2:B5.
The position of 41 ###(4) 6
-33,909,935,386 #N/A Returns an error7because the range###
B2:B5 is not 7in descending order. (#N/A)
-33,035,504,987 4 8 ### 8
-32,276,376,224 9 ### 9
-31,630,863,741 10 ### 10
-31,100,652,893
-30,685,743,683 Pay Back Period : Thn
-30,384,366,483 (-) ### 0
-30,198,290,919 (+) ### 1
-30,127,516,993 Total 1,672,600,128
-30,170,186,595 25.85
-30,328,157,835
-30,601,430,711
-30,988,054,211
-31,489,979,347
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 Menu
Feasibility Indicator

F / Parameter 10 Years Operation 5 Year Operation

Basic
NPV USD #DIV/0! 8,112,788,946
IRR % Err:523 63.79%
PBP Year 113.8184 1.4508

Sensitivitas
Investment Cost (USD)
10 year
(+50%) (+30%) (+20%)
Operation
9,000,000,000 7,800,000,000 7,200,000,000
NPV USD 15,729,897,610 16,831,678,720 ###
IRR % 50.17% 57.28% 61.64%
PBP Year 2.0699 1.8310 1.7101
SD)
(+10%)
6,600,000,000
17,933,459,830
66.74%
1.5882
 43,238,113,713.91
Studi Kelayakan
Perpanjangan Dermaga Tongkang

Asumsi:
Tingkat Diskonto 11.70% WACC
Perioda Depresiasi 20 Tahun
Tonase Dermaga Tongkang 508,648 Ton/Tahun
Sharing Daerah 20% Jasa Pelabuhan
Sharing Pelindo 20% Jasa Pelabuhan
Biaya Perpanjangan 43 Milyar

Kenaikan 0 0 0 5%
Tahun 2008 2009 2010 2011
Jasa Tambat 32.00 32.00 32.00 32.00
Jasa Dermaga 715.00 715.00 715.00 750.75
Port Facility Service 3,000.00 3,000.00 3,000.00 3,150.00
- Gypsum 750.00 750.00 750.00 750.00
- Indocement 400.00 400.00 400.00 400.00

Potential
Batu Bara 210,172.28 210,172.28 210,172.28 210,172.28
Steel Scrap 100,063.37 105,066.54 107,167.87 107,167.87
Gypsum 198,407.35 208,327.72 210,410.99 210,410.99
Total 508,643.00 523,566.54 527,751.14 527,751.14

Targeted Volume 95%

Batu Bara 199,663.67 199,663.67 199,663.67 199,663.67
Steel Scrap 95,060.20 99,813.21 101,809.48 101,809.48
Gypsum 188,486.98 197,911.33 199,890.44 199,890.44
Total 483,210.85 497,388.21 501,363.59 501,363.59

Revenue Projection
Tarif Tambat DT 67,968,044 71,366,446 72,793,775 76,433,464
Tarif Dermaga Tongkang 6,725,513 6,725,513 6,725,513 6,725,513
Port Facility Service 148,805,513 156,245,788 157,808,246 157,808,246
Total Cash In 223,499,070 234,337,747 237,327,534 240,967,223

Proyeksi Pengeluaran
Sharing Japel 89,399,628 93,735,099 94,931,014 96,386,889
Perawatan Dermaga 4,000,000 4,000,000 4,000,000 4,000,000
Kebersihan 1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000
Tenaga Kerja 3,500,000 3,500,000 3,500,000 3,500,000
Listrik 500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000
Operasional Cash 350,000 350,000 350,000 350,000
Total Cash Out 98,949,628 103,285,099 104,481,014 105,936,889
Cash Flow 124,549,442 131,052,648 132,846,521 135,030,334

Depreciation 2,161,905,686 2,161,905,686 2,161,905,686 2,161,905,686

EBT 1,839,456,988 1,824,282,839 1,820,097,138 1,815,001,574
Corp Tax 551,837,097 547,284,852 546,029,141 544,500,472
Biaya KMK 0 0 0 0
NPV
Profitability Index
IRR
 0% 0% 5% 0% 0% 5%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
32.00 32.00 32.00 32.00 32.00 32.00
750.75 750.75 788.29 788.29 788.29 827.70
3,150.00 3,150.00 3,307.50 3,307.50 3,307.50 3,472.88
750.00 750.00 750.00 750.00 750.00 750.00
400.00 400.00 400.00 400.00 400.00 400.00

210,172.28 210,172.28 210,172.28 210,172.28 210,172.28 210,172.28

107,167.87 107,167.87 107,167.87 107,167.87 107,167.87 107,167.87
210,410.99 210,410.99 210,410.99 210,410.99 210,410.99 210,410.99
527,751.14 527,751.14 527,751.14 527,751.14 527,751.14 527,751.14

199,663.67 199,663.67 199,663.67 199,663.67 199,663.67 199,663.67

101,809.48 101,809.48 101,809.48 101,809.48 101,809.48 101,809.48
199,890.44 199,890.44 199,890.44 199,890.44 199,890.44 199,890.44
501,363.59 501,363.59 501,363.59 501,363.59 501,363.59 501,363.59

76,433,464 76,433,464 80,255,137 80,255,137 80,255,137 84,267,894

6,725,513 6,725,513 6,725,513 6,725,513 6,725,513 6,725,513
157,808,246 157,808,246 157,808,246 157,808,246 157,808,246 157,808,246
240,967,223 240,967,223 244,788,896 244,788,896 244,788,896 248,801,653

96,386,889 96,386,889 97,915,558 97,915,558 97,915,558 99,520,661

4,000,000 4,000,000 4,000,000 4,000,000 4,000,000 4,000,000
1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000
3,500,000 3,500,000 3,500,000 3,500,000 3,500,000 3,500,000
500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000
350,000 350,000 350,000 350,000 350,000 350,000
105,936,889 105,936,889 107,465,558 107,465,558 107,465,558 109,070,661
135,030,334 135,030,334 137,323,338 137,323,338 137,323,338 139,730,992

2,161,905,686 2,161,905,686 2,161,905,686 2,161,905,686 2,161,905,686 2,161,905,686

1,815,001,574 1,815,001,574 1,809,651,231 1,809,651,231 1,809,651,231 1,804,033,372
544,500,472 544,500,472 542,895,369 542,895,369 542,895,369 541,210,011
0 0 0 0 0 0
 0% 0% 5% 0% 0% 5%
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
32.00 32.00 32.00 32.00 32.00 32.00
827.70 827.70 869.09 869.09 869.09 912.54
3,472.88 3,472.88 3,646.52 3,646.52 3,646.52 3,828.84
750.00 750.00 750.00 750.00 750.00 750.00
400.00 400.00 400.00 400.00 400.00 400.00

210,172.28 210,172.28 210,172.28 210,172.28 210,172.28 210,172.28

107,167.87 107,167.87 107,167.87 107,167.87 107,167.87 107,167.87
210,410.99 210,410.99 210,410.99 210,410.99 210,410.99 210,410.99
527,751.14 527,751.14 527,751.14 527,751.14 527,751.14 527,751.14

199,663.67 199,663.67 199,663.67 199,663.67 199,663.67 199,663.67

101,809.48 101,809.48 101,809.48 101,809.48 101,809.48 101,809.48
199,890.44 199,890.44 199,890.44 199,890.44 199,890.44 199,890.44
501,363.59 501,363.59 501,363.59 501,363.59 501,363.59 501,363.59

84,267,894 84,267,894 88,481,289 88,481,289 88,481,289 92,905,353

6,725,513 6,725,513 6,725,513 6,725,513 6,725,513 6,725,513
157,808,246 157,808,246 157,808,246 157,808,246 157,808,246 157,808,246
248,801,653 248,801,653 253,015,048 253,015,048 253,015,048 257,439,112

99,520,661 99,520,661 101,206,019 101,206,019 101,206,019 102,975,645

4,000,000 4,000,000 4,000,000 4,000,000 4,000,000 4,000,000
1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000
3,500,000 3,500,000 3,500,000 3,500,000 3,500,000 3,500,000
500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000
350,000 350,000 350,000 350,000 350,000 350,000
109,070,661 109,070,661 110,756,019 110,756,019 110,756,019 112,525,645
139,730,992 139,730,992 142,259,029 142,259,029 142,259,029 144,913,467

2,161,905,686 2,161,905,686 2,161,905,686 2,161,905,686 2,161,905,686 2,161,905,686

1,804,033,372 1,804,033,372 1,798,134,619 1,798,134,619 1,798,134,619 1,791,940,929
541,210,011 541,210,011 539,440,386 539,440,386 539,440,386 537,582,279
0 0 0 0 0 0
 0% 0% 5% 0% 0%
2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
32.00 32.00 32.00 32.00 32.00
912.54 912.54 958.17 958.17 958.17
3,828.84 3,828.84 4,020.29 4,020.29 4,020.29
750.00 750.00 750.00 750.00 750.00
400.00 400.00 400.00 400.00 400.00

210,172.28 210,172.28 210,172.28 210,172.28 210,172.28

107,167.87 107,167.87 107,167.87 107,167.87 107,167.87
210,410.99 210,410.99 210,410.99 210,410.99 210,410.99
527,751.14 527,751.14 527,751.14 527,751.14 527,751.14

199,663.67 199,663.67 199,663.67 199,663.67 199,663.67

101,809.48 101,809.48 101,809.48 101,809.48 101,809.48
199,890.44 199,890.44 199,890.44 199,890.44 199,890.44
501,363.59 501,363.59 501,363.59 501,363.59 501,363.59

92,905,353 92,905,353 97,550,621 97,550,621 97,550,621

6,725,513 6,725,513 6,725,513 6,725,513 6,725,513
157,808,246 157,808,246 157,808,246 157,808,246 157,808,246
257,439,112 257,439,112 262,084,380 262,084,380 262,084,380

102,975,645 102,975,645 104,833,752 104,833,752 104,833,752

4,000,000 4,000,000 4,000,000 4,000,000 4,000,000
1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000
3,500,000 3,500,000 3,500,000 3,500,000 3,500,000
500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000
350,000 350,000 350,000 350,000 350,000
112,525,645 112,525,645 114,383,752 114,383,752 114,383,752
144,913,467 144,913,467 147,700,628 147,700,628 147,700,628

2,161,905,686 2,161,905,686 2,161,905,686 2,161,905,686 2,161,905,686

1,791,940,929 1,791,940,929 1,785,437,554 1,785,437,554 1,785,437,554
537,582,279 537,582,279 535,631,266 535,631,266 535,631,266
0 0 0 0 0
REVIEW TERHADAP FS

A. ASUMSI

Investasi Supplier Portion (USD) = 400,000 (budgetary proposal dari supplier)

PT. Portion (USD) = 80,000 (diasumsikan oleh Subdit)
Total Investasi (USD) = 480,000

B. PERHITUNGAN
B.1. Penurunan Biaya

Item Unit Biaya/unit Sebelum Setelah

T/K Hrs/ton 0.054 637 587
Consum kg/ton 1.250 2.03 1.93
Total Penurunan Biaya (USD/ton) =

B.2. Kenaikan Biaya

Item Unit Biaya/unit Sebelum Setelah

Air Nm3/ton 0.090 0 2
Elect kg/ton 0.081 26 32
Nit Nm3/ton 0.105 18 33
Total Kenaikan Biaya (USD/ton) =

B.3. Penghematan Biaya

Penghematan Biaya {Penurunan Biaya - Kenaikan Biaya} (USD/ton) =

B.4. Kenaikan Produktivitas

Item Unit Sebelum Setelah Selisih
Operating Time hari/tahun 275 275 0
Preparation time mnt/heat 43 37 6
Power on time mnt/heat 79 71 8
Tap to tap time mnt/heat 122 108 14
Tapping weight ton/heat 125 130 5

Produktivitas ton/tahun 405,738 476,667 70,929

Total Penghematan Biaya per tahun = Penghematan Biaya per ton * Produksi per tah
(USD/tahun) = 243,524

C. ANALISIS KELAYAKAN
C.1. Analisis
Asumsi : Outflow terdiri dari Biaya Investasi dan Biaya Maintenance sebesar 5% dari Biaya Inv

Tahun Outflow Inflow Cashflow Write-Off Of Influence of

before Int. Outlay for Taxable
Income taxes Tax Purpose Income
(EBIT) (Depreciation)
0 384,000 (384,000)
1 67200 243,524 176,324 38400 137,924
2 67200 243,524 176,324 38400 137,924
3 19200 243,524 224,324 38400 185,924
4 19200 243,524 224,324 38400 185,924
5 19200 243,524 224,324 38400 185,924
6 19200 243,524 224,324 38400 185,924
7 19200 243,524 224,324 38400 185,924
8 19200 243,524 224,324 38400 185,924
9 19200 243,524 224,324 38400 185,924
10 19200 243,524 224,324 38400 185,924

C.2. Indikator Kelayakan

Ukuran Kelayakan Asumsi operasi 10 thn Asumsi operasi 5 thn

NPV USD 687,044 229,040

IRR % 38.0 27.5
PBP Tahun 3.1 3.1

C.3. Sensitivitas
Ukuran Harga Listrik (USD/kWH)
Kelayakan (+0.005) (-0.005) (-0.00525) (-0.01)
(operational 10
thn) 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05
NPV USD 1,190,886 238,000 (222) (238,444)
IRR % 51.0 18.1 8.0 -4.9
PBP Tahun 2.1 5.6 8.6 17.6
 getary proposal dari supplier)
sumsikan oleh Subdit)

Selisih Besar Keterangan

50 2.715
0.1 0.125 Akibat pengurangan Power on time
2.840

Selisih Besar Keterangan

2 0.180
6 0.485
15 1.575
2.240

D/ton) = 0.600

Keterangan

Akibat pengurangan waktu gunning

Sebagian energi listrik digantikan energi kimia

Effective weight lebih besar karena aplikasi

= Operating Time *60*24

Biaya per ton * Produksi per tahun

nance sebesar 5% dari Biaya Investasi per tahun

Influence of Cashflow Discounted Discounted Cummulative

Income taxes after 8% Cashflow Discounted
on Cashflow Income taxes Cashflow
30%
(384,000) 1 (384,000) (384,000)
41,377 134,947 0.9259 124,951 (259,049)
41,377 134,947 0.8573 115,695 (143,354)
55,777 168,547 0.7938 133,798 (9,557)
55,777 168,547 0.7350 123,887 114,330
55,777 168,547 0.6806 114,710 229,040
55,777 168,547 0.6302 106,213 335,253
55,777 168,547 0.5835 98,345 433,598
55,777 168,547 0.5403 91,061 524,659
55,777 168,547 0.5002 84,315 608,974
55,777 168,547 0.4632 78,070 687,044

Biaya Investasi (USD)

(+50%) (+30%) (+20%) (+10%)
720,000 624,000 576,000 528,000
399,689 498,910 548,520 598,130
19.2 23.6 26.3 29.4
5.4 4.6 4.2 3.8
No. Item Pekerjaan Unit Vol. Harga Satuan Jumlah
1 Mobilisasi/Demob ls 1.00 250,000,000.00 250,000,000.00

2 Pembongkaran D Tongkang m3 15,750.00 50,000.00 787,500,000.00

3 Pekerjaan Dred.&Reclamasi m3 50,600.00 80,000.00 4,048,000,000.00

4 Sheet Pipepile (762 t 16) kg 1,921,473.36 14,500.00 27,861,363,713.91

5 Anchoring unit 7.00 550,000,000.00 3,850,000,000.00

6 Pemancangan m 4,550.00 450,000.00 2,047,500,000.00

7 Welding joint 437.50 450,000.00 196,875,000.00

8 Cutoff Pile titik 350.00 450,000.00 157,500,000.00

9 Pile Cap m 175.00 2,000,000.00 350,000,000.00

10 Concreting m3 520.63 3,000,000.00 1,561,875,000.00

11 Fender buah 8.00 115,000,000.00 920,000,000.00

12 Bollard buah 8.00 35,000,000.00 280,000,000.00

13 Ligthing ls 1.00 200,000,000.00 200,000,000.00

14 Katodik Protection ls 1.00 250,000,000.00 250,000,000.00

15 Rail & Assesory m 350.00 550,000.00 192,500,000.00

16 Pemecah Gelombang buah 300.00 950,000.00 285,000,000.00

Total 43,238,113,713.91