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FORMATO 1

ALTERNATIVAS PARA
ALCANZAR EL OBJETIVO CENTRAL

DESCRIPCION DE LAS ALTERNATIVAS


N

COMPONENTES

ALTERNATIVA 1

ALTERNATIVA 2

01

N de beneficiarios capacitados (Pers)

Capacitacin a 1881 personas bebeficiados con paneles solares

Capacitacin a 1881 personas bebeficiados con grupos electrogenos.

02

NCapacitaciones en uso de paneles


solares y grupos electrogenos. (sec)

Capacitacin durante 03 meses en uso


de paneles solares, con profesioaneles

Capacitacin durante 03 meses en uso


de grupos electrogenos, con profesioaneles

calificados, 1881 modulos.

calificados, 1881 generadores electricos.

03

Adquisicin de paneles solares (Md)

04

Adquis. de grupos electrogenos(Md)

05

Montaje electromagnetico (Unid)

06

Manejo adecuado de equipos(Activ)

La construccin de 1881 modulos de pa- La construccin de 1881 modulos de gruneles solares en los distritos de las provinpos electrogenos en los distritos de las procias de Pasco y Daniel Carrin.
vincias de Pasco y Daniel Carrin.

07
OPINION

ALTERNATIVA VIABLE

ALTERNATIVA NO VIABLE

FORMATO 2
ANALISIS GENERAL DE LA DEMANDA DEL PRODUCTO O SERVICIO

a) Describir procedimiento de clculo, variables importantes y supuestos utilizados para la estimacin de la Demanda.
Para estimar la potencialidad de la demanda de energia electrica maxima, recurrimos a la poblacin de las zonas alejadas, identificando 1066
beneficiarios en distritos de la provincia de Pasco y Daniel Carrin, para nuestro caso la demanda es de 96,984 Kw-h/ao, para atender a 2,735
personas incluido todos los integrantes de familias.

b) Proyeccin

2013

2014

AOS
2015
2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

1881

1900

1919

1938

1957

1977

1997

2017

2037

2057

NCapacitaciones en uso de paneles


solares y grupos electrogenos. (sec)

78

78

78

78

78

78

78

78

78

78

Adquisicin de paneles solares (Md)

1881

Adquis. de grupos electrogenos(Md)

1881

Montaje electromagnetico (Unid)

1881

Manejo adecuado de equipos(Activ)

1881

UNIDADES
N de beneficiarios capacitados (Pers)

S/.
Pers = Persona
und = unidad

Mod = Modulo
Activ. = actividad

ANALISIS GENERAL DE LA
OFERTA DEL PRODUCTO O SERVICIO
a) Describir procedimiento de clculo, variables importantes y supuestos utilizados para la estimacin de la oferta
La produccin actual de energia electrica es cero, no se cuenta con paneles solares instalados, los pobladores de zonas alejadas hacen uso para
su alumbrado, mecheros a base de petroleo, velas o grasa de ovino, leas y otros, que hacen dao a la salud, y su costo por alumbrado son altos
cuando hay nios, jovenes en edad escolar para hacer tareas y estudiar.
b) Proyeccin "sin proyecto" (oferta actual optimizada)
UNIDADES

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

|
N de beneficiarios capacitados (Pers)

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

NCapacitaciones en uso de paneles


solares y grupos electrogenos. (sec)

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Adquisicin de paneles solares (Md)

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Adquis. de grupos electrogenos(Md)

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Montaje electromagnetico (Unid)

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Manejo adecuado de equipos(Activ)

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Pers = Persona
und = unidad

Mod = Modulo
Activ. = actividad

FORMATO 4
ANALISIS GENERAL DE LA DEMANDA DE
PRODUCTO O SERVICIO
(CAPACITACIONES, ASISTENCIA TECNICA, LECHE Y CARNE DE VACUNO
A
CANTIDAD DEMANDADA

AO

B
CANTIDAD OFERTADA ( * )

POTENCIA Kw-h

0
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032

CAPAC.

Nro.PANELES

0
1881
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

1881
1881
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148

SUPERRAVIT DEFICIT
A-B

POTENCIA Kw-h
CAPAC.

Nro.PANELES

0
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

0
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148

POTENCIA Kw-h
CAPAC.

Nro.PANELES

0
1,881
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

1,881
1,881
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

FORMATO 5
COSTOS INCREMENTALES - ALTERNATIVA 1
A PRECIOS PRIVADOS
RUBRO

AO 0

AO 1

AO 2

AO 3

AO 4

AO 5

AO 6

AO 7

AO 8

AO 9

AO 10

AO 11

AO 12

AO 13

AO 14

AO 15

AO 16

AO 17

AO 18

AO 19

AO 20

TOTAL

COSTO + IGV

COSTO + IGV

COSTO + IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

1 INTANGIBLES
* Expedientes tcnicos
* Capacitacin
* Conv. con electrocentro y/o Adinelsa
2 INVERSION EN ACTIVOS.
* Suministros importados
* Suministros nacionales

85,152
146,436
11,230

85,152
146,436
11,230

85,152
146,436
11,230

4,258,734
1,763,018

4,258,734
1,763,018

4,258,734
1,763,018
0

0
3 Transporte y Prueba
0
* Transporte de Equipos y Materiales
* Prueba de los SFVD

0
298,327
83,760

298,327
83,760

298,327
83,760

332,333
631,432
265,866
66,467

166,166
315,716
132,933

166,166
315,716
132,933
66,467

127,320

127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320

127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320

7,388,793

808,602 127,320 127,320 127,320

127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 10,489,156

4 Administracin
* Gastos Generales
* Utilidades
* Supervisin
* Entrega de obra-liquidacin

332,333
631,432
265,866
66,467

5 MANTENIMIENTO
* Mantenimiento operacin
TOTAL DE COSTO DE PROYECTO (1)

7,942,756

COSTO SIN PROYECTO (2)

2,546,400

COSTO DE PRODUCCION
GASTOS ADMINISTRATIVOS
TOTAL COSTO INCREMENTALES
FACTOR DE ACTUALIZACION
VAC INCREMENTALES

7,942,756

7,388,793

808,602 127,320 127,320 127,320

127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 10,489,156

1 0.89285714 0.7971939 0.71178 0.63552 0.56743 0.50663 0.45235 0.40388 0.36061 0.32197 0.28748 0.25668 0.22917 0.20462

7,942,756

6,597,137

644,613

90,624

80,914

72,245

64,504

57,593

51,422

45,913

40,994

36,601

32,680

29,178

26,052

0.1827 0.16312 0.14564 0.13004 0.11611 0.10367

23,261

20,769

18,543

16,557

14,783

13,199

15,920,338

FORMATO 5
COSTOS INCREMENTALES - ALTERNATIVA 2
A PRECIOS PRIVADOS
RUBRO

1 ESTUDIOS
* Expedientes tcnicos
* Capacitacin
2 INVERSION EN ACTIVOS.
* Suministro Importados (Grupos electronicos)
* Suministro Nacionales (Accesorios)

AO 2013

AO 2014

AO 2015

AO 2016

AO 2017

AO 2018

AO 2019

AO 2020

AO 2021

AO 2022

AO 2023

AO 2024

AO 2025

AO 2026

AO 2027

AO 2028

AO 2029

AO 2030

AO 2031

AO 2032

TOTAL +

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

COSTO+IGV

IGV

85,152
146,436

85,152

85,152

7,777,421
962,672

7,777,421
962,672

7,777,421
962,672

3 MONTAJE ELECTROMAGNETICO

0
0
298,327

298,327

298,327

* Gastos Generales
* Utilidades

463,500
927,001

154,500

* Supervisin
5 MANTENIMIENTO

370,800

154,500
927,001
185,400
196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

10,586,792

536,220

350,820

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320 14,811,272

10,586,792

536,220

350,820

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

196,320

* Transporte de Equipos y Materiales


4 ADMINISTRACION

* Mantenimiento y Operacin

TOTAL DE COSTO DEL PROYECTO (1)

11,031,308.21

COSTO SIN PROYECTO (2)


COSTO DE PRODUCCION
GASTOS ADMINISTRATIVOS
TOTAL COSTO INCREMENTALES
FACTOR DE ACTUALIZACION
VAC INCREMENTALES

11,031,308
1

11,031,308.21

154,500

463,500
927,001

185,400

370,800

3,926,400

0
0
0

196,320 14,811,272

0.8928571429 0.7971938776 0.71178025 0.63551808 0.5674269 0.5066311 0.4523492 0.4038832 0.36061002 0.3219732 0.2874761 0.2566751 0.2291742 0.2046198 0.1826963 0.1631217 0.1456443 0.1300396 0.1161068 0.1036668

9,452,492.85

427,471.50

249,706.83 124,764.91 111,397.24

99,461.82 88,805.20

79,290.36

70,794.96 63,209.79 56,437.31 50,390.45 44,991.48 40,170.96 35,866.93 32,024.04 28,592.90 25,529.37 22,794.08 20,351.86 22,155,853

FORMATO 5 - A
COSTOS INCREMENTALES - ALTERNATIVA 1
A PRECIOS SOCIALES
RUBRO

1 INTANGIBLES
* Expedientes tcnicos
* Capacitacion
* Conv. Con electrocentro y/o Adinelsa

FACT.

COSTOS A PRECIOS SOCIALES

CONV.

AO 0

0.848
0.848
0.848

72,209
124,178
9,523

72,209
124,178
9,523

0.81
0.848

3,449,575
1,495,039

0.848
0.848
0.848
0.848
0.91
0.91

AO 2013

AO 2014

AO 2015

AO 2016

AO 2017

TOTAL

AO 2018

AO 2019

AO 2020

AO 2021

AO 2022

AO 2023

AO 2024

AO 2025

AO 2026

AO 2027

AO 2028

AO 2029

AO 2030

AO 2031

AO 2032

0
0

72,209
124,178
9,523

3,449,575
1,495,039

0
0
0

3,449,575
1,495,039
0

252,981
71,029

252,981
71,029

0
0

252,981
71,029

281,818
535,455
241,938
60,485

140,909
267,727
120,969

140,909
267,727
120,969
60,485

281,818
535,455
241,938
60,485

105,790

105,790 105,790 105,790

105,790 105,790 105,790

105,790 105,790

105,790

105,790

105,790

105,790

105,790

105,790

105,790

105,790

105,790

105,790

105,790

2,115,804
0

6,109,929

695,880 105,790 105,790

105,790 105,790 105,790

105,790 105,790

105,790

105,790

105,790

105,790

105,790

105,790

105,790

105,790

105,790

105,790

105,790

8,710,033

2 INVERSION EN ACTIVOS.
* Suministros importados
* Suministros nacionales

3 Montaje electromecanico
* Transporte de Equipos y Materiales
* Prueba de los SFVD

4 Administracin
* Gastos Generales
* Utilidades
* Supervisin
* Entrega de obra-Liquidacin
6 MANTENIMIENTO
* Mantenimiento operacin
TOTAL DE COSTO DE PROYECTO (1)

0.831

6,594,230

COSTO SIN PROYECTO (2)


COSTO DE PRODUCCION
GASTOS ADMINISTRATIVOS
TOTAL COSTO INCREMENTALES
FACTOR DE ACTUALIZACION
VAC INCREMENTALES

0
6,594,230

6,109,929

1 0.9174312

6,594,230

5,605,440

695,880 105,790 105,790

105,790 105,790 105,790

105,790 105,790

105,790

105,790

105,790

105,790

105,790

105,790

0.84168 0.77218 0.70843 0.64993 0.59627 0.54703 0.50187 0.46043 0.422411 0.387533 0.355535 0.326179 0.299246 0.274538

585,709

81,689

74,944

68,756

63,079

57,871

53,093

48,709

44,687

40,997

37,612

34,507

31,657

29,043

105,790

105,790

105,790

0.25187 0.231073 0.211994

26,645

24,445

22,427

105,790

105,790

7,652,131

0.19449 0.178431

20,575

18,876

13,564,992

FORMATO 5 - A
COSTOS INCREMENTALES - ALTERNATIVA 2
A PRECIOS SOCIALES
RUBRO

1 ESTUDIOS
* Expedientes tcnicos
* Capacitacin
2 INVERSION EN ACTIVOS.
* Suministro Importados (Grupos electronicos)
* Suministro Nacionales (Accesorios)

FACT.

COSTOS A PRECIOS SOCIALES

TOTAL

CONV.

AO 0

0.848

72,209.2
124,177.6

72,209
124,178

72,209.2
124,177.6

0.848

6,595,252.6
816,345.5

6,595,253
816,345

6,595,252.6
816,345.5

0.848

252,981.0

252,981

252,981.0

0.848

393,048.3
786,096.6
314,438.6

131,016

0.848
0.848

AO 2013

AO 2014

AO 2015

AO 2016

AO 2017

AO 2018

AO 2019

AO 2020

AO 2021

AO 2022

AO 2023

AO 2024

AO 2025

AO 2026

AO 2027

AO 2028

AO 2029

AO 2030

AO 2031

AO 2032

3 MONTAJE ELECTROMAGNETICO
* Transporte de Equipos y Materiales
4 ADMINISTRACION
* Gastos Generales
* Utilidades
* Supervisin
6 MANTENIMIENTO
* Mantenimiento y operacin

TOTAL DE COSTO DEL PROYECTO (1)

0.848
0.848
0.831

9,354,549.4

COSTO SIN PROYECTO (2)


COSTO DE PRODUCCION
GASTOS ADMINISTRATIVOS
TOTAL COSTO INCREMENTALES
FACTOR DE ACTUALIZACION
VAC INCREMENTALES

9,354,549.4
1
9,354,549.4

393,048.3
786,096.6
314,438.6

131,016

157,219

131,016
786,097
157,219

163,122

163,122

163,122

0
8,312,323.6

1,237,454.3

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

163,122

3,262,445.8

294,138.4 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3

12,780,117.4
0.0
0.0
0.0

163,122

163,122

163,122

163,122

163,122

163,122

163,122

163,122

163,122

163,122

163,122

163,122

163,122

163,122

163,122

163,122

8,312,323.6 1,237,454.3 294,138.4 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3
0.9174311927 0.841679993 0.77218348 0.7084252 0.6499314 0.5962673 0.5470342 0.5018663 0.460428 0.4224108 0.3875329 0.3555347 0.3261786 0.2992465 0.274538 0.2518698 0.2310732 0.2119937 0.1944897 0.178431
7,625,984.9 1,041,540.5 227,128.8 115,559.9 106,018.3 97,264.5 89,233.5 81,865.6 75,106.0 68,904.6 63,215.2 57,995.6 53,207.0 48,813.8 44,783.3 41,085.6 37,693.2 34,580.9 31,725.6 29,106.1

10,985,772.2
19,325,362.3

FORMATO 6
BENEFICIOS INCREMETALES PARA CADA ALTERNATIVA I
(A PRECIOS PRIVADOS)
Tasa de crecimiento promedio

RUBRO

0.0065

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

2022

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2022

2027

2022

2022

2022

P E R I O D OS
0

2013

1.- Situacin con


Proyecto

0.0

158,004.0

160064.73

2.- Situacin sin


Proyecto

0.0

2,755,589.8

2791528.85

3.- Beneficios
Incrementales (1) - (2)

0.0

2,597,585.8

(*) Corresponde al primer ao de generacin de beneficios.

2014

2,631,464.1

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

161105.15

162152.33

163206.32

164267.16

165334.90

166409.58

167491.24

168579.93

169675.70

170778.59

171888.65

173005.93

174130.47

175262.32

176401.52

177548.13

178702.19

179863.76

2809673.79

2827936.67

2846318.26

2864819.32

2883440.65

2902183.01

2921047.20

2940034.01

2959144.23

2978378.67

2997738.13

3017223.43

3036835.38

3056574.81

3076442.55

3096439.42

3116566.28

3136823.96

2,648,568.6

2,665,784.3

2,683,111.9

2,700,552.2

2,718,105.8

2,735,773.4

2,753,556.0

2,771,454.1

2,789,468.5

2,807,600.1

2,825,849.5

2,844,217.5

2,862,704.9

2,881,312.5

2,900,041.0

2,918,891.3

2,937,864.1

2,956,960.2

FORMATO 6 - A
BENEFICIOS INCREMETALES PARA CADA ALTERNATIVA 2
(A PRECIOS PRIVADOS)
RUBRO

P E R I O D OS
0

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

1.- Situacin con Proyecto

1.00

158,004.00

160,064.73

161,105.15

162,152.33

163,206.32

164,267.16

165,334.90

166,409.58

167,491.24

168,579.93

169,675.70

170,778.59

171,888.65

173,005.93

174,130.47

175,262.32

176,401.52

177,548.13

178,702.19

179,863.76

2.- Situacin sin Proyecto

1.00

2,755,589.76

2,791,528.85

2,809,673.79

2,827,936.67

2,846,318.26

2,864,819.32

2,883,440.65

2,902,183.01

2,921,047.20

2,940,034.01

2,959,144.23

2,978,378.67

2,997,738.13

3,017,223.43

3,036,835.38

3,056,574.81

3,076,442.55

3,096,439.42

3,116,566.28

3,136,823.96

3.- Beneficios Incrementales (1)


- (2)

0.00

2,597,585.76

2,631,464.12

2,648,568.64

2,665,784.34

2,683,111.93

2,700,552.16

2,718,105.75

2,735,773.44

2,753,555.97

2,771,454.08

2,789,468.53

2,807,600.08

2,825,849.48

2,844,217.50

2,862,704.91

2,881,312.49

2,900,041.03

2,918,891.29

2,937,864.09

2,956,960.20

(*) Corresponde al primer ao de generacin de beneficios.

BENEFICIOS INCREME
(A PR
RUBRO

P E R I O D OS
0

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

1.- Situacin con Proyecto

0.0

133,987.4

135,734.9

136,617.2

137,505.2

138,399.0

139,298.6

2.- Situacin sin Proyecto

0.0

2,336,740.1

2,367,216.5

2,382,603.4

2,398,090.3

2,413,677.9

2,429,366.8

3.- Beneficios Incrementales


(1) - (2)

0.00

2,202,752.7

2,231,481.6

2,245,986.2

2,260,585.1

2,275,278.9

2,290,068.2

(*) Corresponde al primer ao de generacin de beneficios.

FORMATO 6
EFICIOS INCREMETALES PARA CADA ALTERNATIVA 1
(A PRECIOS SOCIALES)

OS
2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

140,204.0

141,115.3

142,032.6

142,955.8

143,885.0

144,820.2

145,761.6

146,709.0

147,662.6

148,622.4

2,445,157.7

2,461,051.2

2,477,048.0 2,493,148.8

2,509,354.3

2,525,665.1

2,542,081.9

2,558,605.5

2,575,236.4

2,591,975.4

2,304,953.7

2,319,935.9

2,335,015.5 2,350,193.1

2,365,469.3

2,380,844.9

2,396,320.4

2,411,896.4

2,427,573.8

2,443,353.0

2029

2030

2031

2032

149,588.5

150,560.8

151,539.5

152,524.5

2,608,823.3

2,625,780.6

2,642,848.2

2,660,026.7

2,459,234.8

2,475,219.8

2,491,308.7

2,507,502.3

FORMATO 6 - A
BENEFICIOS INCREMETALES PARA CADA ALTERNATIVA 2
(A PRECIOS SOCIALES)
RUBRO

P E R I O D OS
0

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

2032

1.- Situacin con


Proyecto

0.8

135,734.9

137,505.2

139,298.6

141,115.3

142,955.8

144,820.2

146,709.0

148,622.4

150,560.8

152,524.5

2.- Situacin sin


Proyecto

0.8

2,367,216.5

2,398,090.3

2,429,366.8

2,461,051.2

2,493,148.8

2,525,665.1

2,558,605.5

2,591,975.4

2,625,780.6

2,660,026.7

3.- Beneficios
Incrementales (1) - (2)

0.00

2,231,481.58

2,260,585.12

2,290,068.23

2,319,935.88

2,350,193.06

2,380,844.86

2,411,896.44

2,443,352.99

2,475,219.82

2,507,502.25

(*) Corresponde al primer ao de generacin de beneficios.

FORMATO 7
VALOR ACTUAL DE BENEFICIOS NETOS PARA CADA ALTERNATIVA
(A PRECIOS PRIVADOS)
RUBRO

Ao 0

Ao 2013

Ao 2014

Ao 2015

Beneficios Netos Totales


Ao 2016 Ao 2017 Ao 2018 Ao 2019 Ao 2020 Ao 2021 Ao 2022 Ao 2023 Ao 2024 Ao 2025 Ao 2026 Ao 2027 Ao 2028 Ao 2029 Ao 2030 Ao 2031 Ao 2032

1.- Beneficios Incrementales


ALTERNATIVA 1

0.0

2,597,585.8

2,631,464.1

2,648,568.6

2,665,784.3

2,683,111.9

2,700,552.2

2,718,105.8

2,735,773.4

2,753,556.0

2,771,454.1

2,789,468.5

2,807,600.1

2,825,849.5

2,844,217.5

2,862,704.9

2,881,312.5

2,900,041.0

2,918,891.3

2,937,864.1

2,956,960.2

ALTERNATIVA 2

0.0

2,597,585.8

2,631,464.1

2,648,568.6

2,665,784.3

2,683,111.9

2,700,552.2

2,718,105.8

2,735,773.4

2,753,556.0

2,771,454.1

2,789,468.5

2,807,600.1

2,825,849.5

2,844,217.5

2,862,704.9

2,881,312.5

2,900,041.0

2,918,891.3

2,937,864.1

2,956,960.2

2.- Costos Incrementales


ALTERNATIVA 1

7,942,755.7

7,388,793.3

808,602.4

127,320.0

127,320.0

127,320.0

127,320.0

127,320.0

127,320.0

127,320.0

127,320.0

127,320.0

127,320.0

127,320.0

127,320.0

127,320.0

127,320.0

127,320.0

127,320.0

127,320.0

127,320.0

ALTERNATIVA 2

11,031,308.2

10,586,792.0

536,220.3

350,820.1

196,320.0

196,320.0

196,320.0

196,320.0

196,320.0

196,320.0

196,320.0

196,320.0

196,320.0

196,320.0

196,320.0

196,320.0

196,320.0

196,320.0

196,320.0

196,320.0

196,320.0

ALTERNATIVA 1

-7,942,756

-4,791,208

1,822,861.7

2,521,248.6

2,538,464.3

2,555,791.9

2,573,232.2

2,590,785.8

2,608,453.4

2,626,236.0

2,644,134.1

2,662,148.5

2,680,280.1

2,698,529.5

2,716,897.5

2,735,384.9

2,753,992.5

2,772,721.0

2,791,571.3

2,810,544.1

2,829,640.2

ALTERNATIVA 2

-11,031,308

-7,989,206

2,095,243.9

2,297,748.5

2,469,464.3

2,486,791.9

2,504,232.2

2,521,785.8

2,539,453.4

2,557,236.0

2,575,134.1

2,593,148.5

2,611,280.1

2,629,529.5

2,647,897.5

2,666,384.9

2,684,992.5

2,703,721.0

2,722,571.3

2,741,544.1

2,760,640.2

3.- Beneficios Netos Totales

ALTERNATIVAS

VAN (12%)

ALTERNATIVA 1

20,266,742.2

16.75%

3.02

9,799.00

ALTERNATIVA 2

20,208,331.9

10%

2.15

13,738.75

TIR

B/C

C/E

FORMATO 7
VALOR ACTUAL DE BENEFICIOS NETOS PARA CADA ALTERNATIVA
(A PRECIOS SOCIALES)
RUBRO

Beneficios Netos Totales


Ao 0

Ao 2013

Ao 2014

Ao 2015

Ao 2016

Ao 2017

Ao 2018

Ao 2019

Ao 2020

Ao 2021

Ao 2022

Ao 2023

Ao 2024

Ao 2025

Ao 2026

Ao 2027

Ao 2028

Ao 2029

Ao 2030

Ao 2031

1.- Beneficios Incrementales


ALTERNATIVA 1

0.00

2,202,752.72

2,231,481.58

2,245,986.21

2,260,585.12 2,275,278.92

2,290,068.23

2,304,953.68

2,319,935.88 2,335,015.46

2,350,193.06

2,365,469.31

2,380,844.86

2,396,320.36

2,411,896.44

2,427,573.77

2,443,352.99

2,459,234.79

2,475,219.82

2,491,308.74

ALTERNATIVA 2

0.00

2,202,752.72

2,231,481.58

2,245,986.21

2,260,585.12 2,275,278.92

2,290,068.23

2,304,953.68

2,319,935.88 2,335,015.46

2,350,193.06

2,365,469.31

2,380,844.86

2,396,320.36

2,411,896.44

2,427,573.77

2,443,352.99

2,459,234.79

2,475,219.82

2,491,308.74

ALTERNATIVA 1

6,594,229.53

6,109,929.47

695,880.44

105,790.19

105,790.19

105,790.19

105,790.19

105,790.19

105,790.19

105,790.19

105,790.19

105,790.19

105,790.19

105,790.19

105,790.19

105,790.19

105,790.19

105,790.19

105,790.19

105,790.19

ALTERNATIVA 2

9,354,549.36

8,312,323.56

1,237,454.29

294,138.39

163,122.29

163,122.29

163,122.29

163,122.29

163,122.29

163,122.29

163,122.29

163,122.29

163,122.29

163,122.29

163,122.29

163,122.29

163,122.29

163,122.29

163,122.29

163,122.29

-3,907,176.75

1,535,601.14

2,140,196.02

2,154,794.93 2,169,488.73

2,184,278.05

2,199,163.49

2,214,145.69 2,229,225.27

2,244,402.87

2,259,679.13

2,275,054.68

2,290,530.17

2,306,106.25

2,321,783.58

2,337,562.81

2,353,444.60

2,369,429.63

2,385,518.56

-6,109,570.83

994,027.29

1,951,847.82

2,097,462.83 2,112,156.63

2,126,945.95

2,141,831.39

2,156,813.59 2,171,893.17

2,187,070.77

2,202,347.03

2,217,722.58

2,233,198.07

2,248,774.15

2,264,451.48

2,280,230.71

2,296,112.50

2,312,097.53

2,328,186.46

2.- Costos Incrementales

3.- Beneficios Netos Totales


ALTERNATIVA 1
ALTERNATIVA 2

ALTERNATIVAS

-6,594,229.53
-9,354,549.36

VAN (9%)

TIR

ALTERNATIVA 1

20,768,972.86

17.22%

B/C
3.08

C/E
8,136.24

ALTERNATIVA 2

20,529,242.17

10%

2.15

11,680.78

Ao 2032

2,507,502.25
2,507,502.25

105,790.19
163,122.29

2,401,712.06
2,344,379.96

FORMATO 8
ANLISIS DE SOSTENIBILIDAD DEL PROYECTO
(Alternativa 1)
1. Definir, claramente, que institucin o entidad se har cargo de la operacin y mantenimiento del proyecto.
El GOBIERNO REGIONAL - PASCO, a travs de la GERENCIA REGIONAL DE DESARROLLO ECONOMICO, ser la encargada del
aspecto de Pre Operacin garantizando de esta forma el desarrollo del proyecto durante la vida util, el cual ser con participacin directa de
los diferentes ganaderos del hambito distrital. Desde el inicio del Proyecto los beneficiarios organizados y reconocidos sern los
encargados su mantenimiento y sostenibilidad.
2. Analizar la capacidad tcnica y logstica de los encargados de la operacin y mantenimiento. Necesidad de arreglos institucionales
y administrativos.
El GOBIERNO REGIONAL a travs de la GERENCIA REGIONAL DE DESARROLLO ECONOMICO cuenta con personal capacitado para la
supervisin de dicho proyecto.
3. Del flujo de costos de operacin, indicar cul o cules seran las fuentes para financiarlos y cmo se distribuira este financiamiento
en cada perodo.
Los recursos econmicos sern captados del Ministerio de la Presidencia a travs del Ministerio de Econmia y Finanzas.
FLUJO DE COSTOS DE OPERACIN Y MANTENIMIENTO
AOS
COSTOS Y FUENTES
0
1

(EN MILES DE SOLES)


2

Tarifas o Cuotas
Aportes del Estado

7,942,755.67

Aportes de la CC.CC.
PARTICIPACION DE LOS BENEFICIARIOS DIRECTOS DEL PROYECTO
4. Describir la participacin que tendra la poblacin beneficiaria en las acciones del proyecto, desde su identificacin y formulacin.
En especial, deber consignarse cul fue la partcipacin de las autoridades locales o regionales en la priorizacin del proyecto.

FORMATO 9
ANALISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD PRELIMINAR
( Diversas Alternativas )
1) Mencionar las variables de costos y beneficios ms importantes.
Las variables de costos que pueda sufrir el proyecto, sera con respecto a los costos directos
del proyecto en cuanto se refiere a la Ejecucin del Proyecto 10%.
Igual modo, las variables de beneficios que sufrira el proyecto, sera con respecto a la
produccin, en menos 10 %.
2) Reestimar el VAN a precios privados y a precios sociales, sobre la base simulaciones
de las variables de costos y beneficios ms importantes, sealadas en el punto anterior.
EVALUACIN A PRECIOS PRIVADOS :
ALTERNATIVA
ALTERNATIVA 1
VAN (miles S/. )
TIR ( % )
B/C
ALTERNATIVA 2
VAN (miles S/. )
TIR ( % )
B/C

COSTOS
(+10 % )

BENFICIOS
(-10%)

COSTOS + 10 %
BENEFICIOS - 10%

S/. 18,709,534.74
259%
30.18

(S/. 13,890,180.81)
Err:523
0.30

S/. 438,123.08
17%
3.02

S/. 18,085,983.20
174%
21.53

(S/. 20,125,696.20)
Err:523
0.22

(S/. 185,428.46)
10%
2.15

EVALUACIN A PRECIOS SOCIALES :

ALTERNATIVA
ALTERNATIVA 1
VAN (miles S/. )
TIR ( % )
B/C
ALTERNATIVA 2
VAN (miles S/. )
TIR ( % )
B/C

COSTOS
(+10 % )

BENFICIOS
(-10%)

COSTOS + 10 %
BENEFICIOS - 10%

S/. 19,789,006.52
266%
30.82

(S/. 11,450,441.34)
Err:523
0.31

S/. 758,051.38
17%
3.08

S/. 19,212,969.48
177%
21.47

(S/. 17,210,811.70)
Err:523
0.21

S/. 182,014.34
10%
2.15

Costos Incrementales10%
Beneficios Incrementales10%
Costos-Beneficios 10%

A COSTOS PRIVADOS
ALTERNATIVA I
VAN
TIR
20266742.17
16.75
18709534.74 259.16
-13890180.81 Err:523
438123.08
16.75

B/C
3.02
30.18
0.30
3.02

ALTERNATIVA II
VAN
TIR
B/C
20208331.87
10.49
2.15
18085983.20
174.44
21.53
-20125696.20
Err:523
0.22
-185428.46
10.49
2.15

Costos Incrementales10%
Beneficios Incrementales10%
Costos-Beneficios 10%

A COSTOS SOCIALES
ALTERNATIVA I
VAN
TIR
20,768,972.86
17.22
19,789,006.52 265.91
-11,450,441.34 Err:523
758,051.38
17.22

B/C
3.08
30.82
0.31
3.08

ALTERNATIVA II
VAN
TIR
B/C
20,529,242.17
10.47
2.15
19,212,969.48
176.75
21.47
-17,210,811.70
Err:523
0.21
182,014.34
0.00
0.00

20
18
16
14
12

TI

20
18
16
14
TI
R
B/
C
TI
R

12
10
8
6
4
2
-50% -40% -30% -20% -10%

0
0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

12

10
8
TI
R

4
2

0
-50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

ALTERNATIVA I
A PRECIOS PRIVADOS

35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
-30%
-35%
-40%
-45%

VAN
7093359.8
6080022.7
5066685.5
4053348.4
3040011.3
2026674.2
1013337.1
20266742.2
19253405.1
18240068.0
17226730.8
16213393.7
15200056.6
14186719.5
13173382.4
11552043.0
10032037.4

TIR

A PRECIOS SOCIALES
B/C

5.86
5.03
4.19
3.35
2.51
1.68
0.84
16.75
15.91
15.08
14.24
13.40
12.56
11.73
10.89
10.05
9.21

%
1.06
0.91
0.75
0.60
0.45
0.30
0.15
3.02
2.87
2.72
2.57
2.41
2.26
2.11
1.96
1.81
1.66

35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
-30%
-35%
-40%
-45%

ALTERNATIVA II
A PRECIOS PRIVADOS

35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
-30%
-35%
-40%
-45%

VAN
7072916.2
6062499.6
5052083.0
4041666.4
3031249.8
2020833.2
1010416.6
20208331.9
19197915.3
18187498.7
17177082.1
16166665.5
15156248.9
14145832.3
13135415.7
11518749.2
10003124.3

TIR
3.67
3.15
2.62
2.10
1.57
1.05
0.52
10.49
9.96
9.44
8.91
8.39
7.87
7.34
6.82
6.29
5.77

TIR
6.03
5.17
4.30
3.44
2.58
1.72
0.86
17.22
16.36
15.50
14.63
13.77
12.91
12.05
11.19
10.33
9.47

A PRECIOS SOCIALES
B/C
0.75
0.65
0.54
0.43
0.32
0.22
0.11
2.15
2.05
1.94
1.83
1.72
1.61
1.51
1.40
1.29
1.18

TIR
B/C
35% 6.0859104 1.18962773
30% 5.21649462 1.01968091

35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
-30%
-35%
-40%
-45%

20
18
16
14
12

TI

VAN
7269140.5
6230691.9
5192243.2
4153794.6
3115345.9
2076897.3
1038448.6
20768972.9
19730524.2
18692075.6
17653626.9
16615178.3
15576729.6
14538281.0
13499832.4
11838314.5
10280641.6

10

VAN
7185234.8
6158772.6
5132310.5
4105848.4
3079386.3
2052924.2
1026462.1
20529242.2
19502780.1
18476317.9
17449855.8
16423393.7
15396931.6
14370469.5
13344007.4
11701668.0
10161974.9

TIR
3.67
3.14
2.62
2.09
1.57
1.05
0.52
10.47
9.95
9.42
8.90
8.38
7.85
7.33
6.81
6.28
5.76

20
18

TI
R
B/
C
TI
R

25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
-30%
-35%
-40%
-45%

4.34707885
3.47766308
2.60824731
1.73883154
0.86941577
17.3883154
16.5188996
15.6494839
14.7800681
13.9106523
13.0412366
12.1718208
11.302405
10.4329892
9.56357348

0.8497341
0.67978728
0.50984046
0.33989364
0.16994682
3.39893638
3.22898956
3.05904274
2.88909593
2.71914911
2.54920229
2.37925547
2.20930865
2.03936183
1.86941501

35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
-30%
-35%
-40%
-45%

TIR
3.96812447
3.40124954
2.83437462
2.26749969
1.70062477
1.13374985
0.56687492
11.3374985
10.7706236
10.2037486
9.6368737
9.06999878
8.50312386
7.93624893
7.36937401
6.80249908
6.23562416

B/C
0.85434852
0.73229873
0.61024894
0.48819915
0.36614936
0.24409958
0.12204979
2.44099576
2.31894597
2.19689619
2.0748464
1.95279661
1.83074682
1.70869703
1.58664725
1.46459746
1.34254767

0%

0%

TI
R

16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

B/C

TIR
1.08
0.92
0.77
0.62
0.46
0.31
0.15
3.08
2.93
2.77
2.62
2.47
2.31
2.16
2.00
1.85
1.70

35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
-30%
-35%
-40%
-45%

3.67
3.14
2.62
2.09
1.57
1.05
0.52
10.47
9.95
9.42
8.90
8.38
7.85
7.33
6.81
6.28
5.76

B/C
0.75
0.64
0.54
0.43
0.32
0.21
0.11
2.15
2.04
1.93
1.83
1.72
1.61
1.50
1.40
1.29
1.18
8000000

B/C

%
0.75
0.64
0.54
0.43
0.32
0.21
0.11
2.15
2.04
1.93
1.83
1.72
1.61
1.50
1.40
1.29
1.18

35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
-30%
-35%
-40%
-45%

TI

VAN A
7269140.5
6230691.9
5192243.2
4153794.6
3115345.9
2076897.3
1038448.6
20768972.9
19730524.2
18692075.6
17653626.9
16615178.3
15576729.6
14538281.0
13499832.4
11838314.5
10280641.6

VAN B
7185234.8
6158772.6
5132310.5
4105848.4
3079386.3
2052924.2
1026462.1
20529242.2
19502780.1
18476317.9
17449855.8
16423393.7
15396931.6
14370469.5
13344007.4
11701668
10161974.9

7000000
6000000
5000000
4000000
3000000
2000000
1000000
0
0%

5%

TI
R

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

4.00
3.50
3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

TIR

B/C

25%

30%

8000000
7000000
6000000
5000000
VAN
A

4000000
3000000
2000000
1000000
0
0%

5%

10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

35%

40%

VALOR ACTUAL DE BENEFICIOS NETOS PARA CADA ALTERNATIVA


SENSIBILIDAD EN COSTOS INCREMENTALES + 10%
( A Precios Privados )
Beneficios Netos Totales

RUBRO

AO 0

AO 2013

AO 2014

AO 2015

AO 2016

AO 2017

AO 2018

AO 2019

AO 2020

AO 2021

AO 2022

1) BENEFICIOS INCREMENTALES
ALTERNATIVA 1

0.00

2,597,585.76

2,631,464.12

2,648,568.64

2,665,784.34

2,683,111.93

2,700,552.16

2,718,105.75

2,735,773.44

2,753,555.97

2,771,454.08

ALTERNATIVA 2

0.00

2,597,585.76

2,631,464.12

2,648,568.64

2,665,784.34

2,683,111.93

2,700,552.16

2,718,105.75

2,735,773.44

2,753,555.97

2,771,454.08

ALTERNATIVA 1

794,275.57

738,879.33

80,860.24

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

ALTERNATIVA 2

1,103,130.82

1,058,679.20

53,622.03

35,082.01

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

2) COSTOS INCREMENTALES
10%

3) BENEFICIOS NETOS TOTALES

ALTERNATIVA 1

-794,275.57

1,858,706.43

2,550,603.88

2,635,836.64

2,653,052.34

2,670,379.93

2,687,820.16

2,705,373.75

2,723,041.44

2,740,823.97

2,758,722.08

ALTERNATIVA 2

-1,103,130.82

1,538,906.56

2,577,842.10

2,613,486.63

2,646,152.34

2,663,479.93

2,680,920.16

2,698,473.75

2,716,141.44

2,733,923.97

2,751,822.08

ALTERNATIVA
ALTERNATIVA 1

VAN (12%)
18,709,534.74

TIR
259%

B/C
30.18

ALTERNATIVA 2

18,085,983.20

174%

21.53

AO 2022

AO 2022

AO 2022

AO 2022

AO 2022

AO 2022

AO 2022

AO 2022

AO 2022

AO 2022

2,789,468.53

2,807,600.08

2,825,849.48

2,844,217.50

2,862,704.91

2,881,312.49

2,900,041.03

2,918,891.29

2,937,864.09

2,956,960.20

55,630,865.78

2,789,468.53

2,807,600.08

2,825,849.48

2,844,217.50

2,862,704.91

2,881,312.49

2,900,041.03

2,918,891.29

2,937,864.09

2,956,960.20

55,630,865.78

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

1,843,191.13

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

2,584,258.06

2,776,736.53

2,794,868.08

2,813,117.48

2,831,485.50

2,849,972.91

2,868,580.49

2,887,309.03

2,906,159.29

2,925,132.09

2,944,228.20 $19,503,810.30

2,769,836.53

2,787,968.08

2,806,217.48

2,824,585.50

2,843,072.91

2,861,680.49

2,880,409.03

2,899,259.29

2,918,232.09

2,937,328.20 $19,189,114.02

VALOR ACTUAL DE BENEFICIOS NETOS PARA CADA ALTERNATIVA


SENSIBILIDAD EN BENEFICIOS INCREMENTALES + 10%
( A Precios Privados )
RUBRO

2013

2014

2015

Beneficios Netos Totales


2016
2017
2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

1) BENEFICIOS INCREMENTALES
10%
ALTERNATIVA 1

0.00

259,758.58

263,146.41

264,856.86

266,578.43

268,311.19

270,055.22

271,810.58

273,577.34

275,355.60

277,145.41

ALTERNATIVA 2

0.00

259,758.58

263,146.41

264,856.86

266,578.43

268,311.19

270,055.22

271,810.58

273,577.34

275,355.60

277,145.41

ALTERNATIVA 1

7,942,755.67

7,388,793.28

808,602.39

127,320.00

127320.00

127,320.00

127,320.00

127,320.00

127,320.00

127,320.00

127,320.00

ALTERNATIVA 2

11,031,308.21

10,586,791.99

536,220.25

350,820.12

196320.00

196,320.00

196,320.00

196,320.00

196,320.00

196,320.00

196,320.00

ALTERNATIVA 1

-7,942,755.67

-7,129,034.70

-545,455.98

137,536.86

139,258.43

140,991.19

142,735.22

144,490.58

146,257.34

148,035.60

149,825.41

ALTERNATIVA 2

-11,031,308.21

-10,327,033.42

-273,073.84

-85,963.25

70,258.43

71,991.19

73,735.22

75,490.58

77,257.34

79,035.60

80,825.41

2) COSTOS INCREMENTALES

3) BENEFICIOS NETOS TOTALES

ALTERNATIVA

VAN (12%)

TIR

B/C

ALTERNATIVA 1

(S/. 13,890,180.81)

Err:523

0.30

ALTERNATIVA 2

(S/. 20,125,696.20)

Err:523

0.22

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

278,946.85

280,760.01

282,584.95

284,421.75

286,270.49

288,131.25

290,004.10

291,889.13

293,786.41

295,696.02

5,563,086.58

278,946.85

280,760.01

282,584.95

284,421.75

286,270.49

288,131.25

290,004.10

291,889.13

293,786.41

295,696.02

5,563,086.58

127,320.00

127,320.00

127,320.00

127,320.00

127,320.00

127,320.00

127,320.00

127,320.00

127,320.00

127,320.00

18,431,911.33

196,320.00

196,320.00

196,320.00

196,320.00

196,320.00

196,320.00

196,320.00

196,320.00

196,320.00

196,320.00

25,842,580.58

151,626.85

153,440.01

155,264.95

157,101.75

158,950.49

160,811.25

162,684.10

164,569.13

166,466.41

168,376.02

-$5,947,425.14

82,626.85

84,440.01

86,264.95

88,101.75

89,950.49

91,811.25

93,684.10

95,569.13

97,466.41

99,376.02

-$9,094,387.99

VALOR ACTUAL DE BENEFICIOS NETOS PARA CADA ALTERNATIVA


SENSIBILIDAD EN BENEFICIOS Y COSTOS INCREMENTALES + 10%
( A Precios Privados )
RUBRO

2013

2014

2015

Beneficios Netos Totales


2016
2017
2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

1) BENEFICIOS INCREMENTALES
ALTERNATIVA 1

0.00

259,758.58

263,146.41

264,856.86

266,578.43

268,311.19

270,055.22

271,810.58

273,577.34

275,355.60

277,145.41

ALTERNATIVA 2

0.00

259,758.58

263,146.41

264,856.86

266,578.43

268,311.19

270,055.22

271,810.58

273,577.34

275,355.60

277,145.41

2) COSTOS INCREMENTALES
ALTERNATIVA 1

794,275.57

738,879.33

80,860.24

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

ALTERNATIVA 2

1,103,130.82

1,058,679.20

53,622.03

35,082.01

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

3) BENEFICIOS NETOS TOTALES


ALTERNATIVA 1

-794,275.57

-479,120.75

182,286.17

252,124.86

253,846.43

255,579.19

257,323.22

259,078.58

260,845.34

262,623.60

264,413.41

ALTERNATIVA 2

-1,103,130.82

-798,920.62

209,524.39

229,774.85

246,946.43

248,679.19

250,423.22

252,178.58

253,945.34

255,723.60

257,513.41

ALTERNATIVA
ALTERNATIVA 1

VAN (12%)
S/. 438,123.08

ALTERNATIVA 2

(S/. 185,428.46)

TIR
17%

B/C
3.02

10%

2.15

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

278,946.85

280,760.01

282,584.95

284,421.75

286,270.49

288,131.25

290,004.10

291,889.13

293,786.41

295,696.02

278,946.85

280,760.01

282,584.95

284,421.75

286,270.49

288,131.25

290,004.10

291,889.13

293,786.41

295,696.02

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

12,732.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

19,632.00

266,214.85

268,028.01

269,852.95

271,689.75

273,538.49

275,399.25

277,272.10

279,157.13

281,054.41

282,964.02

259,314.85

261,128.01

262,952.95

264,789.75

266,638.49

268,499.25

270,372.10

272,257.13

274,154.41

276,064.02

5,563,086.58
5,563,086.58

1,843,191.13
2,584,258.06

$1,232,398.65
$917,702.37

VALOR ACTUAL DE BENEFICIOS NETOS PARA CADA ALTERNATIVA


SENSIBILIDAD EN COSTOS INCREMENTALES + 10%
( A Precios Sociales )
Beneficios Netos Totales

RUBRO

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

1) BENEFICIOS INCREMENTALES
ALTERNATIVA 1

0.00

2,202,752.72

2,231,481.58

2,245,986.21

2,260,585.12

2,275,278.92

2,290,068.23

2,304,953.68

2,319,935.88

2,335,015.46

2,350,193.06

ALTERNATIVA 2

0.00

2,202,752.72

2,231,481.58

2,245,986.21

2,260,585.12

2,275,278.92

2,290,068.23

2,304,953.68

2,319,935.88

2,335,015.46

2,350,193.06

ALTERNATIVA 1

659,422.95

610,992.95

69,588.04

10,579.02

10,579.02

10,579.02

10,579.02

10,579.02

10,579.02

10,579.02

10,579.02

ALTERNATIVA 2

935,454.94

831,232.36

123,745.43

29,413.84

16,312.23

16,312.23

16,312.23

16,312.23

16,312.23

16,312.23

16,312.23

ALTERNATIVA 1

-659,422.95

1,591,759.78

2,161,893.53

2,235,407.19

2,250,006.10

2,264,699.90

2,279,489.21

2,294,374.66

2,309,356.86

2,324,436.44

2,339,614.04

ALTERNATIVA 2

-935,454.94

1,371,520.37

2,107,736.15

2,216,572.37

2,244,272.89

2,258,966.69

2,273,756.00

2,288,641.45

2,303,623.65

2,318,703.23

2,333,880.83

2) COSTOS INCREMENTALES
10%

3) BENEFICIOS NETOS TOTALES

ALTERNATIVA

VAN (9%)

TIR

B/C

ALTERNATIVA 1

S/. 19,789,006.52

266%

30.82

ALTERNATIVA 2

S/. 19,212,969.48

177%

21.47

VALOR ACTUAL DE BENEFICIOS NETOS PARA CADA ALTERNATIVA


SENSIBILIDAD EN BENEFICIOS INCREMENTALES + 10%
( A Precios Sociales )
RUBRO

2013

2014

Beneficios Netos Totales


2015
2016
2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

1) BENEFICIOS INCREMENTALES
10%
ALTERNATIVA 1

0.00

220,275.27

223,148.16

224,598.62

226,058.51

227,527.89

229,006.82

230,495.37

231,993.59

233,501.55

235,019.31

ALTERNATIVA 2

0.00

220,275.27

223,148.16

224,598.62

226,058.51

227,527.89

229,006.82

230,495.37

231,993.59

233,501.55

235,019.31

ALTERNATIVA 1

6,594,229.53

6,109,929.47

695,880.44

105,790.19

105,790.19

105,790.19

105,790.19

105,790.19

105,790.19

105,790.19

105,790.19

ALTERNATIVA 2

9,354,549.36

8,312,323.56

1,237,454.29

294,138.39

163,122.29

163,122.29

163,122.29

163,122.29

163,122.29

163,122.29

163,122.29

ALTERNATIVA 1

-6,594,229.53

-5,889,654.20

-472,732.28

118,808.43

120,268.32

121,737.70

123,216.64

124,705.18

126,203.40

127,711.36

129,229.12

ALTERNATIVA 2

-9,354,549.36

-8,092,048.28

-1,014,306.13

-69,539.76

62,936.22

64,405.60

65,884.54

67,373.08

68,871.30

70,379.26

71,897.02

2) COSTOS INCREMENTALES

3) BENEFICIOS NETOS TOTALES

ALTERNATIVA

VAN (9%)

TIR

B/C

ALTERNATIVA 1

(S/. 11,450,441.34)

Err:523

0.31

ALTERNATIVA 2

(S/. 17,210,811.70)

Err:523

0.21

VALOR ACTUAL DE BENEFICIOS NETOS PARA CADA ALTERNATIVA


SENSIBILIDAD EN BENEFICIOS Y COSTOS INCREMENTALES + 10%
( A Precios Sociales )
RUBRO

2013

2014

Beneficios Netos Totales


2015
2016
2017
2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

1) BENEFICIOS INCREMENTALES
10%
ALTERNATIVA 1

0.00

220275.27

223148.16

224598.62

226,058.51

227,527.89

229,006.82

230,495.37

231,993.59

233,501.55

235,019.31

ALTERNATIVA 2

0.00

220275.27

223148.16

224598.62

226,058.51

227,527.89

229,006.82

230,495.37

231,993.59

233,501.55

235,019.31

ALTERNATIVA 1

659422.95

610992.95

69588.04

10579.02

10,579.02

10,579.02

10,579.02

10,579.02

10,579.02

10,579.02

10,579.02

ALTERNATIVA 2

935454.94

831232.36

123745.43

29413.84

16,312.23

16,312.23

16,312.23

16,312.23

16,312.23

16,312.23

16,312.23

ALTERNATIVA 1
ALTERNATIVA 2

-659422.95
-935454.94

-390717.67
-610957.08

153560.11
99402.73

214019.60
195184.78

215479.49
209746.28

216948.87
211215.66

218427.80
212694.59

219916.35
214183.14

221414.57
215681.36

222922.53
217189.32

224440.29
218707.08

ALTERNATIVA
ALTERNATIVA 1
ALTERNATIVA 2

VAN (9%)
S/. 758,051.38

2) COSTOS INCREMENTALES
10%

3) BENEFICIOS NETOS TOTALES

S/. 182,014.34

TIR

B/C
17%

3.08

10%

2.15

FORMATO 10
COEFICIENTE COSTO / EFECTIVIDAD
RUBRO

1. Valor actual de Costos Privados


1. Indicador de resultado A
2. Indicador de resultado B
3. Coeficiente Costo / Efectividad A
4. Coeficiente Costo / Efectividad B
RUBRO
1. Valor actual de Costos Sociales
1. Indicador de Resultado A
2. Indicador de Resultado B
3. Coeficiente Costo / Efectividad A
4. Coeficiente Costo / Efectividad B

ALTERNATIVA

Nmero de Asistencia Tcnica


Nmero de m2 (Infraestructura)

Alternativa 1
Nmero de Asistencia Tcnica
Nmero de m2 (Infraestructura)

RESUMEN DE INDICADORES

ALTERNATIVAS

Alternativa 1
Precios Sociales
Precios Privado
Alternativa 2
Precios Sociales
Precios Privado

INVERSION
TOTAL

VAN

TIR

6,594,230
7,942,756

20,768,973
20,266,742

17.22%
16.75%

9354549
11,031,308

20,529,242
20,208,332

10.472%
10.487%

OBSERVACIONES

Aceptable

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