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ALTERNATIVAS PARA
ALCANZAR EL OBJETIVO CENTRAL
COMPONENTES
ALTERNATIVA 1
ALTERNATIVA 2
01
02
03
04
05
06
La construccin de 1881 modulos de pa- La construccin de 1881 modulos de gruneles solares en los distritos de las provinpos electrogenos en los distritos de las procias de Pasco y Daniel Carrin.
vincias de Pasco y Daniel Carrin.
07
OPINION
ALTERNATIVA VIABLE
ALTERNATIVA NO VIABLE
FORMATO 2
ANALISIS GENERAL DE LA DEMANDA DEL PRODUCTO O SERVICIO
a) Describir procedimiento de clculo, variables importantes y supuestos utilizados para la estimacin de la Demanda.
Para estimar la potencialidad de la demanda de energia electrica maxima, recurrimos a la poblacin de las zonas alejadas, identificando 1066
beneficiarios en distritos de la provincia de Pasco y Daniel Carrin, para nuestro caso la demanda es de 96,984 Kw-h/ao, para atender a 2,735
personas incluido todos los integrantes de familias.
b) Proyeccin
2013
2014
AOS
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
1881
1900
1919
1938
1957
1977
1997
2017
2037
2057
78
78
78
78
78
78
78
78
78
78
1881
1881
1881
1881
UNIDADES
N de beneficiarios capacitados (Pers)
S/.
Pers = Persona
und = unidad
Mod = Modulo
Activ. = actividad
ANALISIS GENERAL DE LA
OFERTA DEL PRODUCTO O SERVICIO
a) Describir procedimiento de clculo, variables importantes y supuestos utilizados para la estimacin de la oferta
La produccin actual de energia electrica es cero, no se cuenta con paneles solares instalados, los pobladores de zonas alejadas hacen uso para
su alumbrado, mecheros a base de petroleo, velas o grasa de ovino, leas y otros, que hacen dao a la salud, y su costo por alumbrado son altos
cuando hay nios, jovenes en edad escolar para hacer tareas y estudiar.
b) Proyeccin "sin proyecto" (oferta actual optimizada)
UNIDADES
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
|
N de beneficiarios capacitados (Pers)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Pers = Persona
und = unidad
Mod = Modulo
Activ. = actividad
FORMATO 4
ANALISIS GENERAL DE LA DEMANDA DE
PRODUCTO O SERVICIO
(CAPACITACIONES, ASISTENCIA TECNICA, LECHE Y CARNE DE VACUNO
A
CANTIDAD DEMANDADA
AO
B
CANTIDAD OFERTADA ( * )
POTENCIA Kw-h
0
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
CAPAC.
Nro.PANELES
0
1881
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1881
1881
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
SUPERRAVIT DEFICIT
A-B
POTENCIA Kw-h
CAPAC.
Nro.PANELES
0
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
203,148
POTENCIA Kw-h
CAPAC.
Nro.PANELES
0
1,881
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1,881
1,881
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
FORMATO 5
COSTOS INCREMENTALES - ALTERNATIVA 1
A PRECIOS PRIVADOS
RUBRO
AO 0
AO 1
AO 2
AO 3
AO 4
AO 5
AO 6
AO 7
AO 8
AO 9
AO 10
AO 11
AO 12
AO 13
AO 14
AO 15
AO 16
AO 17
AO 18
AO 19
AO 20
TOTAL
COSTO + IGV
COSTO + IGV
COSTO + IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
1 INTANGIBLES
* Expedientes tcnicos
* Capacitacin
* Conv. con electrocentro y/o Adinelsa
2 INVERSION EN ACTIVOS.
* Suministros importados
* Suministros nacionales
85,152
146,436
11,230
85,152
146,436
11,230
85,152
146,436
11,230
4,258,734
1,763,018
4,258,734
1,763,018
4,258,734
1,763,018
0
0
3 Transporte y Prueba
0
* Transporte de Equipos y Materiales
* Prueba de los SFVD
0
298,327
83,760
298,327
83,760
298,327
83,760
332,333
631,432
265,866
66,467
166,166
315,716
132,933
166,166
315,716
132,933
66,467
127,320
127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320
7,388,793
127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 10,489,156
4 Administracin
* Gastos Generales
* Utilidades
* Supervisin
* Entrega de obra-liquidacin
332,333
631,432
265,866
66,467
5 MANTENIMIENTO
* Mantenimiento operacin
TOTAL DE COSTO DE PROYECTO (1)
7,942,756
2,546,400
COSTO DE PRODUCCION
GASTOS ADMINISTRATIVOS
TOTAL COSTO INCREMENTALES
FACTOR DE ACTUALIZACION
VAC INCREMENTALES
7,942,756
7,388,793
127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 127,320 10,489,156
1 0.89285714 0.7971939 0.71178 0.63552 0.56743 0.50663 0.45235 0.40388 0.36061 0.32197 0.28748 0.25668 0.22917 0.20462
7,942,756
6,597,137
644,613
90,624
80,914
72,245
64,504
57,593
51,422
45,913
40,994
36,601
32,680
29,178
26,052
23,261
20,769
18,543
16,557
14,783
13,199
15,920,338
FORMATO 5
COSTOS INCREMENTALES - ALTERNATIVA 2
A PRECIOS PRIVADOS
RUBRO
1 ESTUDIOS
* Expedientes tcnicos
* Capacitacin
2 INVERSION EN ACTIVOS.
* Suministro Importados (Grupos electronicos)
* Suministro Nacionales (Accesorios)
AO 2013
AO 2014
AO 2015
AO 2016
AO 2017
AO 2018
AO 2019
AO 2020
AO 2021
AO 2022
AO 2023
AO 2024
AO 2025
AO 2026
AO 2027
AO 2028
AO 2029
AO 2030
AO 2031
AO 2032
TOTAL +
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
COSTO+IGV
IGV
85,152
146,436
85,152
85,152
7,777,421
962,672
7,777,421
962,672
7,777,421
962,672
3 MONTAJE ELECTROMAGNETICO
0
0
298,327
298,327
298,327
* Gastos Generales
* Utilidades
463,500
927,001
154,500
* Supervisin
5 MANTENIMIENTO
370,800
154,500
927,001
185,400
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
10,586,792
536,220
350,820
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320 14,811,272
10,586,792
536,220
350,820
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
196,320
* Mantenimiento y Operacin
11,031,308.21
11,031,308
1
11,031,308.21
154,500
463,500
927,001
185,400
370,800
3,926,400
0
0
0
196,320 14,811,272
0.8928571429 0.7971938776 0.71178025 0.63551808 0.5674269 0.5066311 0.4523492 0.4038832 0.36061002 0.3219732 0.2874761 0.2566751 0.2291742 0.2046198 0.1826963 0.1631217 0.1456443 0.1300396 0.1161068 0.1036668
9,452,492.85
427,471.50
99,461.82 88,805.20
79,290.36
70,794.96 63,209.79 56,437.31 50,390.45 44,991.48 40,170.96 35,866.93 32,024.04 28,592.90 25,529.37 22,794.08 20,351.86 22,155,853
FORMATO 5 - A
COSTOS INCREMENTALES - ALTERNATIVA 1
A PRECIOS SOCIALES
RUBRO
1 INTANGIBLES
* Expedientes tcnicos
* Capacitacion
* Conv. Con electrocentro y/o Adinelsa
FACT.
CONV.
AO 0
0.848
0.848
0.848
72,209
124,178
9,523
72,209
124,178
9,523
0.81
0.848
3,449,575
1,495,039
0.848
0.848
0.848
0.848
0.91
0.91
AO 2013
AO 2014
AO 2015
AO 2016
AO 2017
TOTAL
AO 2018
AO 2019
AO 2020
AO 2021
AO 2022
AO 2023
AO 2024
AO 2025
AO 2026
AO 2027
AO 2028
AO 2029
AO 2030
AO 2031
AO 2032
0
0
72,209
124,178
9,523
3,449,575
1,495,039
0
0
0
3,449,575
1,495,039
0
252,981
71,029
252,981
71,029
0
0
252,981
71,029
281,818
535,455
241,938
60,485
140,909
267,727
120,969
140,909
267,727
120,969
60,485
281,818
535,455
241,938
60,485
105,790
105,790 105,790
105,790
105,790
105,790
105,790
105,790
105,790
105,790
105,790
105,790
105,790
105,790
2,115,804
0
6,109,929
105,790 105,790
105,790
105,790
105,790
105,790
105,790
105,790
105,790
105,790
105,790
105,790
105,790
8,710,033
2 INVERSION EN ACTIVOS.
* Suministros importados
* Suministros nacionales
3 Montaje electromecanico
* Transporte de Equipos y Materiales
* Prueba de los SFVD
4 Administracin
* Gastos Generales
* Utilidades
* Supervisin
* Entrega de obra-Liquidacin
6 MANTENIMIENTO
* Mantenimiento operacin
TOTAL DE COSTO DE PROYECTO (1)
0.831
6,594,230
0
6,594,230
6,109,929
1 0.9174312
6,594,230
5,605,440
105,790 105,790
105,790
105,790
105,790
105,790
105,790
105,790
0.84168 0.77218 0.70843 0.64993 0.59627 0.54703 0.50187 0.46043 0.422411 0.387533 0.355535 0.326179 0.299246 0.274538
585,709
81,689
74,944
68,756
63,079
57,871
53,093
48,709
44,687
40,997
37,612
34,507
31,657
29,043
105,790
105,790
105,790
26,645
24,445
22,427
105,790
105,790
7,652,131
0.19449 0.178431
20,575
18,876
13,564,992
FORMATO 5 - A
COSTOS INCREMENTALES - ALTERNATIVA 2
A PRECIOS SOCIALES
RUBRO
1 ESTUDIOS
* Expedientes tcnicos
* Capacitacin
2 INVERSION EN ACTIVOS.
* Suministro Importados (Grupos electronicos)
* Suministro Nacionales (Accesorios)
FACT.
TOTAL
CONV.
AO 0
0.848
72,209.2
124,177.6
72,209
124,178
72,209.2
124,177.6
0.848
6,595,252.6
816,345.5
6,595,253
816,345
6,595,252.6
816,345.5
0.848
252,981.0
252,981
252,981.0
0.848
393,048.3
786,096.6
314,438.6
131,016
0.848
0.848
AO 2013
AO 2014
AO 2015
AO 2016
AO 2017
AO 2018
AO 2019
AO 2020
AO 2021
AO 2022
AO 2023
AO 2024
AO 2025
AO 2026
AO 2027
AO 2028
AO 2029
AO 2030
AO 2031
AO 2032
3 MONTAJE ELECTROMAGNETICO
* Transporte de Equipos y Materiales
4 ADMINISTRACION
* Gastos Generales
* Utilidades
* Supervisin
6 MANTENIMIENTO
* Mantenimiento y operacin
0.848
0.848
0.831
9,354,549.4
9,354,549.4
1
9,354,549.4
393,048.3
786,096.6
314,438.6
131,016
157,219
131,016
786,097
157,219
163,122
163,122
163,122
0
8,312,323.6
1,237,454.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
163,122
3,262,445.8
294,138.4 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3
12,780,117.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
163,122
163,122
163,122
163,122
163,122
163,122
163,122
163,122
163,122
163,122
163,122
163,122
163,122
163,122
163,122
163,122
8,312,323.6 1,237,454.3 294,138.4 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3 163,122.3
0.9174311927 0.841679993 0.77218348 0.7084252 0.6499314 0.5962673 0.5470342 0.5018663 0.460428 0.4224108 0.3875329 0.3555347 0.3261786 0.2992465 0.274538 0.2518698 0.2310732 0.2119937 0.1944897 0.178431
7,625,984.9 1,041,540.5 227,128.8 115,559.9 106,018.3 97,264.5 89,233.5 81,865.6 75,106.0 68,904.6 63,215.2 57,995.6 53,207.0 48,813.8 44,783.3 41,085.6 37,693.2 34,580.9 31,725.6 29,106.1
10,985,772.2
19,325,362.3
FORMATO 6
BENEFICIOS INCREMETALES PARA CADA ALTERNATIVA I
(A PRECIOS PRIVADOS)
Tasa de crecimiento promedio
RUBRO
0.0065
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
2022
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2022
2027
2022
2022
2022
P E R I O D OS
0
2013
0.0
158,004.0
160064.73
0.0
2,755,589.8
2791528.85
3.- Beneficios
Incrementales (1) - (2)
0.0
2,597,585.8
2014
2,631,464.1
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
161105.15
162152.33
163206.32
164267.16
165334.90
166409.58
167491.24
168579.93
169675.70
170778.59
171888.65
173005.93
174130.47
175262.32
176401.52
177548.13
178702.19
179863.76
2809673.79
2827936.67
2846318.26
2864819.32
2883440.65
2902183.01
2921047.20
2940034.01
2959144.23
2978378.67
2997738.13
3017223.43
3036835.38
3056574.81
3076442.55
3096439.42
3116566.28
3136823.96
2,648,568.6
2,665,784.3
2,683,111.9
2,700,552.2
2,718,105.8
2,735,773.4
2,753,556.0
2,771,454.1
2,789,468.5
2,807,600.1
2,825,849.5
2,844,217.5
2,862,704.9
2,881,312.5
2,900,041.0
2,918,891.3
2,937,864.1
2,956,960.2
FORMATO 6 - A
BENEFICIOS INCREMETALES PARA CADA ALTERNATIVA 2
(A PRECIOS PRIVADOS)
RUBRO
P E R I O D OS
0
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
1.00
158,004.00
160,064.73
161,105.15
162,152.33
163,206.32
164,267.16
165,334.90
166,409.58
167,491.24
168,579.93
169,675.70
170,778.59
171,888.65
173,005.93
174,130.47
175,262.32
176,401.52
177,548.13
178,702.19
179,863.76
1.00
2,755,589.76
2,791,528.85
2,809,673.79
2,827,936.67
2,846,318.26
2,864,819.32
2,883,440.65
2,902,183.01
2,921,047.20
2,940,034.01
2,959,144.23
2,978,378.67
2,997,738.13
3,017,223.43
3,036,835.38
3,056,574.81
3,076,442.55
3,096,439.42
3,116,566.28
3,136,823.96
0.00
2,597,585.76
2,631,464.12
2,648,568.64
2,665,784.34
2,683,111.93
2,700,552.16
2,718,105.75
2,735,773.44
2,753,555.97
2,771,454.08
2,789,468.53
2,807,600.08
2,825,849.48
2,844,217.50
2,862,704.91
2,881,312.49
2,900,041.03
2,918,891.29
2,937,864.09
2,956,960.20
BENEFICIOS INCREME
(A PR
RUBRO
P E R I O D OS
0
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
0.0
133,987.4
135,734.9
136,617.2
137,505.2
138,399.0
139,298.6
0.0
2,336,740.1
2,367,216.5
2,382,603.4
2,398,090.3
2,413,677.9
2,429,366.8
0.00
2,202,752.7
2,231,481.6
2,245,986.2
2,260,585.1
2,275,278.9
2,290,068.2
FORMATO 6
EFICIOS INCREMETALES PARA CADA ALTERNATIVA 1
(A PRECIOS SOCIALES)
OS
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
140,204.0
141,115.3
142,032.6
142,955.8
143,885.0
144,820.2
145,761.6
146,709.0
147,662.6
148,622.4
2,445,157.7
2,461,051.2
2,477,048.0 2,493,148.8
2,509,354.3
2,525,665.1
2,542,081.9
2,558,605.5
2,575,236.4
2,591,975.4
2,304,953.7
2,319,935.9
2,335,015.5 2,350,193.1
2,365,469.3
2,380,844.9
2,396,320.4
2,411,896.4
2,427,573.8
2,443,353.0
2029
2030
2031
2032
149,588.5
150,560.8
151,539.5
152,524.5
2,608,823.3
2,625,780.6
2,642,848.2
2,660,026.7
2,459,234.8
2,475,219.8
2,491,308.7
2,507,502.3
FORMATO 6 - A
BENEFICIOS INCREMETALES PARA CADA ALTERNATIVA 2
(A PRECIOS SOCIALES)
RUBRO
P E R I O D OS
0
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
2032
0.8
135,734.9
137,505.2
139,298.6
141,115.3
142,955.8
144,820.2
146,709.0
148,622.4
150,560.8
152,524.5
0.8
2,367,216.5
2,398,090.3
2,429,366.8
2,461,051.2
2,493,148.8
2,525,665.1
2,558,605.5
2,591,975.4
2,625,780.6
2,660,026.7
3.- Beneficios
Incrementales (1) - (2)
0.00
2,231,481.58
2,260,585.12
2,290,068.23
2,319,935.88
2,350,193.06
2,380,844.86
2,411,896.44
2,443,352.99
2,475,219.82
2,507,502.25
FORMATO 7
VALOR ACTUAL DE BENEFICIOS NETOS PARA CADA ALTERNATIVA
(A PRECIOS PRIVADOS)
RUBRO
Ao 0
Ao 2013
Ao 2014
Ao 2015
0.0
2,597,585.8
2,631,464.1
2,648,568.6
2,665,784.3
2,683,111.9
2,700,552.2
2,718,105.8
2,735,773.4
2,753,556.0
2,771,454.1
2,789,468.5
2,807,600.1
2,825,849.5
2,844,217.5
2,862,704.9
2,881,312.5
2,900,041.0
2,918,891.3
2,937,864.1
2,956,960.2
ALTERNATIVA 2
0.0
2,597,585.8
2,631,464.1
2,648,568.6
2,665,784.3
2,683,111.9
2,700,552.2
2,718,105.8
2,735,773.4
2,753,556.0
2,771,454.1
2,789,468.5
2,807,600.1
2,825,849.5
2,844,217.5
2,862,704.9
2,881,312.5
2,900,041.0
2,918,891.3
2,937,864.1
2,956,960.2
7,942,755.7
7,388,793.3
808,602.4
127,320.0
127,320.0
127,320.0
127,320.0
127,320.0
127,320.0
127,320.0
127,320.0
127,320.0
127,320.0
127,320.0
127,320.0
127,320.0
127,320.0
127,320.0
127,320.0
127,320.0
127,320.0
ALTERNATIVA 2
11,031,308.2
10,586,792.0
536,220.3
350,820.1
196,320.0
196,320.0
196,320.0
196,320.0
196,320.0
196,320.0
196,320.0
196,320.0
196,320.0
196,320.0
196,320.0
196,320.0
196,320.0
196,320.0
196,320.0
196,320.0
196,320.0
ALTERNATIVA 1
-7,942,756
-4,791,208
1,822,861.7
2,521,248.6
2,538,464.3
2,555,791.9
2,573,232.2
2,590,785.8
2,608,453.4
2,626,236.0
2,644,134.1
2,662,148.5
2,680,280.1
2,698,529.5
2,716,897.5
2,735,384.9
2,753,992.5
2,772,721.0
2,791,571.3
2,810,544.1
2,829,640.2
ALTERNATIVA 2
-11,031,308
-7,989,206
2,095,243.9
2,297,748.5
2,469,464.3
2,486,791.9
2,504,232.2
2,521,785.8
2,539,453.4
2,557,236.0
2,575,134.1
2,593,148.5
2,611,280.1
2,629,529.5
2,647,897.5
2,666,384.9
2,684,992.5
2,703,721.0
2,722,571.3
2,741,544.1
2,760,640.2
ALTERNATIVAS
VAN (12%)
ALTERNATIVA 1
20,266,742.2
16.75%
3.02
9,799.00
ALTERNATIVA 2
20,208,331.9
10%
2.15
13,738.75
TIR
B/C
C/E
FORMATO 7
VALOR ACTUAL DE BENEFICIOS NETOS PARA CADA ALTERNATIVA
(A PRECIOS SOCIALES)
RUBRO
Ao 2013
Ao 2014
Ao 2015
Ao 2016
Ao 2017
Ao 2018
Ao 2019
Ao 2020
Ao 2021
Ao 2022
Ao 2023
Ao 2024
Ao 2025
Ao 2026
Ao 2027
Ao 2028
Ao 2029
Ao 2030
Ao 2031
0.00
2,202,752.72
2,231,481.58
2,245,986.21
2,260,585.12 2,275,278.92
2,290,068.23
2,304,953.68
2,319,935.88 2,335,015.46
2,350,193.06
2,365,469.31
2,380,844.86
2,396,320.36
2,411,896.44
2,427,573.77
2,443,352.99
2,459,234.79
2,475,219.82
2,491,308.74
ALTERNATIVA 2
0.00
2,202,752.72
2,231,481.58
2,245,986.21
2,260,585.12 2,275,278.92
2,290,068.23
2,304,953.68
2,319,935.88 2,335,015.46
2,350,193.06
2,365,469.31
2,380,844.86
2,396,320.36
2,411,896.44
2,427,573.77
2,443,352.99
2,459,234.79
2,475,219.82
2,491,308.74
ALTERNATIVA 1
6,594,229.53
6,109,929.47
695,880.44
105,790.19
105,790.19
105,790.19
105,790.19
105,790.19
105,790.19
105,790.19
105,790.19
105,790.19
105,790.19
105,790.19
105,790.19
105,790.19
105,790.19
105,790.19
105,790.19
105,790.19
ALTERNATIVA 2
9,354,549.36
8,312,323.56
1,237,454.29
294,138.39
163,122.29
163,122.29
163,122.29
163,122.29
163,122.29
163,122.29
163,122.29
163,122.29
163,122.29
163,122.29
163,122.29
163,122.29
163,122.29
163,122.29
163,122.29
163,122.29
-3,907,176.75
1,535,601.14
2,140,196.02
2,154,794.93 2,169,488.73
2,184,278.05
2,199,163.49
2,214,145.69 2,229,225.27
2,244,402.87
2,259,679.13
2,275,054.68
2,290,530.17
2,306,106.25
2,321,783.58
2,337,562.81
2,353,444.60
2,369,429.63
2,385,518.56
-6,109,570.83
994,027.29
1,951,847.82
2,097,462.83 2,112,156.63
2,126,945.95
2,141,831.39
2,156,813.59 2,171,893.17
2,187,070.77
2,202,347.03
2,217,722.58
2,233,198.07
2,248,774.15
2,264,451.48
2,280,230.71
2,296,112.50
2,312,097.53
2,328,186.46
ALTERNATIVAS
-6,594,229.53
-9,354,549.36
VAN (9%)
TIR
ALTERNATIVA 1
20,768,972.86
17.22%
B/C
3.08
C/E
8,136.24
ALTERNATIVA 2
20,529,242.17
10%
2.15
11,680.78
Ao 2032
2,507,502.25
2,507,502.25
105,790.19
163,122.29
2,401,712.06
2,344,379.96
FORMATO 8
ANLISIS DE SOSTENIBILIDAD DEL PROYECTO
(Alternativa 1)
1. Definir, claramente, que institucin o entidad se har cargo de la operacin y mantenimiento del proyecto.
El GOBIERNO REGIONAL - PASCO, a travs de la GERENCIA REGIONAL DE DESARROLLO ECONOMICO, ser la encargada del
aspecto de Pre Operacin garantizando de esta forma el desarrollo del proyecto durante la vida util, el cual ser con participacin directa de
los diferentes ganaderos del hambito distrital. Desde el inicio del Proyecto los beneficiarios organizados y reconocidos sern los
encargados su mantenimiento y sostenibilidad.
2. Analizar la capacidad tcnica y logstica de los encargados de la operacin y mantenimiento. Necesidad de arreglos institucionales
y administrativos.
El GOBIERNO REGIONAL a travs de la GERENCIA REGIONAL DE DESARROLLO ECONOMICO cuenta con personal capacitado para la
supervisin de dicho proyecto.
3. Del flujo de costos de operacin, indicar cul o cules seran las fuentes para financiarlos y cmo se distribuira este financiamiento
en cada perodo.
Los recursos econmicos sern captados del Ministerio de la Presidencia a travs del Ministerio de Econmia y Finanzas.
FLUJO DE COSTOS DE OPERACIN Y MANTENIMIENTO
AOS
COSTOS Y FUENTES
0
1
Tarifas o Cuotas
Aportes del Estado
7,942,755.67
Aportes de la CC.CC.
PARTICIPACION DE LOS BENEFICIARIOS DIRECTOS DEL PROYECTO
4. Describir la participacin que tendra la poblacin beneficiaria en las acciones del proyecto, desde su identificacin y formulacin.
En especial, deber consignarse cul fue la partcipacin de las autoridades locales o regionales en la priorizacin del proyecto.
FORMATO 9
ANALISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD PRELIMINAR
( Diversas Alternativas )
1) Mencionar las variables de costos y beneficios ms importantes.
Las variables de costos que pueda sufrir el proyecto, sera con respecto a los costos directos
del proyecto en cuanto se refiere a la Ejecucin del Proyecto 10%.
Igual modo, las variables de beneficios que sufrira el proyecto, sera con respecto a la
produccin, en menos 10 %.
2) Reestimar el VAN a precios privados y a precios sociales, sobre la base simulaciones
de las variables de costos y beneficios ms importantes, sealadas en el punto anterior.
EVALUACIN A PRECIOS PRIVADOS :
ALTERNATIVA
ALTERNATIVA 1
VAN (miles S/. )
TIR ( % )
B/C
ALTERNATIVA 2
VAN (miles S/. )
TIR ( % )
B/C
COSTOS
(+10 % )
BENFICIOS
(-10%)
COSTOS + 10 %
BENEFICIOS - 10%
S/. 18,709,534.74
259%
30.18
(S/. 13,890,180.81)
Err:523
0.30
S/. 438,123.08
17%
3.02
S/. 18,085,983.20
174%
21.53
(S/. 20,125,696.20)
Err:523
0.22
(S/. 185,428.46)
10%
2.15
ALTERNATIVA
ALTERNATIVA 1
VAN (miles S/. )
TIR ( % )
B/C
ALTERNATIVA 2
VAN (miles S/. )
TIR ( % )
B/C
COSTOS
(+10 % )
BENFICIOS
(-10%)
COSTOS + 10 %
BENEFICIOS - 10%
S/. 19,789,006.52
266%
30.82
(S/. 11,450,441.34)
Err:523
0.31
S/. 758,051.38
17%
3.08
S/. 19,212,969.48
177%
21.47
(S/. 17,210,811.70)
Err:523
0.21
S/. 182,014.34
10%
2.15
Costos Incrementales10%
Beneficios Incrementales10%
Costos-Beneficios 10%
A COSTOS PRIVADOS
ALTERNATIVA I
VAN
TIR
20266742.17
16.75
18709534.74 259.16
-13890180.81 Err:523
438123.08
16.75
B/C
3.02
30.18
0.30
3.02
ALTERNATIVA II
VAN
TIR
B/C
20208331.87
10.49
2.15
18085983.20
174.44
21.53
-20125696.20
Err:523
0.22
-185428.46
10.49
2.15
Costos Incrementales10%
Beneficios Incrementales10%
Costos-Beneficios 10%
A COSTOS SOCIALES
ALTERNATIVA I
VAN
TIR
20,768,972.86
17.22
19,789,006.52 265.91
-11,450,441.34 Err:523
758,051.38
17.22
B/C
3.08
30.82
0.31
3.08
ALTERNATIVA II
VAN
TIR
B/C
20,529,242.17
10.47
2.15
19,212,969.48
176.75
21.47
-17,210,811.70
Err:523
0.21
182,014.34
0.00
0.00
20
18
16
14
12
TI
20
18
16
14
TI
R
B/
C
TI
R
12
10
8
6
4
2
-50% -40% -30% -20% -10%
0
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
12
10
8
TI
R
4
2
0
-50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
ALTERNATIVA I
A PRECIOS PRIVADOS
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
-30%
-35%
-40%
-45%
VAN
7093359.8
6080022.7
5066685.5
4053348.4
3040011.3
2026674.2
1013337.1
20266742.2
19253405.1
18240068.0
17226730.8
16213393.7
15200056.6
14186719.5
13173382.4
11552043.0
10032037.4
TIR
A PRECIOS SOCIALES
B/C
5.86
5.03
4.19
3.35
2.51
1.68
0.84
16.75
15.91
15.08
14.24
13.40
12.56
11.73
10.89
10.05
9.21
%
1.06
0.91
0.75
0.60
0.45
0.30
0.15
3.02
2.87
2.72
2.57
2.41
2.26
2.11
1.96
1.81
1.66
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
-30%
-35%
-40%
-45%
ALTERNATIVA II
A PRECIOS PRIVADOS
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
-30%
-35%
-40%
-45%
VAN
7072916.2
6062499.6
5052083.0
4041666.4
3031249.8
2020833.2
1010416.6
20208331.9
19197915.3
18187498.7
17177082.1
16166665.5
15156248.9
14145832.3
13135415.7
11518749.2
10003124.3
TIR
3.67
3.15
2.62
2.10
1.57
1.05
0.52
10.49
9.96
9.44
8.91
8.39
7.87
7.34
6.82
6.29
5.77
TIR
6.03
5.17
4.30
3.44
2.58
1.72
0.86
17.22
16.36
15.50
14.63
13.77
12.91
12.05
11.19
10.33
9.47
A PRECIOS SOCIALES
B/C
0.75
0.65
0.54
0.43
0.32
0.22
0.11
2.15
2.05
1.94
1.83
1.72
1.61
1.51
1.40
1.29
1.18
TIR
B/C
35% 6.0859104 1.18962773
30% 5.21649462 1.01968091
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
-30%
-35%
-40%
-45%
20
18
16
14
12
TI
VAN
7269140.5
6230691.9
5192243.2
4153794.6
3115345.9
2076897.3
1038448.6
20768972.9
19730524.2
18692075.6
17653626.9
16615178.3
15576729.6
14538281.0
13499832.4
11838314.5
10280641.6
10
VAN
7185234.8
6158772.6
5132310.5
4105848.4
3079386.3
2052924.2
1026462.1
20529242.2
19502780.1
18476317.9
17449855.8
16423393.7
15396931.6
14370469.5
13344007.4
11701668.0
10161974.9
TIR
3.67
3.14
2.62
2.09
1.57
1.05
0.52
10.47
9.95
9.42
8.90
8.38
7.85
7.33
6.81
6.28
5.76
20
18
TI
R
B/
C
TI
R
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
-30%
-35%
-40%
-45%
4.34707885
3.47766308
2.60824731
1.73883154
0.86941577
17.3883154
16.5188996
15.6494839
14.7800681
13.9106523
13.0412366
12.1718208
11.302405
10.4329892
9.56357348
0.8497341
0.67978728
0.50984046
0.33989364
0.16994682
3.39893638
3.22898956
3.05904274
2.88909593
2.71914911
2.54920229
2.37925547
2.20930865
2.03936183
1.86941501
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
-30%
-35%
-40%
-45%
TIR
3.96812447
3.40124954
2.83437462
2.26749969
1.70062477
1.13374985
0.56687492
11.3374985
10.7706236
10.2037486
9.6368737
9.06999878
8.50312386
7.93624893
7.36937401
6.80249908
6.23562416
B/C
0.85434852
0.73229873
0.61024894
0.48819915
0.36614936
0.24409958
0.12204979
2.44099576
2.31894597
2.19689619
2.0748464
1.95279661
1.83074682
1.70869703
1.58664725
1.46459746
1.34254767
0%
0%
TI
R
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
B/C
TIR
1.08
0.92
0.77
0.62
0.46
0.31
0.15
3.08
2.93
2.77
2.62
2.47
2.31
2.16
2.00
1.85
1.70
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
-30%
-35%
-40%
-45%
3.67
3.14
2.62
2.09
1.57
1.05
0.52
10.47
9.95
9.42
8.90
8.38
7.85
7.33
6.81
6.28
5.76
B/C
0.75
0.64
0.54
0.43
0.32
0.21
0.11
2.15
2.04
1.93
1.83
1.72
1.61
1.50
1.40
1.29
1.18
8000000
B/C
%
0.75
0.64
0.54
0.43
0.32
0.21
0.11
2.15
2.04
1.93
1.83
1.72
1.61
1.50
1.40
1.29
1.18
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
-30%
-35%
-40%
-45%
TI
VAN A
7269140.5
6230691.9
5192243.2
4153794.6
3115345.9
2076897.3
1038448.6
20768972.9
19730524.2
18692075.6
17653626.9
16615178.3
15576729.6
14538281.0
13499832.4
11838314.5
10280641.6
VAN B
7185234.8
6158772.6
5132310.5
4105848.4
3079386.3
2052924.2
1026462.1
20529242.2
19502780.1
18476317.9
17449855.8
16423393.7
15396931.6
14370469.5
13344007.4
11701668
10161974.9
7000000
6000000
5000000
4000000
3000000
2000000
1000000
0
0%
5%
TI
R
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
4.00
3.50
3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
TIR
B/C
25%
30%
8000000
7000000
6000000
5000000
VAN
A
4000000
3000000
2000000
1000000
0
0%
5%
35%
40%
RUBRO
AO 0
AO 2013
AO 2014
AO 2015
AO 2016
AO 2017
AO 2018
AO 2019
AO 2020
AO 2021
AO 2022
1) BENEFICIOS INCREMENTALES
ALTERNATIVA 1
0.00
2,597,585.76
2,631,464.12
2,648,568.64
2,665,784.34
2,683,111.93
2,700,552.16
2,718,105.75
2,735,773.44
2,753,555.97
2,771,454.08
ALTERNATIVA 2
0.00
2,597,585.76
2,631,464.12
2,648,568.64
2,665,784.34
2,683,111.93
2,700,552.16
2,718,105.75
2,735,773.44
2,753,555.97
2,771,454.08
ALTERNATIVA 1
794,275.57
738,879.33
80,860.24
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
ALTERNATIVA 2
1,103,130.82
1,058,679.20
53,622.03
35,082.01
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
2) COSTOS INCREMENTALES
10%
ALTERNATIVA 1
-794,275.57
1,858,706.43
2,550,603.88
2,635,836.64
2,653,052.34
2,670,379.93
2,687,820.16
2,705,373.75
2,723,041.44
2,740,823.97
2,758,722.08
ALTERNATIVA 2
-1,103,130.82
1,538,906.56
2,577,842.10
2,613,486.63
2,646,152.34
2,663,479.93
2,680,920.16
2,698,473.75
2,716,141.44
2,733,923.97
2,751,822.08
ALTERNATIVA
ALTERNATIVA 1
VAN (12%)
18,709,534.74
TIR
259%
B/C
30.18
ALTERNATIVA 2
18,085,983.20
174%
21.53
AO 2022
AO 2022
AO 2022
AO 2022
AO 2022
AO 2022
AO 2022
AO 2022
AO 2022
AO 2022
2,789,468.53
2,807,600.08
2,825,849.48
2,844,217.50
2,862,704.91
2,881,312.49
2,900,041.03
2,918,891.29
2,937,864.09
2,956,960.20
55,630,865.78
2,789,468.53
2,807,600.08
2,825,849.48
2,844,217.50
2,862,704.91
2,881,312.49
2,900,041.03
2,918,891.29
2,937,864.09
2,956,960.20
55,630,865.78
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
1,843,191.13
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
2,584,258.06
2,776,736.53
2,794,868.08
2,813,117.48
2,831,485.50
2,849,972.91
2,868,580.49
2,887,309.03
2,906,159.29
2,925,132.09
2,944,228.20 $19,503,810.30
2,769,836.53
2,787,968.08
2,806,217.48
2,824,585.50
2,843,072.91
2,861,680.49
2,880,409.03
2,899,259.29
2,918,232.09
2,937,328.20 $19,189,114.02
2013
2014
2015
2019
2020
2021
2022
1) BENEFICIOS INCREMENTALES
10%
ALTERNATIVA 1
0.00
259,758.58
263,146.41
264,856.86
266,578.43
268,311.19
270,055.22
271,810.58
273,577.34
275,355.60
277,145.41
ALTERNATIVA 2
0.00
259,758.58
263,146.41
264,856.86
266,578.43
268,311.19
270,055.22
271,810.58
273,577.34
275,355.60
277,145.41
ALTERNATIVA 1
7,942,755.67
7,388,793.28
808,602.39
127,320.00
127320.00
127,320.00
127,320.00
127,320.00
127,320.00
127,320.00
127,320.00
ALTERNATIVA 2
11,031,308.21
10,586,791.99
536,220.25
350,820.12
196320.00
196,320.00
196,320.00
196,320.00
196,320.00
196,320.00
196,320.00
ALTERNATIVA 1
-7,942,755.67
-7,129,034.70
-545,455.98
137,536.86
139,258.43
140,991.19
142,735.22
144,490.58
146,257.34
148,035.60
149,825.41
ALTERNATIVA 2
-11,031,308.21
-10,327,033.42
-273,073.84
-85,963.25
70,258.43
71,991.19
73,735.22
75,490.58
77,257.34
79,035.60
80,825.41
2) COSTOS INCREMENTALES
ALTERNATIVA
VAN (12%)
TIR
B/C
ALTERNATIVA 1
(S/. 13,890,180.81)
Err:523
0.30
ALTERNATIVA 2
(S/. 20,125,696.20)
Err:523
0.22
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
278,946.85
280,760.01
282,584.95
284,421.75
286,270.49
288,131.25
290,004.10
291,889.13
293,786.41
295,696.02
5,563,086.58
278,946.85
280,760.01
282,584.95
284,421.75
286,270.49
288,131.25
290,004.10
291,889.13
293,786.41
295,696.02
5,563,086.58
127,320.00
127,320.00
127,320.00
127,320.00
127,320.00
127,320.00
127,320.00
127,320.00
127,320.00
127,320.00
18,431,911.33
196,320.00
196,320.00
196,320.00
196,320.00
196,320.00
196,320.00
196,320.00
196,320.00
196,320.00
196,320.00
25,842,580.58
151,626.85
153,440.01
155,264.95
157,101.75
158,950.49
160,811.25
162,684.10
164,569.13
166,466.41
168,376.02
-$5,947,425.14
82,626.85
84,440.01
86,264.95
88,101.75
89,950.49
91,811.25
93,684.10
95,569.13
97,466.41
99,376.02
-$9,094,387.99
2013
2014
2015
2019
2020
2021
2022
1) BENEFICIOS INCREMENTALES
ALTERNATIVA 1
0.00
259,758.58
263,146.41
264,856.86
266,578.43
268,311.19
270,055.22
271,810.58
273,577.34
275,355.60
277,145.41
ALTERNATIVA 2
0.00
259,758.58
263,146.41
264,856.86
266,578.43
268,311.19
270,055.22
271,810.58
273,577.34
275,355.60
277,145.41
2) COSTOS INCREMENTALES
ALTERNATIVA 1
794,275.57
738,879.33
80,860.24
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
ALTERNATIVA 2
1,103,130.82
1,058,679.20
53,622.03
35,082.01
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
-794,275.57
-479,120.75
182,286.17
252,124.86
253,846.43
255,579.19
257,323.22
259,078.58
260,845.34
262,623.60
264,413.41
ALTERNATIVA 2
-1,103,130.82
-798,920.62
209,524.39
229,774.85
246,946.43
248,679.19
250,423.22
252,178.58
253,945.34
255,723.60
257,513.41
ALTERNATIVA
ALTERNATIVA 1
VAN (12%)
S/. 438,123.08
ALTERNATIVA 2
(S/. 185,428.46)
TIR
17%
B/C
3.02
10%
2.15
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
278,946.85
280,760.01
282,584.95
284,421.75
286,270.49
288,131.25
290,004.10
291,889.13
293,786.41
295,696.02
278,946.85
280,760.01
282,584.95
284,421.75
286,270.49
288,131.25
290,004.10
291,889.13
293,786.41
295,696.02
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
12,732.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
19,632.00
266,214.85
268,028.01
269,852.95
271,689.75
273,538.49
275,399.25
277,272.10
279,157.13
281,054.41
282,964.02
259,314.85
261,128.01
262,952.95
264,789.75
266,638.49
268,499.25
270,372.10
272,257.13
274,154.41
276,064.02
5,563,086.58
5,563,086.58
1,843,191.13
2,584,258.06
$1,232,398.65
$917,702.37
RUBRO
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
1) BENEFICIOS INCREMENTALES
ALTERNATIVA 1
0.00
2,202,752.72
2,231,481.58
2,245,986.21
2,260,585.12
2,275,278.92
2,290,068.23
2,304,953.68
2,319,935.88
2,335,015.46
2,350,193.06
ALTERNATIVA 2
0.00
2,202,752.72
2,231,481.58
2,245,986.21
2,260,585.12
2,275,278.92
2,290,068.23
2,304,953.68
2,319,935.88
2,335,015.46
2,350,193.06
ALTERNATIVA 1
659,422.95
610,992.95
69,588.04
10,579.02
10,579.02
10,579.02
10,579.02
10,579.02
10,579.02
10,579.02
10,579.02
ALTERNATIVA 2
935,454.94
831,232.36
123,745.43
29,413.84
16,312.23
16,312.23
16,312.23
16,312.23
16,312.23
16,312.23
16,312.23
ALTERNATIVA 1
-659,422.95
1,591,759.78
2,161,893.53
2,235,407.19
2,250,006.10
2,264,699.90
2,279,489.21
2,294,374.66
2,309,356.86
2,324,436.44
2,339,614.04
ALTERNATIVA 2
-935,454.94
1,371,520.37
2,107,736.15
2,216,572.37
2,244,272.89
2,258,966.69
2,273,756.00
2,288,641.45
2,303,623.65
2,318,703.23
2,333,880.83
2) COSTOS INCREMENTALES
10%
ALTERNATIVA
VAN (9%)
TIR
B/C
ALTERNATIVA 1
S/. 19,789,006.52
266%
30.82
ALTERNATIVA 2
S/. 19,212,969.48
177%
21.47
2013
2014
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
1) BENEFICIOS INCREMENTALES
10%
ALTERNATIVA 1
0.00
220,275.27
223,148.16
224,598.62
226,058.51
227,527.89
229,006.82
230,495.37
231,993.59
233,501.55
235,019.31
ALTERNATIVA 2
0.00
220,275.27
223,148.16
224,598.62
226,058.51
227,527.89
229,006.82
230,495.37
231,993.59
233,501.55
235,019.31
ALTERNATIVA 1
6,594,229.53
6,109,929.47
695,880.44
105,790.19
105,790.19
105,790.19
105,790.19
105,790.19
105,790.19
105,790.19
105,790.19
ALTERNATIVA 2
9,354,549.36
8,312,323.56
1,237,454.29
294,138.39
163,122.29
163,122.29
163,122.29
163,122.29
163,122.29
163,122.29
163,122.29
ALTERNATIVA 1
-6,594,229.53
-5,889,654.20
-472,732.28
118,808.43
120,268.32
121,737.70
123,216.64
124,705.18
126,203.40
127,711.36
129,229.12
ALTERNATIVA 2
-9,354,549.36
-8,092,048.28
-1,014,306.13
-69,539.76
62,936.22
64,405.60
65,884.54
67,373.08
68,871.30
70,379.26
71,897.02
2) COSTOS INCREMENTALES
ALTERNATIVA
VAN (9%)
TIR
B/C
ALTERNATIVA 1
(S/. 11,450,441.34)
Err:523
0.31
ALTERNATIVA 2
(S/. 17,210,811.70)
Err:523
0.21
2013
2014
2019
2020
2021
2022
1) BENEFICIOS INCREMENTALES
10%
ALTERNATIVA 1
0.00
220275.27
223148.16
224598.62
226,058.51
227,527.89
229,006.82
230,495.37
231,993.59
233,501.55
235,019.31
ALTERNATIVA 2
0.00
220275.27
223148.16
224598.62
226,058.51
227,527.89
229,006.82
230,495.37
231,993.59
233,501.55
235,019.31
ALTERNATIVA 1
659422.95
610992.95
69588.04
10579.02
10,579.02
10,579.02
10,579.02
10,579.02
10,579.02
10,579.02
10,579.02
ALTERNATIVA 2
935454.94
831232.36
123745.43
29413.84
16,312.23
16,312.23
16,312.23
16,312.23
16,312.23
16,312.23
16,312.23
ALTERNATIVA 1
ALTERNATIVA 2
-659422.95
-935454.94
-390717.67
-610957.08
153560.11
99402.73
214019.60
195184.78
215479.49
209746.28
216948.87
211215.66
218427.80
212694.59
219916.35
214183.14
221414.57
215681.36
222922.53
217189.32
224440.29
218707.08
ALTERNATIVA
ALTERNATIVA 1
ALTERNATIVA 2
VAN (9%)
S/. 758,051.38
2) COSTOS INCREMENTALES
10%
S/. 182,014.34
TIR
B/C
17%
3.08
10%
2.15
FORMATO 10
COEFICIENTE COSTO / EFECTIVIDAD
RUBRO
ALTERNATIVA
Alternativa 1
Nmero de Asistencia Tcnica
Nmero de m2 (Infraestructura)
RESUMEN DE INDICADORES
ALTERNATIVAS
Alternativa 1
Precios Sociales
Precios Privado
Alternativa 2
Precios Sociales
Precios Privado
INVERSION
TOTAL
VAN
TIR
6,594,230
7,942,756
20,768,973
20,266,742
17.22%
16.75%
9354549
11,031,308
20,529,242
20,208,332
10.472%
10.487%
OBSERVACIONES
Aceptable