Chapter 4 - Time series forecasting

The following table shows the sales (in thousands) of a type of smartphones in Malaysia from 2009-2012.
Year
2009
2010
2011
2012

Jan-Mar
10
12
16
23

Apr-Jun
9
11
14
22

July-Sept
7
10
13
20

Oct-Dec
5
8
12
19

a) Using 4-point moving averages, forecast the data on Jan-Mar quarter of 2013

Year

Month

2009 Jan-Mar
Apr-Jun
July-Sept
Oct-Dec
2010 Jan-Mar
Apr-Jun
July-Sept
Oct-Dec
2011 Jan-Mar
Apr-Jun
July-Sept
Oct-Dec
2012 Jan-Mar
Apr-Jun
July-Sept
Oct-Dec
2013 Jan-Mar

Sales
10000
9000
7000
5000
12000
11000
10000
8000
16000
14000
13000
12000
23000
22000
20000
19000

4-point
moving
averages

7750
8250
8750
9500
10250
11250
12000
12750
13750
15500
17500
19250
21000

Exponential
smoothing = 0.25
10000.00
10000.00
9750.00
9062.50
8046.88
9035.16
9526.37
9644.78
9233.58
10925.19
11693.89
12020.42
12015.31
14761.48
16571.11
17428.34
17821.25 answer for (a) and (b)

Malaysia from 2009-2012.

(a) and (b)