Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
No.
ktr
Peluang
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
1,001
1,005
1,010
1,050
1,110
1,250
1,330
1,430
1,670
2,000
2,500
3,330
4,000
5,000
10,000
25,000
50,000
100,000
200,000
500,000
1000,000
-3,05
-2,58
-2,33
-1,64
-1,28
-0,84
-0,67
-0,52
-0,25
0,00
0,25
0,52
0,67
0,84
1,28
1,64
2,05
2,33
2,58
2,88
3,09
0,999
0,995
0,990
0,950
0,900
0,800
0,750
0,700
0,600
0,500
0,400
0,300
0,250
0,200
0,100
0,040
0,020
0,010
0,005
0,002
0,001
DESTRIBUSI PERSON 3
Variasi
Coef.
CV
0,05
0,10
0,15
0,20
0,25
0,30
0,35
0,40
0,45
0,50
0,55
25
50
100
0,040
1,7609
1,8061
1,8482
1,8866
1,9206
1,9514
1,9775
1,9990
2,0162
2,0291
2,0378
0,020
2,1341
2,2130
2,2899
2,3640
2,4318
2,5015
2,5638
2,6212
2,6731
2,7202
2,7613
0,010
2,4570
2,5489
2,2607
2,7716
2,8805
2,9866
3,0890
3,1870
3,2799
3.367.
3,4488
0,60
0,65
0,70
0,75
0,80
0,85
0,90
0,95
-0,2375
-0,2185
-0,2582
-0,2667
-0,2739
-0,2801
-0,2852
-0,2895
0,6129
0,5879
0,5631
0,5387
0,5118
0,4914
0,4686
0,4466
1,2428
1,2226
1,2011
1,1784
1,1548
1,1306
1,1060
1,0810
1,8915
1,8866
1,8786
1,8677
1,8543
1,8388
1,8212
1,8021
2,1475
2,0435
2,0410
2,0353
2,0268
2,0157
2,0012
1,9868
2,7971
2,8279
2,8532
2,8735
2,8891
2,9002
2,9010
2,9103
3,5211
3,3930
3,3663
3,7118
3,7617
3,8056
3,8137
3,8762
1,00
-0,2929 0,4254
1,0560
1,7815
1,9681
2,9010
3,9035
50
100
0,020
0,666
0,798
0,980
1,217
1,379
1,492
1,519
1,606
1,663
1,720
1,777
1,831
1,890
1,945
2,000
2,031
2,107
2,159
2,211
2,261
2,311
2,339
2,107
2,153
2,198
2,342
2,626
2,713
2,912
0,010
0,667
0,799
0,990
1,256
1,449
1,880
1,660
1,733
1,806
1,880
1,955
2,029
2,101
2,178
2,232
2,326
2,100
2,472
2,314
2,615
2,686
2,755
2,824
2,891
2,957
3,022
3,149
3,330
3,605
Skew
Coef.
C'
Cs'
-3,0
-2,5
-2,0
-1,5
-1,2
-1,0
-0,9
-0,8
-0,7
-0,6
-0,5
-0,4
-0,3
-0,2
-0,1
0,0
0,1
0,2
0,3
0,4
0,5
0,6
0,7
0,8
0,9
1,0
1,2
1,5
2,0
RETURN PERIODE(YEAR)
2
5
10
25
EXCEEDENCE PROBABILITY
0,500
0,200
0,100
0,040
0,396
0,49500 0,660
0,66225
0,360
0,51413 0,771
0,78113
0,307
0,52750 0,895
0,92688
0,240
0,53175 1,018
1,09263
0,195
0,52913 1,086
1,19588
0,161
0,52363 1,128
1,26450
0,148
0,52263 1,147
1,28650
0,132
0,51975 1,166
1,33100
0,116
0,51613 1,183
1,36300
0,099
0,51188 1,200
1,39500
0,083
0,50788 1,216
1,42638
0,066
0,50288 1,231
1,45600
0,050
0,49738 1,243
1,48563
0,033
0,49238 1,258
1,51563
0,017
0,48688 1,270
1,54375
0,000
0,48075 1,282
1,56288
-0,017 0,47388 1,292
1,59763
-0,033 0,46725 1,301
1,62275
-0,050 0,45963 1,309
1,64725
-0,066 0,45263 1,317
1,67100
-0,083 0,44425 1,323
1,69350
-0,099 0,43613 1,328
1,70713
-0,116 0,42738 1,333
1,62325
-0,132 0,41850 1,336
1,64238
-0,148 0,40963 1,339
1,66113
-0,164 0,40000 1,340
1,71575
-0,195 0,36938 1,310
1,80350
-0,240 0,34988 1,333
1,85050
-0,307 0,29638 1,302
1,90575
2,3
3,0
-0,360
-0,896
0,24375
-0,11750
1,250
1,180
1,91300
1,91950
3,018
3,152
3,815
1,051
RETURN PERIODE(YEAR)
2
5
10
25
EXCEEDENCE PROBABILITY
0,500 0,200 0,100 0,040
0,396 0,636 0,666 0,666
0,390 0,651 0,681 0,683
0,384 0,666 0,702 0,712
0,376 0,681 0,747 0,738
0,368 0,696 0,771 0,764
0,360 0,711 0,795 0,793
0,351 0,725 0,819 0,823
0,341 0,739 0,844 0,855
0,330 0,752 0,869 0,888
0,319 0,765 0,895 0,923
0,307 0,777 0,920 0,959
0,294 0,788 0,945 0,996
0,282 0,799 0,970 1,035
0,268 0,808 0,884 1,075
0,254 0,817 0,994 1,116
0,240 0,825 1,018 1,157
0,225 0,832 1,041 1,198
0,210 0,838 1,064 1,240
0,195 0,844 1,086 1,282
0,180 0,848 1,107 1,324
0,164 0,852 1,128 1,366
0,148 0,854 1,147 1,407
0,132 0,856 1,166 1,448
0,116 0,857 1,183 1,488
0,099 0,857 1,200 1,528
0,083 0,856 1,216 1,567
0,066 0,855 1,231 1,606
0,500 0,853 1,245 1,643
0,033 0,850 1,258 1,680
0,017 0,846 1,270 1,716
0,000 0,842 1,282 1,751
50
100
200
0,020
0,666
0,689
0,714
0,740
0,768
0,798
0,830
0,864
0,900
0,939
0,980
1,023
1,069
1,116
1,166
1,217
1,270
1,324
1,379
1,435
1,492
1,549
1,606
1,663
1,720
1,770
1,834
1,890
1,945
2,000
2,054
0,010
0,667
0,690
0,714
0,740
0,769
0,799
0,832
0,867
0,905
0,946
0,990
1,038
1,087
1,140
1,197
1,256
1,318
1,383
1,449
1,518
1,588
1,660
1,733
1,806
1,880
1,955
2,029
2,104
2,178
2,252
2,326
0,005
0,667
0,690
0,714
0,741
0,769
0,800
0,833
1,869
0,907
0,949
0,995
1,044
1,097
1,155
1,216
1,282
1,351
1,424
1,501
1,581
1,664
1,749
1,837
1,926
2,016
2,108
2,201
2,294
2,388
2,482
2,576
Yn
0,4952
0,4996
0,5035
0,5070
0,5100
0,5128
Sn
0,9496
0,9676
0,9833
0,9971
1,0095
1,0206
Sampel
56
57
58
59
60
61
50
100
200
0,020
2,107
2,159
2,211
2,261
2,311
2,359
2,407
2,453
2,498
2,542
2,585
2,626
2,666
2,706
2,743
2,780
2,815
2,828
2,881
2,912
2,942
2,970
3,997
3,023
3,048
3,017
3,114
3,093
3,134
3,152
0,010
2,400
2,472
2,544
2,615
2,686
2,755
2,824
2,891
2,957
3,022
3,087
3,149
3,211
3,271
3,330
3,388
3,444
3,499
3,553
3,605
3,656
3,705
3,753
3,800
3,845
3,899
3,937
3,932
4,013
4,051
0,005
2,670
2,763
2,856
2,949
3,041
3,132
3,223
3,312
3,401
3,489
3,575
3,661
3,745
3,828
3,910
3,990
4,069
4,147
4,223
4,298
4,372
4,444
4,515
4,584
4,652
4,718
4,847
4,783
4,909
4,970
Yn
0,5508
0,5511
0,5515
0,5519
0,5521
0,5524
Sn
1,1696
1,1708
1,1721
1,1734
1,1747
1,1759
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
Periode ulang
0,5157
0,5181
0,5202
0,5220
0,5236
0,5252
0,5268
0,5283
0,5296
0,5309
0,5320
0,5332
0,5343
0,5353
0,5362
0,5371
0,5380
0,5388
0,5396
0,5402
0,5410
0,5418
0,5424
0,5430
0,5436
0,5442
0,5448
0,5453
0,5458
0,5463
0,5468
0,5473
0,5477
0,5481
0,5485
0,5489
0,5493
0,5497
0,5501
0,5504
1,0316
1,0411
1,0493
1,0565
1,0628
1,0696
1,0754
1,0811
1,0864
1,0915
1,0861
1,1004
1,1047
1,1086
1,1124
1,1159
1,1193
1,1226
1,1255
1,1287
1,1313
1,1339
1,1363
1,1388
1,1413
1,1436
1,1458
1,1480
1,1499
1,1519
1,1538
1,1557
1,1574
1,1590
1,1607
1,1623
1,1638
1,1658
1,1667
1,1681
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
0,5527
0,5530
0,5533
0,5535
0,5538
0,5540
0,5543
0,5545
0,5548
0,5550
0,5552
0,5555
0,5557
0,5559
0,5561
0,5563
0,5565
0,5567
0,5569
0,5570
0,5572
0,5574
0,5576
0,5578
0,5580
0,5581
0,5583
0,5583
0,5586
0,5587
0,5589
0,5591
0,5592
0,5593
0,5595
0,5596
0,5598
0,5599
0,5600
1,1770
1,1782
1,1793
1,1803
1,1814
1,1824
1,1834
1,1844
1,1854
1,1854
1,1873
1,1881
1,1890
1,1898
1,1906
1,1915
1,1923
1,1930
1,1938
1,1945
1,1953
1,1959
1,1967
1,1973
1,1987
1,1987
1,1994
1,2001
1,2007
1,2013
1,2020
1,2026
1,2032
1,2038
1,2044
1,2049
1,2055
1,2060
1,2065
2
5
10
20
25
50
75
100
200
250
500
1000
5000
10000
0.3668
1.5004
2.2510
2.9709
3.1993
3.9028
4.3117
4.6012
5.2969
5.5206
6.2149
6.9087
8.5199
9.2121
UJI KECOCOKAN
n
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
n>50
0.01
0.67
0.49
0.40
0.36
0.32
0.29
0.27
0.25
0.24
0.23
1.63
n0.5