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Opinion Research
Table of Contents
Introduction: Young Voters A Political Powerhouse.................... 2
Why Target Young Voters?.............................................................. 3
Who Are Young Voters?.................................................................. 4
Diverse demographics
How to Find & Mobilize Young Voters II Get Out the Vote.........12
Top issues
Tips
Young Voters:
A Political Powerhouse
In 2008, candidates who want to
win in November must target young
voters as part of their campaign
strategies. Winning Young Voters
tells you how to do that.
To Build Long-Term
Political Power
Partisan loyalty develops during the youth
vote years: Reams of academic research
show a young voters first presidential vote
and party pick influence their party choice
for decades.
Voting is a habit: The strongest predictor
of whether a person will vote is whether or
not they have voted before. Winning young
voters the first time pays dividends for years
to come.
4 Original Chart by Bill Marsh at the New York Times and the Pew Research Center for the People and the Press.
Politically Engaged
Diverse
Tech-Savvy
Economically Insecure
Debt and living paycheck-to-paycheck is a fact
of life for todays young adults. Over the past
decade, college costs, health insurance, and
housing costs have soared. About two-thirds of
college students graduate with debt, with the
average graduate owing $20,000,8 and many
single adults have a hard time making ends
meet on one income.
7
8
Young Voters
Size: There are 44 million 18-29 year old citizens
in the U.S.,10 one-fifth of the electorate. Todays
18-29 year olds are part of the Millennial
Generation, the biggest generation since the
Baby Boomers.
Young African-Americans
Young Women
Young Men
Young Latinos
Size: There are 5.6 million Latino citizens
between 18 and 29 in the U.S. Young Latinos
are the largest and fastest-growing racial or
ethnic subset of young adults; 50,000 turn 18
each month. (U.S. Census)
Young Democrats
Size: Approximately 47% of 18-29 year olds
identify as Democrats, an estimated 20 million
young adults.
Issues: According to Rock the Vote polling,
young Democrats top issues are jobs and
the economy, Iraq, education and the cost of
college, health care, and the environment and
global warming.
Young Republicans
Size: Approximately 28% of 18-29 year olds
identify as Republicans, an estimated 12 million
young adults.
Issues: According to Rock the Vote polling,
young Republicans top issues are jobs and
the economy, immigration, gas prices, health
care, terrorism and homeland security, and the
budget deficit.
Voting: While the GOP is facing decreasing
support from young voters, the energy and
loyalty of young Republicans bodes well for
their commitment to the party in 2008 and
beyond.
In 2008, young Republican turnout increased
in almost every primary, as did young adults
share of the overall Republican vote.17
Young Republicans are paying close
attention to the 2008 election, and the vast
majority reports a high level of favorability
toward and intent to vote for the partys
nominee, John McCain. (RTV poll)
Online
22
Your Website
Your first step should be to
put Rock the Votes online
voter registration tool on
your website, blog, and social
network pages. Its free and
easy. You can sign up for
your own widget at www.
RocktheVote.com/partners
and start registering voters
online right away.
Social Networks
Online
Advertising
Internet Ads: For $2-10
per registration, you can places ads
on youth-oriented websites and generate
registrations that way.23 Figure out which
websites are most heavily visited by your
target demographic (for instance, ESPN.
com for men, People.com for women) and
place a Register to Vote Today ad that links
back to your website.
Search Advertising: With Google, MSN, or
Yahoo search advertising you can advertise
your campaign website and generate
registrations for less than $5 each.24 With
geographic targeting you can opt to only
show your ads in the states, cities, or zip
codes that are most important to your
campaign. Advertise on search phrases
like register to vote, voting information,
elections, or your candidates name.
Facebook Advertising: With simple text and
image ads you can register young voters
on Facebook for $5 - $10.25 You can choose
to show the ads in the states, cities, or even
colleges you are targeting, as well as by
demographic characteristics, and you only
pay when people click the ad. Find out
more at http://www.facebook.com/ads
Direct Mail
How To
List: Buy or build a list of 18-29 year olds
addresses. Make sure your mail vendor
performs a change-of-address update
before sending the mail young people
move a lot.
On Campus
College campuses are the best places to find
a lot of young people. Working with student
volunteers, there are many opportunities to
register young voters on campus:
Class and group presentations: Student
groups and large classes are great places to
register new voters. Work with volunteers on
campus to set up these presentations. You
can expect to register about 15% of each
class.
Tabling: Get a few volunteers, grab some
clipboards, and ask passersby in high-traffic
areas to register to vote. Volunteers can
expect to register about 5 people per hour.
10
Costs
and Rates
RTVs 2007 test found
that direct mail can generate
a completed registration for $5-7 per
application.
Six percent of those mailed a form
completed the application in Rock the
Votes 2007 test; eight percent returned the
registration form when also sent an email
reminder.
Bonus Tip:
Rock the Vote found that nonpartisan,
official-looking direct mail pieces
have the best rates of return. See below:
Targeting
Demographics: Mail is very useful if you
want to target specific demographics.
Consumer data contains all sorts of
information on race, gender, political
leanings, and more.
Movers: Mail is an excellent tool for reregistration. Match voter files or membership
lists to a change of address database and
send a registration form to movers - they
may have forgotten to re-register at their
new address.
New Voters: Tests by Womens Voices. Women Vote. have had great success registering
young women around their 18th birthdays
with birthday card registration mailers.
11
Phone-banking
Text Messaging
GOTV Tip:
Keep young people on your lists
One of the simplest things you can do
is make sure to keep young adults on
your walk and call lists. Vendors often
take them off if they lack a recorded vote
history but keep them on and you can
successfully turn out new, young voters
using traditional campaign tactics.
12
Bonus Tip:
Combining a pledge to vote
(either by phone or in person) with a
follow-up get-out-the-vote phone call on
Election Day can increase turnout by 11
percentage points.31
13
GOTV Tactics
that Dont Work
Direct mail
Online
While simply sending an email is not an
effective GOTV tactic (see below), there are
many ways the Internet can be part of an
effective youth GOTV strategy. Some tips on
how to do this:
Email
Email is a useful way to communicate with
voters, but does not have a GOTV impact. You
can send an email to all the people on your list
reminding them to vote, but it doesnt actually
make them more likely to vote.36
(Do note however, that email can be useful
in disseminating voting information polling
place locators, election times, and ID
requirements in the days leading up to an
election.)
Robocalls
Get-out-the-vote robocalls do not increase
young voter turnout, nor do they have much
impact on turnout of voters of any age.35 (Highquality live phone calls, as noted above, do
have a significant impact.)
14
15
Be Real
Young adults are just as smart as any group of
voters theres no need to try and be one of
the kids to get our attention and votes. Just be
yourself.
Just Do It
16
DO
Talk about the issues and be results-oriented.
Know that you need to appeal to young
voters interests.
Reinforce empowerment - use positive
language about young voter participation.
Use language that builds on young voters
desire to have an impact on issues central to
their lives and to the lives of their friends and
families.
Give them a sense their votes can make a
difference and will be counted.
Ask for their votes.
DONT
Denigrate young people for apathy or low
voting rates. Not only is this not true anymore,
it can decrease turnout.
Place young people in opposition to older
people.
Assume that young voters know the basics
of registering and voting.
Think young voters will vote just because it is
the right thing to do.
Invoke anger. Theyre looking for solutions,
not complaints.
Forget to ask for their votes.
Two examples of
messaging that works38
Your vote can make a difference for people
you care about. Vote for your brothers and
sisters who want to be able to go to college.
Vote for your friends who are in Iraq. Vote
for your children who will need clean air to
breathe and good schools to go to. Vote for
parents so they have social security benefits
and Medicare when they retire. Dont just vote
for yourselfvote for them.
In 2008, your voice will matter. As part of a new
generation of voters, 44 million strong, you have
the power to change politics in this country. Its
up to you to decide who the next president of
United States is. Its up to you to decide if and
when the war will end. Its up to you to decide if
everyone in this country should get healthcare
coverage. Its all up to you, so let your voice be
heard on Election Day.
Bonus Tip:
Keep in mind that these messaging tips
are for the general youth vote cohort.
But as noted earlier, Millennials are
very diverse and made up of many
different groups. Work with your staff
and volunteers and use Rock the
Votes polling on these subgroups39 and
other resources to craft messages that
motivate your target audiences.
17
Conclusion:
Winning young voters in 2008 and beyond
Joe Courtney,
U.S. House, 2006:
Joe Courtney won election
to Connecticuts second
congressional district by 83
votes, and attributes that
victory to increased youth
turnout. During 2006, the
campaign worked with
existing groups to mobilize young volunteers
and voters. The young campaign staff recruited
and trained a bevy of volunteers to do door-todoor registration and GOTV on campus, events
with Representative Courtney, and direct mail
and phone calls to non-college youth. Rep.
Courtney energized youth by engaging on
relevant issues, from college costs to Iraq.
18
Virginia: Working
the youth vote works
18-29 turnout 2002: 174,000
18-29 turnout 2006: 302,000
18-29 turnout increase: 128,000
Margin of Victory: 9,329
Arnold Schwarzenegger,
California Governor, 2006:
The Schwarzenegger campaign, along with
the state GOPs largest field effort in years,
recruited large numbers of young volunteers
and mobilized young voters through the
Governors statewide bus tour in the fall of
2006. College volunteers staffed phone offices
across the state and the
bus tour registered voters
and recruited supporters
at Motocross races, at the
beach, and on college
campuses.
19
TIMElinE
RTV launched our first national campaign, Censorship is UnAmerican, with Iggy Pop, the Red Hot
Chili Peppers, and Woody Harrleson in 1990. And in 1991, with RTVs support, including PSAs and a
Dear Senator postcard campaign, Congress passes the National Voter Registration Act (Motor
Voter).
In 1992, RTV and our partner organizations registered 350,000 young people to vote.
1996-2002 - The middle years: RTV hits the road and the net
During the 1996 election, RTV registered 500,000 voters, in large part through a partnership with
MTVs Choose or Lose campaign and our very first online voter registration tool, NetVote 96.
In 2000, RTV registered more than 500,000 voters online, launched a 1-800-ROCK-VOTE hotline, and
ran a 25-city bus tour with talent from the The West Wing, Rah Digga, Outkast, and Hootie and The
Blowfish.
on the issues that affect their lives, and leverage their power in
In 2002, RTV registered 200,000 people to vote and launched our Community Street Teams.
2004-2006 - The recent years: The Millennial Generation Rocks the Vote
Rock the Vote is creative, effective, and controlled
by nobodys agenda but our own we tell it like it
is and pride ourselves on being a trusted source
for information on politics. We empower the 44
million young people in America who want to step
up, claim their voice in the political process, and
20
In 2004, RTV ran a nationwide campaign, including our signature Rap the Vote and Chicks Rock,
Chicks Vote programs, and registered over 800,000 voters. On Election Day, RTV helped contribute
to a historic 4.3 million-vote surge in young voter turnout.
In 2006, RTV partnered with new media like Facebook and entered the Web 2.0 scene with a
bang. Registering more than 50,000 voters, RTV helped make 2006 another huge year for young
voters.