Example 2.

36: Fatalities due to Thermal Flux from BLEVE Fireball

Input Data:
Total people:
Inner radius:
Outer radius:
Total flammable:
Distance increment:

traseu
Bucuresti Ploiesti

9,386
40 m
1000 m
29000 kg
5m

Calculated Results:
Km osea
Total Fatalities:
Total Area:
People/m**2:
Total increments:
Time duration:
Max. fireball diam.:
Height of fireball:

19.9
48000000 m**2
0.000196
192
14.41 s
178.19 m
133.65 m

Ground
Receptor Heat
Distance Distance Flux
Area
People
People
Cumulative
m
m
kW/m^2 Probit
Percent m**2
in area
Fatalities People
42.5
140.24
116.09
8.16
99.92 1335.18
0.26
0.26
0.26
47.5
141.84
113.49
8.08
99.90 1492.26
0.29
0.29
0.55
52.5
143.59
110.74
8.00
99.86 1649.34
0.32
0.32
0.88
57.5
145.49
107.86
7.91
99.82 1806.42
0.35
0.35
1.23
62.5
147.54
104.89
7.81
99.75 1963.50
0.38
0.38
1.61
67.5
149.72
101.85
7.71
99.67 2120.58
0.41
0.41
2.03
72.5
152.04
98.76
7.61
99.54 2277.65
0.45
0.44
2.47
77.5
154.49
95.66
7.50
99.38 2434.73
0.48
0.47
2.95
82.5
157.06
92.56
7.39
99.15 2591.81
0.51
0.50
3.46
87.5
159.74
89.48
7.27
98.84 2748.89
0.54
0.53
3.99
92.5
162.53
86.43
7.15
98.43 2905.97
0.57
0.56
4.56
97.5
165.43
83.43
7.03
97.89 3063.05
0.60
0.59
5.16
102.5
168.43
80.49
6.91
97.18 3220.13
0.63
0.61
5.79
107.5
171.52
77.61
6.78
96.28 3377.21
0.66
0.64
6.45
112.5
174.69
74.82
6.66
95.14 3534.29
0.69
0.66
7.14
117.5
177.95
72.10
6.53
93.73 3691.37
0.72
0.68
7.86
122.5
181.29
69.47
6.41
92.01 3848.45
0.75
0.69
8.62
127.5
184.71
66.92
6.28
89.94 4005.53
0.78
0.70
9.40
132.5
188.20
64.46
6.15
87.50 4162.61
0.81
0.71
10.21
137.5
191.75
62.10
6.02
84.68 4319.69
0.84
0.72
11.06
142.5
195.36
59.82
5.90
81.47 4476.77
0.88
0.71
11.93
147.5
199.04
57.63
5.77
77.88 4633.85
0.91
0.71
12.84
152.5
202.77
55.53
5.64
73.93 4790.93
0.94
0.69
13.78
157.5
206.56
53.51
5.51
69.67 4948.01
0.97
0.67
14.74
162.5
210.40
51.58
5.39
65.15 5105.09
1.00
0.65
15.74
167.5
214.28
49.72
5.26
60.42 5262.17
1.03
0.62
16.77
172.5
218.21
47.95
5.14
55.58 5419.25
1.06
0.59
17.83
177.5
222.19
46.25
5.02
50.68 5576.33
1.09
0.55
18.92

182.5
187.5
192.5
197.5
202.5
207.5
212.5
217.5
222.5
227.5
232.5
237.5
242.5
247.5
252.5
257.5
262.5
267.5
272.5
277.5
282.5
287.5
292.5
297.5
302.5
307.5
312.5
317.5
322.5
327.5
332.5
337.5
342.5
347.5
352.5
357.5
362.5
367.5
372.5
377.5
382.5
387.5
392.5
397.5
402.5
407.5
412.5
417.5
422.5
427.5

226.20
230.26
234.34
238.47
242.63
246.81
251.03
255.28
259.55
263.85
268.17
272.52
276.89
281.28
285.69
290.12
294.56
299.03
303.51
308.01
312.52
317.04
321.59
326.14
330.71
335.29
339.88
344.48
349.10
353.72
358.35
363.00
367.65
372.31
376.98
381.66
386.35
391.05
395.75
400.46
405.18
409.90
414.63
419.37
424.11
428.86
433.61
438.37
443.13
447.90

44.62
43.06
41.57
40.15
38.79
37.48
36.23
35.04
33.89
32.80
31.75
30.74
29.78
28.86
27.97
27.13
26.31
25.53
24.79
24.07
23.38
22.71
22.08
21.46
20.88
20.31
19.76
19.24
18.73
18.25
17.78
17.33
16.89
16.47
16.07
15.67
15.30
14.93
14.58
14.24
13.91
13.59
13.28
12.98
12.69
12.41
12.14
11.88
11.63
11.38

4.89
4.77
4.65
4.53
4.42
4.30
4.18
4.07
3.96
3.84
3.73
3.62
3.51
3.41
3.30
3.20
3.09
2.99
2.89
2.79
2.69
2.59
2.49
2.40
2.30
2.21
2.12
2.02
1.93
1.84
1.75
1.67
1.58
1.49
1.41
1.32
1.24
1.16
1.08
1.00
0.92
0.84
0.76
0.68
0.60
0.53
0.45
0.38
0.30
0.23

45.81
41.04
36.44
32.07
27.97
24.18
20.72
17.60
14.82
12.38
10.26
8.43
6.87
5.56
4.47
3.56
2.82
2.22
1.73
1.35
1.04
0.80
0.61
0.46
0.35
0.26
0.20
0.15
0.11
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

5733.41
5890.49
6047.57
6204.65
6361.73
6518.80
6675.88
6832.96
6990.04
7147.12
7304.20
7461.28
7618.36
7775.44
7932.52
8089.60
8246.68
8403.76
8560.84
8717.92
8875.00
9032.08
9189.16
9346.24
9503.32
9660.40
9817.48
9974.56
10131.64
10288.72
10445.80
10602.88
10759.95
10917.03
11074.11
11231.19
11388.27
11545.35
11702.43
11859.51
12016.59
12173.67
12330.75
12487.83
12644.91
12801.99
12959.07
13116.15
13273.23
13430.31

1.12
1.15
1.18
1.21
1.24
1.27
1.31
1.34
1.37
1.40
1.43
1.46
1.49
1.52
1.55
1.58
1.61
1.64
1.67
1.70
1.74
1.77
1.80
1.83
1.86
1.89
1.92
1.95
1.98
2.01
2.04
2.07
2.10
2.13
2.17
2.20
2.23
2.26
2.29
2.32
2.35
2.38
2.41
2.44
2.47
2.50
2.53
2.56
2.60
2.63

0.51
0.47
0.43
0.39
0.35
0.31
0.27
0.24
0.20
0.17
0.15
0.12
0.10
0.08
0.07
0.06
0.05
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

20.04
21.19
22.38
23.59
24.83
26.11
27.41
28.75
30.12
31.51
32.94
34.40
35.89
37.41
38.96
40.54
42.16
43.80
45.47
47.18
48.91
50.68
52.48
54.31
56.16
58.05
59.97
61.92
63.90
65.92
67.96
70.03
72.14
74.27
76.44
78.63
80.86
83.12
85.40
87.72
90.07
92.45
94.87
97.31
99.78
102.28
104.82
107.38
109.98
112.60

432.5
437.5
442.5
447.5
452.5
457.5
462.5
467.5
472.5
477.5
482.5
487.5
492.5
497.5
502.5
507.5
512.5
517.5
522.5
527.5
532.5
537.5
542.5

452.68
457.46
462.24
467.03
471.82
476.62
481.42
486.23
491.04
495.85
500.67
505.49
510.31
515.14
519.97
524.80
529.64
534.48
539.32
544.17
549.01
553.87
558.72

11.14
10.91
10.69
10.47
10.26
10.05
9.85
9.66
9.47
9.29
9.11
8.94
8.77
8.60
8.44
8.29
8.14
7.99
7.85
7.71
7.57
7.44
7.31

0.16
0.09
0.02
-0.05
-0.12
-0.19
-0.26
-0.33
-0.40
-0.46
-0.53
-0.59
-0.66
-0.72
-0.79
-0.85
-0.91
-0.98
-1.04
-1.10
-1.16
-1.22
-1.28

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

13587.39
13744.47
13901.55
14058.63
14215.71
14372.79
14529.87
14686.95
14844.03
15001.10
15158.18
15315.26
15472.34
15629.42
15786.50
15943.58
16100.66
16257.74
16414.82
16571.90
16728.98
16886.06
17043.14
Total Fatalities:

2.66
2.69
2.72
2.75
2.78
2.81
2.84
2.87
2.90
2.93
2.96
2.99
3.03
3.06
3.09
3.12
3.15
3.18
3.21
3.24
3.27
3.30
3.33

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
19.86197

115.26
117.95
120.67
123.42
126.20
129.01
131.85
134.72
137.62
140.55
143.52
146.51
149.54
152.60
155.68
158.80
161.95
165.13
168.34
171.58
174.85
178.15
181.48

sate
corbeanca
balotesti
ciolpani
gorgota
puchenii mari
barconesti

40,8

suprafata m^2
numar locuitori
53000000
40000000
38000000
42000000
45000000
48000000

DENSITATEA
FATALITATI
7072
0.000133434
13.6
8314
0.000207850
21.2
4811
0.000126605
12.9
5207
0.000123976
12.6
1425
0.000031667
3.2
9384
0.000195500
19.9

frecventa
frecventa
frecventa

83.4
0.000834
0.30441
0.0074610294

total
pe 40.8 Km
pe 40.8 Km
pe km

pe zi
pe an
pe an