DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED

Total

GTA - Total
A

GTA - 416
B

GTA - 905
C

Base: Decided Voters - Leaners Included

Weighted
The Ontario Liberal Party

830
794
271
34%

388
371
140
38%

190
174
69
39%

198
197
71
36%

The Progressive Conservative Party

257
32%

108
29%

35
20%

The New Democratic Party

200
25%

92
25%

66
8%

31
8%

55
32%
CDE
15
9%

73
37%
B
37
19%

Some other party

Overlap formula used

- Column Proportions:
Columns Tested (5%): A/D/E/F/G,B/C/D/E/F/G,H/I/J/K,L/M
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
- Column Means:
Columns Tested (5%): A/D/E/F/G,B/C/D/E/F/G,H/I/J/K,L/M
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
Table of Contents

16
8%

ONTARIO
Central
D

East
E

Southwest
F

North
G

<40k
H

84
61
20
32%
*
28
45%
AB*
10
17%
*
4
6%
*

80
103
35
34%
*
42
41%
B*
18
17%
*
9
8%
*

236
210
63
30%

42
49
13
27%
**
8
16%
**
25
52%
**
3
6%
**

203
231
79
34%

72
34%
B
55
26%
20
10%

59
26%
67
29%
25
11%

HOUSEHOLD INCOME
40k - <60K 60k - <100k
I
J
125
122
46
37%
*
35
29%
*
30
24%
*
12
10%
*

100k+
K

HOUSEHOLD
Kids
No Kids
L
M

201
182
64
35%

194
155
41
26%

224
208
72
35%

606
586
198
34%

65
36%

59
28%

199
34%

42
23%

65
42%
H
40
26%

63
30%

137
23%

12
6%

9
6%

14
7%

52
9%

2. Some people say that the Liberal government under Premier Kathleen Wynne has done a good job and deserves to be re-elected during the next provincial election. Other people say that it is time for another provincial party to take over and run the
province. Which of these statements is closest to your point of view?
Total

GTA - Total
A

GTA - 416
B

GTA - 905
C

Base: All Respondents

Weighted
Wynne government has done a good job and
deserves re-election

1002
1002
307
31%

Time for another provincial party to take over

695
69%

467
456
165
36%
FG
291
64%

225
213
73
34%
F
140
66%

242
243
92
38%
FG
151
62%

Overlap formula used

- Column Proportions:
Columns Tested (5%): A/D/E/F/G,B/C/D/E/F/G,H/I/J/K,L/M
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
- Column Means:
Columns Tested (5%): A/D/E/F/G,B/C/D/E/F/G,H/I/J/K,L/M
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
Table of Contents

ONTARIO
Central
D

East
E

Southwest
F

North
G

<40k
H

105
82
22
27%
*
60
73%
*

93
121
43
36%
*
77
64%
*

286
278
65
23%

51
66
12
18%
*
54
82%
AC*

265
315
88
28%

154
162
41
25%

224
201
71
36%

215
177
52
29%

272
261
93
36%

730
741
213
29%

227
72%

121
75%

129
64%

125
71%

167
64%

528
71%

213
77%
ABC

HOUSEHOLD INCOME
40k - <60K 60k - <100k
I
J

100k+
K

HOUSEHOLD
Kids
No Kids
L
M

3. Thinking about the Liberal government under the leadership of Kathleen Wynne, from what you have seen, read, or heard, would you say that you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of their performance?
Total

GTA - Total
A

GTA - 416
B

GTA - 905
C

Base: All Respondents

Weighted
Strongly approve

1002
1002
68
7%

467
456
32
7%

225
213
16
8%

242
243
15
6%

Somewhat approve

357
36%

Somewhat disapprove

230
23%

198
43%
F
95
21%

90
42%
F
47
22%

108
45%
F
49
20%

Strongly disapprove

347
35%

131
29%

60
28%

71
29%

425
42%

230
50%
DFG
226
50%

106
50%
F
107
50%

124
51%
DFG
119
49%

Summary
Top2Box (Strongly/ Somewhat approve)

Low2Box (Somewhat/ Strongly disapprove)

577
58%

Overlap formula used

- Column Proportions:
Columns Tested (5%): A/D/E/F/G,B/C/D/E/F/G,H/I/J/K,L/M
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
- Column Means:
Columns Tested (5%): A/D/E/F/G,B/C/D/E/F/G,H/I/J/K,L/M
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
Table of Contents

ONTARIO
Central
D

East
E

Southwest
F

North
G

<40k
H

105
82
4
5%
*
26
32%
*
23
27%
*
30
36%
*

93
121
12
10%
*
42
35%
*
26
21%
*
41
34%
*

286
278
18
6%

51
66
3
4%
*
19
28%
*
22
33%
*
23
35%
*

265
315
28
9%

154
162
8
5%

224
201
15
7%

215
177
9
5%

272
261
17
6%

730
741
52
7%

112
36%

51
31%

79
39%

54
30%

103
39%

254
34%

76
24%

39
24%

38
19%

48
27%

57
22%

173
23%

99
31%

63
39%

69
34%

66
37%

85
32%

263
35%

30
36%
*
52
64%
AC*

54
45%
*
66
55%
*

140
44%

59
37%

63
36%

119
46%

306
41%

175
56%

102
63%

94
47%
K
107
53%

114
64%
J

141
54%

436
59%

72
26%
65
23%
123
44%
ABC
90
32%
188
68%
ABC

21
32%
*
44
68%
AC*

HOUSEHOLD INCOME
40k - <60K 60k - <100k
I
J

100k+
K

HOUSEHOLD
Kids
No Kids
L
M

4. Which of the provincial party leaders do you think would make the best Premier of Ontario?
Total

GTA - Total
A

GTA - 416
B

GTA - 905
C

Base: All Respondents

Weighted
PC Leader Patrick Brown

1002
1002
329
33%

467
456
127
28%

225
213
58
27%

242
243
69
28%

Liberal Leader Kathleen Wynne

313
31%

75
35%

87
36%

NDP Leader Andrea Horwath

360
36%

162
35%
F
167
37%

80
38%

87
36%

Overlap formula used

- Column Proportions:
Columns Tested (5%): A/D/E/F/G,B/C/D/E/F/G,H/I/J/K,L/M
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
- Column Means:
Columns Tested (5%): A/D/E/F/G,B/C/D/E/F/G,H/I/J/K,L/M
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
Table of Contents

ONTARIO
Central
D

East
E

Southwest
F

North
G

<40k
H

105
82
40
48%
AGBCG*
20
24%
*
23
28%
*

93
121
44
37%
*
42
34%
*
35
29%
*

286
278
100
36%

51
66
18
27%
*
17
27%
*
30
46%
*

265
315
90
29%

154
162
56
34%

224
201
75
37%

215
177
67
38%

272
261
71
27%

730
741
257
35%

94
30%

41
26%

63
31%

55
31%

84
32%

229
31%

131
41%

65
40%

63
31%

56
31%

105
40%

255
34%

73
26%
104
38%

HOUSEHOLD INCOME
40k - <60K 60k - <100k
I
J

100k+
K

HOUSEHOLD
Kids
No Kids
L
M