Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
PERIODO
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
PERIODO
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
DEMANDA REAL
9357
9050
9760
9560
9850
9555
9681
9662
9687
9646
9669
9666
9667
9662
9666
9665
9665
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
CANTIDAD
REAL
9357
9050
9760
9560
9850
9555
9681
9662
9687
9646
9669
9666
9667
9662
9666
9665
9665
9357
18100
29280
38240
49250
57330
67767
77296
87183
96460
106359
115992
125671
135268
144990
154640
164305
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
121
144
169
196
225
256
289
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
153
163468
1477488
1785
23409
ti 2
i=1
t 2i
n
n
i=1
n X i t i X i . t i
Ecuaciones utilizadas b=
i=1
i=1
i =1
a=Xb t
^
X t =a+ bt
RESUMEN
PERIODO
CANTIDAD
REAL
153
163468
1477488
Ecuacin:
b=
[ 17 (1477488) ] [ (163468)(153) ]
=15.38
[ 17 ( 1785 )(23409)]
163468
^
X=
=9615.76
17
t^ =
1785
23409
A travs de regresin lineal calculo el pronstico para los meses del primero al diez y siete
(1-17)
Y 1=9477.34 +15.38 (1 )=9492.72
Y 2=9477.34 +15.38 ( 2 )=9508.1
Y 3=9477.34 +15.38 ( 3 )=9523.48
Y 4 =9477.34+15.38 ( 4 )=9538.86
Y 5=9477.34 +15.38 ( 5 )=9554.24
Y 6=9477.34+15.38 ( 6 )=9569.62
Y 7=9477.34+15.38 ( 7 )=9585
Y 8=9477.34+15.38 ( 8 )=9600.38
Y 9=9477.34+15.38 ( 9 )=9615.76
Y 10=9477.34 +15.38 (10 )=9631.14
Y 11=9477.34+15.38 ( 11 ) =9646.52
Y 12=9477.34+ 15.38 ( 12 )=9661.9
Y 13=9477.34+ 15.38 ( 13 )=9677.28
Y 14=9477.34 +15.38 ( 14 )=9692.66
Y 15=9477.34+ 15.38 ( 15 )=9708.04
Y 16=9477.34 +15.38 (16 )=9723.42
Y 17=9477.34 +15.38 (17 )=9738.8
RESUMEN TABULADO
PERIODO
CANTIDAD REAL
9357
R.L. Y =Y =9477.34+15.38 ( X )
9492.72
9050
9508.1
9760
9523.48
9560
9538.86
9850
9554.24
9555
9569.62
9681
9585
9662
9600.38
9687
9615.76
10
9646
9631.14
11
9669
9646.52
12
9666
9661.9
13
9667
9677.28
14
9662
9692.66
15
9666
9708.04
16
9665
9723.42
17
9665
9738.8
RESUMEN AJUSTADO
PERIODO
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
CANTIDAD REAL
9357
9050
9760
9560
9850
9555
9681
9662
9687
9646
R.L. Y= 9477.34+15.38(X)
9493
9508
9523
9539
9554
9570
9585
9600
9616
9631
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
9669
9666
9667
9662
9666
9665
9665
9647
9662
9677
9693
9708
9723
9739
R.L. Y= 9477.34+15.38(X)
10000
9800
9600
9400
9200
9000
8800
8600
10
12
14
16
18