MISSOURI

1st CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
2015

Survey conducted November 5 November 6, 2015. 651 likely Democratic primary voters participated in
the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics for the 2016 Democratic Primary
Election. Margin of Error is +/-4%. Totals do not always equal 100% due to rounding. Margins of Error
within specific demographics (crosstabs) is significantly higher due to smaller sample size. Survey
conducted by Remington Research Group on behalf of Missouri Scout.

Missouri Scout www.moscout.com

Q: What is your opinion of Lacy Clay?

Favorable..51%
Unfavorable19%
No opinion..30%

Q: What is your opinion of Maria Chappelle-Nadal?

Favorable..29%
Unfavorable.23%
No opinion48%

Q: The candidates in the Democratic Primary Election for United States Congress are Lacy Clay and
Maria Chappelle-Nadal. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
Lacy Clay53%
Maria Chappelle-Nadal19%
Undecided28%

Q: Of the two candidates in the Democratic primary for United States Congress, which do you trust more
to deal with issues related to Ferguson?
Lacy Clay37%
Maria Chappelle-Nadal..25%
Unsure38%

Q: Of the two candidates in the Democratic primary for United States Congress, which do you trust more
to deal with the Bridgeton landfill situation?
Lacy Clay36%
Maria Chappelle-Nadal..23%
Unsure41%

Missouri Scout www.moscout.com

Q: What is your opinion of Lacy Clay?

BY STATE SENATE DISTRICT
Column %
SD 1 SD 4
Favorable
27% 46%
Unfavorable 37% 24%
No opinion
36% 30%
BY GENDER
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion
BY RACE
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion
BY AGE
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion

Female
52%
16%
31%

SD 13
61%
17%
22%

SD 14
53%
15%
31%

SD 24
41%
31%
28%

Male
48%
24%
28%

White
39%
25%
36%

18-29
40%
20%
40%

SD 5
50%
15%
34%

African-American
61%
15%
24%

30-39
39%
22%
39%

40-49
56%
16%
28%

50-69
51%
22%
27%

Other
33%
20%
47%

70+
54%
15%
31%

Missouri Scout www.moscout.com

Q: What is your opinion of Maria Chappelle-Nadal?

BY STATE SENATE DISTRICT
Column %
SD 1 SD 4
Favorable
34% 25%
Unfavorable 16% 26%
No opinion
50% 49%
BY GENDER
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion
BY RACE
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion
BY AGE
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion

Female
28%
21%
51%

SD 13
30%
20%
50%

SD 14
42%
25%
33%

SD 24
15%
45%
40%

Male
31%
27%
43%

White
20%
30%
50%

18-29
32%
18%
50%

SD 5
25%
16%
60%

African-American
37%
17%
46%

30-39
23%
29%
48%

40-49
31%
20%
48%

50-69
33%
24%
44%

Other
27%
31%
42%

70+
22%
24%
54%

Missouri Scout www.moscout.com

Q: The candidates in the Democratic Primary Election for United States Congress are Lacy Clay and
Maria Chappelle-Nadal. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
BY STATE SENATE DISTRICT
Column %
SD 1
Lacy Clay
46%
Maria Chappelle-Nadal 32%
Undecided
22%
BY GENDER
Column %
Lacy Clay
Maria Chappelle-Nadal
Undecided

SD 4
50%
18%
32%

Female
54%
16%
29%

SD 5
52%
17%
30%

White
47%
21%
32%

18-29
44%
29%
26%

SD 14
54%
22%
24%

SD 24
50%
16%
34%

Male
51%
22%
26%

BY RACE
Column %
Lacy Clay
Maria Chappelle-Nadal
Undecided
BY AGE
Column %
Lacy Clay
Maria Chappelle-Nadal
Undecided

SD 13
58%
17%
25%

30-39
45%
14%
41%

40-49
50%
21%
29%

African-American
58%
18%
25%

50-69
54%
21%
26%

70+
60%
13%
27%

Missouri Scout www.moscout.com

Other
50%
14%
36%

Q: Of the two candidates in the Democratic primary for United States Congress, which do you trust more
to deal with issues related to Ferguson?
BY STATE SENATE DISTRICT
Column %
SD 1
Lacy Clay
35%
Maria Chappelle-Nadal 37%
Unsure
28%
BY GENDER
Column %
Lacy Clay
Maria Chappelle-Nadal
Unsure
BY RACE
Column %
Lacy Clay
Maria Chappelle-Nadal
Unsure
BY AGE
Column %
Lacy Clay
Maria Chappelle-Nadal
Unsure

SD 4
35%
26%
39%

Female
39%
24%
37%

SD 5
32%
19%
49%

SD 14
35%
34%
31%

SD 24
42%
18%
40%

Male
34%
27%
38%

White
30%
23%
47%

18-29
31%
30%
39%

SD 13
44%
23%
33%

African-American
43%
27%
30%

30-39
32%
15%
52%

40-49
35%
27%
38%

50-69
37%
28%
34%

Other
26%
29%
45%

70+
41%
21%
38%

Missouri Scout www.moscout.com

Q: Of the two candidates in the Democratic primary for United States Congress, which do you trust more
to deal with the Bridgeton landfill situation?
BY STATE SENATE DISTRICT
Column %
SD 1
Lacy Clay
34%
Maria Chappelle-Nadal 33%
Unsure
32%
BY GENDER
Column %
Lacy Clay
Maria Chappelle-Nadal
Unsure
BY RACE
Column %
Lacy Clay
Maria Chappelle-Nadal
Unsure
BY AGE
Column %
Lacy Clay
Maria Chappelle-Nadal
Unsure

SD 4
36%
24%
40%

Female
36%
22%
42%

SD 5
34%
19%
47%

SD 14
32%
29%
38%

SD 24
33%
20%
47%

Male
37%
25%
38%

White
30%
24%
46%

18-29
22%
37%
41%

SD 13
44%
21%
36%

African-American
42%
23%
36%

30-39
30%
20%
50%

40-49
32%
27%
41%

50-69
39%
24%
37%

Other
29%
21%
50%

70+
39%
18%
43%

Missouri Scout www.moscout.com

DEMOGRAPHICS

STATE SENATE DISTRICT

1
4
5
13
14
24
Gender
Female
Male

%
57%
43%

AGE
18-29
30-39
40-49
50-69
70+

%
7%
10%
13%
47%
23%

Race
White
African-American
Other

%
3%
25%
22%
21%
22%
7%

%
43%
54%
3%

Missouri Scout www.moscout.com