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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Texas
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

984 Republican Likely Voters


January 18-21, 2016

4.4%

1. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67%
Some . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
No attention so far . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%

2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Texas?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .93%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%

3. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Texas Republican Presidential primary
in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Jeb Bush . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Chris Christie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%
Carly Fiorina . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Jim Gilmore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Mike Huckabee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Rand Paul . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Rick Santorum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas
4. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%


Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Not too strong Ill probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%

5. What could [Candidate Name] do to make you completely decided?


Asked of Republican primary voters who are not very strongly decided

Convince me they can really win . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%


Convince me they stand with me on the issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Convince me they can be effective in the job . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Im never completely decided until Election Day . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
None of these . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%

6. Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could
consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Chris Christie
Jeb Bush
John Kasich
Ben Carson

Yes, could consider


56%
73%
59%
30%
28%
20%
58%

No, could never consider


44%
27%
41%
70%
72%
80%
42%

7. In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidates approach would probably be...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio

Too extreme
44%
14%
7%

About right
46%
77%
47%

Too moderate
10%
9%
46%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas
8. Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio

Yes, consistent
61%
86%
52%

No, not consistent


39%
14%
48%

9. Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these
candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio

Understands
77%
81%
57%

Doesnt understand
23%
19%
43%

10. Whats most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Defend my faith and religious values . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%


Win the General election in November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
Fight terrorism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Shake up politics-as-usual . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Bring back jobs and the American economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%

11. Do you think Ted Cruzs birthplace is a serious issue or not?


Asked of Republican primary voters

Serious . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Not serious . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86%

12. Does Donald Trumps being from New York make you think better of him, worse of him, or
does it not matter to you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Better . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Worse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Does not matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas
13. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?
Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .55%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%

14. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?*


Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%

15. Thinking about politics these days, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?*
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Very Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%

16. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?


Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%

Questions marked with an asterisk are only asked for respondents who had not answered in previous waves.
Earlier responses were used where available.

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas
17. Are you male or female?
Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%

18. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%

19. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?


White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%

20. What is the highest level of education you have completed?


HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas
1. Attention to Campaign
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

67%
27%
5%
1%

74%
23%
2%
0%

59%
32%
8%
1%

62%
34%
4%
0%

58%
31%
10%
1%

68%
28%
4%
1%

76%
21%
3%
0%

67%
27%
5%
1%

66%
26%
8%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(519)

(460)

(91)

(186)

(450)

(251)

(847)

100%

(979)

(15)

(92)

(25)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Texas?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

93%
6%
1%
0%
0%
0%

95%
4%
1%
0%
0%
0%

90%
9%
1%
0%
0%
0%

85%
9%
4%
1%
0%
0%

86%
13%
1%
0%
0%
0%

95%
4%
1%
0%
0%
0%

96%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%

93%
6%
1%
0%
0%
0%

91%
8%
1%
0%
0%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(520)

(464)

(91)

(191)

(452)

(251)

(851)

100%

(984)

(15)

(93)

(25)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

3. First Choice Republican Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Texas Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

4%
5%
2%
45%
1%
0%
1%
1%
2%
8%
0%
30%
1%

3%
2%
1%
49%
2%
0%
1%
1%
3%
8%
0%
29%
0%

5%
7%
2%
41%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
9%
0%
32%
1%

3%
8%
8%
33%
0%
0%
1%
5%
2%
15%
0%
24%
2%

4%
4%
1%
35%
3%
0%
1%
1%
7%
11%
0%
31%
2%

3%
4%
1%
54%
1%
0%
0%
1%
1%
6%
0%
29%
0%

5%
4%
1%
41%
1%
0%
3%
0%
1%
8%
0%
35%
0%

3%
4%
1%
45%
1%
0%
2%
1%
2%
9%
0%
30%
1%

14%
1%
4%
43%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
2%
0%
32%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(518)

(464)

(91)

(190)

(450)

(251)

(849)

100%

(982)

(15)

(93)

(25)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

4. Republican Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

40%
39%
20%
1%

43%
41%
15%
1%

37%
37%
25%
2%

41%
29%
28%
1%

29%
42%
26%
4%

41%
41%
18%
0%

47%
37%
15%
0%

40%
40%
19%
1%

45%
30%
25%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(517)

(457)

(90)

(187)

(448)

(250)

(843)

100%

(974)

(14)

(92)

(24)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

5. Republican Candidate Certainty


What could [Candidate Name] do to make you completely decided?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not very strongly decided

Gender
Convince me they can really win
Convince me they stand with me on
the issues
Convince me they can be effective in
the job
Im never completely decided until
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

37%

45%

29%

18%

34%

41%

40%

37%

37%

21%

22%

20%

27%

23%

20%

19%

21%

18%

24%

15%

33%

24%

24%

23%

23%

23%

29%

11%
7%

11%
8%

10%
8%

31%
1%

7%
12%

10%
6%

8%
10%

11%
8%

12%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(293)

(282)

(52)

(129)

(263)

(132)

(502)

100%

(575)

(7)

(51)

(15)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

6. Republican Candidate Consideration Donald Trump


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

56%
44%

61%
39%

50%
50%

23%
77%

42%
58%

61%
39%

70%
30%

58%
42%

41%
59%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(346)

(290)

(61)

(120)

(303)

(152)

(550)

100%

(635)

(10)

(56)

(19)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

7. Republican Candidate Consideration Ted Cruz


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

73%
27%

76%
24%

70%
30%

51%
49%

66%
34%

75%
25%

84%
16%

77%
23%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(511)

(253)

(259)

(58)

(117)

(195)

(141)

(449)

(9)

(44)

(9)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

8. Republican Candidate Consideration Marco Rubio


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

59%
41%

60%
40%

58%
42%

68%
32%

57%
43%

59%
41%

56%
44%

57%
43%

74%
26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(435)

(385)

(69)

(160)

(387)

(203)

(704)

100%

(820)

(13)

(81)

(22)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

9. Republican Candidate Consideration Chris Christie


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

30%
70%

33%
67%

27%
73%

42%
58%

28%
72%

29%
71%

31%
69%

31%
69%

30%
70%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(465)

(405)

(76)

(174)

(408)

(213)

(758)

100%

(871)

(13)

(79)

(21)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

10. Republican Candidate Consideration Jeb Bush


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

28%
72%

25%
75%

32%
68%

42%
58%

33%
67%

24%
76%

27%
73%

28%
72%

38%
62%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(453)

(401)

(79)

(168)

(402)

(205)

(744)

100%

(854)

(13)

(76)

(21)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

11. Republican Candidate Consideration John Kasich


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

20%
80%

21%
79%

19%
81%

31%
69%

19%
81%

16%
84%

26%
74%

20%
80%

20%
80%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(459)

(403)

(78)

(173)

(400)

(211)

(753)

100%

(862)

(10)

(79)

(21)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

12. Republican Candidate Consideration Ben Carson


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

58%
42%

57%
43%

60%
40%

31%
69%

60%
40%

63%
37%

58%
42%

60%
40%

40%
60%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(463)

(387)

(77)

(173)

(392)

(208)

(747)

100%

(850)

(11)

(75)

(17)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

13. Republican Candidate Approach Donald Trump


In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidates approach would probably be...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

44%
46%
10%

38%
49%
13%

50%
44%
6%

56%
28%
16%

52%
41%
7%

41%
48%
11%

38%
55%
7%

44%
47%
10%

43%
50%
7%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(517)

(458)

(85)

(191)

(449)

(251)

(849)

100%

(976)

(15)

(87)

(25)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

14. Republican Candidate Approach Ted Cruz


In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidates approach would probably be...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

14%
77%
9%

13%
80%
7%

15%
73%
12%

30%
67%
3%

19%
68%
13%

11%
80%
8%

9%
81%
11%

13%
78%
9%

17%
71%
12%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(509)

(458)

(90)

(189)

(439)

(249)

(844)

100%

(967)

(13)

(86)

(25)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

15. Republican Candidate Approach Marco Rubio


In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidates approach would probably be...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

7%
47%
46%

7%
42%
51%

8%
52%
40%

9%
48%
43%

11%
50%
39%

6%
45%
48%

5%
48%
47%

7%
48%
45%

10%
49%
41%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(512)

(451)

(84)

(190)

(439)

(250)

(844)

100%

(964)

(13)

(82)

(25)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

16. Republican Candidate Consistency Donald Trump


Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

61%
39%

57%
43%

65%
35%

46%
54%

62%
38%

56%
44%

73%
27%

62%
38%

56%
44%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(515)

(456)

(91)

(186)

(445)

(249)

(839)

100%

(971)

(15)

(92)

(25)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

17. Republican Candidate Consistency Ted Cruz


Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

86%
14%

86%
14%

85%
15%

83%
17%

76%
24%

89%
11%

87%
13%

87%
13%

83%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(513)

(442)

(89)

(185)

(436)

(245)

(831)

100%

(955)

(13)

(87)

(25)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

18. Republican Candidate Consistency Marco Rubio


Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

52%
48%

44%
56%

61%
39%

58%
42%

56%
44%

52%
48%

46%
54%

52%
48%

54%
46%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(511)

(446)

(89)

(185)

(434)

(249)

(837)

100%

(957)

(10)

(86)

(25)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

19. Republican Candidate Understanding Donald Trump


Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

77%
23%

79%
21%

75%
25%

51%
49%

64%
36%

84%
16%

83%
17%

79%
21%

63%
37%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(516)

(463)

(91)

(191)

(451)

(246)

(847)

100%

(979)

(15)

(93)

(25)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

20. Republican Candidate Understanding Ted Cruz


Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

81%
19%

83%
17%

80%
20%

70%
30%

69%
31%

85%
15%

88%
12%

83%
17%

67%
33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(518)

(456)

(91)

(189)

(446)

(248)

(848)

100%

(974)

(15)

(87)

(25)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

21. Republican Candidate Understanding Marco Rubio


Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

57%
43%

53%
47%

62%
38%

61%
39%

56%
44%

60%
40%

51%
49%

56%
44%

79%
21%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(516)

(451)

(91)

(189)

(439)

(248)

(845)

100%

(967)

(11)

(87)

(25)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

22. Republican Vote Reasons


Whats most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

13%
30%
12%
16%

9%
34%
7%
23%

18%
25%
17%
9%

7%
10%
11%
28%

13%
30%
17%
13%

13%
28%
8%
18%

16%
40%
15%
12%

13%
31%
12%
16%

3%
22%
13%
23%

29%

27%

31%

44%

28%

32%

18%

27%

38%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(519)

(459)

(91)

(186)

(450)

(251)

(845)

100%

(978)

(15)

(93)

(25)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

23. Ted Cruz Birthplace


Do you think Ted Cruzs birthplace is a serious issue or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Serious
Not serious
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

14%
86%

14%
86%

14%
86%

20%
80%

26%
74%

11%
89%

9%
91%

14%
86%

13%
87%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(519)

(464)

(91)

(191)

(450)

(251)

(850)

100%

(983)

(15)

(93)

(25)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas

24. Donald Trump NY Values


Does Donald Trumps being from New York make you think better of him, worse of him, or does it not matter to you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

3%
16%
81%

2%
20%
78%

3%
13%
84%

2%
17%
82%

2%
17%
80%

4%
19%
77%

1%
12%
87%

2%
16%
82%

8%
20%
73%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(519)

(464)

(91)

(191)

(452)

(250)

(851)

100%

(983)

(15)

(93)

(25)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

984 Likely Republican Primary Voters


January 18-21, 2016

4.4%

1. Attention to Campaign
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Ideology
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

67%
27%
5%
1%

77%
19%
3%
1%

64%
31%
5%
0%

58%
38%
2%
2%

77%
20%
2%
1%

56%
35%
8%
1%

66%
27%
6%
1%

73%
24%
3%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(979)

(430)

(373)

(113)

(531)

(434)

(620)

(307)

Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

67%
27%
5%
1%

74%
23%
2%
0%

59%
32%
8%
1%

62%
34%
4%
0%

58%
31%
10%
1%

68%
28%
4%
1%

76%
21%
3%
0%

66%
29%
5%
1%

77%
20%
3%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(979)

(519)

(460)

(91)

(186)

(450)

(251)

(770)

(165)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

2. First Choice Republican Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Texas Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

4%
5%
2%
45%
1%
0%
1%
1%
2%
8%
0%
30%
1%

2%
3%
0%
57%
0%
0%
3%
0%
1%
5%
0%
30%
0%

4%
8%
1%
41%
2%
0%
0%
1%
3%
11%
0%
28%
1%

6%
3%
10%
15%
3%
0%
0%
4%
4%
15%
1%
37%
1%

1%
3%
1%
58%
1%
0%
2%
0%
1%
3%
0%
29%
0%

7%
6%
3%
28%
2%
0%
1%
2%
4%
14%
0%
31%
2%

3%
6%
0%
46%
1%
0%
2%
1%
2%
8%
0%
30%
1%

6%
2%
5%
42%
1%
0%
0%
2%
2%
8%
0%
30%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(982)

(430)

(374)

(111)

(532)

(436)

(624)

(307)

Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

4%
5%
2%
45%
1%
0%
1%
1%
2%
8%
0%
30%
1%

3%
2%
1%
49%
2%
0%
1%
1%
3%
8%
0%
29%
0%

5%
7%
2%
41%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
9%
0%
32%
1%

3%
8%
8%
33%
0%
0%
1%
5%
2%
15%
0%
24%
2%

4%
4%
1%
35%
3%
0%
1%
1%
7%
11%
0%
31%
2%

3%
4%
1%
54%
1%
0%
0%
1%
1%
6%
0%
29%
0%

5%
4%
1%
41%
1%
0%
3%
0%
1%
8%
0%
35%
0%

5%
5%
1%
46%
1%
0%
2%
1%
2%
9%
0%
29%
1%

1%
3%
5%
41%
3%
0%
0%
3%
3%
7%
0%
34%
1%

continued on the next page . . .

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

continued from previous page


Age group

Gender

Totals
(Weighted N)

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(982)

(518)

(464)

(91)

(190)

(450)

(251)

(768)

(165)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

3. Republican Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

40%
39%
20%
1%

49%
39%
11%
1%

32%
45%
22%
1%

30%
26%
41%
3%

48%
39%
12%
1%

31%
38%
29%
2%

42%
39%
18%
1%

40%
38%
21%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(974)

(430)

(371)

(110)

(532)

(429)

(619)

(306)

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

40%
39%
20%
1%

43%
41%
15%
1%

37%
37%
25%
2%

41%
29%
28%
1%

29%
42%
26%
4%

41%
41%
18%
0%

47%
37%
15%
0%

40%
40%
20%
1%

38%
39%
21%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(974)

(517)

(457)

(90)

(187)

(448)

(250)

(762)

(163)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

4. Republican Candidate Certainty


What could [Candidate Name] do to make you completely decided?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not very strongly decided

Ideology
Convince me they can really win
Convince me they stand with me on
the issues
Convince me they can be effective in
the job
Im never completely decided until
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

37%

37%

41%

33%

40%

35%

39%

38%

21%

23%

20%

16%

22%

21%

21%

21%

24%

19%

21%

35%

21%

24%

22%

24%

11%
7%

11%
9%

11%
7%

6%
10%

10%
7%

12%
9%

10%
9%

11%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(575)

(218)

(251)

(77)

(275)

(289)

(356)

(183)

Gender
Convince me they can really win
Convince me they stand with me on
the issues
Convince me they can be effective in
the job
Im never completely decided until
Election Day
None of these

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

37%

45%

29%

18%

34%

41%

40%

39%

31%

21%

22%

20%

27%

23%

20%

19%

19%

28%

24%

15%

33%

24%

24%

23%

23%

24%

24%

11%
7%

11%
8%

10%
8%

31%
1%

7%
12%

10%
6%

8%
10%

11%
8%

9%
8%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(575)

(293)

(282)

(52)

(129)

(263)

(132)

(458)

(101)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

5. Republican Candidate Consideration Donald Trump


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

56%
44%

61%
39%

53%
47%

53%
47%

69%
31%

39%
61%

55%
45%

60%
40%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(635)

(279)

(258)

(63)

(356)

(271)

(404)

(201)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

56%
44%

61%
39%

50%
50%

23%
77%

42%
58%

61%
39%

70%
30%

55%
45%

62%
38%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(635)

(346)

(290)

(61)

(120)

(303)

(152)

(514)

(99)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

6. Republican Candidate Consideration Ted Cruz


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

73%
27%

86%
14%

74%
26%

54%
46%

88%
12%

62%
38%

79%
21%

65%
35%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(511)

(177)

(211)

(90)

(216)

(290)

(315)

(172)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

73%
27%

76%
24%

70%
30%

51%
49%

66%
34%

75%
25%

84%
16%

77%
23%

55%
45%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(511)

(253)

(259)

(58)

(117)

(195)

(141)

(397)

(91)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

7. Republican Candidate Consideration Marco Rubio


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

59%
41%

55%
45%

66%
34%

63%
37%

58%
42%

62%
38%

58%
42%

65%
35%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(820)

(368)

(307)

(90)

(470)

(337)

(516)

(260)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

59%
41%

60%
40%

58%
42%

68%
32%

57%
43%

59%
41%

56%
44%

62%
38%

49%
51%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(820)

(435)

(385)

(69)

(160)

(387)

(203)

(636)

(147)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

8. Republican Candidate Consideration Chris Christie


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

30%
70%

28%
72%

34%
66%

35%
65%

28%
72%

34%
66%

27%
73%

39%
61%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(871)

(382)

(342)

(94)

(478)

(379)

(557)

(266)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

30%
70%

33%
67%

27%
73%

42%
58%

28%
72%

29%
71%

31%
69%

32%
68%

25%
75%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(871)

(465)

(405)

(76)

(174)

(408)

(213)

(694)

(144)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

9. Republican Candidate Consideration Jeb Bush


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

28%
72%

20%
80%

32%
68%

45%
55%

18%
82%

43%
57%

27%
73%

30%
70%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(854)

(382)

(329)

(98)

(478)

(362)

(548)

(260)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

28%
72%

25%
75%

32%
68%

42%
58%

33%
67%

24%
76%

27%
73%

30%
70%

18%
82%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(854)

(453)

(401)

(79)

(168)

(402)

(205)

(663)

(152)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

10. Republican Candidate Consideration John Kasich


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

20%
80%

19%
81%

21%
79%

28%
72%

20%
80%

21%
79%

21%
79%

21%
79%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(862)

(374)

(338)

(100)

(473)

(376)

(541)

(274)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

20%
80%

21%
79%

19%
81%

31%
69%

19%
81%

16%
84%

26%
74%

20%
80%

22%
78%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(862)

(459)

(403)

(78)

(173)

(400)

(211)

(683)

(148)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

11. Republican Candidate Consideration Ben Carson


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

58%
42%

67%
33%

55%
45%

36%
64%

67%
33%

46%
54%

60%
40%

55%
45%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(850)

(379)

(321)

(102)

(474)

(363)

(534)

(268)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

58%
42%

57%
43%

60%
40%

31%
69%

60%
40%

63%
37%

58%
42%

58%
42%

59%
41%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(850)

(463)

(387)

(77)

(173)

(392)

(208)

(662)

(151)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

12. Republican Candidate Approach Donald Trump


In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidates approach would probably be...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

44%
46%
10%

36%
51%
12%

50%
41%
9%

48%
50%
2%

31%
54%
15%

59%
37%
4%

43%
45%
12%

45%
49%
6%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(976)

(429)

(373)

(113)

(532)

(430)

(625)

(305)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

44%
46%
10%

38%
49%
13%

50%
44%
6%

56%
28%
16%

52%
41%
7%

41%
48%
11%

38%
55%
7%

45%
45%
10%

40%
50%
10%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(976)

(517)

(458)

(85)

(191)

(449)

(251)

(764)

(164)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

13. Republican Candidate Approach Ted Cruz


In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidates approach would probably be...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

14%
77%
9%

5%
90%
6%

17%
74%
9%

36%
48%
16%

5%
89%
6%

25%
62%
13%

11%
81%
8%

20%
70%
10%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(967)

(419)

(370)

(113)

(528)

(426)

(612)

(304)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

14%
77%
9%

13%
80%
7%

15%
73%
12%

30%
67%
3%

19%
68%
13%

11%
80%
8%

9%
81%
11%

12%
78%
10%

23%
69%
8%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(967)

(509)

(458)

(90)

(189)

(439)

(249)

(763)

(163)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

14. Republican Candidate Approach Marco Rubio


In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidates approach would probably be...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

7%
47%
46%

4%
41%
55%

8%
52%
40%

16%
53%
31%

4%
40%
55%

11%
56%
33%

7%
48%
46%

7%
49%
44%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(964)

(419)

(371)

(113)

(526)

(424)

(615)

(305)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

7%
47%
46%

7%
42%
51%

8%
52%
40%

9%
48%
43%

11%
50%
39%

6%
45%
48%

5%
48%
47%

6%
50%
44%

12%
36%
52%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(964)

(512)

(451)

(84)

(190)

(439)

(250)

(758)

(163)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

15. Republican Candidate Consistency Donald Trump


Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

61%
39%

58%
42%

59%
41%

69%
31%

60%
40%

61%
39%

60%
40%

61%
39%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(971)

(429)

(368)

(113)

(526)

(431)

(620)

(300)

Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

61%
39%

57%
43%

65%
35%

46%
54%

62%
38%

56%
44%

73%
27%

61%
39%

58%
42%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(971)

(515)

(456)

(91)

(186)

(445)

(249)

(764)

(163)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

16. Republican Candidate Consistency Ted Cruz


Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

86%
14%

92%
8%

83%
17%

65%
35%

91%
9%

78%
22%

85%
15%

86%
14%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(955)

(424)

(364)

(105)

(524)

(418)

(603)

(301)

Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

86%
14%

86%
14%

85%
15%

83%
17%

76%
24%

89%
11%

87%
13%

87%
13%

78%
22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(955)

(513)

(442)

(89)

(185)

(436)

(245)

(755)

(161)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

17. Republican Candidate Consistency Marco Rubio


Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

52%
48%

43%
57%

58%
42%

57%
43%

42%
58%

63%
37%

51%
49%

51%
49%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(957)

(421)

(367)

(108)

(525)

(419)

(605)

(302)

Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

52%
48%

44%
56%

61%
39%

58%
42%

56%
44%

52%
48%

46%
54%

54%
46%

42%
58%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(957)

(511)

(446)

(89)

(185)

(434)

(249)

(761)

(158)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

18. Republican Candidate Understanding Donald Trump


Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

77%
23%

84%
16%

76%
24%

69%
31%

86%
14%

66%
34%

78%
22%

76%
24%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(979)

(429)

(370)

(113)

(531)

(435)

(622)

(306)

Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

77%
23%

79%
21%

75%
25%

51%
49%

64%
36%

84%
16%

83%
17%

76%
24%

83%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(979)

(516)

(463)

(91)

(191)

(451)

(246)

(766)

(164)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

19. Republican Candidate Understanding Ted Cruz


Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

81%
19%

94%
6%

76%
24%

57%
43%

93%
7%

67%
33%

83%
17%

78%
22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(974)

(425)

(370)

(113)

(532)

(429)

(618)

(305)

Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

81%
19%

83%
17%

80%
20%

70%
30%

69%
31%

85%
15%

88%
12%

83%
17%

74%
26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(974)

(518)

(456)

(91)

(189)

(446)

(248)

(767)

(164)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

20. Republican Candidate Understanding Marco Rubio


Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

57%
43%

55%
45%

57%
43%

56%
44%

54%
46%

60%
40%

57%
43%

58%
42%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(967)

(423)

(371)

(108)

(531)

(423)

(612)

(305)

Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

57%
43%

53%
47%

62%
38%

61%
39%

56%
44%

60%
40%

51%
49%

59%
41%

49%
51%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(967)

(516)

(451)

(91)

(189)

(439)

(248)

(764)

(160)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

21. Republican Vote Reasons


Whats most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

13%
30%
12%
16%

18%
29%
8%
20%

9%
36%
13%
14%

11%
26%
11%
12%

12%
31%
11%
21%

15%
30%
14%
11%

19%
31%
9%
16%

2%
29%
15%
18%

29%

24%

27%

40%

26%

30%

24%

35%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(978)

(429)

(374)

(112)

(531)

(433)

(620)

(307)

Gender
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy

Tea Party

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

13%
30%
12%
16%

9%
34%
7%
23%

18%
25%
17%
9%

7%
10%
11%
28%

13%
30%
17%
13%

13%
28%
8%
18%

16%
40%
15%
12%

13%
33%
13%
14%

14%
21%
6%
23%

29%

27%

31%

44%

28%

32%

18%

27%

36%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(978)

(519)

(459)

(91)

(186)

(450)

(251)

(770)

(163)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

22. Ted Cruz Birthplace


Do you think Ted Cruzs birthplace is a serious issue or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Serious
Not serious
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

14%
86%

15%
85%

12%
88%

16%
84%

11%
89%

18%
82%

15%
85%

13%
87%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(983)

(429)

(373)

(113)

(532)

(437)

(626)

(306)

Gender
Serious
Not serious

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

14%
86%

14%
86%

14%
86%

20%
80%

26%
74%

11%
89%

9%
91%

15%
85%

14%
86%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(983)

(519)

(464)

(91)

(191)

(450)

(251)

(769)

(165)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Texas Likely Republican Voters

23. Donald Trump NY Values


Does Donald Trumps being from New York make you think better of him, worse of him, or does it not matter to you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

3%
16%
81%

4%
21%
75%

2%
14%
84%

2%
7%
91%

2%
21%
77%

4%
11%
86%

2%
17%
81%

4%
16%
80%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(983)

(430)

(374)

(113)

(532)

(438)

(625)

(307)

Gender
Better
Worse
Does not matter

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

3%
16%
81%

2%
20%
78%

3%
13%
84%

2%
17%
82%

2%
17%
80%

4%
19%
77%

1%
12%
87%

2%
16%
82%

1%
20%
79%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(983)

(519)

(464)

(91)

(191)

(452)

(250)

(770)

(164)

24