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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

South Carolina
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

1370 Registered Voters


January 17-21, 2016

5.3%

1. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%
Some . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
No attention so far . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in South Carolina?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .73%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

3. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina
4. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Republican Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Jeb Bush . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Chris Christie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Carly Fiorina . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Jim Gilmore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Mike Huckabee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Rand Paul . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Rick Santorum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .0%

5. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Democratic
Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .60%


Martin OMalley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2%

6. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%


Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Not too strong Ill probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina
7. What could [Candidate Name] do to make you completely decided?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not very strongly decided

Convince me they can really win . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%


Convince me they stand with me on the issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Convince me they can be effective in the job . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Im never completely decided until Election Day . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
None of these . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%

8. How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Enthusiastic about [Candidate Name] . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59%


Supporting [Candidate Name] but with some reservations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Considering [Candidate Name] mainly because you dislike the other choices so
far . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%

9. Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could
consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Chris Christie
Jeb Bush
John Kasich
Ben Carson

Yes, could consider


48%
60%
57%
37%
32%
19%
56%

No, could never consider


52%
40%
43%
63%
68%
81%
44%

10. In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidates approach would probably be...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio

Too extreme
47%
22%
11%

About right
50%
63%
53%

Too moderate
3%
16%
36%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina
11. Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio

Yes, consistent
70%
68%
54%

No, not consistent


30%
32%
46%

12. Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these
candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio

Understands
77%
74%
65%

Doesnt understand
23%
26%
35%

13. Whats most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Defend my faith and religious values . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%


Win the General election in November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Fight terrorism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Shake up politics-as-usual . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Bring back jobs and the American economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%

14. Do you think Ted Cruzs birthplace is a serious issue or not?


Asked of Republican primary voters

Serious . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Not serious . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74%

15. Does Donald Trumps being from New York make you think better of him, worse of him, or
does it not matter to you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Better . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Worse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Does not matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina
16. Regardless of who youre supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Health care policy


Wall Street reform
Terrorism
Taxes
The economy and
jobs
Gun policy

Hillary Clinton
55%
36%
57%
46%

Bernie Sanders
30%
48%
23%
35%

Both equally
15%
16%
20%
19%

43%
47%

33%
25%

24%
28%

17. From what youve seen or heard, which better describes the candidates policy proposals...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Realistic
73%
38%

Idealistic
27%
62%

18. Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these
candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Understands
69%
77%

Doesnt understand
31%
23%

19. As President, would each candidate ultimately do...?


Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

What big donors want


49%
22%

What regular people


want
51%
78%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina
20. When you vote in the South Carolina primary, you will be most satisfied about having a
chance to...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Support an historic candidacy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%


Shake up politics-as-usual . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Get progressive things done . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
Give the Democrats a good chance to win in November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%

21. Do you think Hillary Clinton has criticized Bernie Sanders unfairly, or has she made fair
points?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Her critiques have been unfair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%


She has made fair points . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .44%
Have not heard criticism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%

22. Do you think Bernie Sanders has criticized Hillary Clinton unfairly, or has he made fair
points?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

His critiques have been unfair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%


He has made fair points . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%
Have not heard criticism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%

23. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?


Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%

24. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?*


Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%

Questions marked with an asterisk are only asked for respondents who had not answered in previous waves.
Earlier responses were used where available.

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina
25. Thinking about politics these days, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?*
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Very Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%

26. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?


Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%

27. Are you male or female?


Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55%

28. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina
29. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?
White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%

30. What is the highest level of education you have completed?


HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina
1. Attention to Campaign
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Gender
Total
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

45%
37%
16%
2%

60%
30%
10%
0%

32%
43%
21%
4%

28%
37%
35%
0%

35%
38%
19%
7%

50%
37%
12%
1%

55%
36%
9%
0%

50%
34%
15%
1%

30%
46%
19%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,370)

(616)

(753)

(164)

(327)

(599)

(280)

(995)

(347)

Hispanic

(8)

Other

(20)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in South Carolina?
Gender
Total
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

73%
13%
6%
5%
1%
2%

82%
8%
1%
4%
1%
4%

66%
17%
10%
5%
1%
1%

57%
11%
31%
0%
0%
0%

70%
16%
2%
8%
2%
1%

74%
13%
3%
4%
1%
4%

84%
10%
1%
4%
1%
0%

71%
13%
6%
5%
2%
3%

79%
12%
6%
1%
0%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,369)

(615)

(753)

(164)

(326)

(600)

(279)

(994)

(347)

Hispanic

(8)

Other

(20)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

3. 2016 Primary Turnout


In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Gender
Total
Democratic
Republican
Neither
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

38%
35%
8%
19%

36%
41%
11%
12%

40%
29%
6%
24%

42%
16%
0%
42%

41%
29%
10%
20%

39%
36%
10%
15%

31%
50%
7%
12%

23%
46%
10%
21%

81%
1%
5%
12%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,370)

(616)

(753)

(164)

(327)

(600)

(280)

(995)

(347)

Hispanic

(8)

Other

(20)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

4. First Choice Republican Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Total
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

8%
9%
1%
21%
1%
0%
2%
2%
3%
13%
0%
40%
0%

3%
7%
2%
21%
0%
0%
1%
2%
6%
13%
0%
44%
1%

13%
11%
1%
20%
1%
0%
3%
1%
1%
13%
0%
35%
1%

0%
9%
0%
8%
0%
0%
6%
5%
27%
8%
0%
33%
3%

7%
16%
1%
29%
2%
0%
3%
1%
3%
9%
0%
30%
0%

10%
9%
1%
20%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
14%
0%
44%
1%

8%
6%
3%
20%
1%
0%
1%
3%
0%
16%
0%
42%
0%

8%
9%
2%
21%
1%
0%
2%
2%
3%
13%
0%
40%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(804)

(411)

(393)

(72)

(153)

(311)

(267)

(782)

Black

(5)

Hispanic

(6)

Other

(11)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

5. First Choice Democratic Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Total
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Female

60%
0%
38%
2%

50%
0%
49%
1%

67%
0%
31%
2%

100%

100%

100%

(388)

(167)

(221)

Race/Ethnicity

18-29

30-44

45-64

53%
0%
46%
1%

70%
0%
28%
2%

71%
0%
28%
1%

38%
0%
60%
2%

76%
0%
22%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(101)

(173)

(67)

(163)

(221)

(47)

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

(1)

Other

(3)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

6. Republican Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Total
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

42%
30%
24%
4%

43%
32%
24%
1%

40%
29%
24%
7%

53%
17%
23%
7%

41%
33%
23%
3%

42%
32%
21%
5%

39%
30%
28%
3%

42%
30%
23%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(797)

(407)

(391)

(70)

(153)

(308)

(266)

(775)

Black

(5)

Hispanic

(6)

Other

(11)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

7. Republican Candidate Certainty


What could [Candidate Name] do to make you completely decided?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not very strongly decided

Gender
Total
Convince me they can really win
Convince me they stand with me on
the issues
Convince me they can be effective in
the job
Im never completely decided until
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Female

Race/Ethnicity

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

33%

29%

37%

23%

31%

41%

34%

19%

19%

19%

20%

18%

16%

18%

31%

33%

29%

34%

34%

31%

31%

11%
5%

11%
8%

12%
3%

13%
11%

11%
5%

9%
3%

12%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(232)

(233)

100%

(464)

(90)

(180)

(161)

(446)

(33)

(5)

(6)

(8)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

8. Enthusiasm for First Choice


How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Total
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Female

59%
33%
7%

70%
29%
0%

51%
36%
13%

100%

100%

100%

(382)

(166)

(216)

Race/Ethnicity

18-29

30-44

45-64

63%
26%
11%

59%
38%
3%

56%
35%
9%

70%
26%
4%

52%
38%
10%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(100)

(169)

(67)

(160)

(218)

(46)

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

(1)

Other

(3)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

9. Republican Candidate Consideration Donald Trump


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Total
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Female

48%
52%

50%
50%

47%
53%

100%

100%

100%

(446)

(208)

(238)

Race/Ethnicity

18-29

30-44

45-64

56%
44%

52%
48%

49%
51%

47%
53%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(100)

(162)

(138)

(433)

(46)

65+

White

Black

(5)

Hispanic

(4)

Other

(4)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

10. Republican Candidate Consideration Ted Cruz


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Total
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

60%
40%

63%
37%

57%
43%

45%
55%

60%
40%

64%
36%

61%
39%

60%
40%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(587)

(294)

(292)

(60)

(105)

(231)

(191)

(573)

Black

(2)

Hispanic

(4)

Other

(7)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

11. Republican Candidate Consideration Marco Rubio


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Total
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Female

57%
43%

57%
43%

57%
43%

100%

100%

100%

(607)

(298)

(309)

Race/Ethnicity

18-29

30-44

45-64

56%
44%

56%
44%

66%
34%

57%
43%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(120)

(234)

(203)

(592)

(49)

65+

White

Black

(2)

Hispanic

(4)

Other

(9)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

12. Republican Candidate Consideration Chris Christie


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Total
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

37%
63%

36%
64%

38%
62%

11%
89%

34%
66%

36%
64%

48%
52%

37%
63%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(669)

(329)

(341)

(56)

(129)

(262)

(223)

(653)

Black

(2)

Hispanic

(6)

Other

(9)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

13. Republican Candidate Consideration Jeb Bush


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Total
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

32%
68%

26%
74%

38%
62%

35%
65%

33%
67%

32%
68%

30%
70%

32%
68%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(630)

(325)

(306)

(56)

(121)

(243)

(211)

(614)

Black

(2)

Hispanic

(6)

Other

(9)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

14. Republican Candidate Consideration John Kasich


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Total
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

19%
81%

21%
79%

17%
83%

5%
95%

20%
80%

20%
80%

21%
79%

19%
81%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(662)

(329)

(333)

(52)

(126)

(263)

(221)

(642)

Black

(5)

Hispanic

(6)

Other

(9)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

15. Republican Candidate Consideration Ben Carson


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Total
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

56%
44%

51%
49%

61%
39%

59%
41%

55%
45%

58%
42%

53%
47%

56%
44%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(636)

(323)

(313)

(61)

(104)

(256)

(214)

(622)

Black

(0)

Hispanic

(6)

Other

(8)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

16. Republican Candidate Approach Donald Trump


In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidates approach would probably be...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Total

Male

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

47%
50%
3%

43%
53%
4%

50%
48%
2%

75%
25%
0%

52%
45%
3%

38%
58%
3%

47%
50%
3%

47%
50%
3%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(771)

(389)

(382)

(55)

(153)

(306)

(257)

(751)

Black

(5)

Hispanic

(6)

Other

(9)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

17. Republican Candidate Approach Ted Cruz


In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidates approach would probably be...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Total

Male

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

22%
63%
16%

26%
62%
13%

17%
64%
19%

49%
34%
17%

18%
72%
10%

18%
63%
19%

21%
63%
15%

22%
62%
16%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(767)

(384)

(383)

(61)

(151)

(300)

(256)

(747)

Black

(5)

Hispanic

(6)

Other

(9)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

18. Republican Candidate Approach Marco Rubio


In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidates approach would probably be...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Total

Male

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

11%
53%
36%

12%
47%
41%

10%
60%
30%

47%
38%
15%

4%
47%
49%

8%
51%
40%

9%
64%
27%

11%
53%
36%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(761)

(385)

(376)

(55)

(152)

(299)

(254)

(740)

Black

(5)

Hispanic

(6)

Other

(9)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

19. Republican Candidate Consistency Donald Trump


Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Total
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

70%
30%

66%
34%

74%
26%

54%
46%

63%
37%

74%
26%

74%
26%

70%
30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(783)

(400)

(383)

(70)

(148)

(303)

(263)

(763)

Black

(5)

Hispanic

(6)

Other

(9)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

20. Republican Candidate Consistency Ted Cruz


Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Total
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

68%
32%

68%
32%

67%
33%

52%
48%

75%
25%

68%
32%

68%
32%

68%
32%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(774)

(399)

(375)

(70)

(148)

(300)

(256)

(754)

Black

(5)

Hispanic

(6)

Other

(9)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

21. Republican Candidate Consistency Marco Rubio


Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Total
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

54%
46%

48%
52%

60%
40%

54%
46%

51%
49%

51%
49%

58%
42%

54%
46%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(770)

(395)

(375)

(70)

(148)

(296)

(256)

(750)

Black

(5)

Hispanic

(6)

Other

(9)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

22. Republican Candidate Understanding Donald Trump


Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Total
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

77%
23%

78%
22%

77%
23%

49%
51%

75%
25%

86%
14%

76%
24%

77%
23%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(795)

(408)

(387)

(70)

(152)

(306)

(267)

(775)

Black

(5)

Hispanic

(6)

Other

(9)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

23. Republican Candidate Understanding Ted Cruz


Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Total
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

74%
26%

77%
23%

72%
28%

78%
22%

77%
23%

71%
29%

75%
25%

74%
26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(781)

(407)

(374)

(70)

(149)

(306)

(256)

(761)

Black

(5)

Hispanic

(6)

Other

(9)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

24. Republican Candidate Understanding Marco Rubio


Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Total
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

65%
35%

61%
39%

68%
32%

54%
46%

64%
36%

63%
37%

69%
31%

65%
35%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(781)

(403)

(377)

(70)

(149)

(301)

(261)

(760)

Black

(5)

Hispanic

(6)

Other

(9)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

25. Republican Vote Reasons


Whats most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Total
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

16%
25%
20%
20%

15%
27%
14%
27%

17%
22%
26%
12%

14%
11%
26%
36%

30%
25%
13%
17%

17%
17%
21%
22%

8%
37%
21%
16%

16%
25%
20%
20%

19%

16%

22%

13%

14%

23%

18%

19%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(797)

(410)

(387)

(67)

(153)

(310)

(268)

(775)

(5)

(6)

(11)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

26. Ted Cruz Birthplace


Do you think Ted Cruzs birthplace is a serious issue or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Total
Serious
Not serious
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

26%
74%

25%
75%

26%
74%

47%
53%

30%
70%

26%
74%

17%
83%

25%
75%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(799)

(410)

(389)

(72)

(152)

(310)

(265)

(777)

Black

(5)

Hispanic

(6)

Other

(11)

26

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

27. Donald Trump NY Values


Does Donald Trumps being from New York make you think better of him, worse of him, or does it not matter to you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Total
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

3%
11%
86%

2%
18%
80%

4%
4%
92%

0%
27%
73%

3%
22%
75%

3%
7%
90%

4%
5%
90%

3%
11%
86%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(805)

(411)

(394)

(72)

(153)

(311)

(268)

(783)

Black

(5)

Hispanic

(6)

Other

(11)

27

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

28. Democratic Candidate Policies Health care policy


Regardless of who youre supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Total
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Female

55%
30%
15%

49%
38%
13%

59%
24%
16%

100%

100%

100%

(372)

(166)

(206)

Race/Ethnicity

18-29

30-44

45-64

45%
36%
19%

64%
24%
12%

68%
18%
13%

36%
48%
16%

70%
17%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(101)

(167)

(62)

(163)

(205)

(42)

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

(1)

Other

(3)

28

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

29. Democratic Candidate Policies Wall Street reform


Regardless of who youre supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Total
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Female

36%
48%
16%

33%
54%
13%

38%
44%
19%

100%

100%

100%

(371)

(166)

(205)

Race/Ethnicity

18-29

30-44

45-64

37%
41%
22%

37%
48%
14%

38%
46%
16%

15%
73%
12%

52%
29%
18%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(101)

(166)

(61)

(162)

(205)

(42)

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

(1)

Other

(3)

29

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

30. Democratic Candidate Policies Terrorism


Regardless of who youre supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Total
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Female

57%
23%
20%

54%
25%
21%

59%
21%
19%

100%

100%

100%

(372)

(166)

(206)

Race/Ethnicity

18-29

30-44

45-64

44%
38%
18%

68%
11%
21%

69%
6%
25%

48%
29%
22%

64%
18%
18%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(101)

(167)

(62)

(163)

(205)

(42)

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

(1)

Other

(3)

30

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

31. Democratic Candidate Policies Taxes


Regardless of who youre supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Total
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Female

46%
35%
19%

38%
46%
16%

53%
25%
22%

100%

100%

100%

(371)

(166)

(205)

Race/Ethnicity

18-29

30-44

45-64

36%
37%
27%

52%
29%
19%

54%
28%
17%

26%
49%
26%

62%
23%
15%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(101)

(167)

(62)

(162)

(205)

(42)

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

(1)

Other

(3)

31

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

32. Democratic Candidate Policies The economy and jobs


Regardless of who youre supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Total
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Female

43%
33%
24%

42%
38%
20%

44%
28%
27%

100%

100%

100%

(371)

(165)

(206)

Race/Ethnicity

18-29

30-44

45-64

37%
31%
32%

49%
25%
26%

54%
32%
15%

32%
52%
16%

53%
18%
30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(101)

(166)

(62)

(162)

(205)

(42)

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

(1)

Other

(3)

32

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

33. Democratic Candidate Policies Gun policy


Regardless of who youre supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Total
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Female

47%
25%
28%

46%
21%
33%

47%
29%
24%

100%

100%

100%

(373)

(167)

(206)

Race/Ethnicity

18-29

30-44

45-64

34%
38%
28%

56%
18%
26%

58%
11%
31%

29%
36%
35%

61%
17%
22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(101)

(167)

(63)

(163)

(206)

(42)

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

(1)

Other

(3)

33

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

34. Democratic Candidate Proposals Hillary Clinton


From what youve seen or heard, which better describes the candidates policy proposals...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Total
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Female

73%
27%

70%
30%

75%
25%

100%

100%

100%

(377)

(162)

(214)

Race/Ethnicity

18-29

30-44

45-64

57%
43%

82%
18%

83%
17%

74%
26%

72%
28%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(99)

(170)

(61)

(160)

(213)

(46)

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

(1)

Other

(3)

34

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

35. Democratic Candidate Proposals Bernie Sanders


From what youve seen or heard, which better describes the candidates policy proposals...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Total
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Female

38%
62%

33%
67%

42%
58%

100%

100%

100%

(370)

(166)

(203)

Race/Ethnicity

18-29

30-44

45-64

56%
44%

25%
75%

30%
70%

36%
64%

39%
61%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(101)

(160)

(63)

(162)

(203)

(46)

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

(1)

Other

(3)

35

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

36. Democratic Candidate Understanding Hillary Clinton


Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Total
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Female

69%
31%

67%
33%

71%
29%

100%

100%

100%

(378)

(166)

(212)

Race/Ethnicity

18-29

30-44

45-64

65%
35%

80%
20%

79%
21%

52%
48%

82%
18%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(98)

(172)

(62)

(162)

(212)

(46)

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

(1)

Other

(3)

36

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

37. Democratic Candidate Understanding Bernie Sanders


Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Total
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Female

77%
23%

85%
15%

70%
30%

100%

100%

100%

(376)

(167)

(210)

Race/Ethnicity

18-29

30-44

45-64

93%
7%

68%
32%

71%
29%

89%
11%

67%
33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(98)

(168)

(63)

(162)

(210)

(47)

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

(1)

Other

(3)

37

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

38. Democratic Candidate Attention Hillary Clinton


As President, would each candidate ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Total
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Female

49%
51%

53%
47%

47%
53%

100%

100%

100%

(386)

(166)

(219)

Race/Ethnicity

18-29

30-44

45-64

61%
39%

34%
66%

42%
58%

63%
37%

39%
61%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(101)

(172)

(66)

(162)

(220)

(47)

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

(1)

Other

(3)

38

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

39. Democratic Candidate Attention Bernie Sanders


As President, would each candidate ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Total
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Female

22%
78%

8%
92%

32%
68%

100%

100%

100%

(381)

(167)

(214)

Race/Ethnicity

18-29

30-44

45-64

25%
75%

22%
78%

19%
81%

7%
93%

32%
68%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(101)

(167)

(66)

(161)

(216)

(47)

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

(1)

Other

(3)

39

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

40. Democratic Vote Reasons


When you vote in the South Carolina primary, you will be most satisfied about having a chance to...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Total
Support an historic candidacy
Shake up politics-as-usual
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Female

Race/Ethnicity

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

8%
10%
30%

8%
11%
31%

8%
9%
29%

15%
13%
32%

8%
9%
21%

3%
6%
36%

7%
19%
36%

9%
3%
25%

52%

51%

54%

39%

63%

55%

39%

62%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(167)

(216)

100%

(382)

(101)

(171)

(64)

(162)

(217)

(47)

(1)

(3)

40

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

41. Hillary Clinton Critiques to Sanders


Do you think Hillary Clinton has criticized Bernie Sanders unfairly, or has she made fair points?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Total
Her critiques have been unfair
She has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Female

27%
44%
28%

40%
44%
17%

18%
45%
37%

100%

100%

100%

(383)

(167)

(216)

Race/Ethnicity

18-29

30-44

45-64

33%
32%
35%

23%
54%
23%

20%
60%
19%

40%
41%
18%

17%
46%
36%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(96)

(173)

(67)

(162)

(216)

(47)

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

(1)

Other

(3)

41

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina

42. Bernie Sanders Critiques to Clinton


Do you think Bernie Sanders has criticized Hillary Clinton unfairly, or has he made fair points?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Total
His critiques have been unfair
He has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)

Male

Age group

Female

22%
48%
30%

25%
50%
25%

20%
46%
33%

100%

100%

100%

(377)

(164)

(213)

Race/Ethnicity

18-29

30-44

45-64

19%
44%
37%

30%
45%
25%

22%
57%
21%

9%
66%
24%

32%
34%
34%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(97)

(170)

(67)

(159)

(214)

(43)

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

(1)

Other

(3)

42

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Republican Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

805 Likely Republican Primary Voters


January 17-21, 2016

5.7%

1. Attention to Campaign
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Ideology
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

67%
26%
7%
0%

80%
14%
6%
1%

65%
30%
5%
0%

72%
23%
5%
0%

81%
18%
2%
0%

58%
31%
11%
0%

65%
26%
9%
0%

72%
25%
3%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(805)

(200)

(316)

(137)

(319)

(451)

(526)

(228)

Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

67%
26%
7%
0%

77%
20%
3%
0%

56%
33%
10%
0%

59%
33%
8%
0%

57%
35%
7%
0%

69%
25%
6%
1%

72%
21%
7%
0%

67%
26%
7%
0%

68%
26%
6%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(805)

(411)

(394)

(72)

(153)

(311)

(268)

(556)

(197)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

2. First Choice Republican Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

8%
9%
1%
21%
1%
0%
2%
2%
3%
13%
0%
40%
0%

9%
6%
0%
35%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
10%
0%
36%
1%

6%
8%
1%
22%
1%
0%
2%
1%
1%
10%
0%
47%
1%

5%
9%
2%
6%
2%
0%
0%
7%
15%
14%
0%
40%
0%

3%
8%
1%
35%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
10%
0%
42%
0%

11%
9%
2%
12%
1%
0%
2%
3%
6%
15%
0%
38%
1%

9%
10%
0%
26%
0%
0%
3%
1%
4%
10%
0%
36%
1%

3%
6%
5%
11%
2%
0%
0%
4%
3%
18%
0%
47%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(804)

(200)

(316)

(137)

(319)

(450)

(526)

(227)

Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

8%
9%
1%
21%
1%
0%
2%
2%
3%
13%
0%
40%
0%

3%
7%
2%
21%
0%
0%
1%
2%
6%
13%
0%
44%
1%

13%
11%
1%
20%
1%
0%
3%
1%
1%
13%
0%
35%
1%

0%
9%
0%
8%
0%
0%
6%
5%
27%
8%
0%
33%
3%

7%
16%
1%
29%
2%
0%
3%
1%
3%
9%
0%
30%
0%

10%
9%
1%
20%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
14%
0%
44%
1%

8%
6%
3%
20%
1%
0%
1%
3%
0%
16%
0%
42%
0%

9%
7%
1%
23%
1%
0%
2%
1%
0%
14%
0%
39%
1%

6%
12%
2%
17%
1%
0%
0%
3%
11%
10%
0%
38%
0%

continued on the next page . . .

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

continued from previous page


Age group

Gender

Totals
(Weighted N)

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(804)

(411)

(393)

(72)

(153)

(311)

(267)

(555)

(197)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

3. Republican Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

42%
30%
24%
4%

53%
27%
16%
3%

38%
40%
20%
2%

43%
16%
32%
9%

44%
33%
22%
1%

40%
28%
25%
6%

44%
29%
23%
4%

36%
33%
27%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(797)

(198)

(312)

(136)

(319)

(444)

(520)

(227)

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

42%
30%
24%
4%

43%
32%
24%
1%

40%
29%
24%
7%

53%
17%
23%
7%

41%
33%
23%
3%

42%
32%
21%
5%

39%
30%
28%
3%

40%
31%
24%
5%

49%
30%
20%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(797)

(407)

(391)

(70)

(153)

(308)

(266)

(548)

(196)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

4. Republican Candidate Certainty


What could [Candidate Name] do to make you completely decided?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not very strongly decided

Ideology
Convince me they can really win
Convince me they stand with me on
the issues
Convince me they can be effective in
the job
Im never completely decided until
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

33%

37%

30%

30%

37%

29%

30%

39%

19%

20%

20%

20%

17%

21%

24%

10%

31%

21%

31%

34%

27%

34%

30%

33%

11%
5%

14%
8%

11%
8%

13%
4%

6%
12%

14%
2%

12%
4%

10%
8%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(464)

(93)

(193)

(78)

(177)

(268)

(291)

(145)

Gender
Convince me they can really win
Convince me they stand with me on
the issues
Convince me they can be effective in
the job
Im never completely decided until
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

33%

29%

37%

23%

31%

41%

34%

35%

19%

19%

19%

20%

18%

16%

20%

11%

31%

33%

29%

34%

34%

31%

30%

34%

11%
5%

11%
8%

12%
3%

13%
11%

11%
5%

9%
3%

11%
5%

12%
7%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(232)

(233)

100%

(464)

(90)

(180)

(161)

(330)

(99)

(33)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

5. Republican Candidate Consideration Donald Trump


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

48%
52%

51%
49%

56%
44%

31%
69%

67%
33%

36%
64%

47%
53%

52%
48%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(446)

(114)

(151)

(77)

(168)

(257)

(302)

(114)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

48%
52%

50%
50%

47%
53%

56%
44%

52%
48%

49%
51%

51%
49%

38%
62%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(208)

(238)

100%

(446)

(100)

(162)

(138)

(317)

(104)

(46)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

6. Republican Candidate Consideration Ted Cruz


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

60%
40%

66%
34%

69%
31%

40%
60%

81%
19%

52%
48%

66%
34%

55%
45%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(587)

(113)

(225)

(123)

(194)

(361)

(358)

(184)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

60%
40%

63%
37%

57%
43%

45%
55%

60%
40%

64%
36%

61%
39%

64%
36%

56%
44%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(587)

(294)

(292)

(60)

(105)

(231)

(191)

(388)

(154)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

7. Republican Candidate Consideration Marco Rubio


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

57%
43%

56%
44%

66%
34%

36%
64%

65%
35%

53%
47%

60%
40%

53%
47%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(607)

(152)

(239)

(101)

(242)

(339)

(401)

(168)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

57%
43%

57%
43%

57%
43%

56%
44%

56%
44%

66%
34%

62%
38%

50%
50%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(298)

(309)

100%

(607)

(120)

(234)

(203)

(417)

(161)

(49)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

8. Republican Candidate Consideration Chris Christie


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

37%
63%

33%
67%

38%
62%

48%
52%

35%
65%

40%
60%

34%
66%

49%
51%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(669)

(163)

(262)

(116)

(255)

(382)

(429)

(194)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

37%
63%

36%
64%

38%
62%

11%
89%

34%
66%

36%
64%

48%
52%

42%
58%

29%
71%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(669)

(329)

(341)

(56)

(129)

(262)

(223)

(468)

(164)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

9. Republican Candidate Consideration Jeb Bush


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

32%
68%

23%
77%

30%
70%

29%
71%

28%
72%

34%
66%

29%
71%

37%
63%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(630)

(146)

(248)

(111)

(262)

(341)

(391)

(195)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

32%
68%

26%
74%

38%
62%

35%
65%

33%
67%

32%
68%

30%
70%

36%
64%

21%
79%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(630)

(325)

(306)

(56)

(121)

(243)

(211)

(429)

(163)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

10. Republican Candidate Consideration John Kasich


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

19%
81%

18%
82%

19%
81%

17%
83%

19%
81%

20%
80%

17%
83%

25%
75%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(662)

(166)

(256)

(107)

(260)

(370)

(424)

(191)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

19%
81%

21%
79%

17%
83%

5%
95%

20%
80%

20%
80%

21%
79%

18%
82%

20%
80%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(662)

(329)

(333)

(52)

(126)

(263)

(221)

(461)

(164)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

11. Republican Candidate Consideration Ben Carson


Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

56%
44%

66%
34%

58%
42%

40%
60%

67%
33%

48%
52%

64%
36%

39%
61%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(636)

(168)

(240)

(114)

(258)

(349)

(403)

(191)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

56%
44%

51%
49%

61%
39%

59%
41%

55%
45%

58%
42%

53%
47%

57%
43%

54%
46%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(636)

(323)

(313)

(61)

(104)

(256)

(214)

(441)

(152)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

12. Republican Candidate Approach Donald Trump


In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidates approach would probably be...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

47%
50%
3%

41%
56%
4%

37%
59%
5%

62%
38%
1%

35%
59%
6%

54%
44%
1%

49%
48%
4%

40%
57%
3%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(771)

(198)

(299)

(125)

(307)

(429)

(498)

(222)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

47%
50%
3%

43%
53%
4%

50%
48%
2%

75%
25%
0%

52%
45%
3%

38%
58%
3%

47%
50%
3%

46%
51%
3%

46%
51%
3%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(771)

(389)

(382)

(55)

(153)

(306)

(257)

(542)

(187)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

13. Republican Candidate Approach Ted Cruz


In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidates approach would probably be...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

22%
63%
16%

13%
76%
11%

15%
68%
17%

52%
32%
16%

12%
79%
9%

28%
52%
21%

17%
69%
13%

28%
51%
20%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(767)

(198)

(296)

(124)

(303)

(430)

(495)

(222)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

22%
63%
16%

26%
62%
13%

17%
64%
19%

49%
34%
17%

18%
72%
10%

18%
63%
19%

21%
63%
15%

16%
66%
17%

31%
60%
9%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(767)

(384)

(383)

(61)

(151)

(300)

(256)

(537)

(187)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

14. Republican Candidate Approach Marco Rubio


In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidates approach would probably be...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

11%
53%
36%

4%
48%
48%

8%
52%
40%

32%
45%
23%

7%
47%
46%

14%
58%
28%

10%
55%
35%

13%
49%
38%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(761)

(196)

(291)

(124)

(306)

(420)

(489)

(222)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

11%
53%
36%

12%
47%
41%

10%
60%
30%

47%
38%
15%

4%
47%
49%

8%
51%
40%

9%
64%
27%

6%
56%
39%

21%
52%
27%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(761)

(385)

(376)

(55)

(152)

(299)

(254)

(533)

(184)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

15. Republican Candidate Consistency Donald Trump


Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

70%
30%

68%
32%

76%
24%

65%
35%

68%
32%

71%
29%

66%
34%

78%
22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(783)

(195)

(308)

(130)

(310)

(439)

(511)

(223)

Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

70%
30%

66%
34%

74%
26%

54%
46%

63%
37%

74%
26%

74%
26%

73%
27%

61%
39%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(783)

(400)

(383)

(70)

(148)

(303)

(263)

(545)

(189)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

16. Republican Candidate Consistency Ted Cruz


Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

68%
32%

77%
23%

74%
26%

43%
57%

82%
18%

58%
42%

72%
28%

60%
40%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(774)

(196)

(300)

(130)

(308)

(432)

(503)

(221)

Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

68%
32%

68%
32%

67%
33%

52%
48%

75%
25%

68%
32%

68%
32%

71%
29%

65%
35%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(774)

(399)

(375)

(70)

(148)

(300)

(256)

(537)

(186)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

17. Republican Candidate Consistency Marco Rubio


Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

54%
46%

51%
49%

55%
45%

44%
56%

51%
49%

56%
44%

58%
42%

44%
56%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(770)

(195)

(296)

(130)

(307)

(429)

(498)

(222)

Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

54%
46%

48%
52%

60%
40%

54%
46%

51%
49%

51%
49%

58%
42%

59%
41%

42%
58%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(770)

(395)

(375)

(70)

(148)

(296)

(256)

(534)

(185)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

18. Republican Candidate Understanding Donald Trump


Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

77%
23%

78%
22%

87%
13%

62%
38%

86%
14%

72%
28%

76%
24%

81%
19%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(795)

(198)

(312)

(134)

(318)

(444)

(522)

(224)

Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

77%
23%

78%
22%

77%
23%

49%
51%

75%
25%

86%
14%

76%
24%

79%
21%

70%
30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(795)

(408)

(387)

(70)

(152)

(306)

(267)

(548)

(194)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

19. Republican Candidate Understanding Ted Cruz


Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

74%
26%

81%
19%

80%
20%

57%
43%

86%
14%

67%
33%

81%
19%

63%
37%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(781)

(191)

(308)

(134)

(316)

(437)

(514)

(222)

Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

74%
26%

77%
23%

72%
28%

78%
22%

77%
23%

71%
29%

75%
25%

77%
23%

76%
24%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(781)

(407)

(374)

(70)

(149)

(306)

(256)

(539)

(189)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

20. Republican Candidate Understanding Marco Rubio


Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

65%
35%

64%
36%

66%
34%

51%
49%

70%
30%

61%
39%

68%
32%

58%
42%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(781)

(192)

(306)

(134)

(316)

(436)

(514)

(222)

Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

65%
35%

61%
39%

68%
32%

54%
46%

64%
36%

63%
37%

69%
31%

68%
32%

57%
43%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(781)

(403)

(377)

(70)

(149)

(301)

(261)

(534)

(194)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

21. Republican Vote Reasons


Whats most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

16%
25%
20%
20%

21%
23%
21%
23%

19%
31%
14%
17%

4%
17%
25%
27%

14%
27%
19%
22%

18%
24%
18%
19%

24%
22%
19%
20%

2%
32%
15%
23%

19%

13%

19%

26%

17%

21%

15%

29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(797)

(200)

(308)

(136)

(319)

(444)

(520)

(226)

Gender
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy

Tea Party

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

16%
25%
20%
20%

15%
27%
14%
27%

17%
22%
26%
12%

14%
11%
26%
36%

30%
25%
13%
17%

17%
17%
21%
22%

8%
37%
21%
16%

18%
27%
22%
16%

14%
23%
12%
33%

19%

16%

22%

13%

14%

23%

18%

17%

19%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(797)

(410)

(387)

(67)

(153)

(310)

(268)

(549)

(196)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

22. Ted Cruz Birthplace


Do you think Ted Cruzs birthplace is a serious issue or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Serious
Not serious
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

26%
74%

25%
75%

21%
79%

33%
67%

16%
84%

31%
69%

25%
75%

26%
74%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(799)

(197)

(313)

(136)

(316)

(448)

(521)

(228)

Gender
Serious
Not serious

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

26%
74%

25%
75%

26%
74%

47%
53%

30%
70%

26%
74%

17%
83%

25%
75%

25%
75%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(799)

(410)

(389)

(72)

(152)

(310)

(265)

(553)

(194)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

23. Donald Trump NY Values


Does Donald Trumps being from New York make you think better of him, worse of him, or does it not matter to you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

3%
11%
86%

4%
13%
83%

3%
11%
86%

2%
18%
80%

2%
15%
83%

3%
9%
88%

1%
13%
85%

6%
8%
87%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(805)

(200)

(316)

(137)

(319)

(451)

(526)

(228)

Gender
Better
Worse
Does not matter

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

3%
11%
86%

2%
18%
80%

4%
4%
92%

0%
27%
73%

3%
22%
75%

3%
7%
90%

4%
5%
90%

4%
9%
87%

2%
17%
81%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(805)

(411)

(394)

(72)

(153)

(311)

(268)

(556)

(197)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

388 Likely Democratic Primary Voters


January 17-21, 2016

9.4%

1. Attention to Campaign
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Ideology
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

53%
34%
12%
0%

72%
27%
0%
0%

64%
21%
16%
0%

45%
43%
13%
0%

72%
24%
4%
0%

40%
42%
18%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(388)

(70)

(106)

(116)

(163)

(221)

Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

53%
34%
12%
0%

70%
26%
4%
0%

41%
41%
18%
1%

52%
38%
10%
0%

56%
34%
10%
1%

46%
46%
8%
0%

49%
37%
13%
0%

68%
22%
10%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(167)

(221)

100%

(388)

(101)

(173)

(67)

(302)

(75)

(47)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

2. First Choice Democratic Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

60%
0%
38%
2%

48%
0%
52%
0%

54%
0%
45%
1%

68%
0%
30%
2%

38%
0%
60%
2%

76%
0%
22%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(388)

(70)

(106)

(116)

(163)

(221)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

60%
0%
38%
2%

50%
0%
49%
1%

67%
0%
31%
2%

53%
0%
46%
1%

70%
0%
28%
2%

71%
0%
28%
1%

69%
0%
30%
1%

30%
0%
69%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(167)

(221)

100%

(388)

(101)

(173)

(67)

(302)

(75)

(47)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

3. Enthusiasm for First Choice


How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

59%
33%
7%

75%
25%
0%

67%
30%
3%

53%
42%
5%

70%
26%
4%

52%
38%
10%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(382)

(70)

(106)

(114)

(160)

(218)

Gender
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

59%
33%
7%

70%
29%
0%

51%
36%
13%

63%
26%
11%

59%
38%
3%

56%
35%
9%

59%
34%
7%

60%
32%
8%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(166)

(216)

100%

(382)

(100)

(169)

(67)

(298)

(75)

(46)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

4. Democratic Candidate Policies Health care policy


Regardless of who youre supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

55%
30%
15%

36%
48%
16%

49%
39%
12%

67%
22%
11%

36%
48%
16%

70%
17%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(372)

(70)

(100)

(115)

(163)

(205)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

55%
30%
15%

49%
38%
13%

59%
24%
16%

45%
36%
19%

64%
24%
12%

68%
18%
13%

63%
24%
13%

27%
51%
22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(166)

(206)

100%

(372)

(101)

(167)

(62)

(291)

(71)

(42)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

5. Democratic Candidate Policies Wall Street reform


Regardless of who youre supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

36%
48%
16%

19%
71%
10%

19%
69%
12%

50%
27%
22%

15%
73%
12%

52%
29%
18%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(371)

(70)

(100)

(114)

(162)

(205)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

36%
48%
16%

33%
54%
13%

38%
44%
19%

37%
41%
22%

37%
48%
14%

38%
46%
16%

42%
40%
18%

10%
79%
11%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(166)

(205)

100%

(371)

(101)

(166)

(61)

(291)

(70)

(42)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

6. Democratic Candidate Policies Terrorism


Regardless of who youre supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

57%
23%
20%

53%
31%
17%

54%
26%
20%

66%
16%
18%

48%
29%
22%

64%
18%
18%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(372)

(70)

(100)

(115)

(163)

(205)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

57%
23%
20%

54%
25%
21%

59%
21%
19%

44%
38%
18%

68%
11%
21%

69%
6%
25%

63%
18%
18%

35%
40%
26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(166)

(206)

100%

(372)

(101)

(167)

(62)

(291)

(71)

(42)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

7. Democratic Candidate Policies Taxes


Regardless of who youre supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

46%
35%
19%

39%
50%
10%

40%
42%
18%

52%
27%
21%

26%
49%
26%

62%
23%
15%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(371)

(70)

(100)

(115)

(162)

(205)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

46%
35%
19%

38%
46%
16%

53%
25%
22%

36%
37%
27%

52%
29%
19%

54%
28%
17%

51%
29%
20%

29%
57%
15%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(166)

(205)

100%

(371)

(101)

(167)

(62)

(291)

(70)

(42)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

8. Democratic Candidate Policies The economy and jobs


Regardless of who youre supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

43%
33%
24%

27%
52%
22%

44%
42%
14%

51%
17%
32%

32%
52%
16%

53%
18%
30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(371)

(70)

(100)

(115)

(162)

(205)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

43%
33%
24%

42%
38%
20%

44%
28%
27%

37%
31%
32%

49%
25%
26%

54%
32%
15%

51%
23%
26%

18%
66%
16%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(165)

(206)

100%

(371)

(101)

(166)

(62)

(290)

(71)

(42)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

9. Democratic Candidate Policies Gun policy


Regardless of who youre supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

47%
25%
28%

42%
36%
22%

34%
35%
31%

63%
12%
25%

29%
36%
35%

61%
17%
22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(373)

(70)

(101)

(115)

(163)

(206)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

47%
25%
28%

46%
21%
33%

47%
29%
24%

34%
38%
28%

56%
18%
26%

58%
11%
31%

54%
22%
24%

21%
36%
42%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(167)

(206)

100%

(373)

(101)

(167)

(63)

(292)

(71)

(42)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

10. Democratic Candidate Proposals Hillary Clinton


From what youve seen or heard, which better describes the candidates policy proposals...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

73%
27%

87%
13%

56%
44%

82%
18%

74%
26%

72%
28%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(377)

(69)

(103)

(115)

(160)

(213)

Gender
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

73%
27%

70%
30%

75%
25%

57%
43%

82%
18%

83%
17%

77%
23%

62%
38%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(162)

(214)

100%

(377)

(99)

(170)

(61)

(298)

(70)

(46)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

11. Democratic Candidate Proposals Bernie Sanders


From what youve seen or heard, which better describes the candidates policy proposals...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

38%
62%

39%
61%

38%
62%

30%
70%

36%
64%

39%
61%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(370)

(70)

(101)

(113)

(162)

(203)

Gender
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

38%
62%

33%
67%

42%
58%

56%
44%

25%
75%

30%
70%

38%
62%

38%
62%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(166)

(203)

100%

(370)

(101)

(160)

(63)

(288)

(71)

(46)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

12. Democratic Candidate Understanding Hillary Clinton


Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

69%
31%

55%
45%

60%
40%

83%
17%

52%
48%

82%
18%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(378)

(70)

(105)

(112)

(162)

(212)

Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

69%
31%

67%
33%

71%
29%

65%
35%

80%
20%

79%
21%

78%
22%

36%
64%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(166)

(212)

100%

(378)

(98)

(172)

(62)

(297)

(71)

(46)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

13. Democratic Candidate Understanding Bernie Sanders


Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

77%
23%

70%
30%

83%
17%

79%
21%

89%
11%

67%
33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(376)

(70)

(106)

(113)

(162)

(210)

Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

77%
23%

85%
15%

70%
30%

93%
7%

68%
32%

71%
29%

72%
28%

96%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(167)

(210)

100%

(376)

(98)

(168)

(63)

(295)

(71)

(47)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

14. Democratic Candidate Attention Hillary Clinton


As President, would each candidate ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

49%
51%

66%
34%

52%
48%

35%
65%

63%
37%

39%
61%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(386)

(70)

(106)

(115)

(162)

(220)

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

49%
51%

53%
47%

47%
53%

61%
39%

34%
66%

42%
58%

41%
59%

77%
23%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(166)

(219)

100%

(386)

(101)

(172)

(66)

(301)

(74)

(47)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

15. Democratic Candidate Attention Bernie Sanders


As President, would each candidate ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

22%
78%

14%
86%

10%
90%

25%
75%

7%
93%

32%
68%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(381)

(70)

(105)

(115)

(161)

(216)

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

22%
78%

8%
92%

32%
68%

25%
75%

22%
78%

19%
81%

27%
73%

5%
95%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(167)

(214)

100%

(381)

(101)

(167)

(66)

(296)

(75)

(47)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

16. Democratic Vote Reasons


When you vote in the South Carolina primary, you will be most satisfied about having a chance to...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Support an historic candidacy
Shake up politics-as-usual
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

8%
10%
30%

14%
6%
49%

7%
14%
29%

9%
5%
25%

7%
19%
36%

9%
3%
25%

52%

32%

50%

61%

39%

62%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(382)

(70)

(106)

(115)

(162)

(217)

Gender
Support an historic candidacy
Shake up politics-as-usual
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

8%
10%
30%

8%
11%
31%

8%
9%
29%

15%
13%
32%

8%
9%
21%

3%
6%
36%

8%
6%
26%

8%
22%
44%

52%

51%

54%

39%

63%

55%

61%

26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(167)

(216)

100%

(382)

(101)

(171)

(64)

(297)

(75)

(47)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

17. Hillary Clinton Critiques to Sanders


Do you think Hillary Clinton has criticized Bernie Sanders unfairly, or has she made fair points?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Her critiques have been unfair
She has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

27%
44%
28%

43%
34%
24%

29%
51%
20%

14%
51%
35%

40%
41%
18%

17%
46%
36%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(383)

(70)

(106)

(116)

(162)

(216)

Gender
Her critiques have been unfair
She has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

27%
44%
28%

40%
44%
17%

18%
45%
37%

33%
32%
35%

23%
54%
23%

20%
60%
19%

21%
50%
29%

46%
28%
25%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(167)

(216)

100%

(383)

(96)

(173)

(67)

(297)

(75)

(47)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters

18. Bernie Sanders Critiques to Clinton


Do you think Bernie Sanders has criticized Hillary Clinton unfairly, or has he made fair points?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
His critiques have been unfair
He has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

22%
48%
30%

17%
58%
25%

8%
61%
31%

21%
37%
42%

9%
66%
24%

32%
34%
34%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(377)

(68)

(106)

(115)

(159)

(214)

Gender
His critiques have been unfair
He has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

22%
48%
30%

25%
50%
25%

20%
46%
33%

19%
44%
37%

30%
45%
25%

22%
57%
21%

27%
42%
32%

6%
72%
21%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(164)

(213)

100%

(377)

(97)

(170)

(67)

(292)

(74)

(43)

18