Periodo

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Trimestre
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV

Demanda
4872
2610
3540
1250
6930
4820
5740
3410
9010
6970
7890
5120
5180.16667

Demanda sin estacionalidad

3637.9644435902
2816.715625
3204.0401863716
1986.2602249489
5174.6908033827
5201.7506944445
5195.2516016308
5418.5178936605
6727.8447530271
7522.0336805556
7141.2082119977
8135.7218813906
5180.1666666667

Promedios
6937.33333
4800
5723.33333
3260

I
II
III
IV

C
1.3392104501
0.9266111129
1.1048550561
0.6293233808

Demanda

10000
8000

f(x) = 361.6013986014x + 2829.7

R = 0.3298089856

6000
Axis Title

4000
2000
0
0

Periodo
13
14
15
16

Pronostico
8431.37
8931.56
9431.75
9931.94

Pronostico*C
11291.3788128
8276.08275152
10420.7166758
6250.40205914

6
8
Axis Title

Demanda sin estac

9000
8000
7000
6000
5000
Axis Title 4000
3000
2000
1000
0

f(x) = 500.1909943234x + 1928.925

R = 0.8400683999

6
8
Axis Title

10

Demanda

) = 361.6013986014x + 2829.7575757576
= 0.3298089856

6
8
Axis Title

10

12

Column C
Linear (Column C)

14

Demanda sin estacionalidad

= 500.1909943234x + 1928.9252035648
0.8400683999
Column D
Linear (Column D)

6
8
Axis Title

10

12

14

Periodo
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Trimestre
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV

Demanda
4872
2610
3540
1250
4580
2720
3410
1340
4732
2530
3615
1220
3034.9166667

Demanda sin estacionalidad

3127.350676819
3023.3330152672
3050.71604354
2987.1227034121
2939.9150451213
3150.7531806616
2938.6840984382
3202.1955380578
3037.4842780598
2930.6638040713
3115.3498580218
2915.4317585302
3034.9166666667

Promedios
4728
2620
3521.66667
1270

I
II
III
IV

C
1.5578681457
0.8632856476
1.1603833164
0.4184628902

6000
5000
4000
Axis Title

Periodo
13
14
15
16

Pronostico
8431.37
8931.56
9431.75
9931.94

f(x) = R = 0.0

3000
2000
1000

Pronostico*C
13134.962748
7710.4875587
10944.445344
4156.1483182

0
0

Dem
3300
3200
3100
Axis Title

f(x) = R = 0.0

3000
2900
2800
2700
0

Axis Title

Axis Title

Demanda
6000
5000
4000
Column C

f(x) = - 104.2552447552x + 3712.5757575758

R = 0.0806928263

3000
2000

Linear (Column C)

1000
0
0

10

12

14

Axis Title

Demanda sin estacionalidad

3300
3200
3100
Column D

f(x) = - 5.3032934365x + 3069.388074004

R = 0.0392301024

3000
2900

Linear (Column D)

2800
2700
0

6
Axis Title

10

12

14

Column C
Linear (Column C)

Column D
Linear (Column D)