1.

Un cargamento de 19 computadoras especiales contiene 5 defectuosas. Si 7 de ellas

son aleatoriamente escogidas para su revisin. Cul es la probabilidad?
a) Al menos 4 estn defectuosas.
b) Aplique la Distribucin Binomial e Hipergeomtrica
c) Tome las decisiones
d) Su orden ser considerado
e) Recuerde sus responsabilidades
INFORME FINAL DE ESTADSTICA INFERENCIAL
Tema: Distribucin de Probabilidad (Binomial)
Clculos Auxiliares:

Paso #1: Identificacin de variables.

x = 4,5,6,7 ; n = 7 ; p = 0.26
Paso #2: Clculos Auxiliares

p = a/n
p = 5/19 = 0.263 =

INFORME FINAL DE ESTADSTICA INFERENCIAL

0.26

Tema: Tcnicas de Conteo

Paso #1: Tcnica de conteo
Combinacin
Paso #2: Frmula

n!
(nr )= r ! ( nr
)!

Paso #3: Identificacin de variables

n=7

r = 4,5,6,7

Paso #4: Procedimiento

7!
7 =
4 4 ! ( 74 ) !

7!
7=
5 5 ! ( 75 ) !

7!
7=
6 6 ! ( 76 ) !

7!
7=
7 7 ! ( 77 ) !

()

()

()

()

(74 )=35

(75 )=21

(76 )=7

(77)=1

(74 )=35 formas

Paso #3: Frmula

(75 )=21 formas

(76)=7 formas

(77)=1 forma

b ( x ; n , p )= n p x (1p)n x
x

()

Paso #4: Procedimiento

b ( 4 ;7,0.26 )=( 35 ) 0.26 4 (10.26)74

b ( 4 ;7,0.26 )=0.0648

b ( 5 ; 7,0.26 )=( 21 ) 0.265 (10.26)75

b ( 5 ; 7,0.26 )=0.0136

b ( 4 ;5,0.60 )=0.065
b ( 6 ; 7,0.26 )= (7 ) 0.266 (10.26)76
b ( 6 ; 7,0.26 )=0.0016

b ( 5 ; 7,0.26 )=0.014
b ( 7 ; 7,0.26 )=( 1 ) 0.267 (10.26)77
b ( 7 ; 7,0.26 )=0.0000

b ( 7 ; 7,0.26 )=0.000

b ( 6 ; 7,0.26 )=0.002
Nota: Medidas de Tendencia Central
Media:

=np

2=np( 1 p )

Varianza:
2

=70.26

=70.26(10.26)

=1.820

2=1.346

=1.82

=1.35
INFORME FINAL DE ESTADSTICA INFERENCIAL

Tema: Distribucin de Probabilidad (Hipergeomtrica)

Paso #1: Identificacin de variables.
N = 19 ; n = 7 ; a = 5 ;
x = 4,5,6,7
Paso #2: Clculos Auxiliares

INFORME FINAL DE ESTADSTICA INFERENCIAL

Tema: Tcnicas de Conteo

Paso #1: Tcnica de conteo

Combinacin
Paso #2: Frmula

n!
(nr )= r ! ( nr
)!

Paso #3: Identificacin de variables

x1

x2

a=5

N :19 - a : 5 = 14

N = 19

a=5

N :19 - a : 5 = 14

N = 19

x=4

n:7

n = 7

x=5

n:7

n = 7

- x:4 = 3

x3

- x:5 = 2

x4

a=5

N :19 - a : 5 = 14

N = 19

a=5

N :19 - a : 5 = 14

N = 19

x=6

n:7

n = 7

x=7

n:7

n = 7

- x:6 = 1

- x:7 = 0

Paso #4: Procedimiento

x1
5!
(54 )= 4 ! ( 54
)!

14 !
(143 )= 3 ! ( 143
)!

19 !
(197 )= 7 ! ( 197
)!

(54 )=5

(143 )=364

(197)=50,388

x2

(54 )=5 formas

14 =364 fo rmas
3

( )

(197 )=50,388 formas

5!
(55 )= 5! (55
)!

14 !
(142 )= 2 ! ( 142
)!

19 !
(197 )= 7 ! ( 197
)!

(55)=1

(142)=91

(197)=50,388

(55)=1 forma

(142)=91 formas

(197)=50,388 formas

x3
5!
(56 )= 6 ! ( 56
)!

14 !
(141)= 1 ! ( 141
)!

19 !
(197 )= 7 ! ( 197
)!

(56)=ERROR

(141 )=14

(197)=50,388

x4

(56)=No hay probabilidad

(141)=14 formas

(197)=50,388 formas

5!
(57)= 7 ! ( 57
)!

14 !
(140)= 0 ! ( 140
)!

19 !
(197)= 7 ! ( 197
)!

(57)=ERROR

(140)=1

(197)=50,388

(57)=No hay proba bilidad

(140)=1 forma

(197)=50,388 formas

Paso #3: Frmula

a N a
(
x )( nx )
h ( x ; n , a , N )=
( Nn )
Paso #4: Procedimiento

5 14
(
4 )( 3 )
h ( 4 ; 7,5,19 )=
(197 )
h ( 4 ; 7,5,19 )=

(5)(364)
50,388

h ( 4 ; 7,5,19 )=0.0361
h ( 4 ; 7,5,19 )=0.036

5 14
(
5 )( 2 )
h ( 5 ; 7,5,19 )=
(197)
h ( 5 ; 7,5,19 )=

(1)(91)
50,388

h ( 5 ; 7,5,19 )=0.0018
h ( 5 ; 7,5,19 )=0.002

5 14
(
6 )( 1 )
h ( 6 ; 7,5,19 )=
(197)
h ( 6 ; 7,5,19 )=

5 14
(
7 )( 0 )
h ( 7 ; 7,5,19 )=
(197)

(ERROR)(14)
50,388

h ( 7 ; 7,5,19 )=

h ( 6 ; 7,5,19 )=No hay probabilidad

(ERROR)(1)
50,388

h ( 7 ; 7,5,19 )=No hay probabilidad

Nota 1: Medidas de Tendencia Central

Media:

=
=

na
n

75
19

=1.842

Varianza:

2=
2

na ( Na )(Nn)
2

N ( N 1)

75 ( 195 )(197)
2
19 (191)

5880
6498
2=0.904

=1.84
2

=0.90
Nota 2: Toma de Decisiones
Al analizas las distribuciones binomial e hipergeomtrica de computadoras especiales, nos
percatamos que las varianzas son 1.35 y 0.90. Por lo tanto la mejor distribucin es
hipergeomtrica ya que tiene la menor varianza de 0.90.

2. Un cargamento de 18 computadoras especiales contiene 3 defectuosas. Si 7 de ellas

a)
b)
c)
d)
e)

son aleatoriamente escogidas para su revisin. Cul es la probabilidad?

Al menos 4 estn defectuosas.
Aplique la Distribucin Binomial e Hipergeomtrica.
Tome las decisiones.
Su orden ser considerado.
Recuerde sus responsabilidades
INFORME FINAL DE ESTADSTICA INFERENCIAL
Tema: Distribucin de Probabilidad (Binomial)

Paso #1: Identificacin de variables.

x = 4,5,6,7 ; n = 7 ; p = 0.17
Paso #2: Clculos Auxiliares

Clculos Auxiliares:
p = a/n
p = 3/18 = 0.166 =

INFORME FINAL DE ESTADSTICA INFERENCIAL

Tema: Tcnicas de Conteo
Paso #1: Tcnica de conteo
Combinacin
Paso #2: Frmula

n!
(nr )= r ! ( nr
)!

Paso #3: Identificacin de variables

n=7

r = 4,5,6,7

Paso #4: Procedimiento

0.17

7!
(74 )= 4 ! ( 74
)!

7!
(75 )= 5 ! ( 75
)!

7!
(76)= 6 ! ( 76
)!

7!
(77 )= 7 ! ( 77
)!

(74 )=35

(75 )=21

(76 )=7

(77)=1

(74 )=35 formas

(75 )=21 formas

(76)=7 formas

(77)=1 forma

Paso #3: Frmula

x
n x
b ( x ; n , p )= n p (1p)
x

()

Paso #4: Procedimiento

b ( 4 ;7,0.17 )=( 35 ) 0.17 4 (10.17)7 4

b ( 4 ;7,0.17 )=0.0167

b ( 5 ; 7,0.17 )=( 21 ) 0.175 (10.17)75

b ( 5 ; 7,0.17 )=0.0020
b ( 5 ; 7,0.17 )=0.002

b ( 4 ;5,0.17 )=0.017

7 6

b ( 6 ; 7,0.17 )= (7 ) 0.17 (10.17)

b ( 7 ; 7,0.17 )=( 1 ) 0.177 (10.17)77

b ( 7 ; 7,0.17 )=0.0000

b ( 6 ; 7,0.17 )=0.0001

b ( 7 ; 7,0.17 )=0.000
b ( 6 ; 7,0.17 )=0.000
Nota: Medidas de Tendencia Central
Media:

=np

Varianza:

=70.17

2=70.17(10.17)

=1.190

2=0.987

=1.19

2=np( 1 p )

2=0.99
INFORME FINAL DE ESTADSTICA INFERENCIAL

Tema: Distribucin de Probabilidad (Hipergeomtrica)

Paso #1: Identificacin de variables.
N = 18 ; n = 7 ; a = 3 ;
x = 4,5,6,7

 Paso #2: Clculos Auxiliares

INFORME FINAL DE ESTADSTICA INFERENCIAL
Tema: Tcnicas de Conteo
Paso #1: Tcnica de conteo
Combinacin
Paso #2: Frmula

n!
(nr )= r ! ( nr
)!

Paso #3: Identificacin de variables

x1

x2

a=3

N :18 - a : 3 = 15

N = 18

a=3

N :18 - a : 3 = 15

N = 18

x=4

n:7

n = 7

x=5

n:7

n = 7

- x:4 = 3

x3

- x:5 = 2

x4

a=3

N :18 - a : 3 = 15

N = 18

a=3

N :18 - a : 3 = 15

N = 18

x=6

n:7

n = 7

x=7

n:7

n = 7

- x:6 = 1

- x:7 = 0

Paso #4: Procedimiento

x1
3!
3 =
4 4 ! ( 34 ) !

15 !
15 =
3
3 ! ( 153 ) !

18 !
18 =
7
7 ! ( 187 ) !

()

( )

( )

(34 )=ERROR

(153)=2,652

(187)=31,824

3 =No hay probabilidad

(
)
x 4
2

(153)=455 formas

(187)=31,824 formas

3!
(35)= 5 ! ( 35
)!

15!
(152 )= 2! ( 152
)!

18 !
(187)= 7 ! ( 187
)!

(35 )=ERROR

(152 )=105

(187)=31,824

3 =No hay probabilidad

5

()

15 =105 formas
2

( )

(187)=31,824 formas

x3
3!
(36)= 6 ! ( 36
)!

15!
(151)= 1! ( 151
)!

18 !
(187)= 7 ! ( 187
)!

(36 )=ER ROR

(151)=15

(187)=31,824

(151)=15 formas

3 =No hay probabilidad

6

()

(187)=31,824 formas

x4
3!
(37)= 7 ! ( 37
)!

15 !
(150)= 0 ! ( 150
)!

18 !
(187)= 7 ! ( 187
)!

(37)=ERROR

(150 )=1

(187)=31,824

3 =No hay probabilidad

7

()

(187)=31,824 formas

15 =1 forma
0

( )

Paso #3: Frmula

a N a
(
x )( nx )
h ( x ; n , a , N )=
( Nn )

Paso #4: Procedimiento

3 15
(
4 )( 3 )
h ( 4 ; 7,3,18 )=
(187 )
h ( 4 ; 7,3,18 )=

(ERROR)(455)
31,824

h ( 4 ; 7,3,18 )=No hay probabilidad

3 15
(
5 )( 2 )
h ( 5 ; 7,3,18 )=
( 187)
h ( 5 ; 7,3,18 )=

(ERROR)(105)
31,824

h ( 8 ; 7,3,18 )=No hay probabilidad

3 15
(
6 )( 1 )
h ( 6 ; 7,3,18 )=
(187)
h ( 6 ; 7,3,18 )=

3 15
(
7 )( 0 )
h ( 7 ; 7,3,18 )=
(187)

(ERROR)(15)
31,824

h ( 7 ; 7,3,18 )=

h ( 6 ; 7,3,18 )=No hay probabilidad

(ERROR)(0)
31,824

h ( 7 ; 7,3,18 )=No hay probabilidad

Nota 1: Medidas de Tendencia Central

Media:

=
=

na
n

73
19

=1.166

=1.17

2=
Varianza:
2=
2

na ( Na )(Nn)
N 2( N 1)

73 ( 183 )(187)

18 (181)

3465
5508
2=0.629
2

=0.63

Nota 2: Toma de Decisiones

Al analizas las distribuciones binomial e hipergeomtrica de un cargamento de
computadoras especiales, nos percatamos que las varianzas son 0.99 y 0.63. Por lo tanto la
mejor distribucin es hipergeomtrica ya que tiene la menor varianza de 0.63.