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ThursMarch3
7thgrade12.1
Presentation
Explore
LearningObjectiveEssentialQuestionOpeningProblem/ReviewConnectiontopriorlearning
PositionnewlearningwithinBigIdeasandmathematicalProgression
EssentialQuestion:Wewillknowhowtousepercentsandprobabilitytosolve
realworldproblems.
Wewillunderstandhowfractions,decimals,andpercentsrelatetoprobability.
Objective:Wewilldescribethelikelihoodofaneventanditscompliment.
Warmup:
1. Nameaneventthatisimpossibletohappen.Whatpercentwouldyou
assigntoaprobabilitythatisimpossibletohappen?
2. Nameaneventthatiscertaintohappen.Whatpercentwouldyouassign
totheprobabilitythatiscertaintohappen?
3. Nameaneventthathas50%chanceofhappeningornothappening.
MathematicalTaskInvestigationSupportproductivestrugglePosepurposefulquestionsBuild
conceptualunderstanding
Usingtalkingchips,tablesdiscusstheactivityandpreparetopresenttheir
reasoning.
monitor,helpasneeded
Explain
ConnectmathematicalrepresentationsDirectinstructionandmodelingMathematical
discourse
Havetablegroupspresenttheirthinking,andfunnelthediscussionsostudents
understandthefollowing:
whenweretalkingaboutthelikelihoodofanevent,werereallytalking
abouttheprobabilityofaneventoccurring
Tiestudentunderstandingastheytalkabouttheexploreactivitytothe
vocabularyprintedatthetopoftheirworksheet
Event:
Ask,whatwastheeventwewerelookingathere?
WewritetheProbability(event)asP(event)=
Probabilitygetswrittenasoutcome(s)wewant/allpossible
outcomes(samplespace)
Outcome:
Ifwedoatrial,wherewerollthenumbercube,whatareall
possibleresults?Whatareallthethingswecouldroll?These
thingsarecalledtheoutcomes.
Samplespace:thelistofallpossibleoutcomes
Puttingthisincontext,wewanttobeabletodescribehowlikelyaneventisbased
ontheprobability.Projectthefollowinganddiscusshowprobabilityisameasure
ofthelikelihoodofaneventoccurringbetween0and1.
notice,probabilitycanbewrittenasapercent,decimal,fraction
Complementofevents:
Soletslookatanexamplefromourexperimentearlier.
WhatstheP(5)?
What,then,willbeP(not5)?
Notice,theprobabilityanditscomplementadduptowhat?
MakeconnectiontocomplimentsORcomplete/complement
Sothen,howwouldyoudefineacomplimentinprobability?
funneldiscussiontowardunderstandingthatacomplimentisthe
probabilityofalloutcomesnotintheeventyourelookingfor,
outcomesofevent+compliment=allpossibleoutcomes
probabilityofgettingallpossibleoutcomes=1
GuidedpracticeScaffoldedsupportCheckforunderstanding(formativeassessmenttask)
Clarify/reteachasnecessarySummarizenewlearningPositionlearningonmathematical
progression
Havestudentsworkwithashoulderpartnertoreasonthroughthefollowing
asguidedpractice.
monitor,helpasneeded
Duringdiscussion,use#5torevisitvocabularyoffavorableoutcomes/all
possibleoutcomes(samplespace)
Ifthereisextratime,discussthefollowingH.O.Tquestions:
Evaluate
Independentpractice(massedanddistributed)Formativeassessment
Homework:IndependentPracticePage373(Copiesofentireworkpackethave
beensentin)
Closure: