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I actually expected to see these results. I assumed that because these candies get
sorted by machines, that the color distribution in each bag would come out closely
even to each other. However, in my own bag, I had slightly more red candies than
all of the other colors. I did have the lowest number of candies in the yellow color,
which seems consistent with the rest of the class and their candy counts.
*The top pareto chart is my bag of candy, and the second chart is the entire class of
candy.
Frequency Histogram
Boxplot
Standard Deviation: 2
Min: 54
Q1:58
Med: 59
Q3: 60
Max: 62
Mean: 59
Count
Total
310
1536
Sample
Prop.
0.20182292
Std. Err.
L. Limit
U. Limit
0.01024092
7
0.1817510
7
0.2218947
6
Sample Mean
59.076923
Std. Err.
0.37178603
DF
25
L. Limit
U. Limit
58.040593
60.113253
Sample Var.
3.5938462
Upper Limit
2.792213
DF
25
L. Limit
U. Limit
2.0274843
7.7964549
Count
311
Total
1536
Sample Prop.
0.20247396
Std. Err.
0.010206207
Z-Stat
P-value
0.24239742
0.8085
Sample Mean
59.076923
Std. Err.
0.37178603
DF
25
T-Stat
8.2760589
P-value
<0.0001
The conditions for doing interval estimates and hypothesis tests for population
proportions include, both samples being simple random samples, and the samples
being independent. Confidence intervals are used to show the uncertainty of an
estimate.
The conditions were met of the intervals for the purple candies proportion from the
bag. The sample proportion states .20 or %20 which is approximately correct for the
proportions of all colors of candies in the bag. The conditions were also met for the
hypothesis test for the green candies. The hypothesis being that the green candies
are .20 which is in fact, true.
The conditions for doing interval estimates and hypothesis tests for population
means include, that the samples are collected from simple random sampling, and
that the sample distribution is approximately normal distributed. It is also important
to know the variability of the sample mean, and have to find the standard deviation
beforehand.
These conditions have been met.
The conditions for doing interval estimates for population standard deviations
include, knowing that the sample is numerical. If the sample is less than 30 then
one must check whether that sample comes from a normal distribution.
I believe that my sample meets the conditions for the confidence interval because
the sample is much larger than 30.
The major errors that can be made include, not having the correct data to calculate.
Other errors include not using the right method of proving the confidence levels.
The sampling method could be improved by using half of the class, instead of 26
separate individuals, with 5 different colored candies to calculate, it introduces too
many variables that can be easily misunderstood. I have drawn the conclusion that
half of my research proved to meet the conditions which have been stated, and the
other half may have not met the conditions.
Reflection
During this semester, I have learned and used many different
applications to use in the real world for problem solving. Many of these
methods proved to be very effective in solving problems, and I can apply
these methods to everyday living.
I really liked learning about graphs, and how they can show amounts of
data in an organized, methodical presentation. My favorite was the pie
graphs, and the histogram. It is such a clean, very easy to read way to
present data to a reader. When looking at many number all at once, it can
get confusing about which numbers data is actually important. Putting all of
the information into one beautiful chart can strengthen an argument in your
favor. Another application that I really like is the boxplot, it is so organized on
showing a 5-number summary. This type of method is very useful when
applying to things like marathon finishing times, etc.
There are some methods that I have learned such as probability, zscores, and hypothesis testing that have very important, and real
applications in the real world. I however, am not in a place in my life yet,