SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.855032
R Square 0.731081
Adjusted R 0.718857
Standard Er1.099473
Observatio
24
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
F
Significance F
1 72.29939 72.29939 59.80888 1.03E-007
22 26.59449 1.208841
23 98.89388

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Intercept 27.44912 0.463263 59.25165 9.21E-026 26.48837 28.40987 26.48837
X Variable 0.250737 0.032422 7.73362 1.03E-007 0.183499 0.317975 0.183499

Upper 95.0%
28.40987
0.317975

X
month
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

30.58333
Y
sales month avg
s.i. corrected salesforcast
correct forecast
6
6.5
0.212534 28.23077 27.69986
6
12
13
0.425068 28.23077 27.95059
12
24
25.5
0.833787 28.78431 28.20133
24
46
49.5
1.618529 28.42088 28.45207
47
75
80.5
2.632153 28.49379 28.70281
76
47
50.5
1.651226 28.4637 28.95354
48
30
32
1.046322 28.67188 29.20428
31
18
19.5
0.637602 28.23077 29.45502
19
13
14
0.457766 28.39881 29.70575
14
12
12.5
0.408719
29.36
29.95649
13
22
23.5
0.768392 28.63121 30.20723
24
38
40
1.307902 29.05417 30.45796
40
7
0.212534 32.9359 30.7087
7
14
0.425068 32.9359 30.95944
14
27
0.833787 32.38235 31.21018
27
53
1.618529 32.74579 31.46091
51
86
2.632153 32.67288 31.71165
84
54
1.651226 32.70297 31.96239
53
34
1.046322 32.49479 32.21312
34
21
0.637602 32.9359 32.46386
21
15
0.457766 32.76786 32.7146
15
13
0.408719 31.80667 32.96533
14
25
0.768392 32.53546 33.21607
26
42
1.307902 32.1125 33.46681
44
0.212534
33.71755
8
0.425068
33.96828
15
0.833787
34.21902
29
1.618529
34.46976
56
2.632153
34.72049
92
1.651226
34.97123
58
1.046322
35.22197
37
0.637602
35.4727
23
0.457766
35.72344
17
0.408719
35.97418
15
0.768392
36.22492
28
1.307902
36.47565
48

ect forecast

b0
b1

CONF

AVG
ST DEV

35.5
24.25433

LEVEL

49.22318
21.77682

27.449121
0.250737

3.464102
1.96

MONTH

OP ST

PL ORD

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

0
60
45
14
23
62
2
31
7
59
44
16

68
0
68
136
68
68
68
476

ISSUED REIC MTR

8
15
31
59
97
60
39
24
16
15
28
47

68
0
68
136
68
68
68

CL ST ORD COST
0
60
45
14
23
62
2
31
7
59
44
16
37

0
0
65
65
0
65
0
65
0
0
65
0

I.C.C

MTRL.CO

T.C

30.6
53.55
30.09
18.87
43.35
32.64
16.83
19.38
33.66
52.53
30.6
27.03

6936
0
0
6936
13872
0
6936
0
6936
0
0
6936
T.C=

6966.6
53.55
95.09
7019.87
13915.35
97.64
6952.83
84.38
6969.66
52.53
95.6
6963.03
49266.13