Channel 23 Local Issues Poll:

Survey of Miami-Dade County Voters May 2016

METHODOLOGY:
SAMPLE
NUMBER OF INTERVIEWS
LANGUAGES
DATES
MARGIN OF ERROR

MIAMI-DADE COUNTY REGISTERED VOTERS

600 COMPLETED INTERVIEWS
ENGLISH, SPANISH
MAY 1-4, 2016
+/- 3.99 PERCENTAGE POINTS

U.S./CUBA POLICY

On December 17, 2014 President Obama announced the U.S. would

normalize relations with Cuba. Since then, the U.S. has lifted travel
restrictions to Cuba, facilitated the flow of remittances to Cuba, re-opened
its embassy in Havana and in March of this year, President Obama became
the first President to travel to the island in over 80 years.
Supporters of the Presidents policy believe that a change in approach was
necessary citing the failure of the 6 decade policy of isolation to result in a
free and democratic Cuba, opponents of the Presidents policy argue that
the opening of diplomatic and economic relations with Cuba risks providing
the Castro regime with additional resources to maintain its grip on power.

Do you agree or disagree with President Obamas decision to normalize

relations with Cuba?

5%

32%

63%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

Agree
Disagree
Don't know/No answer

Do you agree or disagree with President Obamas decision to normalize

relations with Cuba?

BY ETHNICITY
Hispanic

White-Anglo

Black

Agree

50%

74%

88%

Disagree

46%

21%

5%

Dont know/No answer

4%

5%

7%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

Do you agree or disagree with President Obamas decision to normalize

relations with Cuba?
CUBANS
3%

51%

46%

Agree
Disagree
Don't know/No answer

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

Do you agree or disagree with President Obamas decision to normalize

relations with Cuba?

BY PARTY
Republican

Democrat

Independent

Agree

41%

79%

66%

Disagree

53%

15%

33%

Dont know/No answer

6%

6%

1%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

Do you agree or disagree with President Obamas decision to normalize

relations with Cuba?

BY AGE
18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

Agree

74%

72%

59%

52%

Disagree

19%

24%

36%

43%

Dont know/No answer

7%

4%

5%

5%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

Do you think it was a good idea or bad idea for President Obama to visit Cuba?

7%

30%

63%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

Good idea
Bad idea
Don't know/No answer

10

Do you think it was a good idea or bad idea for President Obama to visit Cuba?

BY ETHNICITY
Hispanic

White-Anglo

Black

Good idea

52%

66%

85%

Bad idea

39%

27%

6%

Dont know/No answer

9%

7%

9%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

11

Do you think it was a good idea or bad idea for President Obama to visit Cuba?

CUBANS
8%

48%

44%

Good idea
Bad idea
Don't know/No answer

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

12

Do you think it was a good idea or bad idea for President Obama to visit Cuba?

BY PARTY
Republican

Democrat

Independent

Good idea

34%

82%

66%

Bad idea

55%

13%

26%

Dont know/No answer

11%

5%

8%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

13

Do you think it was a good idea or bad idea for President Obama to visit Cuba?

BY AGE
18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

Good idea

75%

65%

61%

53%

Bad idea

14%

24%

32%

43%

Dont know/No answer

11%

11%

7%

4%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

14

Did you see President Obamas speech in Havana, which was broadcast live
throughout Cuba?

40%

60%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

Yes
No

15

Did you see President Obamas speech in Havana, which was broadcast live
throughout Cuba?

BY ETHNICITY

Yes
No

Hispanic

White-Anglo

Black

61%
39%

43%
57%

71%
29%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

16

Did you see President Obamas speech in Havana, which was broadcast live
throughout Cuba?

CUBANS

24%

76%
MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL
MAY 2016

Yes
No

17

Did you like President Obamas speech?

ASKED ONLY OF THOSE WHO WATCHED THE SPEECH

18%

1%
Yes

81%
MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL
MAY 2016

No
Don't know/No answer

18

Did you like President Obamas speech?

ASKED ONLY OF CUBANS WHO WATCHED THE SPEECH

19%

81%
MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL
MAY 2016

Yes

No

19

As travel restrictions on Americans have eased and Cuba recently changed its policy allowing
people born in Cuba to return to the country via ship, will you visit Cuba in the next year?

5%

18%

77%
MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL
MAY 2016

Yes
No
Don't know/No answer

20

As travel restrictions on Americans have eased and Cuba recently changed its policy allowing
people born in Cuba to return to the country via ship, will you visit Cuba in the next year?

CUBANS

3%

10%
Yes

87%
MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL
MAY 2016

No
Don't know/No answer

21

If yes, for what purpose?

ASKED ONLY OF THOSE WHO INTEND TO TRAVEL TO CUBA
83%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%

14%

30%
20%

3%

10%
0%

Tourism

Visit family
MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL
MAY 2016

Business

22

If yes, how will you travel to Cuba?

ASKED ONLY OF THOSE WHO INTEND TO TRAVEL TO CUBA
41%
45%

35%

40%
35%
30%
25%

14%

20%

6%

15%
10%

4%

5%
0%

Cruise ship

Commerical plane

Charter plane

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

Private boat

Don't know/No
answer

23

The Cuban embassy in Washington D.C. reopened in July of 2015 and

now, many are looking to Miami-Dade County as a logical place to
open a Cuban consulate. Supporters say that the consulate belongs in
Miami-Dade County because of the overwhelming Cuban-American
population living here who are still physically connected with the
island. However, some local leaders insist that placing a consulate
here is having a piece of the Cuban dictatorship present in
Miami-Dade County which is an unacceptable offense to Cuban exiles.

Do you support or oppose placing a Cuban consulate in Miami-Dade County?

10%

38%

52%

Support
Oppose
Don't know/No answer

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

25

Do you support or oppose placing a Cuban consulate in Miami-Dade County?

BY ETHNICITY
Hispanic

White-Anglo

Black

Support

45%

65%

55%

Oppose

46%

28%

27%

Dont know/No answer

9%

7%

18%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

26

Do you support or oppose placing a Cuban consulate in Miami-Dade County?

CUBANS
4%

58%

38%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

Support
Oppose
Don't know/No answer

27

Do you support or oppose placing a Cuban consulate in Miami-Dade County?

BY PARTY
Republican

Democrat

Independent

Support

36%

61%

55%

Oppose

58%

27%

33%

Dont know/No answer

6%

12%

12%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

28

Do you support or oppose placing a Cuban consulate in Miami-Dade County?

BY AGE
18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

Support

57%

56%

55%

39%

Oppose

34%

35%

32%

51%

Dont know/No answer

9%

9%

13%

10%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

29

Carnival and Cuba

Carnival Cruise Lines

12% 12%

Somewhat/Very unfavorable opinion

53%

30%

23%

Very/Somewhat favorable opinion

24%

12%

Do not recognize

11%

No answer
0%

10%

20%

30%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

40%

50%

60%

31

Carnival Cruise Lines

BY ETHNICITY
Hispanic

White-Anglo

Black

Favorable

50%

61%

52%

Unfavorable

28%

20%

15%

Do not recognize

16%

9%

6%

Dont know/No answer

6%

10%

27%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

32

Carnival Cruise Lines

CUBANS

36%

23%

13%

Somewhat/Very unfavorable opinion

40%

19%

21%

Very/Somewhat favorable opinion

17%

Do not recognize

7%

No answer
0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

25%

30%

35%

40%

33

Carnival Cruise Lines

BY PARTY
Republican

Democrat

Independent

Favorable

48%

56%

54%

Unfavorable

31%

22%

18%

Do not recognize

15%

9%

13%

Dont know/No answer

6%

13%

15%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

34

Last month, Carnival Corp. announced that they would be the first American
cruise line to set sail to Cuba in over 50 years. After ticket sales began, it
soon came to light that Cuban-born U.S. citizens would not be allowed on
the cruise in accordance with Cuban law. Opponents perceived this policy to
be discriminatory towards Cuban-born U.S. citizens while proponents
argued that the company was simply abiding by the destination countrys
law. After several protests and a class-action lawsuit, Carnival Corp.
announced on April 25th that the Cuban government changed its policy
regarding Cuban-born U.S. Citizens traveling to Cuba by boat, thus allowing
Carnival Corp. to accept reservations from all U.S. Citizens.

How satisfied are you with how Carnival Corp. handled this issue?

20%

5% 15%

Somewhat/Very unfavorable opinion

69%

32%

37%

Very/Somewhat favorable opinion

11%

Don't know/No answer

0%

10%

20%

30%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

40%

50%

60%

70%

36

How satisfied are you with how Carnival Corp. handled this issue?

BY ETHNICITY
Hispanic

White-Anglo

Black

Satisfied

65%

81%

69%

Unsatisfied

26%

13%

13%

Dont know/No answer

9%

6%

18%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

37

How satisfied are you with how Carnival Corp. handled this issue?
CUBANS

6%

Somewhat/Very unfavorable opinion

60%

26%

34%

Very/Somewhat favorable opinion

30%

24%

10%

Don't know/No answer

0%

10%

20%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

30%

40%

50%

60%

38

How satisfied are you with how Carnival Corp. handled this issue?

BY PARTY
Republican

Democrat

Independent

Satisfied

63%

71%

74%

Unsatisfied

27%

15%

17%

Dont know/No answer

10%

14%

9%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

39

DEMOGRAPHICS

Age
30%
25%

25%

25%

30%

20%

20%
15%
10%
5%
0%

18-34

35-49

50-64

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

65+

41

In what country were you born?

45%
45%
40%
35%
30%

24%

25%
20%
15%
10%

11%
5%

4%

5%

3%

2%

6%

0%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

42

In what country were most of your parents and grandparents born?

Asked only of those who were born in the United States

57%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%

15%

14%
4%

4%

4%

1%

1%

0%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

43

Gender

56%

44%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

Male

Female

44

Language of Interview
35%

65%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

English

Spanish

45

Ethnicity
22%
22%

56%

Hispanic
White-Anglo
African American

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

46

Party
28%

31%

41%

MIAMI-DADE LOCAL ISSUES POLL

MAY 2016

Democrat
Republican
Independent

47

For more information, contact:

Fernand Amandi
Principal
(305) 529-9916
famandi@bendixenonline.com

Miami-Dade County Local Issues Poll:

Survey of Miami-Dade County Voters May 2016
5/10/2016

48