ILHD20 Results 1

Illinois HD 20 Survey Results
Q1 How would you rate Governor Bruce Rauners

job performance: good, bad, or are you
neutral?
Good............................................................ 34%
Bad .............................................................. 48%
Neutral ......................................................... 16%
Not sure ....................................................... 2%
Q2 If the election for State Representative were

held today, would you vote to re-elect
Republican Representative Michael McAuliffe,
or do you think its time for someone new?
Vote to re-elect Representative Michael
McAuliffe ...................................................... 45%
Its time for someone new ............................. 40%
Not sure ....................................................... 15%
Q3 Would you be more or less likely to vote for

Representative Michael McAuliffe if you knew
he was supported by Governor Bruce Rauner,
or would it not make a difference?
More likely .................................................... 20%
Less likely..................................................... 42%
Wouldn't make a difference........................... 36%
Not sure ....................................................... 2%
he was supported by Donald Trump, or would it
not make a difference?
More likely .................................................... 22%
Less likely..................................................... 44%
Not sure ....................................................... 3%

he voted to cut $200 million in funding for
services that help frail senior citizens stay
independent and prevent them from going to
nursing homes that cost taxpayers more, or
would it not make a difference?
More likely .................................................... 19%
Less likely..................................................... 56%
Not sure ....................................................... 5%

he supported cuts to a childcare program that
keeps children safe and enables parents to
work and pay taxes, rather than rely on
government assistance, or would it not make a
difference?
More likely .................................................... 28%
Less likely..................................................... 45%
Not sure ....................................................... 4%

he opposed small wage increases for working
poor Illinoisans who care for children, the
elderly and persons with disabilities, or would it
not make a difference?
More likely .................................................... 24%
Less likely..................................................... 53%
Not sure ....................................................... 4%
Q8 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2

.
Woman ........................................................ 53%
Man.............................................................. 47%
May 9-10, 2016

Survey of 668 HD 20 voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Q9 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a

Republican, press 2. If an independent, press 3
.
Democrat ..................................................... 38%
Republican ................................................... 32%
Independent ................................................. 30%
Q10 (Asked of Democrats and Republicans) Even

though you think of yourself as a Democrat or
a Republican, do you sometimes vote for
candidates who are members of the other
Party, or not?
Do sometimes vote for candidates who are
members of the other Party .......................... 70%
Do not vote for candidates who are
members of the other Party .......................... 30%
May 9-10, 2016

Survey of 668 HD 20 voters
Q11 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2. If

other, press 3.
Hispanic ....................................................... 9%
White ........................................................... 83%
Other............................................................ 8%
Q12 If you are 18-45 years old, press 1. If 46-65,

press 2. If older than 65, press 3.
18 to 45........................................................ 27%
46 to 65........................................................ 46%
Older than 65 ............................................... 27%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Base Woman
Gender
Man
Rauner Job Rating

Good 34%
28%
41%
Bad 48%
51%
45%
Neutral 16%
18%
14%
3%
1%
Not sure
2%
Base Woman
Vote to re-elect 45%

Representative
Michael McAuliffe
40%
52%
Its time for someone 40%

new
43%
36%
Not sure 15%
17%
12%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
McAuliffe / Someone
New
Gender
Man
McAuliffe Supported
By Rauner More/Less
Likely
Base Woman
Man
McAuliffe Supported
By Trump More/Less
Likely
More likely 20%
17%
23%
More likely 22%
20%
23%
Less likely 42%
45%
40%
Less likely 44%
50%
37%
Wouldn't make a 36%

difference
36%
35%
Wouldn't make a 32%

difference
27%
37%
2%
2%
3%
3%
Not sure
2%
Not sure
3%
Gender
Base Woman
Gender
Man
McAuliffe Cut Senior

Funding More/Less
Likely
Base Woman
Man
McAuliffe Cut
Childcare Program
More/Less Likely
More likely 19%
20%
18%
More likely 28%
27%
31%
Less likely 56%
59%
53%
Less likely 45%
50%
39%
Wouldn't make a 20%

difference
16%
25%
Wouldn't make a 23%

difference
19%
27%
5%
4%
4%
4%
Not sure
May 9-10, 2016

survey of 668 HD 20 voters
5%
Not sure
4%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Party
Gender
Base Woman
Base Democrat Republican Independent
Man
Rauner Job Rating
McAuliffe Oppose
Wage Increases
More/Less Likely
More likely 24%
22%
25%
Less likely 53%
56%
49%
Wouldn't make a 19%

difference
17%
22%
5%
4%
Not sure
4%
Good 34%
16%
55%
33%
Bad 48%
71%
26%
42%
Neutral 16%
11%
17%
22%
1%
2%
3%
Not sure
2%
Party
Party

McAuliffe / Someone
New
Representative
Michael McAuliffe
31%
65%
43%

new
54%
24%
38%
Not sure 15%
14%
12%
19%
McAuliffe Supported
By Rauner More/Less
Likely
More likely 20%
11%
35%
16%
Less likely 42%
63%
18%
42%
Wouldn't make a 36%

difference
23%
46%
40%
3%
1%
2%
Not sure
2%
Party
Party

McAuliffe Supported
By Trump More/Less
Likely

Funding More/Less
Likely
More likely 22%
11%
37%
17%
More likely 19%
12%
26%
23%
Less likely 44%
65%
21%
42%
Less likely 56%
80%
33%
50%
Wouldn't make a 32%

difference
20%
40%
38%
Wouldn't make a 20%

difference
6%
35%
21%
4%
2%
4%
3%
6%
6%
Not sure
May 9-10, 2016

3%
Not sure
5%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Party
Party

McAuliffe Cut
Childcare Program
More/Less Likely

McAuliffe Oppose
Wage Increases
More/Less Likely
More likely 28%
22%
38%
27%
Less likely 45%
66%
22%
Wouldn't make a 23%

difference
11%
33%
2%
6%
4%
Not sure
4%
More likely 24%
16%
36%
19%
42%
Less likely 53%
75%
27%
51%
27%
Wouldn't make a 19%

difference
7%
30%
25%
2%
7%
4%
Not sure
Vote For Candidates Outside of Party
Do sometimes vote for candidates Do not vote for candidates who

Base who are members of the other Party are members of the other Party
Rauner Job Rating
Good 34%
35%
30%
Bad 51%
50%
53%
Neutral 14%
14%
13%
0%
5%
Not sure
2%
4%

McAuliffe / Someone
New
Representative
Michael McAuliffe
47%
46%

new
41%
39%
Not sure 13%
12%
15%

McAuliffe Supported
By Rauner More/Less
Likely

McAuliffe Supported
By Trump More/Less
Likely
More likely 22%
22%
22%
More likely 23%
22%
27%
Less likely 42%
41%
44%
Less likely 44%
45%
42%
Wouldn't make a 34%

difference
35%
30%
Wouldn't make a 29%

difference
30%
27%
1%
4%
3%
4%
Not sure
2%
Not sure
3%

Funding More/Less
Likely

McAuliffe Cut
Childcare Program
More/Less Likely
More likely 18%
15%
25%
More likely 29%
27%
34%
Less likely 58%
62%
50%
Less likely 46%
47%
45%
Wouldn't make a 19%

difference
20%
18%
Wouldn't make a 21%

difference
24%
14%
3%
7%
2%
7%
Not sure
4%
May 9-10, 2016

Not sure
4%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Race

McAuliffe Oppose
Wage Increases
More/Less Likely
Base Hispanic White Other

Rauner Job Rating
More likely 25%
24%
29%
Less likely 53%
56%
48%
Wouldn't make a 17%

difference
17%
17%
4%
7%
Not sure
4%
Good 34%
34%
34%
32%
Bad 48%
58%
49%
30%
Neutral 16%
8%
16%
26%
1%
12%
Not sure
2%
Race
Race

McAuliffe / Someone
New
Representative
Michael McAuliffe
41%

new
59%
38%
33%
16%
24%
Not sure 15%
46%
43%

McAuliffe Supported
By Rauner More/Less
Likely
More likely 20%
21%
21%
11%
Less likely 42%
50%
41%
46%
Wouldn't make a 36%

difference
29%
36%
38%
2%
5%
Not sure
2%
Race
Race

McAuliffe Supported
By Trump More/Less
Likely

Funding More/Less
Likely
More likely 22%
26%
21%
24%
More likely 19%
27%
20%
6%
Less likely 44%
48%
44%
33%
Less likely 56%
49%
56%
63%
Wouldn't make a 32%

difference
27%
32%
33%
Wouldn't make a 20%

difference
23%
19%
21%
3%
10%
1%
5%
10%
Not sure
May 9-10, 2016

3%
Not sure
5%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Race
Race

McAuliffe Cut
Childcare Program
More/Less Likely

McAuliffe Oppose
Wage Increases
More/Less Likely
More likely 28%
33%
27%
35%
More likely 24%
31%
23%
23%
Less likely 45%
31%
47%
37%
Less likely 53%
54%
52%
57%
Wouldn't make a 23%

difference
36%
21%
23%
Wouldn't make a 19%

difference
14%
21%
11%
4%
5%
1%
4%
9%
Not sure
4%
Not sure
4%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Rauner Job Rating

Good 34%
29%
33%
39%
Bad 48%
62%
47%
37%
Neutral 16%
6%
18%
23%
3%
2%
1%
Not sure
2%
Base
McAuliffe / Someone
New
Representative
Michael McAuliffe
38%
46%
51%

new
45%
40%
33%
Not sure 15%
17%
13%
15%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
McAuliffe Supported
By Rauner More/Less
Likely
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
McAuliffe Supported
By Trump More/Less
Likely
More likely 20%
19%
16%
27%
More likely 22%
24%
18%
25%
Less likely 42%
56%
41%
32%
Less likely 44%
50%
44%
37%
Wouldn't make a 36%

difference
25%
40%
37%
Wouldn't make a 32%

difference
25%
35%
33%
2%
4%
4%
5%
Not sure
May 9-10, 2016

2%
Not sure
3%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Funding More/Less
Likely
12%
20%
26%
Less likely 56%
63%
59%
Wouldn't make a 20%

difference
25%
16%
5%
8%
5%
More likely 28%
25%
23%
40%
44%
Less likely 45%
48%
50%
34%
22%
Wouldn't make a 23%

difference
27%
21%
21%
6%
5%
Not sure
4%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
McAuliffe Oppose
Wage Increases
More/Less Likely
More likely 24%
23%
22%
27%
Less likely 53%
60%
54%
43%
Wouldn't make a 19%

difference
17%
19%
23%
5%
7%
Not sure
May 9-10, 2016

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
McAuliffe Cut
Childcare Program
More/Less Likely
More likely 19%
Not sure
Base
4%

Raleigh, NC 27604

ILHD20 Results 1

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Illinois HD 20 Survey Results

Q1 How would you rate Governor Bruce Rauners

Q2 If the election for State Representative were

Q3 Would you be more or less likely to vote for

Q5 Would you be more or less likely to vote for

Q6 Would you be more or less likely to vote for

Q7 Would you be more or less likely to vote for

Q8 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2

May 9-10, 2016

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Q9 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a

Q10 (Asked of Democrats and Republicans) Even

May 9-10, 2016

Q11 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2. If

Q12 If you are 18-45 years old, press 1. If 46-65,

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Rauner Job Rating

Vote to re-elect 45%

Its time for someone 40%

Not sure 15%

More likely 20%

More likely 22%

Less likely 42%

Less likely 44%

Wouldn't make a 36%

Wouldn't make a 32%

McAuliffe Cut Senior

More likely 19%

More likely 28%

Less likely 56%

Less likely 45%

Wouldn't make a 20%

Wouldn't make a 23%

May 9-10, 2016

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Base Democrat Republican Independent

Less likely 53%

Wouldn't make a 19%

Base Democrat Republican Independent

Base Democrat Republican Independent

Its time for someone 40%

Not sure 15%

Less likely 42%

Wouldn't make a 36%

Base Democrat Republican Independent

Base Democrat Republican Independent

More likely 22%

More likely 19%

Less likely 44%

Less likely 56%

Wouldn't make a 32%

Wouldn't make a 20%

May 9-10, 2016

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Base Democrat Republican Independent

Base Democrat Republican Independent

More likely 28%

Less likely 45%

Wouldn't make a 23%

More likely 24%

Less likely 53%

Wouldn't make a 19%

Vote For Candidates Outside of Party