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Sheeba Ogirala
Introduction
With the use of Tableau data visualization tools, we will analyze stock data to gain insights on the
performance of different stock exchanges over time. We will look at how the exchanges compare
in terms of returns and volumes historically and how uncommon events like bubbles and recession
have impacted the exchanges. As a portfolio manager looking to invest in exchange traded funds
of ETFs, the analytics tool will give us in-depth information about the different exchange
performances.
Research Question
The research question or problem that we will address in this study is how to choose the best
exchange traded fund that will outperform the market, through the economic cycles of peak,
recession, recovery and expansion. Looking at the economic state we are currently in and where
we are headed, we are in a post-recession growth stage. We will look at how different exchanges
performed during these economic cycles. This report shows portfolio managers can use CSRP data
from 2000-2014 to analyze these economic trends and hence are able to make better investing
decisions for their clients.
Overview of Data
The data set for this study contains the monthly stock data of all the companies in CRSP from 122000 to 12-2014. Over this period, we have the following data: Control variables: Exchange listed
on, Trading status, Security status, Exchange code header, Number of shares outstanding, Nasdaq
national market indicator. Measurements: Stock price monthly high, low and average, Monthly
trading volume, Value weighted return, Equal weighted return, Return on S&P 500
highest returns followed by NYSE, NASDAQ and ARCA. Fig 2 shows the trading volumes on
each of the five exchanges. We see that the NYSE is the most traded exchange of the five, with a
median of 1.8B trades per quarter, closely followed NASDAQ with a median of 1.1B trades per
quarter. If we take a closer look at the returns in Fig 3, we see that in 2014, NYSE is the most
traded exchange by volume of nearly 6B followed by NASDAQ with a volume of 4.7B. But from
the color, we see that NASDAQ has the highest returns of 345.6, followed by NYSE returns of
244. In Fig 4, we see that the Market Capitalization of NASDAQ has been the highest historically,
although it has shrunk since the early 2000s. While the NASDAQ has also shrunk, we see it
started to grow significantly after 2013. From Fig 5 & 6, we see that the exchanges are positively
correlated with the S&P with certain NASDAQ returns much higher than the S&P returns.
Recommendation
As a portfolio manager in 2014, NASDAQ electronic exchange is a good investment for an
exchange traded fund. The data supports that fact NASDAQ has highest returns for the current
economic cycle.
Screenshots
Fig 1: Returns on 5 US stock exchanges, 2000-2014
Fig 7: Dashboard