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CFIUS- us has largest econ and lots of consumers, china not allowed.
China has own bouncers, can do the same
Most are not a threat
Increases the chance china may do the same
Most likely M&A from American to China
Most high profile
o CNOOC
o Huawei
o Ralls
CFIUS rejected Dubai Ports World b/c it was from the UAE
Most investment is not reviewed, many submit the plans in advance
Reserves the right got involuntary review
Looking for
Politics/ Election
Middle class can vote rep. with hard econ for factories
Trump seems unrealistic and experts are confused
China may not be popular
Fuck china, we need to be tough
Its not the truth its the spin
Econ or naw?
o
o
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Many
o
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o
o
Historically true
Interdependent
other relevant and important issues
Always there
Need stability
ROC
Japan
Climate
North Korea
China more likely to be cooperated with than US, regime change
could be good impact
Protectionism
Chinas Economy
The pressure CP
Engagement V containment
o Containment wants to keep China in control
o Use power to say that they need to change something about their
behavior
o Could irritation could be used to make China change
o CFIUS could be used as pressure
o American market is so wanted that pressure may work
Could go bad
Neolib.