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Plano ISD

Quarterly Economic and 
Housing Analysis
3Q10
with 10‐year Enrollment Projections

3Q08 © Copyright Metrostudy 2008


Economic Conditions
• DFW continues to lead the nation in annual job growth.
• Unemployment rate has dropped slightly over the last year as migration 
to the DFW area slows employment gains.
– National unemployment rate at 9.2% (9.5%)*
– Texas unemployment rate at 7.9 % (8.1%)*
– DFW  MSA unemployment rate at 7.9 % (8.3%)*
– Collin County unemployment rate at 7.2% (7.7%)*
• Texas is ranked 1st in annual SF permits at 69,031,Florida a distant 2nd
with 32,200 permits (August 2010)
• Apartment occupancy now exceed 91% on average as they benefit from 
new residents.
• Regional starts saw a dramatic decline, down 21% from 2Q, following the 
end of the tax credit.  Primarily in the under $200K price point.
• Starts will likely remain down until 2nd or 3rd Quarter of 2011.
• New Home Closings increased as the last of the homes purchased using 
the tax credit were closed.
• Plano ISD actually saw an increase in new home starts.

3Q08 © Copyright Metrostudy 2008


* Texas Labor Market Information – September 2010 (September 2009)
Plano ISD
Foreclosures

3Q09:         202
3Q10:         196

3Q08 © Copyright Metrostudy 2008


Plano ISD New Housing Activity

• Closing remained high following the tax credit expiration.
• Increase in starts activity may be short lived as inventory remains high.

Starts 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Closings 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
1Q 226 158 106 47 80 1Q 223 179 162 86 63
2Q 251 135 120 44 65 2Q 217 200 142 103 91
3Q 165 208 115 94 84 3Q 196 166 163 95 91
4Q 203 123 67 59 - 4Q 181 167 119 95 -
Total 845 624 408 244 229 Total 817 712 586 379 245

3Q08 © Copyright Metrostudy 2008


Plano ISD Housing Activity
By Price Point

Regional decline in starts not felt in 
Plano ISD as the upper price points have 
fared better than those below $200K 
3Q08 © Copyright Metrostudy 2008
3Q10 Annual Closings

Top 10 Subdivisons - 3Q10 (Ranked by Annual Closings)


Senior High  Annual  Quarter  Annual  Quarter 
Rank Subdivision Status Elementary Zone  Middle School Zone High School Zone School Starts Starts Closings Closings Occ. Models F/V U/C VDL Future Total
1 Morgan Crossing ACTIVE HUNT MURPHY MCMILLIEN PLANO EAST 29 0 58 10 149 0 2 1 4 53 209
2 Suncreek Townhomes ACTIVE BEVERLY HENDRICK CLARK PLANO EAST 23 6 33 5 132 2 7 0 9 0 150
3 Rolling Ridge Estates ACTIVE HUNT MURPHY MCMILLIEN PLANO EAST 21 9 26 16 492 1 4 5 43 53 598
4 Oakpoint Estates Townhomes BO MCCALL BOWMAN WILLIAMS PLANO EAST 8 0 23 1 101 0 0 0 0 0 101
5 Trails of Glenwood ACTIVE MCCALL BOWMAN WILLIAMS PLANO EAST 46 16 21 14 71 3 8 22 56 346 506
6 Avignon on Windhaven ACTIVE BRINKER RENNER SHEPTON PLANO WEST 20 2 16 5 45 3 2 7 82 64 203
7 Preston Villages Addition ACTIVE HIGHTOWER FRANKFORD SHEPTON PLANO WEST 21 7 15 0 34 2 0 11 13 57 117
8 Oakpoint Estates ACTIVE MCCALL BOWMAN WILLIAMS PLANO EAST 3 0 15 0 127 0 2 0 0 0 129
9 Hunters Landing (Murphy) ACTIVE BOGGESS MURPHY MCMILLIEN PLANO EAST 12 3 14 5 397 1 0 5 41 0 444
10
11 3Q08
Pointe West
Town Homes at Legacy Town Center
ACTIVE
ACTIVE
BARKSDALE
BRINKER
RENNER
RENNER
©SHEPTON
Copyright
SHEPTON
Metrostudy
PLANO WEST
PLANO WEST
1120083
19 5
13
13
2
7
26
167
1
0
3
7
3
0
13
115
0
82
46
371
TOTALS 213 51 247 65 1,741 13 35 54 376 655 2,874
3Q10 Future Inventory

Top 10 Subdivisons - 3Q10 (Ranked by Future Inventory)


Middle School  Senior High  Annual  Quarter  Annual  Quarter 
Rank Subdivision Status Elementary Zone  Zone High School Zone School Starts Starts Closings Closings Occ. Models F/V U/C VDL Future Total
1 Trails of Glenwood ACTIVE MCCALL BOWMAN WILLIAMS PLANO EAST 46 16 21 14 71 3 8 22 56 346 506
2 Parkway Heights Future SCHELL OTTO WILLIAMS PLANO EAST 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 171 171
3 Creekside Estates (Wylie) ACTIVE HUNT MURPHY MCMILLIEN PLANO EAST 9 5 9 0 465 1 1 5 96 163 731
4 Collinwood Farm Future BRINKER RENNER SHEPTON PLANO WEST 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 137 137
5 Stinson Highlands Future HUNT MURPHY MCMILLIEN PLANO EAST 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 121 121
6 Lucas Farms Future HUNT MURPHY MCMILLIEN PLANO EAST 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 105 105
7 Town Homes at Legacy Town Center ACTIVE BRINKER RENNER SHEPTON PLANO WEST 19 5 13 7 167 0 7 0 115 82 371
8 Avignon on Windhaven ACTIVE BRINKER RENNER SHEPTON PLANO WEST 20 2 16 5 45 3 2 7 82 64 203

3Q08 © Copyright Metrostudy 2008


9 Parkway Heights Townhomes Future SCHELL OTTO WILLIAMS PLANO EAST 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 59 59
10 Estates at Creekside Future HUNT MURPHY MCMILLIEN PLANO EAST 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 58 58
TOTALS 94 28 59 26 748 7 18 34 349 1,306 2,462
Top Subdivisions: 3Q10 Inventory
Top 5 Subdivisons - 3Q10 (Ranked by Homes Under Construction)
Middle School  Senior High  Annual  Quarter  Annual  Quarter 
Rank Subdivision Status Elementary Zone  Zone High School Zone School Starts Starts Closings Closings Occ. Models F/V U/C VDL Future Total
1 Trails of Glenwood ACTIVE MCCALL BOWMAN WILLIAMS PLANO EAST 46 16 21 14 71 3 8 22 56 346 506
2 Preston Villages Addition ACTIVE HIGHTOWER FRANKFORD SHEPTON PLANO WEST 21 7 15 0 34 2 0 11 13 57 117
3 Avignon on Windhaven ACTIVE BRINKER RENNER SHEPTON PLANO WEST 20 2 16 5 45 3 2 7 82 64 203
4 Rolling Ridge Estates ACTIVE HUNT MURPHY MCMILLIEN PLANO EAST 21 9 26 16 492 1 4 5 43 53 598
5 Southridge Estates Addn. (Parker) ACTIVE HUNT MURPHY MCMILLIEN PLANO EAST 12 5 6 2 31 1 3 5 53 0 93
5 Creekside Estates (Wylie) ACTIVE HUNT MURPHY MCMILLIEN PLANO EAST 9 5 9 0 465 1 1 5 96 163 731
5 Hunters Landing (Murphy) ACTIVE BOGGESS MURPHY MCMILLIEN PLANO EAST 12 3 14 5 397 1 0 5 41 0 444
TOTALS 141 47 107 42 1,535 12 18 60 384 683 2,692

Top 5 Subdivisons - 3Q10 (Ranked by Finished Vacant Inventory)


Middle School  Senior High  Annual  Quarter  Annual  Quarter 
Rank Subdivision Status Elementary Zone  Zone High School Zone School Starts Starts Closings Closings Occ. Models F/V U/C VDL Future Total
1 Trails of Glenwood ACTIVE MCCALL BOWMAN WILLIAMS PLANO EAST 46 16 21 14 71 3 8 22 56 346 506
2 Lexington Park at Rice Field ACTIVE MENDENHALL OTTO WILLIAMS PLANO EAST 0 0 4 0 5 1 8 0 84 0 98
3 Town Homes at Legacy Town Center ACTIVE BRINKER RENNER SHEPTON PLANO WEST 19 5 13 7 167 0 7 0 115 82 371
4 Suncreek Townhomes ACTIVE BEVERLY HENDRICK CLARK PLANO EAST 23 6 33 5 132 2 7 0 9 0 150
5 Villas of Stoney Hollow ACTIVE HICKEY BOWMAN WILLIAMS PLANO EAST 19 6 10 7 12 1 5 4 25 0 47
TOTALS 107 33 81 33 387 7 35 26 289 428 1,172

1/3 of all new construction is occurring in Trails of Glenwood 
and Preston Villages Addition

3Q08 © Copyright Metrostudy 2008


Trails of Glenwood
Preston Village 
Addition (Townhomes)

Leads all subdivisions  Leads all subdivisions 
71 Homes now occupied 34 Homes now occupied
Currently 22 homes under construction Currently 11 homes under construction
VDL now stands at 56  VDL now stands at 13 
New lot deliveries could be expected.(346 future) Future section will include 57 townhomes
3Q08 © Copyright Metrostudy 2008
Image date: December 2009
Sub Totals by Elementary Campus
SUBDIVISION ATTENDANCE ZONE REPORT ‐ 3Q10
Annual  Quarter  Annual  Quarter  Total 
Elementary School Starts Starts Closings Closings Occ. Models F/V U/C Inventory VDL Future Total
ALDRIDGE Total 1 0 3 0 22 0 1 0 1 28 0 51
ANDREWS Total 0 0 0 0 1,346 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,346
BARKSDALE Total 11 3 15 2 417 1 3 3 7 13 22 459
BARRON Total 0 0 0 0 103 0 0 0 0 0 0 103
BETHANY Total 0 0 0 0 76 0 0 0 0 0 0 76
BEVERLY Total 23 6 33 5 1,264 2 7 0 9 9 0 1,282
BOGGESS Total 12 3 14 5 1,567 1 0 5 6 41 0 1,614
BRINKER Total 39 7 29 12 1,225 3 9 7 19 197 301 1,742
CENTENNIAL Total 4 3 4 0 1,407 0 0 4 4 36 0 1,447
DAFFRON Total 0 0 0 0 452 0 0 0 0 0 0 452
DAVIS Total 0 0 0 0 78 0 0 0 0 0 0 78
DOOLEY Total 2 1 4 2 439 0 0 2 2 5 50 496
FOREMAN Total 0 0 0 0 122 0 0 0 0 0 0 122
GULLEDGE Total 0 0 0 0 406 0 0 0 0 0 0 406
HAGGAR Total 3 1 13 3 899 2 1 1 4 62 0 965
HAUN Total 0 0 0 0 989 0 0 0 0 0 0 989
HEDGECOXE Total 0 0 0 0 123 0 0 0 0 0 0 123
HICKEY Total 19 6 10 7 973 1 5 4 10 45 0 1,028
HIGHTOWER Total 21 7 15 0 626 2 0 11 13 13 57 709
HUFFMAN Total 0 0 0 0 241 0 0 0 0 0 0 241
HUNT Total 85 24 114 33 1,740 5 12 23 40 248 637 2,665
JACKSON Total 0 0 3 0 307 0 1 0 1 20 0 328
MATHEWS Total 0 0 0 0 2,284 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,284
MCCALL Total 57 16 59 15 1,253 3 10 22 35 56 346 1,690
MENDENHALL Total 0 0 4 0 1,019 1 8 0 9 84 0 1,112
MILLER Total 7 4 4 0 1,450 1 1 4 6 4 0 1,460
MITCHELL Total 0 0 0 0 727 0 0 0 0 0 0 727
RASOR Total 0 0 12 6 819 0 0 0 0 92 0 911
SAIGLING Total 0 0 0 0 219 0 0 0 0 0 0 219
SCHELL Total 2 1 4 1 1,120 0 0 2 2 41 230 1,393
SIGLER Total 0 0 0 0 13 0 0 0 0 0 7 20
SKAGGS Total 0 0 0 0 930 0 0 0 0 0 0 930
STINSON Total 3 2 1 0 1,544 1 0 2 3 25 60 1,632
WELLS Total 0 0 0 0 362 0 0 0 0 0 0 362
WYATT Total 0 0 0 0 1260 0 0 0 0 0 0 1260
Grand Total 289 84 341 91 27,822 23 58 90 171 1,019 1,710 30,722

3Q08 © Copyright Metrostudy 2008


Enrollment History
PLANO INDEPENDENT SCHOOL DISTRICT - GRADE LEVEL ENROLLMENT

Year (Oct.) EE/PRE‐K K 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th Total Growth Percent
2004/05 1,547 4,003 4,026 4,043 4,040 4,074 4,000 4,047 3,960 4,037 4,156 3,657 3,566 3,263 52,419
2005/06 1,557 4,024 4,133 4,044 4,140 4,037 4,222 3,928 4,069 4,048 4,184 3,802 3,573 3,494 53,255 836 1.6%
2006/07 1,524 4,039 4,096 4,114 3,973 4,093 4,034 4,126 3,912 4,078 4,154 3,734 3,654 3,467 52,998 ‐257 ‐0.5%
2007/08 1,662 3,850 4,157 4,131 4,148 4,065 4,151 4,067 4,131 3,959 4,271 3,717 3,733 3,641 53,683 685 1.3%
2008/09 1,704 4,007 4,017 4,172 4,192 4,195 4,075 4,180 4,097 4,199 4,141 3,795 3,705 3,724 54,203 520 1.0%
2009/10 1,844 4,014 4,194 4,091 4,205 4,254 4,247 4,098 4,174 4,187 4,359 3,832 3,783 3,657 54,939 736 1.4%
2010/11 1,788 3,903 4,102 4,229 4,148 4,199 4,307 4,220 4,199 4,217 4,333 4,103 3,791 3,797 55,336 397 0.7%
*Yellow box = largest grader per year
*Green box = second largest per year

Student Housing Analysis
School Year Households Population Enrollment Student per HH Annual Closings Enrollment Growth New Home Yield
2005/06 119,727 313,685 53,255 0.44 NA NA NA
2006/07 120,636 316,066 52,998 0.44 909 ‐257 ‐0.283
2007/08 121,362 317,968 53,683 0.44 726 685 0.944
2008/09 121,996 319,630 54,203 0.44 634 520 0.820
2009/10 122,399 320,685 54,939 0.45 403 736 1.826
2010/11 122,739 321,576 55,336 0.45 340 397 1.168

3Q08 © Copyright Metrostudy 2008


Enrollment Projections
PLANO INDEPENDENT SCHOOL DISTRICT - GRADE LEVEL ENROLLMENT

Year (Oct.) EE/PRE‐K K 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th Total Growth Percent
2004/05 1,547 4,003 4,026 4,043 4,040 4,074 4,000 4,047 3,960 4,037 4,156 3,657 3,566 3,263 52,419
2005/06 1,557 4,024 4,133 4,044 4,140 4,037 4,222 3,928 4,069 4,048 4,184 3,802 3,573 3,494 53,255 836 1.6%
2006/07 1,524 4,039 4,096 4,114 3,973 4,093 4,034 4,126 3,912 4,078 4,154 3,734 3,654 3,467 52,998 ‐257 ‐0.5%
2007/08 1,662 3,850 4,157 4,131 4,148 4,065 4,151 4,067 4,131 3,959 4,271 3,717 3,733 3,641 53,683 685 1.3%
2008/09 1,704 4,007 4,017 4,172 4,192 4,195 4,075 4,180 4,097 4,199 4,141 3,795 3,705 3,724 54,203 520 1.0%
2009/10 1,844 4,014 4,194 4,091 4,205 4,254 4,247 4,098 4,174 4,187 4,359 3,832 3,783 3,657 54,939 736 1.4%
2010/11 1,788 3,903 4,102 4,229 4,148 4,199 4,307 4,220 4,199 4,217 4,333 4,103 3,791 3,797 55,336 397 0.7%
2011/12 1,788 3,926 3,994 4,135 4,289 4,205 4,230 4,330 4,246 4,246 4,484 4,057 4,045 3,751 55,726 390 0.7%
2012/13 1,788 3,938 4,008 4,024 4,172 4,349 4,247 4,274 4,370 4,281 4,464 4,137 3,968 4,003 56,023 297 0.5%
2013/14 1,788 3,911 4,043 4,038 4,072 4,217 4,401 4,268 4,328 4,411 4,520 4,196 3,931 3,928 56,052 29 0.1%
2014/15 1,788 3,911 4,000 4,085 4,089 4,121 4,265 4,402 4,315 4,392 4,564 4,229 3,951 3,893 56,005 ‐47 ‐0.1%
2015/16 1,788 3,950 4,020 4,036 4,119 4,132 4,176 4,271 4,447 4,379 4,626 4,245 4,102 3,911 56,202 197 0.4%
2016/17 1,788 3,963 4,051 4,060 4,096 4,172 4,186 4,188 4,322 4,483 4,619 4,249 4,106 4,061 56,344 142 0.3%
2017/18 1,788 3,994 4,060 4,090 4,110 4,158 4,227 4,192 4,217 4,380 4,723 4,259 4,119 4,065 56,382 38 0.1%
2018/19 1,788 4,033 4,104 4,101 4,138 4,170 4,223 4,224 4,214 4,285 4,617 4,380 4,070 4,078 56,425 43 0.1%
2019/20 1,788 4,059 4,139 4,153 4,160 4,195 4,227 4,229 4,285 4,272 4,518 4,214 4,292 4,030 56,561 136 0.2%
2020/21 1,788 4,090 4,167 4,182 4,215 4,222 4,255 4,229 4,252 4,322 4,505 4,141 4,173 4,249 56,790 229 0.4%

*Yellow box = largest grader per year


*Green box = second largest per year

As the district approaches build‐out enrollment 
swings may occur but generally a change of less 
than 1% can be expected. 

3Q08 © Copyright Metrostudy 2008


PLANO ISD CAMPUS ENROLLMENT
ELEMENTARY SCHOOL CAMPUS ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS
PLANO ISD PEIMS Current Projecti ons
Ca mpus  Na me 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Pl a no Fa mi l y Li tera cy 0 18 25 25 25 25 25 25
Hea d Sta rt
Al dri dge El ementa ry School
147
545
144
548
143
554
143
544
143
537
143
552
143
549
143
570
Enrollment Projections by Campus
Andrews  El ementa ry School 747 743 750 762 752 742 740 768
Ba rks da le El ementa ry School 644 651 666 634 624 621 609 574
Ba rron El ementa ry School 622 457 459 469 463 467 469 437
Bea ty Ea rl y Chi l dhood 415 587 637 637 637 637 637 637
Betha ny El ementa ry School 438 423 374 356 339 339 333 333
Betty Ha un El ementa ry School
Beverl y El ementa ry School
594
613
564
609
544
591
491
578
451
572
435
555
422
546
401
548 • Brinker, Hunt and McCall 
Bogges s  El ementa ry School 522 798 842 866 894 888 855 818
Bri nker El ementa ry School
Ca rl is l e El ementa ry School
655
541
668
558
647
543
641
555
629
547
607
537
601
540
598
527
currently have the greatest 
Centenni a l El ementa ry School
Chri s ti e El ementa ry School
514
812
520
798
530
794
524
789
544
774
536
766
539
763
541
778 amount of projected future 
Da ffron El ementa ry School 650 638 638 634 645 615 604 598
Da vi d McCa l l  El ementa ry School
Da vi s  El ementa ry School
657
395
474
429
521
439
529
455
568
455
607
472
612
470
621
447
housing.
Dool ey El ementa ry School
Forma n El ementa ry School
453
606
424
571
433
547
436
568
429
584
445
596
439
610
428
641 • Hunt McCall and Beverly 
Gul ledge El ementa ry School 613 562 591 588 594 597 606 613
Ha rri ngton Elementa ry School
Hedgcoxe El ementa ry School
464
531
446
512
417
459
418
442
423
434
418
410
436
393
464
382
have had the most activity or 
Hi ckey Elementa ry School
Huffma n El ementa ry School
581
567
577
598
611
660
639
686
644
693
649
716
649
693
649
696
new home closings in the past 
Hughs ton El ementa ry School 443 439 426 420 402 393 410 416
Is a cc Ea rl y Chi l dhood
Ja cks on El ementa ry School
0
681
598
708
554
692
554
713
554
712
554
711
554
706
554
705
year
John Hi ghtower El ementa ry School
Ma rtha  Hunt El ementa ry School
514
783
522
620
495
625
485
638
493
647
491
661
494
678
499
695
• Many attendance zones 
Ma thews  El ementa ry School 712 691 626 599 578 573 517 492
Mea dows  El ementa ry School
Memori a l  El ementa ry School
490
636
547
447
545
434
590
423
619
398
614
399
606
392
606
396
have matured and their 
Mendenha l l  El ementa ry School
Mi l l er Elementa ry School
528
604
551
594
565
576
576
536
584
526
610
518
617
514
634
506
enrollment may fluctuate 
Mi tchel l  El ementa ry School 579 624 674 698 730 740 759 772
Pea rs on Ea rl y Chi l dhood
Ra s or El ementa ry School
0
484
434
504
384
493
384
473
384
474
384
463
384
447
384
437
during the next 10 years with 
Ros e Ha gga r El ementa ry School
Sa i gl i ng El ementa ry School
612
388
632
407
608
386
618
379
614
375
621
359
610
361
607
369
declines followed by 
Schel l  Elementa ry School 607 638 668 661 665 659 668 678
Shepa rd El ementa ry School
Si gl er El ementa ry School
435
444
432
472
457
469
455
471
471
464
486
453
486
455
496
442
regeneration
Ska ggs  El ementa ry School 573 564 549 530 507 484 460 449
Sti ns on El ementa ry School 711 758 765 748 750 763 730 728
Thoma s  El ementa ry School 737 697 687 670 670 668 668 672
Wea therford El ementa ry School 496 499 466 469 465 466 473 482
Wel l s  El ementa ry School 472 502 508 506 523 534 532 535

3Q08
Wya tt El ementa ry School
Tota l  El ementa ry
El ementa ry growth
674 652 612 565
© Copyright Metrostudy 2008
524 494 458
25,929 26,849 26,679 26,570 26,529 26,473 26,262 26,224
100 920 ‐170 ‐109 ‐41 ‐56 ‐211
433

‐38
Enrollment Projections by Campus

MIDDLE SCHOOL CAMPUS ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS
PLANO ISD PEIMS Current Projecti ons
Ca mpus  Na me 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Arms trong Mi ddl e School 818 773 763 738 724 729 785 805
Bowma n Mi ddl e School 1,002 987 761 860 906 950 975 1,029
CM Ri ce Mi ddl e School 1,228 1,204 1,164 1,167 1,167 1,141 1,138 1,076
Ca rpenter Mi ddl e School 914 878 864 878 907 920 907 869
Fra nkford Mi ddl e School 1,114 1,130 1,192 1,183 1,217 1,203 1,212 1,200
Ha gga rd Mi ddl e School 901 875 894 898 921 909 897 892
Hendri ck Mi ddl e School 845 865 885 880 839 849 855 879
Murphy Mi ddl e School 1,380 1,491 965 1,011 1,003 1,075 1,080 1,120
Renner Mi ddl e School 1,251 1,241 1,319 1,300 1,325 1,330 1,372 1,401
Robi ns on Mi ddl e School 1,063 1,085 1,046 1,034 947 980 939 948
Schi mel pfeni g Mi ddl e School 972 953 998 966 945 861 895 869
Wi l s on Mi ddl e School 988 977 948 989 1,011 1,022 1,024 999
Otto Mi ddl e School 0 0 837 918 1,013 1,038 1,030 1,010
Future Mi ddl e School  2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Tota l  Mi ddl e School 12,476 12,459 12,636 12,822 12,925 13,007 13,109 13,097
Mi ddl e School  Growth 319 ‐17 177 186 103 82 102 ‐12

Middle Schools will continue to grow for the next few years 
as large elementary grades move through the system

3Q08 © Copyright Metrostudy 2008


Enrollment Projections by Campus
HIGH SCHOOL CAMPUS ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS
PLANO ISD PEIMS Current Projecti ons
Ca mpus  Na me 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Cl a rk Hi gh School 1,280 1,348 1,354 1,544 1,767 1,782 1,748 1,729
Ja s per Hi gh School 1,869 1,954 2,057 1,873 1,727 1,759 1,706 1,646
Shepton Hi gh School 1,543 1,599 1,613 1,652 1,671 1,705 1,744 1,737
Vi nes  Hi gh School 1,338 1,286 1,322 1,268 1,221 1,254 1,304 1,332
Wi l l i a ms  Hi gh School 1,905 2,001 2,090 1,122 1,085 1,083 1,253 1,323
McMi l l en Hi gh School 0 0 0 1,117 1,198 1,198 1,171 1,235
Future HS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Tota l  Hi gh School   7,935 8,188 8,436 8,576 8,669 8,781 8,926 9,002
Hi gh School  growth ‐50 253 248 140 93 112 145 76
SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL CAMPUS ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS
PLANO ISD PEIMS Current Projecti ons
Ca mpus  Na me 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Pl a no Seni or Hi gh School 2,689 2,673 2,476 2,494 2,495 2,283 2,188 2,550
Pl a no Ea s t Seni or Hi gh School 2,805 2,817 2,994 3,138 3,222 2,695 2,174 2,145
Pl a no Wes t Seni or Hi gh School 1,934 1,948 2,118 2,164 2,254 2,881 3,482 3,346

Tota l  Seni or Hi gh School   7,428 7,438 7,588 7,796 7,971 7,859 7,844 8,041
Seni or Hi gh School  growth 56 10 150 208 175 ‐112 ‐15 197
Pl a no J J A E P 2 5 0 0 0 0 0 0

TOTAL 53,770 54,939 55,339 55,764 56,094 56,120 56,141 56,364


Student Growth 422 1,169 400 425 330 26 21 223
Percent Growth 0.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4%

• McMillen High opens and begins to relieve Williams beginning in 2011
• Senior High School feeder patterns fully resolve in 2014/15

3Q08 © Copyright Metrostudy 2008


Ten Year Enrollment Projections
HIGH SCHOOL CAMPUS ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS
PLANO ISD Current Projecti ons
Ca mpus  Na me 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21
Cl a rk Hi gh School 1,354 1,544 1,767 1,782 1,748 1,729 1,731 1,767 1,739 1,627 1,586
Ja s per Hi gh School 2,057 1,873 1,727 1,759 1,706 1,646 1,643 1,642 1,562 1,441 1,377
Shepton Hi gh School 1,613 1,652 1,671 1,705 1,744 1,737 1,762 1,756 1,755 1,774 1,740
Vi nes  Hi gh School 1,322 1,268 1,221 1,254 1,304 1,332 1,295 1,276 1,273 1,280 1,293
Wi l l i a ms  Hi gh School 2,090 1,122 1,085 1,083 1,253 1,323 1,246 1,306 1,371 1,336 1,385
McMi l l en Hi gh School 0 1,117 1,198 1,198 1,171 1,235 1,245 1,290 1,354 1,325 1,311
Tota l  Hi gh School   8,436 8,576 8,669 8,781 8,926 9,002 8,922 9,037 9,054 8,783 8,692
Hi gh School  growth 248 140 93 112 145 76 ‐80 115 17 ‐271 ‐91
SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL CAMPUS ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS
PLANO ISD Current Projecti ons
Campus  Na me 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21
Pl a no Seni or Hi gh School 2,476 2,494 2,495 2,283 2,188 2,550 2,860 2,832 2,773 2,810 2,836
Pl a no Ea s t Seni or Hi gh School 2,994 3,138 3,222 2,695 2,174 2,145 2,255 2,314 2,258 2,395 2,484
Pl a no Wes t Seni or Hi gh School 2,118 2,164 2,254 2,881 3,482 3,346 3,176 3,155 3,158 3,159 3,148

Tota l  Seni or Hi gh School   7,588 7,796 7,971 7,859 7,844 8,041 8,291 8,301 8,189 8,364 8,468
Seni or Hi gh School  growth 150 208 175 ‐112 ‐15 197 250 10 ‐112 175 104

TOTAL 55,339 55,764 56,094 56,120 56,141 56,364 56,525 56,557 56,526 56,657 56,885
Student Growth 400 425 330 26 21 223 161 32 ‐31 131 228
Percent Growth 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% ‐0.1% 0.2% 0.4%

3Q08 © Copyright Metrostudy 2008


Plano ISD 3Q10 Summary
• The housing market in DFW appears to have flattened but is not 
expected to accelerate until Summer of 2011
• Townhome activity is strong in Plano ISD as builders . Parkway 
Heights Townhomes announced this quarter with over 200 future 
units.
• New Home closings in Plano ISD may be less than 350 during the 
2010/11 school year. 
• The district may continue to see moderate growth the next few years 
as the current 1st and 2nd grade classes are over 800 students larger 
than the existing 11th and 12th grade classes.
• Large elementary bubble may continue to impact district for next 10 
years. 
• The district may add 1,500 students during the next 10 years
• 2020/21 Projection : 56,790
3Q08 © Copyright Metrostudy 2008

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