DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTING

α = 0.5

Bulan Penjualan S' S" αt bt Forecast m = 1 Error Absolute Square

1 240 240 240 - - - - - -

242.5 247.5 2.5 10.0 10
2 250 245.00 0 0 0 240.00 10.00 0 0.00
243.7 246.2 1.2 5.0 2
3 245 245.00 5 5 5 250.00 -5.00 0 5.00
245.1 247.8 1.3 0.5
4 248 246.50 2 8 8 247.50 0.50 0 0.25
247.9 253.5 2.8 2.7
5 255 250.75 3 7 2 249.26 5.74 4 7.51
252.1 260.6 4.2 5.6 3
6 262 256.37 4 0 3 256.39 5.61 1 1.47
255.1 261.2 3.0 4.8 2
7 260 258.18 6 0 2 264.83 -4.83 3 3.33
256.8 260.3 1.7 5.2 2
8 259 258.59 7 1 2 264.22 -5.22 2 7.25
259.0 263.5 2.2 1.9
9 264 261.29 7 1 2 262.03 1.97 7 3.88
260.1 262.1 1.0 4.7 2
10 261 261.14 0 8 4 265.73 -4.73 3 2.37
261.5 264.5 1.4 1.7
11 265 263.07 8 6 9 263.22 1.78 8 3.17
262.3 263.7 0.7 3.0
12 263 263.03 0 6 3 266.05 -3.05 5 9.30

45.43 253.53

Created by Azman NIM : 1010071531392 2

Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi Riau 2010