Académique Documents
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206
Rio De Oro - Ocaa
REGRESION LINEAL: y=ax+b
AO
X
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
a=
91
XY
27203
X2
n x 2 x
Y2
1562
3578
5496
8516
9250
11184
12173
16496
22311
23510
25993
29784
35113
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
121
144
169
204966
819
n xy x y
b=
R=
TPD
(Y)
1
1562
2
1789
3
1832
4
2129
5
1850
6
1864
7
1739
8
2062
9
2479
10
2351
11
2363
12
2482
13
2701
VALORES DE TPDS
CRECIMIENTO
ANUAL
y=ax+b
2439844
3200521
3356224
4532641
3422500
3474496
3024121
4251844
6145441
5527201
5583769
6160324
7295401
1613.03
1692.95
1772.87
1852.79
1932.7
2012.62
2092.54
2172.46
2252.37
2332.29
2412.21
2492.13
2572.04
58414327
a=
b=
R=
CRECIMIENTO PROMEDIO =
79.92
1533.12
0.88
y a x
n
n xy x y
n x x n y y
2
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
TPD
(Y)
Linear Regression for
TPD
(Y)
500
0
1
10
11
12
13
4.95%
4.72%
4.51%
4.31%
4.14%
3.97%
3.82%
3.68%
3.55%
3.43%
3.31%
3.21%
0.78
3.97%
500
0
1
10
11
12
13
TPD
(Y)
Linear Regression for
TPD
(Y)
10
11
12
13
10
11
12
13
ESTACION N.
206
REGRESION LINEAL: y=ax+b
AO - X
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
91
a=
1562
1789
1832
2129
1850
1864
1739
2062
2479
2351
2363
2482
2701
19%
16%
18%
16%
18%
16%
17%
15%
9%
16%
12%
16%
18%
XY
X2
297
286
330
341
333
298
296
309
223
376
284
397
486
296.78
572.48
989.28
1362.56
1665
1789.44
2069.41
2474.4
2007.99
3761.6
3119.16
4765.44
6320.34
4255.72
31193.88
n x 2 x
Y2
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
121
144
169
y=ax+b
88078.37
81933.34
108741.66
116035.61
110889
88947.1
87397.1
95666.49
49778.07
141496.35
80406.27
157704.29
236370.99
y a x
n
n xy x y
n x x n y y
2
600
500
400
f(x) = 7.71x + 273.37
R = 0.22
300
200
TPD Camiones - Y
Linear Regression for
TPD Camiones - Y
100
0
1
281.08
288.8
296.51
304.22
311.94
319.65
327.36
335.08
342.79
350.5
358.22
365.93
373.64
819 1443444.64
a=
7.71
b=
273.37
R=
0.46
CRECIMIENTO PROMEDIO =
n xy x y
b=
R=
TPD
%CAMIONES Camiones Y
TPD
VALORES DE TPDS
10
11
12
13
Crecimiento
Anual
2.74%
2.67%
2.60%
2.54%
2.47%
2.41%
2.36%
2.30%
2.25%
2.20%
2.15%
2.11%
2.40%
ESTACION N.
AO - X TPD - Y
1995
1
1562
1996
2
1789
1997
3
1832
1998
4
2129
1999
5
1850
2000
6
1864
2001
7
1739
2002
8
2062
2003
9
2479
2004
10
2351
2005
11
2363
2006
12
2482
2007
13
2701
2008
14
1680
LOG(Y)
X*LOG(Y)
3.19
3.19
3.25
6.51
3.26
9.79
3.33
13.31
3.27
16.34
3.27
19.62
3.24
22.68
3.31
26.51
3.39
30.55
3.37
33.71
3.37
37.11
3.39
40.74
3.43
44.61
3.23
45.15
105
46.32
X2
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
121
144
169
196
349.83 1015
(LOG(Y))2
10.2
10.58
10.65
11.08
10.67
10.7
10.5
10.98
11.52
11.37
11.38
11.52
11.78
10.4
y=arx
1735.07
1778.17
1822.34
1867.62
1914.01
1961.56
2010.29
2060.23
2111.41
2163.87
2217.62
2272.71
2329.17
2387.04
153.33
r=
1.02
a=
1693.01
R=
0.6
CRECIMIENTO PROMEDIO =
3000
2500
f(x) = 1693.011.02^x
TPD - Y
R = 0.36
Exponential Regression
2000
for TPD - Y
1500
1000
500
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1000
500
ORES DE TPDS
Crecimiento
Anual
2.48%
2.48%
2.48%
2.48%
2.48%
2.48%
2.48%
2.48%
2.48%
2.48%
2.48%
2.48%
2.48%
2.48%
0.01
3.23
ESTACION N.
206
VALORES DE TPDS
AO - X
TPD - Y
1995
1
1562
1996
2
1789
1997
3
1832
1998
4
2129
1999
5
1850
2000
6
1864
2001
7
1739
2002
8
2062
2003
9
2479
2004
10
2351
2005
11
2363
2006
12
2482
2007
13
2701
TPD
%CAMION CAMIONES Y
ES
19%
16%
18%
16%
18%
16%
17%
15%
9%
16%
12%
16%
18%
297
286
330
341
333
298
296
309
223
376
284
397
486
91
LOG(Y)
X*LOG(Y)
2.47
2.47
2.46
4.91
2.52
7.55
2.53
10.13
2.52
12.61
2.47
14.85
2.47
17.3
2.49
19.92
2.35
21.14
2.58
25.75
2.45
26.98
2.6
31.19
2.69
34.93
4255.72
32.6
229.73
X2
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
121
144
169
819
(LOG(Y))2
6.11
6.04
6.34
6.41
6.36
6.12
6.1
6.2
5.52
6.63
6.02
6.75
7.22
81.83
r=
1.02
a=
281.04
R=
0.4
CRECIMIENTO PROMEDIO =
600
500
TPD CAMIONES - Y
Exponential Regression for
TPD CAMIONES - Y
400
f(x) = 281.041.02^x
R = 0.16
300
200
100
0
1
10
11
y=arx
286.54
292.15
297.87
303.7
309.64
315.7
321.88
328.18
334.61
341.15
347.83
354.64
361.58
12
13
Crecimiento
Anual
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
1.96%
0.01
2.45
ESTACION N.
207 Platanal Rio de Oro
REGRESION LINEAL: y=ax+b
AO - X
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
TPD - Y
986
849
1021
1051
1237
968
917
1058
1084
1255
1217
1396
1636
91
14675
a=
XY
X2
986
1698
3063
4204
6185
5808
6419
8464
9756
12550
13387
16752
21268
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
121
144
169
110540
819
n xy x y
n x 2 x
VALORES DE TPDS
Y2
972196
720801
1042441
1104601
1530169
937024
840889
1119364
1175056
1575025
1481089
1948816
2676496
y=ax+b
871.209
914.148
957.088
1000.027
1042.967
1085.907
1128.846
1171.786
1214.725
1257.665
1300.604
1343.544
1386.484
17123967
a=
b=
R=
42.94
828.27
0.78
CRECIMIENTO PROMEDIO =
b=
R=
y a x
n
n xy x y
n x
n y
1800
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
TPD - Y
Linear Regression for
TPD - Y
400
200
0
1
10
11
12
13
ORES DE TPDS
Crecimiento
Anual
4.93%
4.70%
4.49%
4.29%
4.12%
3.95%
3.80%
3.66%
3.53%
3.41%
3.30%
3.20%
3.95%
ESTACION N.
207 Platanal Rio de Oro
REGRESION LINEAL: y=ax+b
AO - X
1995
1
1996
2
1997
3
1998
4
1999
5
2000
6
2001
7
2002
8
2003
9
2004 10
2005 11
2006 12
2007 13
a=
91
296
229
265
252
272
281
220
243
195
314
280
321
425
XY
295.8
458.46
796.38
1008.96
1360.7
1684.32
1540.56
1946.72
1756.08
3137.5
3079.01
3852.96
5529.68
3594.23 26447.13
X2
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
121
144
169
819
n xy x y
n x 2 x
b=
R=
TPD
% Camiones
986
30%
849
27%
1021
26%
1051
24%
1237
22%
968
29%
917
24%
1058
23%
1084
18%
1255
25%
1217
23%
1396
23%
1636
26%
TPD
Camiones Y
VALORES DE TPDS
Y2
87497.64
52546.39
70469.01
63625.02
74060.18
78803.72
48435.21
59214.36
38071.81
98439.06
78349.61
103092.37
180931.13
1033535.5
a=
b=
R=
CRECIMIENTO PROMEDIO =
y a x
n
n xy x y
n x x n y y
2
450
400
350
f(x) = 7.07x + 226.96
R = 0.23
300
250
200
150
TPD Camiones - Y
Linear Regression for
TPD Camiones - Y
100
50
0
1
10
11
12
13
y=ax+b
234.03
241.11
248.18
255.26
262.33
269.4
276.48
283.55
290.63
297.7
304.78
311.85
318.92
7.07
226.96
0.48
CIMIENTO PROMEDIO =
s-Y
sion for
s-Y
13
Crecimient
o Anual
3.02%
2.93%
2.85%
2.77%
2.70%
2.63%
2.56%
2.49%
2.43%
2.38%
2.32%
2.27%
2.61%
ESTACION N.
207
AO - X
TPD - Y
1995
1
986
1996
2
849
1997
3
1021
1998
4
1051
1999
5
1237
2000
6
968
2001
7
917
2002
8
1058
2003
9
1084
2004
10
1255
2005
11
1217
2006
12
1396
2007
13
1636
LOG(Y)
X*LOG(Y)
2.99
2.99
2.93
5.86
3.01
9.03
3.02
12.09
3.09
15.46
2.99
17.92
2.96
20.74
3.02
24.2
3.04
27.32
3.1
30.99
3.09
33.94
3.14
37.74
3.21
41.78
91
39.6
280.03
X2
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
121
144
169
819
(LOG(Y))2
8.96
8.58
9.05
9.13
9.56
8.92
8.78
9.15
9.21
9.6
9.52
9.89
10.33
120.68
r=
1.04
a=
862.74
R=
0.78
CRECIMIENTO PROMEDIO =
1800
1600
1400
f(x) = 862.741.04^x
R = 0.61
1200
1000
800
TPD - Y
Exponential Regression
for TPD - Y
600
400
200
0
1
10
y=arx
894.52
927.47
961.64
997.07
1033.8
1071.88
1111.37
1152.31
1194.76
1238.77
1284.41
1331.72
1380.78
11
12
13
200
0
1
10
11
12
13
VALORES DE TPDS
Crecimiento
Anual
3.68%
3.68%
3.68%
3.68%
3.68%
3.68%
3.68%
3.68%
3.68%
3.68%
3.68%
3.68%
3.68%
0.02
2.94
ESTACION N.
%
TPD - Y Camiones Camiones Y
AO - X
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
91
986
849
1021
1051
1237
968
917
1058
1084
1255
1217
1396
1636
30%
27%
26%
24%
22%
29%
24%
23%
18%
25%
23%
23%
26%
VALORES DE TPDS
LOG(Y)
X*LOG(Y)
X2
(LOG(Y))2
295.8
229.23
265.46
252.24
272.14
280.72
220.08
243.34
195.12
313.75
279.91
321.08
425.36
2.47
2.36
2.42
2.4
2.43
2.45
2.34
2.39
2.29
2.5
2.45
2.51
2.63
2.47
4.72
7.27
9.61
12.17
14.69
16.4
19.09
20.61
24.97
26.92
30.08
34.17
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
121
144
169
3594.23
31.64
223.17
819
y=arx
6.11
5.57
5.88
5.77
5.93
5.99
5.49
5.69
5.25
6.23
5.99
6.28
6.91
77.08
r=
1.02
a=
233.45
R=
0.43
CRECIMIENTO PROMEDIO =
450
400
350
300
f(x) = 233.451.02^x
R = 0.18
250
200
TPD Camiones - Y
Exponential Regression for
TPD Camiones - Y
150
100
50
0
1
10
238.53
243.73
249.04
254.46
260.01
265.67
271.46
277.38
283.42
289.59
295.9
302.35
308.94
11
12
13
Crecimiento
Anual
2.18%
2.18%
2.18%
2.18%
2.18%
2.18%
2.18%
2.18%
2.18%
2.18%
2.18%
2.18%
2.18%
0.01
2.37
ESTACION N.
209 Agua Clara - Platanal VALORES DE TPDS
REGRESION LINEAL: y=ax+b
AO - X
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
a=
91
14930
XY
X2
913
1576
2730
4392
5010
5988
7175
8312
10530
13620
16049
18264
21372
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
121
144
169
115931
819
n xy x y
n x 2 x
b=
R=
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
TPD - Y
913
788
910
1098
1002
998
1025
1039
1170
1362
1459
1522
1644
y a
Y2
833569
620944
828100
1205604
1004004
996004
1050625
1079521
1368900
1855044
2128681
2316484
2702736
y=ax+b
771.945
834.698
897.451
960.203
1022.956
1085.709
1148.462
1211.214
1273.967
1336.720
1399.473
1462.225
1524.978
17990216
a=
62.75
b=
709.19
R=
0.92
CRECIMIENTO PROMEDIO =
n xy x y
n x
n y
1800
1600
1400
1200
1000
Column C
Linear Regression for
Column C
800
600
400
200
0
0
10
12
14
ALORES DE TPDS
Crecimiento
Anual
8.13%
7.52%
6.99%
6.54%
6.13%
5.78%
5.46%
5.18%
4.93%
4.69%
4.48%
4.29%
5.84%
Column C
Linear Regression for
Column C
ESTACION N.
209 Agua Clara - Platanal VALORES DE TPDS
REGRESION LINEAL: y=ax+b
AO - X
1995
1
1996
2
1997
3
1998
4
1999
5
2000
6
2001
7
2002
8
2003
9
2004 10
2005 11
2006 12
2007 13
a=
350
XY
246.51
425.52
873.6
1098
1202.4
1497
1722
2078
1895.4
3268.8
3209.8
4018.08
5556.72
247
213
291
275
240
250
246
260
211
327
292
335
427
91
3612.26 27091.83
n xy x y
450
400
TPD
% Camiones
913
27%
788
27%
910
32%
1098
25%
1002
24%
998
25%
1025
24%
1039
25%
1170
18%
1362
24%
1459
20%
1522
22%
1644
26%
TPD
Camiones Y
n x 2 x
b=
y a
n
x x n y
250
2
Column E
Linear Regression
for Column E
150
100
50
0
2
10
12
14
Y2
60767.18
45266.82
84797.44
75350.25
57830.63
62250.25
60516
67470.06
44352.36
106850.53
85147.24
112117.83
182704.95
819 1045421.54
a=
b=
R=
CRECIMIENTO PROMEDIO =
200
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
121
144
169
f(x) = 9.92x
+ 208.4
n
xy x y
R = 0.43
2
R=
300
X2
y=ax+b
218.33
228.25
238.17
248.1
258.02
267.94
277.87
287.79
297.71
307.64
317.56
327.48
337.4
9.92
208.4
0.66
CIMIENTO PROMEDIO =
Crecimient
o Anual
4.55%
4.35%
4.17%
4.00%
3.85%
3.70%
3.57%
3.45%
3.33%
3.23%
3.12%
3.03%
0.43
3.70%
ESTACION N.
209
AO - X
TPD - Y
1995
1
913
1996
2
788
1997
3
910
1998
4
1098
1999
5
1002
2000
6
998
2001
7
1025
2002
8
1039
2003
9
1170
2004
10
1362
2005
11
1459
2006
12
1522
2007
13
1644
VALORES DE TPDS
Agua Clara - Platanal
x
LOG(Y)
X*LOG(Y)
2.96
2.96
2.9
5.79
2.96
8.88
3.04
12.16
3
15
3
17.99
3.01
21.08
3.02
24.13
3.07
27.61
3.13
31.34
3.16
34.8
3.18
38.19
3.22
41.81
91
39.65
281.76
X2
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
121
144
169
819
(LOG(Y))2
8.76
8.39
8.76
9.25
9.01
8.99
9.06
9.1
9.41
9.82
10.01
10.13
10.34
y=arx
814.61
859.22
906.29
955.93
1008.28
1063.51
1121.76
1183.2
1248.01
1316.37
1388.47
1464.52
1544.74
121.04
r=
1.05
a=
772.3
R=
0.93
CRECIMIENTO PROMEDIO =
1800
1600
f(x) = 772.31.05^x
R = 0.86
1400
1200
1000
Column C
Exponential
Regression for Column
C
800
600
400
200
0
0
10
12
14
ORES DE TPDS
r Column
Crecimiento
Anual
5.48%
5.48%
5.48%
5.48%
5.48%
5.48%
5.48%
5.48%
5.48%
5.48%
5.48%
5.48%
0.86
5.48%
0.02
2.89
ESTACION N.
%
TPD - Y Camiones Camiones Y
AO - X
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
91
913
788
910
1098
1002
998
1025
1039
1170
1362
1459
1522
1644
27%
27%
32%
25%
24%
25%
24%
25%
18%
24%
20%
22%
26%
VALORES DE TPDS
LOG(Y)
X*LOG(Y)
X2
246.51
212.76
291.2
274.5
240.48
249.5
246
259.75
210.6
326.88
291.8
334.84
427.44
2.39
2.33
2.46
2.44
2.38
2.4
2.39
2.41
2.32
2.51
2.47
2.52
2.63
2.39
4.66
7.39
9.75
11.91
14.38
16.74
19.32
20.91
25.14
27.12
30.3
34.2
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
121
144
169
3612.26
31.66
224.21
819
CRECIMIENTO PROMED
450
400
350
f(x) = 217.561.03^x
R = 0.41
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
0
10
12
VALORES DE TPDS
(LOG(Y))2
5.72
5.42
6.07
5.95
5.67
5.75
5.72
5.83
5.4
6.32
6.08
6.37
6.92
y=arx
224.7
232.08
239.69
247.56
255.68
264.07
272.74
281.69
290.94
300.48
310.35
320.53
331.05
77.21
r=
1.03
a=
217.56
R=
0.64
CRECIMIENTO PROMEDIO =
Crecimiento
Anual
3.28%
3.28%
3.28%
3.28%
3.28%
3.28%
3.28%
3.28%
3.28%
3.28%
3.28%
3.28%
0.01
2.34
3.28%
Column E
Exponential Regression for
Column E
10
12
14
FACTORES DE
EQUIVALENCIA
1
1.14
3.44
4
4.4
4.72
0.55
1
206
207
NOMBRE
Platanal Rio de
Oro
SERIE HISTRICA
1995 - 2007
2701
0.883
3.97%
0.601
2.48%
486
0.464
2.40%
0.399
1.96%
1995 - 2007
1636
0.775
3.95%
0.779
3.68%
425
0.478
2.61%
0.429
2.18%
TPDS 2007
COEFICIENTE DE CORRELACION LINEAL: R
CRECIMIENTO PROMEDIO ANUAL LINEAL
COEFICIENTE DE CORRELACION EXPONENCIAL : R
CRECIMIENTO PROMEDIO ANUAL EXPONENCIAL
TPDS CAMIONES 2007
COEFICIENTE DE CORRELACION LINEAL: R
CRECIMIENTO LINEAL PROMEDIO
COEFICIENTE DE CORRELACION EXPONENCIAL : R
CRECIMIENTO EXPONENCIAL PROMEDSIO
209
Agua Clara Platanal
1995 - 2007
1644
0.922
5.84%
0.929
5.48%
427.44
0.656
3.70%
0.641
3.28%
C - 2G
C-3-4
C-5
9, ao 2007
20.58%
>C - 5
Autos
69%
Buses
5%
Camiones
26%
AO Histrico Atraid
D/llad TPDS
ltimos
G/rado.
o
o
10 aos
1
2
3
4
5
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
6
7
8
9
10
Autos Buses
69%
5%
Camio
nes
26%
C2P
C2G
27.36% 40.97%
3.70%
3.70%
3.70%
3.70% 5.0%
5.0% 2.0%
3.70% 10.0% 10.0% 2.0%
3.70% 10.0% 10.0% 2.0%
3.70%
3.70%
1644
1705
1768
1833
2121
2666
3352
3476
3604
1134
1176
1220
1265
1464
1840
2313
2398
2487
82
85
88
92
106
133
168
174
180
427
443
460
477
551
693
871
904
937
117
121
126
130
151
190
238
247
256
175
182
188
195
226
284
357
370
384
2016
2017
2018
2019
3.70%
3.70%
3.70%
3.70%
3737
3876
4019
4168
2579
2674
2773
2876
187
194
201
208
972
1008
1045
1084
266
276
286
296
398
413
428
444
2020
3.70%
4322
2982
216
1124
307
460
TRANSITO DE DISEO
6.19E+06
C3
C4
C5
> C5
Ejes
Equivalentes
Dirios
Ejes
Equivalentes
Anuales
ACUMULADO
Carril de
Diseo
Acumulado
19
20
21
22
25
32
40
41
43
28
29
30
31
36
45
57
59
61
88
91
95
98
113
143
179
186
193
1,433.94
1,487.00
1,542.01
1,599.07
1,850.12
2,325.60
2,923.28
3,031.45
3,143.61
523,387.98
542,753.34
562,835.21
583,660.11
675,294.75
848,845.50
1,066,998.80
1,106,477.75
1,147,417.43
675,294.75
1,524,140.25
2,591,139.05
3,697,616.80
4,845,034.23
3.71E+05
8.38E+05
1.43E+06
2.03E+06
2.66E+06
44
46
48
49
64
66
68
71
200
207
215
223
3,259.92
3,380.54
3,505.62
3,635.33
1,189,871.87
1,233,897.13
1,279,551.33
1,326,894.73
6,034,906.10
7,268,803.23
8,548,354.56
9,875,249.28
3.32E+06
4.00E+06
4.70E+06
5.43E+06
51
73
231
3,769.84
1,375,989.83
11,251,239.11
6.19E+06
ES de 8,2 TON