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SIAM

Demand Forecasts for Indian Automobile Industry

• Statistical methods used for forecasting, considering all the relevant demand drivers for each segment

Statistical methods used for forecasting, considering all the relevant demand drivers for each segment

Models prepared after considering an exhaustive list of relevant variables

Macro-economic variables: eg. GDP components, industrial production, inflation, interest rates, stock indices

Sector variables: eg. Model launches, vehicle price, inter- segment competition

Enablers/barriers: eg. Finance availability, road connectivity

Forecast

Segment

Segment 3W Passenger Cars UV MPV PV Total LCV Goods MHCV Goods Passenger Buses Total CV
Segment 3W Passenger Cars UV MPV PV Total LCV Goods MHCV Goods Passenger Buses Total CV
Segment 3W Passenger Cars UV MPV PV Total LCV Goods MHCV Goods Passenger Buses Total CV
Segment 3W Passenger Cars UV MPV PV Total LCV Goods MHCV Goods Passenger Buses Total CV
Segment 3W Passenger Cars UV MPV PV Total LCV Goods MHCV Goods Passenger Buses Total CV
Segment 3W Passenger Cars UV MPV PV Total LCV Goods MHCV Goods Passenger Buses Total CV
Segment 3W Passenger Cars UV MPV PV Total LCV Goods MHCV Goods Passenger Buses Total CV
Segment 3W Passenger Cars UV MPV PV Total LCV Goods MHCV Goods Passenger Buses Total CV
Segment 3W Passenger Cars UV MPV PV Total LCV Goods MHCV Goods Passenger Buses Total CV
Segment 3W Passenger Cars UV MPV PV Total LCV Goods MHCV Goods Passenger Buses Total CV

3W Passenger

Cars UV MPV PV Total LCV Goods MHCV Goods Passenger Buses Total CV 2W 3W
Cars
UV
MPV
PV Total
LCV Goods
MHCV Goods
Passenger Buses
Total CV
2W
3W Goods
3W Total

Auto Total

F12 Growth

(Jul 11 Estimate)

10

to 12%

10

to 12%

13

to 15%

10

to 12%

17

to 19%

8

to 10%

 

4

to 6%

12

to 14%

12

to 14%

 

4

to 6%

8

to 10%

8 to 10%

11 to 13%

11 to 13%