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  • A Future of Tendencies

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    justinpickard
    99 vues11 pages
    This document presents a new 4-quadrant model for envisioning possible futures: Protopia involves gradual improvements in well-being. Collapsonomics features decentralization and fragmentation as systems fall apart. Meathook depicts a dystopian scenario of conflict and suffering. Singularity entails rapid coalescence and acceleration as emerging technologies profoundly transform society. Each quadrant represents a distinct tendency that could shape the future.

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    Super-rough sketch. Take it and build on it.

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    This document presents a new 4-quadrant model for envisioning possible futures: Protopia involves gradual improvements in well-being. Collapsonomics features decentralization and fragmentation as systems fall apart. Meathook depicts a dystopian scenario of conflict and suffering. Singularity entails rapid coalescence and acceleration as emerging technologies profoundly transform society. Each quadrant represents a distinct tendency that could shape the future.

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    Public Domain
    Téléchargez comme PDF, TXT ou lisez en ligne sur Scribd
    Signaler comme contenu inapproprié
    99 vues11 pages

    A Future of Tendencies

    Transféré par

    justinpickard
    This document presents a new 4-quadrant model for envisioning possible futures: Protopia involves gradual improvements in well-being. Collapsonomics features decentralization and fragmentation as systems fall apart. Meathook depicts a dystopian scenario of conflict and suffering. Singularity entails rapid coalescence and acceleration as emerging technologies profoundly transform society. Each quadrant represents a distinct tendency that could shape the future.

    Droits d'auteur :

    Public Domain
    Téléchargez comme PDF, TXT ou lisez en ligne sur Scribd
    Signaler comme contenu inapproprié
    sur 11

    A Future of Tendencies:

    Slide Sketch for a New 4-Quadrant Model

    Justin Pickard, Futurist

    @justinpickard

    PROTOPIA

    COLLAPSONOMICS

    SINGULARITY

    MEATHOOK

    PROTOPIA

    MEATHOOK

    PROTOPIA (things get better)


    well-being & flourishing Bhutan (GNH), Costa Rica

    'eudaimonic' well-being (Ryff, 1989)


    autonomy personal growth self-acceptance purpose in life environmental mastery positive relations with others

    'Protopia is a state that is better than today than yesterday, although it might be only a little better. Protopia is much much harder to visualize. Because a protopia contains as many new problems as new benefits, this complex interaction of working and broken is very hard to predict.' Kevin Kelly

    MEATHOOK (things go to hell)


    'Grim Meathook Future' Somalia, AfPak Refugee camps, circling vultures arbitrary power and 'bare life'

    ' the grim meathook future that most of the world is facing, in which they watch their squats and under-developed fields get turned into a giant game of Counterstrike between crazy faith-ridden jihadist motherfuckers and crazy faith-ridden American redneck motherfuckers, each doing their best to turn the entire world into one type of fascist nightmare or another.' Joshua Ellis

    PROTOPIA

    MEATHOOK

    COLLAPSONOMICS

    SINGULARITY

    COLLAPSONOMICS (things fall apart, fragment)


    centrifugal Greece, post-Soviet Russia, Detroit peak everything resilience autonomy locavore local currencies city-states small-is-beautiful

    (cc-by-sa) zzkt

    SINGULARITY (things coalesce, metastasise, accelerate)


    centripetal Singapore, South Korea, Twitter emergence 'the spike' noosphere global governance think: language, agriculture, cities, industrial revolution 'this changes everything' self-replication (~) technological agency? (~) new subjectivities (~)

    COLLAPSONOMICS

    SINGULARITY

    PROTOPIA

    COLLAPSONOMICS

    SINGULARITY

    MEATHOOK

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