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TRADINGANALYSIS

22December2011
Name
Broker
TimePeriod

AlexWong
GFT
1Jan201122Dec2011

AccountPerformance
Numberof
Trades

116.00%

114

StartingCapital $3,500.00 114.00%


NettP/L($)
NettP/L(%)
TimePeriod
forTradeData
(Months)
AnnualGrowth
Rate
Win%
AvgWin/Avg
Loss
AvgLoss
Expectancy

$475.27
13.58%

112.00%

11
110.00%

14.8%
49.1%

108.00%

1.81
10.89
0.28

106.00%

104.00%

102.00%

100.00%

98.00%
Jan11

Feb11 Mar11 Apr11 May11

Jun11

Jul11

AccountPerformance(%)

Aug11

Sep11 Oct11

Nov11

TRADEANALYSIS(ByCurrencyPairsandMonth)
NumberofTrades
22Dec11

CurrencyPair

AUD/JPY
AUD/USD
EUR/GBP
EUR/JPY
EUR/USD
GBP/JPY
GBP/USD
USD/CHF
USD/JPY
USD/SGD
TOTAL

Jan11 Feb11 Mar11 Apr11

May11

Jun11

Jul11

Aug11

Sep11

Oct11

Nov11

Dec11

28

21

10

21

19

0
1

0
0

0
6

0
10

0
6

0
11

0
9

0
13

1
11

0
11

0
26

0
9

1
113

TOTAL

%ProfitableTrades
CurrencyPair

May11

Jun11

Jul11

Aug11

Sep11

Oct11

Nov11

Dec11

OVERALL

100.0%

50.0%

25.0%

42.9%

20.0%

100.0%

50.0%

100.0%

100.0%

66.7%

60.0%

33.3%

60.0%

57.1%

0.0%

0.0%

100.0%

33.3%
50.0%

Jan11 Feb11 Mar11 Apr11

AUD/JPY

AUD/USD

EUR/GBP

EUR/JPY

EUR/USD 1.00
GBP/JPY

GBP/USD

USD/CHF

USD/JPY

USD/SGD

OVERALL 1.00

0.0%

100.0%

83.3%

50.0%

0.0%

0.0%

40.0%

0.0%

100.0%

100.0%

52.4%

0.0%

0.0%

50.0%

25.0%

0.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

0.0%

80.0%

50.0%

76.2%

0.0%

0.0%

100.0%

100.0%

33.3%

22.2%

50.0%

36.8%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

83.3%

20.0%

50.0%

54.5%

44.4%

61.5%

36.4%

45.5%

50.0%

55.6%

49.6%

NettP/L
CurrencyPair

*
*
*

AUD/JPY
AUD/USD
EUR/GBP
EUR/JPY
EUR/USD
GBP/JPY
GBP/USD
USD/CHF
USD/JPY
USD/SGD
TOTAL

#Trades
#Profitable
#Losses
#Longs
#LongsProfitable
#Shorts
#ShortsProfitable
TotalProfit
TotalLoss
NetProfit/Loss
AvgProfit
AvgLoss

#Trades
#Profitable
#Losses
#Longs
#LongsProfitable
#Shorts
#ShortsProfitable
TotalProfit
TotalLoss
NetProfit/Loss
AvgProfit
AvgLoss

Jul11

Aug11

Sep11

Oct11

Nov11

Dec11

TOTAL

AvgperTrade

21.45

13.02

8.60

0.17

0.02

29.04

44.84

4.55

29.43

7.73

50.04

54.00

12.15

69.42

209.72

7.49

22.21

0.05

16.00

6.26

2.09

2.24

6.14

3.90

1.95

0.89

22.22

18.00

25.99

14.07

13.29

6.59

0.16

21.54

29.45

1.40

7.86

31.19

11.59

27.46

6.87

8.36

23.97

38.58

95.45

2.66

168.00

7.10

322.08

15.34

0.38

5.30

32.95

0.05

14.49

1.84

9.60

5.07

0.27

5.66

8.79

7.61

17.23

11.23

4.10

54.62

7.80

5.60

5.60

5.60

0.89

22.22

25.44

8.54

40.17

29.59

111.38

29.30

5.82

186.72

66.92

476.11

4.21

May11

Jun11

Jul11

Aug11

Sep11

Oct11

Nov11

Dec11

TOTAL

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

1
1
0
1
1
0
0
21.45
0
21.45
21.45

2
1
1
2
1
0
0
3.92
16.94
13.02
3.92
16.94

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

4
1
3
3
0
1
1
29.57
38.17
8.6
29.57
12.7233

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

7
3
4
6
2
1
1
54.94
55.11
0.17
18.31
13.78

May11

Jun11

Jul11

Aug11

Sep11

Oct11

Nov11

Dec11

TOTAL

2
1
1
0
0
2
1
1.88
6.43
4.55
1.88
6.43

1
1
0
1
1
0
0
29.43
0
29.43
29.43

1
1
0
1
1
0
0
7.73
0
7.73
7.73

3
2
1
2
1
1
1
70.63
20.59
50.04
35.315
20.59

5
3
2
2
1
3
2
99.75
45.75
54
33.25
22.875

3
1
2
3
1
0
0
25.02
37.17
12.15
25.02
18.585

5
3
2
3
1
2
2
100.27
30.85
69.42
33.42333
15.425

28
16
12
12
6
16
10
393.94
184.22
209.72
24.62
15.35

May11

Jun11

Jul11

Aug11

Sep11

Oct11

Nov11

Dec11

TOTAL

1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
22.21

1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0.05

1
1
0
0
0
1
1
16
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

3
1
2
0
0
3
1
16
22.26

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

5
3
1
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
5
3
1
3
14.39
44.84
43.43
0
29.04
44.84
14.39 14.946667
10.8575

Jan11 Feb11 Mar11 Apr11

Instrument
EUR/GBP
EUR/GBP
EUR/GBP
EUR/GBP
EUR/GBP
EUR/GBP
EUR/GBP
EUR/GBP
EUR/GBP

Jun11

Jan11 Feb11 Mar11 Apr11

Instrument
AUD/USD
AUD/USD
AUD/USD
AUD/USD
AUD/USD
AUD/USD
AUD/USD
AUD/USD
AUD/USD
AUD/USD
AUD/USD
AUD/USD

May11

Jan11 Feb11 Mar11 Apr11

Instrument
AUD/JPY
AUD/JPY
AUD/JPY
AUD/JPY
AUD/JPY
AUD/JPY
AUD/JPY
AUD/JPY
AUD/JPY
AUD/JPY
AUD/JPY
AUD/JPY

Jan11 Feb11 Mar11 Apr11

#Trades
#Profitable
#Losses
#Longs
#LongsProfitable
#Shorts
#ShortsProfitable
TotalProfit
TotalLoss

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

TRADEANALYSIS(ByCurrencyPairsandMonth)
EUR/GBP
EUR/GBP
EUR/GBP

NetProfit/Loss
AvgProfit
AvgLoss

22.21

22.21

0.05

0.05

16
16

6.26
16.00
11.13

TRADEANALYSIS(ByCurrencyPairsandMonth)
Jan11 Feb11 Mar11 Apr11

Instrument
EUR/JPY
EUR/JPY
EUR/JPY
EUR/JPY
EUR/JPY
EUR/JPY
EUR/JPY
EUR/JPY
EUR/JPY
EUR/JPY
EUR/JPY
EUR/JPY

#Trades
#Profitable
#Losses
#Longs
#LongsProfitable
#Shorts
#ShortsProfitable
TotalProfit
TotalLoss
NetProfit/Loss
AvgProfit
AvgLoss

#Trades
#Profitable
#Losses
#Longs
#LongsProfitable
#Shorts
#ShortsProfitable
TotalProfit
TotalLoss
NetProfit/Loss
AvgProfit
AvgLoss

#Trades
#Profitable
#Losses
#Longs
#LongsProfitable
#Shorts
#ShortsProfitable
TotalProfit
TotalLoss
NetProfit/Loss
AvgProfit
AvgLoss

#Trades
#Profitable
#Losses
#Longs
#LongsProfitable
#Shorts
#ShortsProfitable
TotalProfit
TotalLoss
NetProfit/Loss
AvgProfit
AvgLoss

#Trades
#Profitable
#Losses
#Longs
#LongsProfitable
#Shorts
#ShortsProfitable
TotalProfit
TotalLoss
NetProfit/Loss
AvgProfit
AvgLoss

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

6
5
1
2
2
4
3
25.41
3.19
22.22
5.082
3.19

2
1
1
0
0
2
1
19.89
1.89
18
19.89
1.89

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
8.36
8.36

8.36

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0.38
0.38

0.38

Jan11 Feb11 Mar11 Apr11

Instrument
USD/JPY
USD/JPY
USD/JPY
USD/JPY
USD/JPY
USD/JPY
USD/JPY
USD/JPY
USD/JPY
USD/JPY
USD/JPY
USD/JPY

1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0.89
0
0.89
0.89

Jan11 Feb11 Mar11 Apr11

Instrument
USD/CHF
USD/CHF
USD/CHF
USD/CHF
USD/CHF
USD/CHF
USD/CHF
USD/CHF
USD/CHF
USD/CHF
USD/CHF
USD/CHF

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Jan11 Feb11 Mar11 Apr11

Instrument
GBP/USD
GBP/USD
GBP/USD
GBP/USD
GBP/USD
GBP/USD
GBP/USD
GBP/USD
GBP/USD
GBP/USD
GBP/USD
GBP/USD

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Jan11 Feb11 Mar11 Apr11

Instrument
GBP/JPY
GBP/JPY
GBP/JPY
GBP/JPY
GBP/JPY
GBP/JPY
GBP/JPY
GBP/JPY
GBP/JPY
GBP/JPY
GBP/JPY
GBP/JPY

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Jan11 Feb11 Mar11 Apr11

Instrument
EUR/USD
EUR/USD
EUR/USD
EUR/USD
EUR/USD
EUR/USD
EUR/USD
EUR/USD
EUR/USD
EUR/USD
EUR/USD
EUR/USD

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

#Trades
#Profitable
#Losses
#Longs
#LongsProfitable
#Shorts
#ShortsProfitable
TotalProfit
TotalLoss
NetProfit/Loss
AvgProfit
AvgLoss

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
5.66
5.66

5.66

May11

Jun11

Jul11

Aug11

Sep11

Oct11

Nov11

Dec11

TOTAL

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
2.24
2.24

2.24

1
1
0
1
1
0
0
6.14
0
6.14
6.14

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

2
1
1
2
1
0
0
6.14
2.24
3.9
6.14
2.24

May11

Jun11

Jul11

Aug11

Sep11

Oct11

Nov11

Dec11

TOTAL

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

2
0
2
0
0
2
0
0
25.99
25.99

12.995

1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
14.07
14.07

14.07

5
2
3
1
0
4
2
40.07
26.78
13.29
20.035
8.92667

2
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
6.59
6.59

3.295

1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0.16
0
0.16
0.16

1
1
0
1
1
0
0
21.54
0
21.54
21.54

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

21
11
10
6
3
15
8
107.96
78.51
29.45
9.81
7.85

May11

Jun11

Jul11

Aug11

Sep11

Oct11

Nov11

Dec11

TOTAL

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
7.86
7.86

7.86

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
31.19
31.19

31.19

2
1
1
2
1
0
0
13.86
2.27
11.59
13.86
2.27

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

4
1
3
3
1
1
0
13.86
41.32
27.46
13.86
13.77

May11

Jun11

Jul11

Aug11

Sep11

Oct11

Nov11

Dec11

TOTAL

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

2
2
0
0
0
2
2
23.97
0
23.97
11.985

1
1
0
1
1
0
0
38.58
0
38.58
38.58

4
4
0
2
2
2
2
95.45
0
95.45
23.8625

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
2.66
2.66

2.66

10
8
2
6
4
4
4
190.79
22.79
168
23.84875
11.395

2
1
1
2
1
0
0
16.75
9.65
7.1
16.75
9.65

21
16
5
11
8
10
8
365.54
43.46
322.08
22.85
8.69

May11

Jun11

Jul11

Aug11

Sep11

Oct11

Nov11

Dec11

TOTAL

1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
5.3
5.3

5.3

2
2
0
1
1
1
1
32.95
0
32.95
16.475

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0.05
0
0.05
0.05

3
1
2
2
0
1
1
17.13
31.62
14.49
17.13
15.81

9
2
7
2
1
7
1
66.43
64.59
1.84
33.215
9.22714

2
1
1
0
0
2
1
32.23
41.83
9.6
32.23
41.83

19
7
12
7
2
12
5
148.79
143.72
5.07
21.26
11.98

May11

Jun11

Jul11

Aug11

Sep11

Oct11

Nov11

Dec11

TOTAL

1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
8.79
8.79

8.79

1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
7.61
7.61

7.61

1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
17.23
17.23

17.23

2
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
11.23
11.23

5.615

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
4.1
4.1

4.1

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

7
0
7
6
0
1
0
0
54.62
54.62

7.80

TRADEANALYSIS(ByCurrencyPairsandMonth)
Jan11 Feb11 Mar11 Apr11

Instrument
USD/SGD
USD/SGD
USD/SGD
USD/SGD
USD/SGD
USD/SGD
USD/SGD
USD/SGD
USD/SGD
USD/SGD
USD/SGD
USD/SGD

#Trades
#Profitable
#Losses
#Longs
#LongsProfitable
#Shorts
#ShortsProfitable
TotalProfit
TotalLoss
NetProfit/Loss
AvgProfit
AvgLoss

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

May11

Jun11

Jul11

Aug11

Sep11

Oct11

Nov11

Dec11

TOTAL

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
5.6
5.6

5.6

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
5.6
5.6

5.60

TRADEANALYSIS(ByDate)
( y
)
By Starting Day
ByStartingDay

By Closing Day
ByClosingDay
22Dec11
22
Dec 11

Winning%
Wi
i %
#Trades
Wins
Losses

1
Mon
57 1%
57.1%
7
4
3

2
Tue
45 8%
45.8%
24
11
13

3
Wed
55 6%
55.6%
27
15
12

4
Thu
48 3%
48.3%
29
14
15

5
Fri
52 9%
52.9%
17
9
8

6
Sat
30 0%
30.0%
10
3
7

1
Mon
66.7%
66
7%
3
2
1

Winning%
Wi
i %
#Trades
Wins
Losses

TradesbyStartingDayofWeek
35

4
Thu
52.2%
52
2%
23
12
11

5
Fri
56.5%
56
5%
23
13
10

6
Sat
40.0%
40
0%
10
4
6

100.0%

30

80.0%

35
30

80.0%

25

40.0%

3
Wed
42.9%
42
9%
28
12
16

TradesbyClosingDayofWeek

100.0%

60.0%

2
Tue
48.1%
48
1%
27
13
14

25

20

60.0%

20

15

40.0%

15

10
20.0%

10
20.0%

0.0%

0
Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Winning%

Fri

0.0%

Sat

0
Mon

#Trades

Tue

Wed
Winning%

ByTradeDuration
UpperBound
L
LowerBound
B
d

1.00
1.00
1 00

2
2

3
3

<1Day
1Day
2Days 3Days
41%
85%
33 3%
33.3%
83 3%
83.3%
71.00 13.00
6
6
29
11
2
5
42
2
4
1
12.37
24.70
33.68
28.67
9.80
9 80
2.84
2 84
17.49
17 49 41.83
41 83
52.73
266
2.59
101.51
0.742676056 20.46153846 0.4317 16.9183

Winning%
Winning
%
#Trades
Wins
Losses
AvgProfit
Avg Loss
AvgLoss
NettP&L
NettP&L/#Trades

4
4

5
5

6
10

4Days
80 0%
80.0%
5
4
1
26.55
4.84
4 84
101.37
20.274

5Days
20 0%
20.0%
5
1
4
80.36
13.71
13 71
25.51
5.102

610Days
60 0%
60.0%
5
3
2
25.20
16.73
16 73
42.13
8.426

11
20
1120
Days
50 0%
50.0%
2
1
1
3.92
7.61
7 61
3.69
1.845

100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%

21
30
2130
Days
0 0%
0.0%
1
0
1

2.24
2 24
2.24
2.24

80.00
70.00
60.00
50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00

<1Day

1Day

2Days

3Days

4Days
Winning%

5Days

610Days

1120Days

2130Days

#Trades

B T d D ti (St t D t )
ByTradeDuration(StartDate)
UpperBound
Upper
Bound
LowerBound

0:00
2:00

2:00
4:00

4:00
6:00

6:00
8:00

8:00
10:00

10:00
12:00

12:00
14:00

14:00
16:00

16:00
18:00

18:00
20:00

20:00
22:00

22:00
0:00

Winning%
g
#Trades
Wins
Losses
AvgProfit
AvgLoss
NettP&L
Nett P&L / # Trades
NettP&L/#Trades

57.1%
14
8
6
$
$
27.28
$(11.58)
$148.80
$
$
10 63
10.63

33.3%
3
1
2
$
$
26.87
$(7.48)
$11.92
$
$
3 97
3.97

33.3%
3
1
2
$ 25.95
$
$(8.98)
$8.00
$ 2.67
$
2 67

57.1%
14
8
6
$ 20.04
$
$(11.19)
$93.12
$ 6.65
$
6 65

100.0%
1
1
0
$ 29.44
$
$
$29.44
$ 29.44
$
29 44

37.5%
8
3
5
$ 17.60
$
$(9.27)
$6.44
$
$
0 81
0.81

26.7%
15
4
11
$
$
8.47
$(13.03)
$(109.49)
$ (7.30)
$
(7 30)

60.9%
23
14
9
$ 18.22
$
$(11.49)
$151.58
$ 6.59
$
6 59

50.0%
2
1
1
$ 56.59
$
$(19.82)
$36.77
$ 18.39
$
18 39

33.3%
3
1
2
$
$
31.91
$(6.38)
$19.16
$
$
6 39
6.39

83.3%
6
5
1
$ 23.82
$
$(0.84)
$118.27
$ 19.71
$
19 71

40.9%
22
9
13
$ 10.78
$
$(10.45)
$(38.74)
$ (1.76)
$
(1 76)

1
50.0%
4
2
2
11
60.0%
5
3
2
21
33 3%
33.3%
9
3
6

2
50.0%
4
2
2
12
50.0%
6
3
3
22
57 1%
57.1%
7
4
3

3
66.7%
6
4
2
13
60.0%
5
3
2
23
66 7%
66.7%
3
2
1

4
50.0%
2
1
1
14
42.9%
7
3
4
24

5
50.0%
2
1
1
15
33.3%
6
2
4
25
100 0%
100.0%
1
1
0

6
33.3%
3
1
2
16
100.0%
1
1
0
26

7
50.0%
4
2
2
17
50.0%
2
1
1
27
50 0%
50.0%
2
1
1

8
33.3%
3
1
2
18
33.3%
6
2
4
28
50 0%
50.0%
2
1
1

9
0.0%
1
0
1
19
0.0%
2
0
2
29
60 0%
60.0%
5
3
2

10
100.0%
4
4
0
20
0.0%
3
0
3
30
57 1%
57.1%
7
4
3

31
50.0%
50
0%
2
1
1

ByDayofMonth
Winning%
g
#Trades
Wins
Losses
Winning%
#Trades
Wins
Losses
Winning%
Winning
%
#Trades
Wins
i
Losses

0
0
0

0
0
0

Thu
#Trades

Fri

Sat

TRADE ANALYSIS (RMultiples)


TRADEANALYSIS(RMultiples)
AverageR(LosingTrades)
( i
d )

0.74

#WinningTrades

Winning%
i i

49%
56

AverageR(WinningTrades)

1.34

#LossingTrades

58

AverageR(Overall)

0.28
1.37

AvgWin
g

19.77

StdDeviation(R)
( )

AvgLoss
g

10.89

Expectancy(R)=
p
y ( ) 0.28
*Expectany=%winningtrades*averagewinningR%losingtrades*averagelosingR
Expectany %winningtrades averagewinningR %losingtrades averagelosingR

1R definition ($)
1Rdefinition($)

15

Van Tharp SQN =


VanTharpSQN=

* set to "Avg
*setto
AvgLossifunknown
Loss if unknown

2.05

Expectancy ($/Risk) = $
Expectancy($/Risk)=
$ 0.28
0 28

Van Tharp's System Quality Number Table


VanTharp'sSystemQualityNumberTable
Q lit S
QualityScore

S t
SystemRating
R ti

<1.0

Probablyv.HardtoTrade

1.012.00

AverageSystem(need>1.7tobesignificant)

2.013.00

GoodSystem(Significantlydifferentfrom0)

3.015.00

ExcellentSystem
y

5.017.00
5.01
7.00

SuperbSystem(fewexists)

7.01orhigher HolyGrailSystem

R Multiple
5R
5R
4.5R
4 5R

Freq

Freq

0
0

4R

3.5R

3R

2.5R

2R
2R

1.5R
1.5R

13

1R

14

0 5R
0.5R

25

0R

15

0 5R
0.5R

13

1R

1.5R

12

2R

2.5R

3R

3.5R

4R

4 5R
4.5R

5R

5 5R
5.5R

6R

6.5R

7R

7.5R

8R

30

25

20

15

10

0
5R 4.5R 4R 3.5R 3R 2.5R 2R 1.5R 1R 0.5R 0R 0.5R 1R 1.5R 2R 2.5R 3R 3.5R 4R 4.5R 5R 5.5R 6R 6.5R 7R 7.5R 8R
Freq

TRADE ANALYSIS (Monte Carlo)


TRADEANALYSIS(MonteCarlo)
MonteCarloSimulation1,000Simulationsof300trades
Starting Capital
StartingCapital

40,899.00
40 899 00

Target
((Retirement))

Ri k
Risk

Mi
Min

M
Max

A
Average(Mean)
(M
)

1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%

28,923.00
32,539.44
36,025.07
19,896.67
19 896 67
24,744.50
24 744 50
38,045.61
38 045 61
25,432.84
25 432 84
15,500.03
15 500 03
8,358.98
8 358 98
10,724.26
10 724 26

125,931.20
518,180.72
2,575,760.26
7,416,335.80
7 416 335 80
26,239,676.43
26 239 676 43
167,350,681.44
167 350 681 44
425,553,662.20
425 553 662 20
695,519,539.82
695 519 539 82
4,763,314,202.79
4 763 314 202 79
4,922,618,325.62
4 922 618 325 62

66,976.35
151,541.60
321,639.73
740,383.52
740 383 52
1,675,463.46
1 675 463 46
3,329,700.56
3 329 700 56
7,729,253.74
7 729 253 74
17,014,710.23
17 014 710 23
45,435,032.14
45 435 032 14
58,893,444.15
58 893 444 15

Drawdown Probability
DrawdownProbability
95%
75%
50%
25%
10%
5%
1%

Consecutive
StringofLosses
5
6
7
8
10
11
13.01

RMultiple
7.75
9.50
11.00
.00
13.00
13.00
15.25
15.25
17.01
17.01
20.25

100,000.00
100 000 00 RuinThreshold
Ruin Threshold 32,719.20
32 719 20
Average
(Median)
64,749.01
136,431.67
256,233.85
479,875.51
479 875 51
931,244.61
931 244 61
1,361,237.67
1 361 237 67
2,316,850.26
2 316 850 26
3,900,914.51
3 900 914 51
5,412,674.12
5 412 674 12
7,762,316.72
7 762 316 72

Probof
Ruin
0.1%
2.0%
6.3%
16 0%
16.0%
22 4%
22.4%
31 0%
31.0%
35 1%
35.1%
40 8%
40.8%
47 2%
47.2%
52 7%
52.7%
0%

Probof ProbofRetirement
ProbofRetirement
Retirement
ProbofRuin
3.1%
3.0%
77.9%
75.9%
95.4%
89.1%
96 7%
96.7%
80 7%
80.7%
98 2%
98.2%
75 8%
75.8%
99 2%
99.2%
68 2%
68.2%
99 5%
99.5%
64 4%
64.4%
99 0%
99.0%
58 2%
58.2%
99 2%
99.2%
52 0%
52.0%
99 2%
99.2%
46 5%
46.5%
100%
89%

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