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March 7, 2011
Consumer Rs 195-Rs 205 March 08, 2011 March 11, 2011 Rs 878-923 mn 12.3 mn 4.5 mn 16.8 mn Rs 3.3-3.4 bn
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Issue Details
Sector Price band Issue opens Issue closes Funds to be raised No. of pre-issue shares Issue size (No. of shares) No. of shares post issue Post issue market cap
Lovable Lingerie is one of the leading players (20% market share) in the Rs3bn super premium segment of womens lingerie in India Increasing disposable income, rising working women population and wider distribution reach are the key growth catalysts Reported impressive revenue and earnings CAGR of 30% and 38%, respectively over FY06-10 and has generated operating cash flows of Rs 97 mn for FY10 PER valuations at 19.5x-20.5x annualized FY11E EPS look attractive vs 31x FY11E (consensus EPS) for Page Industries expect market to assign scarcity premium
27%
6% 67%
Promoters
Sequoia Capital
Post issue
IPO Note
IPO Note
Incorporated in 1987, Lovable Lingerie is promoted by Mr. L.Vinay Reddy, son of Mr. L. Jaipal Reddy, who was a pioneer in establishing branded innerwear market in India with brands like VIP and Frenchie. Mr. Vinay Reddy is the Chairman and Managing Director of the company and has over 20 years of work experience in the innerwear industry. The companys flagship brand, Lovable, was earlier licensed to the company, since 1995, from Lovable World Trading Company, USA. In December 2000, the Company acquired the brand Lovable on an exclusive basis for India, Nepal and Bhutan. The company had also acquired Daisy Dee, a mid-segment brand, from Maxwell Industries in 2004 and College Style from Levitus Trading Limited, Hong Kong in 2009 to cater to the young customer segment. Lovable Lingerie has two manufacturing facilities at Bengaluru and Uttarakhand with a total capacity of 6.7mn pieces a year.
Net Sales
Source: Company, Emkay Research
Growth (YoY)
Volumes
Realization
20 15 10 5 0 %
16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0
Rs mn
EBITDA
Source: Company, Emkay Research
EBITDA margin
PAT
PAT margin
Emkay Research
7 March 2011
Rs per pc
Rs mn
IPO Note
. at attractive valuations
Lovable Lingerie is one of the few players to be listed in the domestic innerwear, especially womens lingerie market. While not a direct comparable, we would like to peg its valuations to Page Industries that operates in the domestic innerwear segment catering to all the segments. Lovable Lingeries IPO, priced at Rs195-205 per share and valued at 19.5-20.5x FY11E earnings (annualized for 9MFY11), is offered at a 34% discount to Page Industries. Besides, we expect a scarcity premium to be assigned by investors for short-to-medium term, as it happened in the public offerings of Page Industries, Jubilant Foodworks, etc. Hence, considering attractive valuations and the strong earnings growth potential, we recommend investors to SUBSCRIBE to the issue. Peer comparison
Mcap (Rs bn) Mcap to sales (x) FY11E Lovable Lingerie Page Industries* 3.4 17.2 2.9 3.5 EPS growth (%) FY11E 59.2 50.2 FY10 32.6 46.6 PER (x) FY11E 20.5 31.0 EV/EBITDA (x) FY10 21.2 28.9 FY11E 13.7 18.6 FY10 54.1 39.1 RoE (%) FY11E 40.9 52.6
* Source: Bloomberg. Note: Valuations for Lovable Lingerie is calculated on upper price band of Rs 205 and FY11E calculations are on an annualized basis.
Key risks
Lovable Lingerie operates in a single segment of womens innerwear, which is subject to constant innovations. Higher advertising spends to increase product awareness in this nascent market could lead to margin pressure and impact profitability for a temporary period. Increasing competition from higher number of international as well as domestic brands could impact its profitability.
Emkay Research
7 March 2011
IPO Note
The Indian lingerie market worth Rs 79 bn has reported a healthy 16.8% CAGR over 200609. According to Credit Analysis & Research Limited (CARE), this segment is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.3 % to Rs 183 bn over 2009-2014. This robust growth is likely to be driven by increasing disposable income, rising number of working women, increasing product awareness and rising urbanization in the country. Indian lingerie market to grow at 18%
200 150 Rs bn 100 50 0 2006 2007 2008 Value
Source: RHP, CARE Research
700 600 500 300 200 100 0 2009 Volumes 2014E % 400
The super-premium and premium segment contributed 15.8% to the total lingerie market in 2009 and is expected to grow to 28 % by 2014. Lovable commands 20% market share in the super premium category, led by other leading brands like Enamor, Triumph, etc. Super premium and premium segment expected to grow at 33% CAGR
100% 80% 60% Mid-market (Rs 100-Rs 250) 40% 20% 0% 2006
Source: RHP, CARE Research
2009
2014E
Emkay Research
7 March 2011
IPO Note
Balance Sheet
Y/E, Mar (Rs. m) Equity Share Capital Reserves Networth Secured Loans Unsecured Loans Loan Funds Capital Employed Gross Block Less: Depreciation Net Block Investments Current Assets Inventories Debtors Cash & Bank Loans & Advances Other Current Assets Current Liabilities & Prov Net Current Assets Miscellaneous Expenditure Deferred Tax Capital Deployed FY08 15 105 120 55 15 70 190 67 31 36 10 295 166 61 20 47 151 144 0 190 FY09 15 132 147 37 27 64 211 167 35 132 10 334 135 87 20 91 260 73 -5 211 FY10 75 169 244 3 0 3 247 175 48 128 20 317 131 136 27 23 209 108 -9 247 9MFY11 113 257 369 3 3 372 183 58 126 0 370 142 176 22 29 112 257 -11 372
CashFlow
Y/E, Mar (Rs. m) Pre-Tax Profit Depreciation Non Cash Chg in Working Cap Tax Paid Operating Cash Flow Capex Free Cash Flow Investments Change in Equity Capital Loans Dividend Others Net Change in Cash Opening Cash Position Closing Cash Position FY08 65 3 6 1 -41 34 -7 27 (10) 10 8 -19 -11 4 15 19 FY09 43 4 13 75 -13 122 -100 22 (2) 0 -7 -2 -14 -2 19 16 FY10 143 13 9 -47 -21 97 -9 88 (7) 0 -61 -2 -9 9 16 26 9MFY11 161 10 -4 -45 -38 85 -105 -20 29 0 1 -9 -4 -4 26 22
Key Ratios
Y/E, Mar Profitability % Ebidta Mgn PAT Mgn ROCE ROE Per Share Data EPS CEPS BVPS DVPS Valuations (X) PER CPER P/BV Ev/Sales Ev/Ebidta Dividend Yield (%) Turnover X Days Debtor TO Days Inventory TO Days Gearing Ratio Net Debt/Equity Total Debt/Equity 12.2 6.6 26.3 43.7 2.5 2.6 7.1 0.1 82.8 79.6 28.7 5.8 47.6 0.0 37.0 101.0 0.4 0.6 12.3 8.7 36.0 21.5 1.7 1.9 8.7 0.1 120.2 107.2 23.5 5.0 41.0 0.0 45.9 71.3 0.3 0.4 18.6 11.3 45.6 54.1 6.3 6.8 14.5 0.1 32.6 30.0 14.1 3.9 21.2 0.0 57.3 54.8 -0.1 0.0 18.9 14.3 41.8 41.2 7.5 8.0 22.0 0.0 27.3 25.7 9.3 3.9 20.6 0.0 73.1 58.8 -0.1 0.0 FY08 FY09 FY10 9MFY11
Note: Valuations for 9MFY11 are calculated on the upper price band of Rs. 205
Emkay Research
7 March 2011
IPO Note
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Emkay Research
7 March 2011
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