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1Q 2012 i PROPERTY MARKET REPORT

jakarta rEaL EStatE

research & forecast report

Property Sector Overview


office sector
Base rental rates in the CBD during the first quarter of 2012 continued to rise. average asking base rental rates for all classes of office buildings in the CBD are now approximately 30% higher than this time last year and were recorded at rp134,099/sq m/month at the end of March for rupiah denominated buildings and US$23.26/sq m/month for US Dollar denominated buildings. the primary reason that landlords are able to obtain higher rents is that occupancy levels climbed to 94.5.% this quarter or the highest level since 1990.

apartment sector
New apartment projects were completed in the first quarter which added 4,273 new units and bringing the overall apartment supply in jakarta to 101,776 units, a 18.7% Y-o-Y increase. the average price all completed apartments in the jakarta area edged higher by 12% Y-o-Y to rp13.62 million/sq m and the average price of completed apartment units in the CBD moved up by 11% Y-o-Y to rp18.53 million/sq m.

retail sector
a total of 247,456 sq m of retail space to be completed during all of 2012 has already been 81% pre-committed. Further 59% of the 129,200 sq m of retail space scheduled to be completed in 2013 has already previously been pre-committed. Similarly, in the cities surrounding jakarta, 86% of total retail space of 93,000 sq m scheduled to be completed in 2012 has already been taken up. Both average asking base rental rates andoccupancy rates increased modestly in the last year, but we anticipate that both will grow at a faster pacethis year as retail space inventory grows moderately.

industrial estate sector


Despite the fact that sales of industrial land in 2011 was 128% higher than the sales of industrial land in 2010, sales of industrial land in 1Q 2012 are recorded at only 193 hectares when compared to total sales in the same period last year (1Q 2011) of 370 hectares. the drop was not the result of a decrease in demand, however; rather, the decrease in sales are the result of limited supply and industrial estates are rushing to build roads and utilities to make additional lots available as soon as possible. With limited industrial land to sell, land price increased as much as 10% in this quarter alone. Bekasi and karawang areas recorded the most significant increase by 68% Y-o-Y to US$164.75/sq m and 87% Y-o-Y to US$116.98/sq m respectively. We expect total sales for the rest of 2011 will be brisk even though the land availability will be the general obstacle for industrial market to grow throughout the rest of the year of 2012.

www.colliers.co.id

jakarta | 1q 2012 | OFFiCE

office sector

Supply
jakarta supplY
two new buildings were completed during 1Q 2012 while one building was taken out from our database. New buildings during the quarter include Multivision tower, located in jalan rasuna Said and Menara Satu in kelapa Gading, East jakarta. these two supplied an additional office stock of 40,770 sq m. Meanwhile, an office building in the Barito area, South jakarta was demolished and will be replaced by a new apartment tower. all in all, the total office space in jakarta is now 6.27 million sq m with 70% of it located in the CBD area. jakarta office supplY
9,000,000 8,000,000 7,000,000 6,000,000 5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 0 2011 1Q 2012 2012F 2014F 2008 2010 2013F 2000 2002 2004 2006 2001 2005 2003 2009 2007

Office completions during 2012 in jakarta will be quite significant. Several buildings have shown rapid construction progress towards completion. the office supply grew by only 3% annually over the last ten years while the office supply from 2012 - 2014 will grow by 8.7% annually. this shows a greater amount of office supply, however most of the future buildings have confirmed high commitment levels even before their completion.

sq m

Existing Supply

annual Supply
Colliers International Indonesia - research

cbd existing supplY


Last year the office supply only grew by less than 100,000 sq m (the lowest growth in the last five years). In this quarter, the operation of Multivision tower brought the cumulative supply of CBD offices to 4.38 million sq m. Colliers International Indonesia has reviewed the grading of existing office buildings and implemented a fairer methodology in categorising office gradings. Location and building quality criteria are the most significant factors. a CBD location of course has more weight than locations outside of the CBD while building quality includes several factors like the design of the building (architecture), lifts, mechanical & electrical, structure and green building compliance. Other factors taken into account are building size, floor plate size, age, management and maintenance, facilities and tenant profile. thus, based on the methodology, around 45% of the buildings in the CBD are of Premium and Grade a categories. the trend this year is towards strata-title office buildings this year with around 51% of the total annual supply being marketed as office space for sale. this is a repetition of 2005 and 2010 when the number of annual strata-title sales was greater than the number of offices for lease. to date, of the total office space in the CBD, 15% is office space for sale representing 637,232 million sq m.

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| colliers international

jakarta | 1q 2012 | OFFiCE

under construction
Several under-construction office buildings are chasing completion targets this year including 18 Park in the SCBD and aXa tower in jalan Prof. Dr. Satrio. this is not confined to new buildings, as the refurbishment of Exim Melati, which will be called as thamrin Nine, is reaching its final stage. Other office projects under construction will likely to meet with schedule as monitor in the field. Office buildings under construction are seemingly committed to meeting their completion schedules. Should these future office buildings be able to enter the market on time, the total annual office space within the CBD in 2012 will be 356,131 sq m. the projection for the total annual supply in 2012 will be the second largest since 1995 at 405,567 sq m. Office space scheduled for 2013 will be less than in 2012 but we note that three buildings are rushing with the completion target including rasuna tower and Life tower, both located in jalan rasuna Said and are in the middle of basement works. the other tower, Menara Prima 2 located in Mega kuningan area is doing the structure work. according to our new office grading system, most of office buildings projected to be completed in 2012 - 2014 period are categorised as Grade a buildings. Given a recent increase in land prices in the CBD, developers try to justify their income due to increasing cost.

in planning
While some projects have reached the construction stage, several other projects are in the pipeline and in the planning stage. Most of the projects will be located in jalan jenderal Sudirman including the new Chase tower, Sudirman Center tower, International Financial tower 2 and Menara Selaras. Other projects in planning include Mangkuluhur tower in Gatot Subroto, Graha Surya Internusa 2 in jalan rasuna Said and rifa 2 in jalan Prof. Dr. Satrio.

cbd annual office supplY based on marketing scheme


300,000 250,000 200,000

sq m

150,000 100,000 50,000 0 2011 1Q 2012 2012F 2014F 2008 2010 2013F 2000 2002 2004 2006 2001 2005 2003 2009 2007

For Lease

For Strata-title
Colliers International Indonesia - research

outside cbd existing supplY


One new building, Menara Satu, located in kelapa Gading area, officialy operates during the quarter while Darya Varia building which has been in operation since 1992 was demolished to make way for a new apartment tower. Menara Satu is offered both for lease and for sale, contributing 18,770 sq m. thus, both additions and reductions brought the cumulative supply of office space in the outside CBD area to 1.89 million sq m.

colliers international |

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jakarta | 1q 2012 | OFFiCE

Implementing the new grading system, around 72% of office buildings in the outside jakarta area are categorised as Grade C particularly because of the location and the size and quality of the buildings.

Offices for sale will dominate the market during 2012 with a composition of strata-title offices of around 76%. However such conditions will not occur over the next two years when offices for lease will rule the market with a 65% share.

under construction
after the operation of Menara Satu, there will be an additional upcoming office space of 208,626 sq m during 2012. the great thing is that entire office buildings scheduled for 2012 are rushing construction work, which brings an optimistic sense that these buildings will be finished as planned. Of the total of 227,936 sq m of annual office space during 2012, new office buildings will be concentrated in and around South and West jakarta at 65% and 35%, respectively. Of the supply in South jakarta, the majority will be located in tB Simatupang and surrounding areas. the office supply in the tB Simatupang and surrounding areas grew very rapidly. With the additional supply of 80,126 sq m during 2012, the cumulative supply in tB Simatupang and surrounding areas will be 431,191 sq m, which represents20% of the total supply in the outside CBD. Even further, around 79% of the total 286,527 sq m of future office building projected for 2013 are located in tB Simatupang and surrounding areas. Five of the 12 buildings projected to be completed in 2013 in the outside CBD area have started construction including Green kosmo Mansion and alamanda tower in tB Simatupang, DIPO Business in Gatot Subroto, tebet Green in Mt Haryono and Office tower within the kota kasablanka commercial compound.

in planning
Besides office buildings under construction, several developers have announced their plans for new office developments during 2013 2014. this includes several buildings in tB Simatupang like talavera Suite, 18 Office Park, Manhattan Square and South Quarter. Up to this quarter, Manhattan Square, talavera Suite and South Quarter are actually in the early stages of construction. In North jakarta an office building called De Suites was also announced while Wisma 77 tower 2, Gallery West and GP Plaza were also planned to be built in West jakarta. although the tB Simatupang area contributes the most office development in South jakarta, other office areas like kebayoran Baru will have new office towers located within Pasaraya Grande.

outside cbd annual office supplY based on marketing scheme


300,000 250,000 200,000

sq m

150,000 100,000 50,000 0 2011 1Q 2012 2012F 2014F 2008 2010 2013F 2000 2002 2004 2006 2001 2005 2003 2009 2007

For Lease

For Strata-title

Colliers International Indonesia - research

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| colliers international

jakarta | 1q 2012 | OFFiCE

future office buildings

projected completion time


cbd area 2Q 2012 2Q 2012 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 4Q 2012 4Q 2012 4Q 2012 1Q 2013 4Q 2013 4Q 2013 4Q 2013 4Q 2013 1Q 2014 1Q 2014 1Q 2014 2Q 2014 4Q 2014 4Q 2014 4Q 2014 4Q 2014 4Q 2014 18 Park

building name

location

sga (sQ m)

marketing scheme

status*

SCBD Satrio MH thamrin Sudirman SCBD kH Mas Mansyur Setiabudi Satrio Mega kuningan Sudirman Hr rasuna Said Hr rasuna Said Satrio Sudirman kH Mas Mansyur kH Mas Mansyur Sudirman Sudirman Hr rasuna Said Mega kuningan Hr rasuna Said Gatot Subroto

23,136 For Lease 60,995 For Lease and For Strata-title 8,000 For Lease 57,000 For Lease 48,000 For Strata-title 84,000 For Lease and For Strata-title 11,000 For Lease and For Strata-title 64,000 For Lease and For Strata-title 40,000 For Lease 57,406 For Strata-title 30,500 For Lease 80,000 For Lease 30,000 For Strata-title 36,596 For Lease 34,000 For Strata-title 40,000 For Lease 40,000 For Lease 126,600 For Strata-title 50,000 For Lease 40,000 For Strata-title 40,000 For Lease 39,356 For Lease

Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction In Planning In Planning In Planning In Planning In Planning In Planning In Planning In Planning In Planning In Planning

aXa tower thamrin Nine (Exim Melati) World trade Center 2 Office 8 tower One at the City Center Perkantoran Setiabudi DBS tower at Ciputra World 1 jakarta Menara Prima 2 Chase tower Life tower rasuna tower rifa 2 Menara Selaras the City Center (phase 2) the City Center (phase 3) International Financial Center 2 Sudirman Center tower Menara Palma 2 Menara Pertiwi Graha Surya Internusa 2 Mangkuluhur tower B

outside cbd area 2Q 2012 2Q 2012 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 4Q 2012 1Q 2013 2Q 2013 2Q 2013 4Q 2013 4Q 2013 4Q 2013 4Q 2013 4Q 2013 4Q 2013 4Q 2013 Wisma Pondok Indah 3 Grand Soho Slipi Sovereign Plaza Chitatex tower Blue Green Office Boutique Eighty8 De Suites alamanda tower Gallery West Green kosmo Mansion (GkM) tower talavera Suite Graha Elnusa 2 18 Office Park (Cityland tower) tebet Green Signum tower DIPO Business Park Sultan Iskandar Muda S. Parman tB Simatupang tb Simatupang Meruya kasablanka Pantai Indah kapuk tB Simatupang kebon jeruk tB Simatupang tB Simatupang tB Simatupang tB Simatupang Mt Haryono tB Simatupang Gatot Subroto 36,106 For Lease 52,000 For Strata-title 16,020 For Lease and For Strata-title 28,000 For Lease 20,000 For Lease 56,500 For Strata-title 8,000 For Strata-title 33,000 For Lease and For Strata-title 22,800 For Strata-title 23,000 For Strata-title 16,250 For Lease 40,000 For Lease 36,627 For Lease 8,750 For Lease 58,500 For Lease 19,600 For Strata-title Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction In Planning Under Construction In Planning Under Construction In Planning In Planning In Planning In Planning In Planning Under Construction continued

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continuation 1Q 2014 2Q 2014 2Q 2014 4Q 2014 4Q 2014 4Q 2014 4Q 2014 4Q 2014 4Q 2014 the Manhattan Square Wisma 77 tower 2 Graha kirana 2 GP Plaza Beltway Office Park tower B Beltway Office Park tower D South Quarter Office tower at Pasaraya Grande La Venue tB Simatupang S. Parman Yos Sudarso Gatot Subroto tB Simatupang tB Simatupang tB Simatupang Sultan Iskandaryah Pasar Minggu 37,699 For Strata-title 24,200 For Strata-title 25,000 For Lease 12,204 For Strata-title 10,500 For Lease 49,675 For Lease 40,000 For Lease 40,000 For Lease and For Strata-title 37,168 For Strata-title In Planning In Planning In Planning In Planning In Planning In Planning In Planning In Planning In Planning
Colliers International Indonesia - research

*) Under Construction: where construction activity is in progress, including either foundation or superstructure. Under Planning: no contruction activities on site but all permits have been approved by the fovernment.

Demand
cbd existing demand
the absorption of existing office space within the CBD continues to show an upward trend. In 1Q 2012, occupancy reached 94.5%, slightly higher than the previous quarter. Continued business expansion coupled with limited space availability are two factors which pushed the vacancy rate down. In certain hot area like Sudirman, the vacancy level is low (only 4%) particularly owing to the limited number of new buildings along this corridor while on the other hand, demand is robust. Likewise, finding quality office space along jalan thamrin is tough given the domination of old buildings in this area. Notable office space absorption during the quarter includes the occupation of around 3,000 sq m in Menara Bidakara, located in jalan Gatot Subroto. around 1,200 sq m of office space was leased by a shipping agency to Graha Paramita which is situated around the rasuna Said area. a transaction made by a telecommunication operator leasing around 2,000 sq m at the East building located in the Mega kuningan area. this transaction represents general cases occurring in the jakarta office market where tenants have to expand to the surrounding buildings due to limited space in their current premises. the common problem of buildings with low vacancy occurs when their current tenants need more space for expansion. When the presence of occupiers is relatively new, finding a neighbourhood space is the best option but relocation to the newer building will be preferred when they have occupied the premises for a long period. Other smaller office space transactions involving around 200 to 400 sq m were completed during the quarter mainly by insurance companies, trading, mining, oil and medical related companies.

cumulative supplY, demand and occupancY of office space in the cbd


5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 1Q 2012 2001 2005 2009 2003 2010 2000 2002 2004 2006 2007 2008 2011

sq m

2,000,000 1,000,000 0

Cumulative Supply

Cumulative Demand

Occupancy (%)
Colliers International Indonesia - research

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jakarta | 1q 2012 | OFFiCE

outside cbd existing demand


the influx of Menara Satu has less impact on the overall occupancy rate because Menara Satu begins operation with high occupancy. the occupancy level as of 1Q 2012 reached 92%, a modest rise over the previous quarter.

cumulative supplY, demand and occupancY of office space in the outside cbd
5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 2011 1Q 2012 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2001 2005 2009 2003 2007 2010

sq m

2,000,000 1,000,000 0

Cumulative Supply

Cumulative Demand

Occupancy (%)
Colliers International Indonesia - research

pre-commitment demand
Despite huge supply projections, the office market during 2012 is predicted to perform well as new buildings projected to operate this year has secured a high commitment level of 77%. With three quarters remaining in this year, the office market is quite confident of maintaining a high occupancy level. the majority of offices for lease have secured occupancy of more than 60% and even buildings like WtC 2 and aXa tower have recorded very high precommitment levels before the buildings are in operation. Similarly, four buildings projected to operate this year have announced their major tenants with an average pre-commitment occupancy of 80%. three new buildings are located in the Pondok Indah and tB Simatupang areas where they get big tenants like oil and gas, mining, bank and technology product companies. For buildings planned to operate in 2013, only alamanda tower has reported of having precommitment agreement with their tenants. Strata-title buildings in the outside CBD area include partial space in Sovereign Plaza, Grand SOHO Slipi and partial space in Menara Satu. Except for the Grand SOHO with a relatively low pre-commitment level, other two buildings have been sold out. thus far, of the total 126,527 sq m of strata-title space projected to be completed in 2013, around 18% have been reported sold.

On the strata-title front, sales rates of underconstruction buildings projected to operate in 2012 have generally reached 82% with only a building having low absorption rates (mainly due to location considerations). the only empty building is a small office building located around the rasuna Said area but this is mainly because the owner is selling the building as an en-bloc investment. However, the other four buildings have registered very high sales rates of above 90%.

colliers international |

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jakarta | 1q 2012 | OFFiCE

space available and committed in 2011 - 2014


cbd
Space absorbed 2014F 2013F 2012F 2011 annual Supply 2014F 2013F 2012F 2011

outside cbd
Space absorbed annual Supply

within cbd area


0 150,000 300,000 450,000 0 150,000 300,000 450,000

sq m

sq m
Colliers International Indonesia - research

rental rates, Service Charge and Prices


base rental rates
rental rates keep edging higher this quarter after moving upward quite substantially last year. the average base rental rates for rupiah listed buildings during the quarter climbed by 5% QoQ to rp134,099/sq m/month. the increase was mainly triggered by some office buildings which introduced new tariff increases of about rp20,000 - 50,000/sq m/month. Landlords are motivated to introduce new rates as good quality office spaces are becoming limited while transaction activities keep flowing. Office buildings located around the Mega kuningan area like Menara Dea and Menara Prima raised the rent tariff by 15 - 30% in this quarter. Other buildings like tempo Scan in jalan rasuna Said also increased tariffs by 11%. Chase Plaza raised its rents as much as by 50% to keep up with the average market price while Graha Niaga increased the rental rates by more than 30% during the quarter. Landlords of office buildings charging rents in US dollars are also enjoying this brisk market and are introducing new rental tariffs during the quarter. an average increase of around 10% was recorded during the reviewed quarter, bringing average base rental rates to US$23.36/ sq m/month. In our records, there were four buildings introducing new rates ranging from US$2.00 to 7.00 per sq m. the East, Wisma Nusantara, Wisma 46 and Deutsche Bank are among the buildings with new rates. the average rent in the outside CBD area was rp94,818/sq m/month. the tB Simatupang area had higher rents than other areas in the outside CBD. Since quite a few multinational companies are located along tB Simatupang, rental rates in US dollars are common. US dollar rents are quoted at an average of US$12.92/sq m/month while in rupiah, the average is rp95,690/sq m/month.

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| colliers international

jakarta | 1q 2012 | OFFiCE

rental rates based on grade


Premium office buildings are defined as buildings with quality above the average Grade a buildings and there are only a few buildings in this category. all Premium buildings charge US dollar rents and the average rents for this category is US$ towers are only located within business district. Currently, all Premium Grade buildings charged in US$. In 1Q 2012, the average rental rate of Premium Grade office rental rates based on grade
rp318,500 rp273,000 rp227,500 rp182,000 rp136,500 rp91,000 rp45,500 rp0 Premium Grade a rp US$
Colliers International Indonesia - research

building was US$29.71/sq m/month. Meanwhile, Grade a buildings charge an average of US$24.26/sq m/month and the average rental rates in rupiah was rp180,242/sq m/month. the average rental rates for Grade B buildings was US$17.64/sq m/month and rp111,093/sq m/month. Grade C buildings charge US$16.85/ sq m/month and rp98,259/sq m/month.

$35.00 $30.00 $25.00 $20.00 $15.00 $10.00 $5.00 $0.00 Grade B Grade C

strata title office


Nothing much changed in strata-title offices during 1Q 2012 both in the sales price and takeup rates. the only building introducing a new price is the East, however it is only enough to lift the average price for the CBD area marginally to US$2,550/sq m. In our records, all buildings maintained their prices at the same level as in the previous quarter. Only the future buildings in the market changed the overall price of strata-title buildings from rp21.63 to 22.97 million/sq m. Overall take-up rates in the CBD hovered at 97.3%. Under-construction strata-title buildings within the CBD area including Office 8, aXa tower and tower One at the City Center have so far sold 94%. Similarly, office prices in the outside CBD area remained the same as in the last quarter i.e. rp17.56 million/sq m. Nothing is new in the market with no further changes in price of strata-title offices during the quarter. the only change was in the take-up rate for the outside CBD area due to the better performance of Gandaria 8 office tower and Menara Satu which lifted the overall take-up rates to 94.6% from the previous 91.5%.

service charge
In general, service charge costs remained stable QoQ. During our review, we found that several landlords anticipated a service increase should fuel prices rise, nevertheless with the recent plan to maintain fuel prices at the current level at least for the next six months, landlords will potentially postpone service tariff hikes in the short term. this quarter, the service charge tariff was rp55,086/sq m/month in the CBD area. In the outside CBD, the service charges grew by 2.4% QoQ. the overall increase was initiated by several office buildings which introduced additional tariffs ranging from rp5,000 to rp10,000/sq m/month. Overall the adjustment brought the overall service charges tariff to rp41,447/sq m/month.

colliers international |

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jakarta | 1q 2012 | OFFiCE

Outlook
Land price increases in the main commercial area will be unavoidable. the CBD area of jakarta has recorded substantial increases in land prices particularly because of the scarcity of land, the plans for the Mrt that will potentially lift the commercial value of the land and the limited number of willing sellers. Most are unmotivated sellers who offer their land at a very high price because they do not really wish to sell. Having said that, developers are pushed to build high-quality buildings to achieve high price and/or high rent to justify the land costs they have incurred. the good news is that the jakarta government is considering an increase in the plot ratio to justify the commercial value of the land mainly in certain area within the neighbourhood of the Mrt station. thus, in the future, prime commercial areas like jalan Sudirman and jalan thamrin will be adorned with skyscrapers. rents will continue to soar during 2012. the under-construction buildings projected to operate this year have secured high commitment levels meaning that the remaining vacant space will be limited. With great optimism over the outlook for the Indonesian economy, business expansion is expected to be rosy and demand for business location buoyant. this combination will bolster landlords position and accordingly will lead occupancy tariffs to increase. the positive side of land scarcity in the CBD is that it allows other parts of jakarta to grow as commercial areas. Indeed, the profile of the prestigious CBD is still needed for multinational companies or high profile local companies but there are other growing business entities which do not require high profile locations, particularly the non-service industries, consumer goods, data centres, etc. We have noted some plans for developing office buildings outside of the main commercial areas like the CBD or tB Simatupang area.

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| colliers international

jakarta | 1q 2012 | APARTMEnT

apartment sector
apartment Strata-title

Supply
the year 2012 began with 4,273 new completed units at five apartment projects. the addition brought the cumulative total of strata-title apartments to 101,776. In other words, the total supply during the quarter contributed as much as 4.31% of the total apartment supply in jakarta. these 4,273 units or 16.37% of the total projected 26,098 units which will be completed this year are scattered in the CBD, South, East, and West jakarta. Furthermore, of the total supply coming this quarter, around 44.2% are considered middle- to low- and 38.2% are considered low-class developments (categorised as rusunami low-class multifamily housing), while the remaining 17.5% are middle- to upper-class.

list of completed new projects in 1Q 2012


development East Park apartment (tower B) Green Palace apartment (tower L) Green Palace apartment (tower M) Green Palace apartment (tower N) Central Park residence tower adeline Puri Park View (tower a) thamrin Executive residence kalibata kalibata kalibata S. Parman Pesanggrahan, Meruya Utara MH thamrin location krt radjiman region East jakarta South jakarta South jakarta South jakarta West jakarta West jakarta CBD #units 550 630 630 630 350 1,083 400

Colliers International Indonesia - research

the early part of 2012 began with great optimism among developers as they launched several new projects, taking advantage of the growing property market and economy. apart from the completed projects mentioned above, there were six apartment projects entering the ground-breaking stage during 1Q 2012 including the H residence; Woodland Park residence; the Hive tamansari; Ciputra World 2 jakarta; Setiabudi Sky Garden and Senopati Penthouse. Meanwhile, quite a few new projects ranging from the middle to upper classes scattered in five municipalities in jakarta made early bird offers to potential buyers. these include new projects from reputable developers such as:

Metro Park residence (agung Podomoro Group) and aeropolis residence (Intiland) both located in West jakarta; the Heritage (Wika realty) located in Central jakarta; and Botanica apartment (Pikko Group) located in South jakarta. Other than that, the new line of developers includes the aspen residence (Harmas jalesveva), Lavenue apartment (Pt. Bintang rajawali Perkasa), and the royal Olive residence (Pt. aD realty) located in South jakarta; followed by Sudirman terrace (Pt. tristar Gemilang abadi) located in the CBD; and t - Plaza residence (Pt. Prima kencana) located in Central jakarta.

apartment distribution in several regions of jakarta


60 50 40 Number of Projects 30 20 10 0 CBD Central jakarta South jakarta North jakarta East jakarta West jakarta

Colliers International Indonesia - research

colliers international |

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jakarta | 1q 2012 | APARTMEnT

list of under construction of strata-title apartment

apartment name 2012 regatta rio de janeiro Green Palace (5 towers) Belmont residence (tower Everest) ambassade residence (tower a) Senopati Suites Denpasar residence (tower kintamani and Ubud) the Grove residence 8 at Senopati (2 towers) the Wave Pancoran riverside Luxurious raffles residences at Ciputra World jakarta 1 St Moritz (the Presidential Suite tower, the ambassador Suite tower & the royal Suite tower) Sentra timur residence (phase 2) Menteng Square Cervino Village Puri Park View (2 towers) the Grove Suite the royal Springhill (tower Marygold & Magnolia) the East at Essence Darmawangsa Myhome apartment at Ciputra World jakarta 1 Gading Nias residence block Grand Emerald One Park residence tamansari Semanggi Verde Condominium the H tower Season City (tower C) 2013 Belmont residence (tower Montblanc) Westmark kebagusan City (tower B) GP Plaza Pasar Baru Mansion (2 towers) kemang Village (the tiffany & the Infinity) residence at Dharmawangsa Sentra timur residence (Stage 2) Green Bay Pluit Green Lake Sunter dGreen Pramuka (tower Faggio & Pino) the Windsor (2 towers) Pakubuwono terrace (tower I) the H residence

location Pantai Mutiara kalibata kebon jeruk kuningan Senopati Satrio rasuna Said Senopati rasuna Said Pengadegan timur Satrio Puri Indah Cakung Matraman kasablanka Meruya Utara rasuna Said kemayoran kebayoran Satrio kelapa Gading Gandaria Gatot Subroto rasuna Said rasuna Said Grogol

region North jakarta South jakarta West jakarta CBD South jakarta CBD CBD South jakarta CBD South jakarta CBD West jakarta East jakarta East jakarta South jakarta West jakarta CBD Central jakarta South jakarta CBD North jakarta South jakarta CBD CBD CBD West jakarta

developer name Badan kerjasama Mutiara Buana (jO Pt Intiland Development & Pt Global Ekabuana) agung Podomoro Group Gapura Prima Pt Duta regency Pt Mahkota asia Graha agung Podomoro Group Pt Bakrieland Development agung Sedayu Group Pt Bakrieland Development Pt Graha rayhan tri Putra (riyadh Group) Pt Ciputra Property tbk Pt Lippo karawaci tbk Pt Bakrieland Development Pt Bahama Development Pakkodian Pt Pelaksana jaya Mulia & Pt alam jaya Perkasa Pt Bakrieland Development Springhill Golf Group Pt Prakarsa Semesta alam Pt Ciputra Property tbk agung Podomoro Group Pt Intiland Development Pt Wika realty Pt Farpoint realty Indonesia Pt Hutama karya realtindo agung Podomoro Group

#units 110 3,150 553 400 103 1,100 416 400 1,900 1,900 88 484 1,143 1,500 518 2,000 151 384 244 136 747 379 1,400 257 9 714

kebon jeruk tanjung Duren S Parman Gatot Subroto Pasar Baru kemang Dharmawangsa Cakung Pluit Sunter rawasari Puri Indah Ciledug Cawang

West jakarta West jakarta West jakarta CBD Central jakarta South jakarta South jakarta East jakarta North jakarta North jakarta Central jakarta West jakarta South jakarta East jakarta

Gapura Prima Cowell Development Gapura Prima Gapura Prima Pt trikarya Idea Sakti Pt Lippo karawaci tbk Pt Bina Puri Lestari Pt Bakrieland Development agung Podomoro Group agung Podomoro Group Pt Duta Paramindo Pt antilope Madju Puri Indah Pt Selaras Mitra Sejati Pt Hutama karya realtindo

350 550 588 320 520 415 89 1,000 3,200 2,400 2,900 340 750 505
Colliers International Indonesia - research

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| colliers international

jakarta | 1q 2012 | APARTMEnT

Despite having the lowest number of projects compared to other areas in jakarta, East jakarta is now starting to have more new development particularly in places like Mt Haryono and Cawang. these areas are becoming popular most recently since there are newly launched projects targeting the middle to low segment. Developers are interested in

developing these areas compared to other locations in East jakarta because of their strategic location, having better infrastructure, and the proximity to the central business area. It is projected that over the next two years, there will be four apartment buildings along the Mt. Haryono - Cawang corridor, adding 2,705 units targeting the middle to low segment.

new apartment developments within the mt harYono - cawang corridor


development the H residence the Hive tamansari Signature Park Grande Green Signature thamrin Executive residence projected Year of operation

location

class Middle Low Middle Low Middle Low Middle Low CBD

#units 383 422 1,100 800 400

2013 Mt Haryono 2014 DI Panjaitan 2014 Mt Haryono 2014 Mt Haryono


MH thamrin

Colliers International Indonesia - research

the supply of new apartment units during 2012 will be substantial, i.e. 26,098 units; in 2013, the strata-title apartment annual supply will be 14,788 units. according to our research, from

2012 - 2015 there will be a total of 53,519 additional new units representing a more than 50% increase in the current total supply.

Demand
the vibrant economic projections for the country attributed to the rise of Indonesian sovereign debt to investment grade have brought good sentiments to the apartment market in jakarta. During the first three months of 2012, the take-up rate for all marketed projects (including projects which are under construction but have been marketed) was 77.7%, up slightly from the previous quarters 75.7%. In other words, there are around 21,251 unsold units in jakarta of which 67.8% are scattered in the outside CBD area.

average take-up rates of existing strata-title apartments


region CBD South jakarta Outside CBD 4Q 2011 1Q 2012 QoQ

97.5 88.5 86.7

96.0 90.2 87.0


Colliers International Indonesia - research

the table above shows that the operating strata-title apartment buildings located in South jakarta and the outside CBD area experienced an increase in take-up rates from the previous quarter. the majority of existing strata-title apartment buildings in the outside CBD area are middle-class projects. Several promotional programmes were offered like taking the moment of Chinese New Year during the

quarter and other promotional campaigns like free holidays to Bali, gold rewards, cash vouchers (from rp5 to 75 million), and electronic gadgets or furniture to furnish the apartment units are incentives provided to boost sales of apartments. the other major marketing enticement to accelerate sales is flexibility on terms of payment.

colliers international |

p. 13

jakarta | 1q 2012 | APARTMEnT

average take-up rates of under construction strata-title apartments


region CBD South jakarta Outside CBD 4Q 2011 1Q 2012 QoQ

74.7 66.8 56.6

67.8 67.4 65.3


Colliers International Indonesia - research

In the pre-sales activity of apartment projects under construction, there was a declining trend in the CBD area. In the CBD, the absorption of new apartment projects slowed down because many new projects from mostly the upper-class came into the market during the first three months of 2012. Meanwhile, in the South jakarta area, the upper-class to luxury segment of under-construction projects is largely located in prime residential areas like kebayoran Baru. One of the projects with good performance is Pakubuwono Signature, developed by agung Podomoro where more than 95% of the total units are claimed to have been absorbed by the market. Other projects having the same condition are Senopati Penthouse, Senopati

Suites, and residence 8 at Senopati, all of which are located in a very strategic area close to the CBD and which recorded a sales rate above 65%. Furthermore, the outside CBD area enjoyed good performance mainly due to affordable prices. a large number of the projects are targeted at the middle class segment. this apartment segment is quite active in promoting their products in other cities of Indonesia like Bandung, Surabaya and Balikpapan, trying to capture local, potential, wealthy buyers. this strategy seems to work well because there are quite a few wealthy businessmen in rich cities outside of java.

unsold units and take-up rates of each segment of apartment


5,000 4,000 Unsold (unit) 3,000 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Low Middle Low Unsold (unit) Middle Up Upper Luxury Take Up Pre - Sales

2,000 1,000 0

take Up Pre-Sales (%)


Colliers International Indonesia - research

p. 14

| colliers international

jakarta | 1q 2012 | APARTMEnT

asking Price
Given the relatively high sales rate of ongoing projects, the overall apartment market in jakarta experienced a somewhat high price increase, from an average of rp12.94 to 13.62 million / sq m this quarter. Besides the good sales performance of under-construction projects, price increases were also driven by the influx of many upper-class projects which offer above average market prices which resulted in an overall price rise.

average asking price of strata-title apartments based on region


rp20,000,000 rp16,000,000 rp12,000,000 rp8,000,000 rp4,000,000 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 2011 CBD South jakarta Non CBD 2Q 2011 3Q 2011 4Q 1Q 2011 2012

average

Colliers International Indonesia - research

the highest increases were at apartment projects located in the South jakarta area, where the asking price was up by 12.8%, to an average of rp14.48 million / sq m. this average increase was fuelled mostly by several new projects located in this area and targeted at the

middle- to upper- and upper-class segment which impacted the overall price. again, due to the influx of new projects offered at higher prices, the overall price in the outside CBD area also rose this quarter registering an increase of 7.5% over the last quarter.

average asking price in different regions


region average asking price in rp/sQ m 1Q 2011 4Q 2011 1Q 2012 growth QoQ (%) YoY (%)

CBD South jakarta Outside CBD

16,678,858 12,126,412 9,513,772

18,114,415 12,844,135 10,112,389

18,531,724 14,485,165 10,866,027

2.3 12.8 7.5

11.1 19.5 14.2

Colliers International Indonesia - research

the same marketing strategies were still applied up to the reviewed quarter including flexible terms of payment. One of the marketing breakthroughs is combining a bank mortgage (the Indonesian term is kPa or kredit kepemilikan apartment) and cash instalments. Providing cash in advance is always a typical

problem of buyers of middle- to lower-class apartments and therefore the developers offer the buyers the opportunity to pay the down payment by cash instalments within 12 to 24 months while the monthly instalment is paid through the mortgage.

colliers international |

p. 15

jakarta | 1q 2012 | APARTMEnT

Basically there are three payment methods of buying apartments, mortgages (kPa), cash instalments and hard cash. From our survey it was found that cash instalments is the most frequent method used (55 to 70% of buyers, ranging from the lower to upper segments). Most buyers opt for this because they have the capability to pay cash instalments and it offers simplicity, flexibility, and privacy (because they do not want to reveal their income). It is interesting to note that payment through a bank mortgage is not widely chosen even for lowerclass apartment projects. these units (the

Indonesian term is rusunami) were originally government-subsidised projects for the low to middle income levels, however the fact is that buyers of these apartments preferred to pay using cash instalments. this indicates that the target buyers have deviated because the fact is that buyers are not middle income occupiers but are investors. For buyers of middle to upper class apartments they may pay cash installment or hard cash because buyers are mainly those with strong financial capability and they do no want to endure the hassle of dealing with bank procedures.

composition of paYment methods for buYing apartment units


100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% kPa Low (rusunami) Hardcash Middle Upper
Colliers International Indonesia - research

Installment (12 - 36x)

comparison of kpa and cash installment paYment period


kpa (mortgages) Payment tenure requirements typical Buyers Maximum of up to 15 years (depending on the age of applicant) ID card, income statement and BI (Bank Central) checking account Employees cash installment Generally 1 - 3 years ID card and marriage certificate

(if applicable) traders and Businessmen


Colliers International Indonesia - research

the graphs follow give an overview of new apartment sales and price performance from middle to upper class. We take some samples of operating and under-construction apartment projects to show the price differences between

the first launching price and the current price. this has been a common practice among developers where prices are always reviewed in accordance with the sales performance.

p. 16

| colliers international

jakarta | 1q 2012 | APARTMEnT

price differences between the first launching price and the current price for apartment middle to low class

apartment Located in kebon jeruk (2012 ; 840 unit ; 40% sold) apartment Located in Fatmawati (2011; 526 unit ; 60% sold) apartment Located in Latumenten (2011 ; 2,907 ; 70% sold) rp0 Current Price rp10,000,000 Initial Price rp20,000,000 rp30,000,000

for apartment middle to upper class

apartment Located in Gatot Subroto (2013 ; 320 unit ; 79% sold) apartment Located in kasablanka (2011 ; 890 unit ; 73% sold) apartment Located in thamrin (2011 ; 414 unit ; 98% sold) rp0 Current Price rp10,000,000 Initial Price rp20,000,000 rp30,000,000

for apartment upper class


apartment Located at jl. Satrio (2012 ; 136 unit ; 80% sold) apartment Located at jl. Denpasar (2012 ; 1,100 unit ; 95% sold) apartment Located in Gandaria (2012 ; 379 unit ; 70% sold) rp0 Current Price rp10,000,000 Initial Price
Colliers International Indonesia - research

rp20,000,000

rp30,000,000

colliers international |

p. 17

jakarta | 1q 2012 | APARTMEnT

apartment For Lease (Serviced and Non-serviced)

Supply
the apartment for lease market saw only the opening of the 112-unit Centro City Serviced apartments early this year. this serviced apartment project consists of only studio-type units. With the completion of this development, the cumulative supply for serviced apartments in the first three months of 2012 rose gently by 2.46% QoQ to 4,659 units. Meanwhile, the nonserviced apartment (apartments purely for lease), supply subsided due to the operational conversion of taman Pasadenia Pulomas from previously being non-serviced apartments for lease to strata-title apartments for sale. With a total of 50 units, the owner of taman Pasedenia Pulomas sold 45 units and kept the remaining five units for lease. thus, with the addition of 112 units at Centro City Serviced apartments and the reduction of 45 units at taman Pasadenia Pulomas , the number of total apartments for lease is up this quarter to 8,079 units.

cumulative supplY of apartments for lease (serviced and non-serviced)


6,000 5,000 4,000 Unit 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1Q2012 2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F Unserviced
Colliers International Indonesia - research

Serviced

list of future apartment for lease (serviced and non-serviced)

projected Year of operation

apartment name

location asia afrika Satrio Pondok Indah Satrio cbd CBD

region

marketing scheme Non-Serviced Serviced Serviced Serviced

#units 217 170 187 210

4Q 2012 plaza senayan (tower c & d) 2013 ascott kuningan 2014 Somerset kentjana jakarta 2014 Fraser Suites @Ciputra World jakarta 2

South jakarta CBD

Colliers International Indonesia - research

Demand
In general, the apartments for lease market in jakarta saw a minor drop in the occupancy rate from 76.1% to 75.1% this quarter. the occupancy level for non-serviced apartments slowed mildly during early 2012, when occupancy slowed by 0.93% to 73.8%. Similarly, occupancy levels for serviced apartments eased moderately during the quarter decreasing from 78.75% last quarter to 77.56% as some projects reported contract expirations with their tenants.

p. 18

| colliers international

jakarta | 1q 2012 | APARTMEnT

Geographically, apartments located in the CBD area captured the highest occupancy level compared to other areas although the occupancy level showed a minor drop QoQ to 84.4%. Compared to the occupancy performance in the outside CBD area that was only 66.5%, the CBD area is still the best location for renting apartments. In general, apartments for lease,

either serviced or non-serviced, are occupied by expatriates who are looking for proximity either to the workplace or an international school. therefore, the performance of apartments for lease in South jakarta is much better despite having a minor drop in occupancy (76.2%) this quarter.

rental rates
While absorption rates showed a slightly downward trend, the average asking rental rate of apartments for lease saw a minor increase in this quarter, up to an average of US$13.93 from US$13.73/sq m/month in the previous quarter. the increase in the rental rate was largely experienced by the pre-eminent serviced apartments in the CBD, such as Shangri-La, Frasers, ritz-Carlton, kempinski, and the ascott Group, with an average increase of US$100 US$200/unit/month. as mentioned earlier in our previous report, several apartments for lease, especially serviced apartments, have anticipated adjusting the asking rental rates upward in response to inflation and to the increase in the regional minimum wage.

average rental rates of apartment for lease


$20.00 Rental Rate/sq m/month $16.00 $12.00 $8.00 $4.00 $0.00 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 CBD South jakarta Non CBD 1Q 2011 2Q 2011 3Q 2011 4Q 2011 1Q 2012

average
Colliers International Indonesia - research

as most prominent apartments for lease reported an increase, the average rental rate for the CBD area improved mildly by less than 3% to US$18.18/sq m/month. the average rental rate in the CBD area was US$2,650 / unit. In

the outside CBD, rental rates are relatively stable at US$8.81 / sq m / month. Similarly, apartments in South jakarta area showed a minor increase of an average of US$12.43/sq m/month.

colliers international |

p. 19

jakarta | 1q 2012 | APARTMEnT

Outlook
the prospects for the apartment market will remain favourable as long as underlying local market conditions and business confidence continue to be rosy. We do not expect too much land reform concerning the foreign ownership of Indonesian property but as long as the conducive business atmosphere can be maintained there is plenty of room for the apartment market to grow, particularly benefiting from the potential spending of wealthy Indonesians from the other rich provinces of Indonesia. as we predicted earlier, apartment prices will surge ahead this year and this has already proven to be the case in the early part of 2012 when the average apartment price went up albeit moderately. Price increases will not only be a result of the new and under-construction projects with above average market prices; they will also be impacted by the continued adjustments made by pre-selling apartment projects (i.e. apartments under construction but which have already been marketed). New projects in the CBD area will surely experience the most increases as land prices soar and in anticipation of the fuel price hike which will be implemented in six months, increasing construction costs which will be a significant factor in adjusting apartment prices.

p. 20

| colliers international

jakarta | 1q 2012 | RETAil

retail Sector

Supply
a retail centre located in Depok, Cimanggis Square, is the only new retail centre in 1Q 2012. this centre provides around 15,000 sq m of lettable retail space, which moved the cumulative figure for retail space slightly upwards to 5.97 million sq m. In jakarta and greater areas (including cities like Bogor, Depok, tangerang and Bekasi, formally abbreviated as jabodetabek) more retail space is expected to flood onto the market. there will be 395,827 sq m of leasable retail space entering as new retail space in jabodetabek during 2012. retail space is growing not only from the development of new shopping centres, but also from the expansion of existing shopping centres. three shopping centres in the greater jakarta area are planning for expansion in response to the dynamic market. Citra Gran Mall is one example where they are expanding the space due to the growing residential market in the Cibubur area. Likewise, Plaza Cibubur, targeting lower-end shoppers, will also expand in response to growing demand. Lastly, Supermall karawaci is also moving to enlarge their retail space.

annual supplY of retail space in jakarta and greater jakarta


600,000 500,000 400,000 sq m 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 2011 1Q 2012 2000 2012F 2014F 2002 2004 2006 2008 2001 2005 2010 2013F 2009 2003 2007

jakarta

Greater jakarta
Colliers International Indonesia - research

jakarta supplY
No new retail centre is on-stream, and thus cumulative retail supply closed the quarter at 4.04 million sq m for the jakarta area. Further, during the Y-o-Y period (1Q 2011 to 1Q 2012) there were only 81,663 sq m of retail space. Nevertheless, 2012 will see a significant influx of retail space. a total of 244,052 sq m of retail space will be contributed by three large centres, including kota kasablanka, kemang Village and Ciputra World. among the three centres, kota kasablanka will provide the largest retail space comprising 38% of the total retail supply for 2012. In jakarta, there are only six shopping centres providing retail space of more than 100,000 sq m, and kota kasablanka is one of these. Other than the abovementioned, there are three more retail centres projected to begin operations in 2012, including Menteng Square, Pulomas XVenture and Pondok Indah Mall Street Gallery, which comprise a total of 38,775 sq m of retail space. thus in total, there will be six new shopping centres during 2012, contributing 282,827 sq m of retail space. Supply is not only about new retail space, but also about the new look of existing retail space. Ciputra Mall, located in jalan S. Parman and surrounded by new and fresh shopping centres like Central Park, is planning to rejuvenate their premises this year in order to retain their loyal visitors and tenants. Such renovation is needed after 19 years of operations and in view of the tough recent competition.

colliers international |

p. 21

jakarta | 1q 2012 | RETAil

future retail space in jakarta


200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 CBD Central jakarta South jakarta North jakarta 2012F 2013F East jakarta West jakarta

2014F
Colliers International Indonesia - research

future retail centers in jakarta

development 2012 kota kasablanka kemang Village Ciputra World jakarta 1 Menteng Square Pulomas XVenture Pondok Indah Mall Street Gallery 2013 Cipinang Indah Mall the Baywalk @Green Bay Pluit St Moritz 2014 Mall @the City Center the Gateway Pondok Indah Mall 3

location kasablanka kemang Satrio Menteng Pulomas Pondok Indah Cipinang Pluit Puri Indah kH Mas Mansyur Pondok Gede Pondok Indah

region South jakarta South jakarta South jakarta Central jakarta East jakarta South jakarta East jakarta North jakarta West jakarta Central jakarta East jakarta South jakarta

nla (sQ m)

status

110,000 Under Construction 56,052 Under Construction 78,000 Under Construction 4,475 Under Construction 25,200 Under Construction 9,100 Under Construction 20,000 Under Construction 52,000 Under Construction 57,200 Under Planning 35,000 Under Planning 10,000 Under Planning 40,000 Under Planning

Colliers International Indonesia - research

greater jakarta supplY


Cimanggis Square was the only new retail centre officially opened in Depok in 1Q 2012. this retail centre is owned by Matahari Putra Prima (Lippo Group) and brings the overall retail space in the greater jakarta area to 1.93 million sq m. Of this figure, around 38% and 31% of the space is situated in tangerang and Bekasi respectively.

p. 22

| colliers international

jakarta | 1q 2012 | RETAil

retail space distribution in greater jakarta

Bekasi 31%

Bogor 17%

Depok 14%

tangerang 38%
Colliers International Indonesia - research

In terms of area distribution, the existing retail supply in BoDetaBek area is highly concentrated in tangerang and Bekasi. those areas represent 38% and 31% of the total stock. Following renovation, the Citra Gran Mall will be reopened in 2013 with a more appealing concept, and will represent a serious threat to the existing Cibubur junction, which is so far the principal shopping destination for the Cibubur community. Still in the same street, Plaza Cibubur is also planning to expand to the backside of the existing building, adding a leasable area of about 2,000 sq m, and projected to finish in early 2013. Meanwhile, Supermall karawaci in tangerang is also planning to expand its leasable area to approximately 20,000 sq m. Other centres like Cibinong

Square, located in Bogor, are also considering expanding. the owner is thinking of extending their shopping area as they are currently holding sizeable vacant land. Overall, up to 2014 there will be 443,720 sq m of new retail space entering the market. For the remainder of 2012, the market expects to see the operation of the new Shopping Mall alam Sutera and Mall Balekota, both of which are located in the tangerang area. Meanwhile, two shopping centres projected to begin operations in 2013, i.e. Cibinong City Mall and Metropolitan Grand Mall, have started construction in line with the completion schedule.

future retail space in greater jakarta


200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 Bogor 2012F Depok 2013F tangerang 2014F
Colliers International Indonesia - research

Bekasi

colliers international |

p. 23

jakarta | 1q 2012 | RETAil

future retail centers in greater jakarta

development 2012 Plaza Dua raja Shopping Mall @alam Sutera Mall Balekota 2013 Metropolitan Grand Mall Cibinong City Mall Citra Gran Mal (extension) Plaza Cibubur (extension) Cimandala City trade Center Mal Harapan Indah the Breeze Sinar Mas Land Bekasi junction Bekasi trade Center 2 Urbana Cinere Bintaro Lifestyle Center 2014 Lippo Cikarang Citywalk (phase 2) Summarecon Bekasi (phase 1) Bekasi Bekasi Bekasi Bogor Bogor Depok Bogor Bekasi Bogor

location

nla (sQ m)

status

20,000 Under Construction 68,000 Under Construction 25,000 Under Construction 40,000 Under Construction 30,000 Under Construction 26,000 Under Construction 2,000 Under Construction 30,000 In Planning 44,420 In Planning 24,300 In Planning 14,000 In Planning 30,000 In Planning 30,000 In Planning 15,000 In Planning 10,000 In Planning 35,000 In Planning

tangerang tangerang

tangerang Bekasi Bekasi Depok tangerang

*) Under Construction: where construction activity is in progress, including either foundation or superstructure. Under Planning: no contruction activities on site but all permits have been approved by the fovernment.

Colliers International Indonesia - research

Demand
retail centres for lease in jakarta are enjoying a good leasing performance in 1Q 2012, albeit with only a small increase, as occupancy levels registered at 89.6%. the North jakarta area showed the highest demand growth at 4.7%, due in particular to the performance of Mall kelapa Gading. Some of the leasing transactions were toys kingdom, which is going to start fitting-out work on around 600 sq m at Mall artha Gading, and Informa, which expects to occupy around 2,000 sq m. Other than that, we also recorded leasing activities for F&B retailers at Pluit junction, as well as Mall of Indonesia and Emporium, which continue to maintain increasing occupancy levels by obtaining new tenants in significant numbers. In Central jakarta, Samsung, Minimal Fashion, Icon 99 and Fanco are new tenants at Gajah Mada Plaza. Despite being an old mall, this retail centre remained as a destination in the Gajah Mada area. In the upper class segment, Plaza Senayan filled up with new tenants like all Dress Up, Dunhill, Hermes Watch and Swatch. these two retail centres have helped bring down the vacancy levels in Central jakarta to around 3.2%. In the West jakarta area, Central Park Mall also helped the overall leasing performance in this area by having several new tenants open their retail outlets.

p. 24

| colliers international

jakarta | 1q 2012 | RETAil

In East jakarta, kramat jati Indah is still being renovated, but a number of tenants are preparing to return to a better concept in the mall. XXI cinema will be occupying this shopping centre, and it will be the first XXI in East jakarta. list of new major tenants during 1Q 2012

In South jakarta, food and beverages (F&B) retailers are quite actively expanding their outlets in several retail centres, along with other mini-anchors, to complement tenancy mainly in the newly operating malls.

retailers Metrox Store Informa Office One toys kingdom Informa ace Hardware Eat n Eat Hypermart

line of business Footwear Home Furnishing Stationary kids & toys Home Furnishing Home Equipment Food and Beverage Hypermarket

size (sQ m) 2,000 kuningan City 2,000 Mall artha Gading 500 Mall artha Gading 600 Mall artha Gading 1,200 Grand Paragon 1,200 Grand Paragon 2,000 Mal ambasador 4,500 Cimanggis Square

location South jakarta North jakarta North jakarta North jakarta Central jakarta Central jakarta South jakarta Depok

Colliers International Indonesia - research

list of new some tenants during 1Q 2012

retailers Coffee Bean Ming Chinese Outback Steak House Starbucks tiramisu keizia Samsung Minimal Fashion all Dress Up Dunhill Hermes Watch Swatch roppan Payless kingscobra Grand Duck king BMk BMk the Executive Et Cetera

line of business Food and Beverage Food and Beverage Food and Beverage Food and Beverage Food and Beverage Body treatment Electronics Fashion Fashion Fashion jewellery, Watches and accessories jewellery, Watches and accessories Food and Beverage Footwear Hobbies Food and Beverage Food and Beverage Food and Beverage Fashion Fashion

size (sQ m) 200 kuningan City 200 kuningan City 200 kuningan City 170 kuningan City 46 Slipi jaya 60 Slipi jaya 120 Gajah Mada Plaza 60 Gajah Mada Plaza 200 Plaza Senayan 200 Plaza Senayan 200 Plaza Senayan 200 Plaza Senayan 200 Plaza Semanggi 200 Pejaten Village 60 Pejaten Village 300 Cilandak town Square 200 Bintaro Plaza 200 Depok Mall 200 Supermal karawaci 200 Supermal karawaci

location South jakarta South jakarta South jakarta South jakarta West jakarta West jakarta Central jakarta Central jakarta Central jakarta Central jakarta Central jakarta Central jakarta South jakarta South jakarta South jakarta South jakarta tangerang Depok tangerang tangerang

Colliers International Indonesia - research

colliers international |

p. 25

jakarta | 1q 2012 | RETAil

By contrast, there were also several termination cases during the reviewed quarter. the first case occurred in Pasaraya Grande, where they are now trying to deliver a new concept to accommodate and attract more visitors. this brings consequences for underperforming tenants who may pull out from their premises in order for the mall to become more competitive in the retail business. Similarly, this also happened to old shopping centres like ratu Plaza, where the new owner demanded a better performance for the mall and introduced a fresher concept to entice new prospective tenants and to lure more visitors. Consequently, a number of tenants could leave their premises. the expansion of convenience stores has impacted those F&B retailers which leased food court area in a retail centre located around Pasar Baru. Such F&B retailers are seeing

fierce competition from convenience stores and decided to close down in order to save themselves from greater loss. this was not exclusive to local brands, as an international prominent burger restaurant has had to close their store in Pondok Indah Mall following their previous closure at Gandaria. Overall occupancy rates in greater jakarta area rose modestly by 2% compared to the previous quarter, which registered at 86.3%. the strong performance of new retail centres such as Summarecon Mal Serpong 2, tangerang City, Living World, Metropolitan Mall, Supermal karawaci, Depok Mall, teraskota and Margo City has helped contribute to the overall performance. Even the newly operating Cimanggis Square operates with two major tenants (of their own group) i.e. Hypermart and Matahari Department Store.

vacancY of retail space in jakarta and greater jakarta


40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2005 2006 2007 2008 South jakarta West jakarta 2009 2010 2011 North jakarta Greater jakarta
Colliers International Indonesia - research

1Q 2012

Central jakarta East jakarta

demand for future retail centres


Up to the first quarter of 2012, the precommitted occupancy of future retail centres in jakarta reached 80%, a reasonable increase of 3% compared to the previous quarter. Hypermart opens at kemang Village, marking their soft launch in a mall located in the expatriate area of South jakarta. Leaving around 10% of vacant space, kemang Village is projected to begin operations in around 2Q or 3Q 2012. In the greater jakarta area, Mall Balekota witnessed significant commitment from various tenants. Planning to open this year, this retail centre located around tangerang Government Center has secured about a 50% leasing commitment from major tenants such as Hypermart, Matahari Department Store, Gramedia, ace Hardware, toys kingdom, Electronic Solution, Informa, Golds Gym and XXI, while some food and beverages retailers comprise Burger king, Dominos Pizza and Starbucks.

p. 26

| colliers international

jakarta | 1q 2012 | RETAil

pre-commitment level during 2011 - 2013 jakarta area


Space absorbed annual Supply

bodetabek area
Space absorbed annual Supply

2013F

2013F

2012F

2012F

2011

2011

100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000

100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000

sq m

sq m
Colliers International Indonesia - research

list of new committed tenants in the operating shopping centres

retailers
toys kingdom ace Hardware Informa QQ kopitiam

line of business
kids & toys Home Equipment Home Furnishing Food and Beverages

size (sQ m)
600 Cibubur Square 1,800 Cibubur Square 2,600 Cibubur Square

location
East jakarta East jakarta East jakarta tangerang

date
4Q 2012 4Q 2012 4Q 2012 4Q 2012

200 Supermal karawaci

Colliers International Indonesia - research

list of committed tenants in future shopping centres

shopping center
jakarta area kuningan City tebet Green Ciputra World kemang Village

committed occupancY
90% 50% 100% 85%

major tenants

Lotte Mart (10,000 sq m), Gramedia, Best Denki, XXI, Electronic Superstore, Flame karaoke, Lollipop Playland, amazing Zone, ace Hardware, (1,200 sq m), jatomo Fitness, Metrox (2,000 sq m) Burger king, Starbucks, Warung Leko, Dominos Pizza, Steak 21, Sapo Oriental and Sago kitchen, ace Hardware (1,400 sq m) Lotte Department Store (6,000 sq m) Debenhams (17,500 sq m), Zara (1,500 sq m), Next Boutique (500 sq m), Marks & Spencer (1,000 sq m), kidz Station, Starbucks, Burger king, Dominos Pizza, Hypermart (4,000 sq m), ace Hardware (2,300 sq m), Fitness First, XXI, Chipmunks Playland and Cafe (1,500 sq m)

kota kasablanka

90%

Sogo (19,000 sq m), ace Hardware (2,500 sq m), XXI, Electronic Solution, kem Chicks, Carrefour (8,000 sq m), Informa (5,000 sq m), toys kingdom (1,100 sq m), Muji Store (400 sq m), Nautica, Marks & Spencer, Giordano, jack Nicklaus, Family karaoke, Charles & keith, Sate khas Senayan, Batik keris, Planet Sport, Duck king, rockport

St Moritz

80%

Debenhams (17,000 sq m), Zara, Next, Marks & Spencer, kidz Station, Starbucks, Burger king, Dominos Pizza, Matahari, Hypermart, Electronic City, XXI, ranch Market, Sea World Indonesia, tony romas, kiyadon Sushi, the Coffee Bean, jCo

Cipinang Indah Mall the Baywalk @Green Bay Pluit

25% 50%

Carrefour (5,850 sq m) ace Hardware, XXI, Farmers Market, Electronic Solution, Bandar Djakarta, Informa, time Zone, toys kingdom, Burger king, Optic Seis, Giordano continued colliers international | p. 27

jakarta | 1q 2012 | RETAil

continuation greater jakarta area Living World alam Sutera 85% Han Gang korean Food, Sushimise, Steak 21, Canton Boy, Sate khas Senayan, ajisen ramen, kopitiam, Informa (30,000 sq m), ace Hardware (15,000 sq m), toys kingdom, XXI, Gramedia, (1,200 sq m), kampoeng Nelayan, Breadtalk, Hero Summarecon Mall Serpong 2 Shopping Mall @alam Sutera 95% 90% Eat and Eat (1,500 sq m), Centro Department Store (10,000 sq m), Best Denki, Do It Best Pongs Home Center (3,000 sq m), takigawa, Dante, Secret recipe Sogo Department Store (10,000 sq m), the Food Hall (3,000 sq m), Funworld, Mango Farm, Gramedia (1,200 sq m), XXI, Chipmunks Playland & Cafe (2,100 sq m), Electronic Solution, Home Solution, Giant (5,000 sq m), Guardian Grand Metropolitan CitraGran Mall Mall Balekota 70% 75% 75% Centro, Farmers Market, toys kingdom, Funworld Sate khas Senayan, Optik Melawai Matahari (10,000 sq m), Hypermart (6,000 sq m), Gramedia (1,200 sq m), Starbucks, Bengawan Solo Hypermart (7,300 sq m), Electronic Solution (4,500 sq m), ace Hardware (1,000 sq m), Gramedia, Informa, XXI, Matahari (7,000 sq m), toys kingdom (2,000 sq m), amazone (900 sq m)

Colliers International Indonesia - research

rental rates and Service Charge


rental rates
thus far, the majority of landlords are still maintaining rental rates at the current levels because the overall retail market still needs some time to improve performance. However, some landlords are now strategising in order to gradually increase their rental rates. remixing their tenants is one of the strategies, which includes changing the lesser performing tenants, and then inviting potential tenants which can pull crowds to the shopping centre, and then selling primary retail space at premium tariffs. Other strategies include renovating the appearance of the mall and improving facilities for visitors. these have been implemented by two shopping centres in the Blok M area, namely Pasaraya Grande and Blok M Plaza, which succeeded in offering their primary space at higher rates. average rental rates in South jakarta improved to rp393,268/sq m/month, reflecting a minor growth of around 1%. Meanwhile, the average leasing tariff in East jakarta only fetched rp246,204/sq m/month, which was the lowest average rental rate compared to other regions in jakarta. Central jakarta, which is populated by high-end shopping centres like Plaza Indonesia, Plaza Senayan and Grand Indonesia, captured the highest average rates at rp584,635/sq m/month. Overall, the average rental rate of retail for lease or malls (excluding strata-title/trade centres) during 1Q 2012 was rp380,576/sq m/month. It was also noted that the average rental rate for retail for lease in greater jakarta area was relatively stable at rp247,723/sq m/month. However, two malls, in tangerang and in Depok have anticipated price adjustments of 15% to 20% in their effort to upgrade tenancy and pull new tenants in to improve the performance of the mall. the mall in Depok is trying to reposition itself into a mall that focuses on higher income targets, and is therefore adjusting its rental rates.

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jakarta | 1q 2012 | RETAil

average asking rental rates of different class shopping centres in jakarta and greater jakarta
rp700,000 rp600,000 rp500,000 rp400,000 rp300,000 rp200,000 rp100,000 rp0 2005 Middle Upper 2006 Middle 2007 2008 Middle Low 2009 2010 average 2011 1Q 2012

Greater jakarta

Colliers International Indonesia - research

service charge
In the jakarta area there were only minor changes on the operating costs per square metre where service charges stayed at rp77,155/sq m/month, reflecting only a 3% increase q-o-q. the overall change was mainly attributed to two retail centres in Central and South jakarta which decided to increase service charge costs after doing renovation work. In the greater jakarta area, teraskota (located in tangerang) adjusted the service charge tariff and thus brought a slight increase to the overall service cost for the greater jakarta area to rp60,380/sq m/month.

average service charge of different class shopping centres in jakarta and greater jakarta
rp120,000 rp100,000 rp80,000 rp60,000 rp40,000 rp20,000 rp0 2005 Middle Upper 2006 Middle 2007 2008 Middle Low 2009 2010 average 2011 1Q 2012

Greater jakarta

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Outlook
2012 will be a brisk period for retail business, highlighted by retailers business expansion and landlords efforts to deliver underconstruction projects on time due to precommitment agreements with tenants. In fact, several macro indicators suggest that the economy has a positive outlook. Further, domestic consumption and lifestyle shifts will be increasing, and these will be the key drivers for retail business growth. On the retailers side, several lines of business have reported enjoying surging profits from growing consumption. For example, Hero is a robust prospect as it acquired franchising licenses from Swedish home furnishing stores brand IkEa which will start in 2014. the attempt to bring in this well-known brand is aimed at growing middle and upper-middle customers which have been pampered by home furnishing retailers like ace Hardware. Likewise, a subsidiary of South korean retailer Lotte Group, Lotteria Co Ltd, will open more Lotteria fast food franchises in addition to their three retail outlets. this retailer will serve meals featuring organic food and expects to become one of the top three fast food restaurants in Indonesia by 2020. For some time now, branded products have benefitted from the improving standard of living of the middle class. Such a phenomenon continues to encourage more foreign retailers to expand their operations to Indonesia, as they endeavour to capitalise on the growth momentum. thus, both retailers and consumers will propel the countrys retail markets. More business expansion by operating retailers, combined with the expanding business of overseas retailers will lead to lower levels of vacant retail space, and accordingly occupancy costs will head upwards. Given the solid performance of the retail business, vacancy levels are projected to fall further to less than 10% over the next two years in jakarta.

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jakarta | 1q 2012 | indusTRiAl EsTATE

Industrial Estate Sector

Supply
Over the last two years, the major challenge facing the industrial market has been sourcing industrial land ready for development. Over the same time period, the fear of limited industrial land stock has been identified, as several industrial estates failed to anticipate a vibrant industrial market in which absorption rates exceeded the rate at which new industrial land was introduced. For some industrial estates, it can be quite frustrating to lose transaction opportunities due to limited stock of industrial land. this quarter, the industrial market failed again to see the development of any new industrial land. all of the expansion activities currently underway require a few more months before they will be ready to operate. For example, Bekasi Fajar is developing a total of 300 hectares, but they require around one year to clear the land and build infrastructure before the site is ready for operation. Meanwhile, within the same area, MM2100 cannot sell the remaining land. In fact, the company needs to acquire more land to substitute for the green area. another industrial estate in Bekasi is still actively selling despite its limited land stock. In certain cases, buyers are willing to pay in advance before the land is ready in order to take advantage of the current price. the condition of limited supply also occurred in karawang, where two industrial estates are now running out of stock to sell. One industrial estate in karawang reported that the main obstacle to its own expansion is the contour of the land, which requires major work and investment. In our view, limited new industrial land stock will be completed in 2012. In short, the general problem facing most industrial estates is delivery time, as they are now rushing to counterbalance the increasing demand for land. By the end of 2012 or early in 2013, three new industrial land plots will potentially be supplied by several industrial estates in Bekasi, measuring 300, 200 and 153 hectares (gross). an industrial estate in Serang and a 188hectare industrial estate in karawang will also enter the market. So far, the supply position remains the same, with operational and serviceable industrial land at a total of 8,666 hectares scattered across six regions (jakarta, Bekasi, tangerang, Bogor, karawang and Serang).

distribution of industrial land across six regions

Serang 21%

jakarta 10%

Bogor 2% Bekasi 26%

karawang 36%

tangerang 5%
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Demand
It is expected that 2012 will be a brisk year for the industrial market, since enquiries for industrial land continue to flow in. However, land availability remains the main obstacle. We expect to see a significant number of land transactions, primarily in karawang or Bekasi, as long as industrial estates can provide sufficient industrial land. total land sales recorded during 1Q 2012 were only half of the total sales seen in 1Q 2011. However, this still reflects good absorption, where the total land transacted was registered at 193.7 hectares. again, this is good enough to change the performance indicators in the industrial market, such as land prices and take-up rates. With three quarters ahead in 2012, enquiries for industrial land is projected to stabilise or even peak in the third or fourth quarter of the year, provided that the land is ready and available within the year.

land sales recorded up to 1Q 2012 in each industrial estate


Suryacipta Delta Silicon Greenland (kota Delta Mas) kI Mitrakarawang kIIC jababeka krakatau Industrial Estate Cilegon kota Bukit Indah (Indotaisei) Modern Cikande kota Bukit Indah MM2100 Industrial town 0 10 20 30 40 50 hectares
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60

again, automotive and related industries are the main drivers for industrial sales. Up until 1Q 2012, transactions by automotive industries weighed in at around 58.1% of total sales, accounting for a total of 112.58 hectares. Like the sales composition in 2011, Bekasi and karawang continue to carry out transactions in
annual industrial land sales
1400 1200 1000 hectares 800 600 400 200 0

the automotive and related industries, with the automotive industries occupying the top spot in these two regions. For this quarter, supporting industries such as vendors and auto parts manufacturers have produced greater numbers of transactions than the automotive industry itself.

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

2011

1Q 2012

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cumulative supplY, demand and take-up rates


10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Cumulative Supply (ha) Cumulative Demand (ha) 1Q 2012 take-up rate (%) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%

Colliers International Indonesia - research

aside from the automotive industry, no other industry dominated the total transactions this quarter. according to our records, among active industrialists are food and beverages, plastics, pharmaceuticals, steel-related products, manufacturing, oil and gas, logistics, metals, textiles, building materials and developers (they typically buy a small plot of land, develop it and sell it as a ready-to-use industrial building). We did not see any transactions in tangerang, as many operating industrial developers have reported that they have no available land. this includes industrial estates like Cikupamas and taman tekno BSD, while other industrial
tYpe of active industries up to 1Q 2012

estates such as Pasar kemis and Millennium have only limited ready-to-use land for sale. In the Serang area, Modern Cikande and krakatau Industrial Estate Cilegon (kIEC) are the only industrial estates with consistent sales. Modern Cikande sold a total of 9.7 hectares of land to the gas, beverages and textile industries. another active industrial estate is kIEC, which continued to record sales from five companies, including two from the expanding food industry (local and overseas) and three from the new overseas steel-related companies. these five transactions in kIEC composed a total of 12 hectares.

Steel-related 4.1% Pharmaceutical 2.1% Plastics 2.7% Food & Beverage 3.0%

Manufacturing Logistics/ 4.0% Warehouse Oil & Gas 1.8% 1.3%

Metal textiles 3.1% 0.6% Building Material 2.1% Developer 4.9% Others 12.1%

automotive 58.1%
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this period, karawang recorded the largest number of transactions in the quarter (ahead of Bekasi), with five industrial estates registering considerable volume. Despite being lower than the previous quarter, the total number of transactions in karawang was substantial, with Suryacipta outselling any other industrial estate with a total of 57.6 hectares. Large transactions in Suryacipta were mainly contributed by automotive component manufacturing companies (seven different transactions), totalling 87%, while the remaining sales were mainly carried out by catering, ceramics and plastics companies. the karawang region registered a total of 106.86 hectares of land being transacted, with 46% of this transacted in kI Mitrakarawang, kIIC, kota Bukit Indah (Indotaisei) and kota Bukit Indah (Besland Pertiwi). kI Mitrakarawang concluded seven transactions, mainly concerning automotive companies across a total of 18.46 hectares. Of this, less than 1 hectare was sold to non-autorelated industries. kIIC recorded a total of 16 hectares worth of transactions this quarter, mostly to new japanese companies in a yet-tobe-disclosed industry. Meanwhile another single-hectare transaction in kIIC was completed by existing automotive-industry tenants for their own expansion. kota Bukit Indah, operated by Indotaisei, reported land sales to three companies a glass production industry (almost 3 hectares) and two auto parts companies (totalling 8.3 hectares). Overall, kota Bukit Indah - Indotaisei sold 11.2 hectares, leaving around 3.5 hectares unsold. kota Bukit Indah, Besland Pertiwi released 3.6 hectares of land to their operating tenant, an automotive company from japan. Besland Pertiwi focused on leasing land and industrial buildings, but would only consider selling to tenants that will operate for a long time. the total industrial land sold in 1Q 2012 equalled

only one-third of what was sold last quarter. this is not due to sluggish demand for location in Bekasi, but is mainly attributable to limited land availability within the area. thus far, only jababeka and Delta Silicon have enough land to be sold. Meanwhile, despite having spacious land for sell, there are limited ready-to-use plots in kota Deltamas, and these will only available several months in the future. Furthermore, it is now almost impossible to find immediate land for sale in either Bekasi Fajar or MM2100. thus, Bekasi only sold 65.13 hectares during 1Q 2012. Even Bekasi Fajar, one of the best-performing industrial estates, reported no sales due to the lack of availability of ready-touse land. In both Bekasi Fajar and MM2100, new tenants or those who wish to expand have to wait several months before acquiring new land. Delta Silicon again recorded the highest sales in Bekasi, thanks to contributions from the automotive and related industries as well as logistics and small transactions made by warehouses or industrial building developers that buy, develop and sell land. a total of 26.6 hectares of land was transacted during the quarter. Greenland at kota Deltamas sold a total of 19.6 hectares of land to eight automotive companies, but they have reported that the delivery time to the buyers will not take place as soon as was hoped. jababeka, an important estate developer with significant land stock, reported selling land to various clients in industries including manufacturing and electronics (comprising the biggest transaction), pharmaceuticals, food and beverages, automotive and workshop and logistics. this quarter, they sold around 15.6 hectares, exceeding the previous quarters sales. Small transactions were completed by MM2100, which sold a total of 3.26 hectares of land to two auto parts companies.

Prices and Maintenance Cost


industrial land prices
Land prices changed again this quarter, mainly in two most active industrial locations, i.e. karawang and Bekasi. Modern Cikande, located in Serang, also introduced new prices in 1Q 2012 due to increasing demand. In Bekasi, four industrial estates started the year with new prices, increasing the average price for the region by almost 10% Q-o-Q to US$164.75/sq m. In karawang, land prices were up by an average of 8% to US$116.98/sq m. and finally in Serang, a moderate adjustment made by one industrial estate has moderately increased the overall price by 2% from US$83.33 to US$85.16/sq m.

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greater jakarta industrial land prices


$180 $150
US$/sq m

$120 $90 $60 $30 $0 2006 Bogor 2007 2008 tangerang 2009 karawang 2010 Bekasi 2011 Serang 1Q 2012

Colliers International Indonesia - research

industrial building rental rates and prices


the rental price in all regions remained the same as in the previous quarter. In kota Bukit Indah (Besland Pertiwi), rental rates for land rent was offered at US$0.60/sq m/month, while building rent is set at US$4.00/sq m/ month. In kujang, industrial estate rental rates for buildings were offered at US$3.50/sq m/ month. Meanwhile, CCIE in Bogor apply rental rates in rupiahs, i.e rp32,500/sq m/month for industrial buildings, while land is rented at rp3,000/sq m/month.

Meanwhile, only a few industrial developers sell industrial buildings. as a point of reference, one industrial estate in Bekasi sells 1,000-sq m industrial buildings on a 1,400-sq m for rp8.4 billion (approximately US$923,810). For a smaller building (356 sq m) standing on a 480sq m plot, the price is set at rp2.7 billion (US$300,160).

industrial maintenance expenses

Maintenance expenses were unchanged from the previous quarter. However, two industrial estates are expecting to introduce new service

charges next quarter due to rising operational expenses.

greater jakarta industrial maintenance expenses


$0.10 $0.08
US$/sq m/month

$0.06 $0.04 $0.02 $0.00 2006 Bogor 2007 2008 2009 karawang 2010 Bekasi 2011 Serang 1Q 2012

tangerang

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industrial land prices and maintenance expenses*

region Lowest Bogor tangerang karawang Bekasi


*1US$ = rp 9,100

Land Price (sq m) Highest US$ 164.84 US$ 164.84 US$ 125.00 US$ 173.08 average US$ 107.42 US$ 116.40 US$ 116.98 US$ 164.75

Maintenance Expense (/sq m/month) Lowest US$ 0.07 US$ 0.04 US$ 0.05 US$ 0.06 Highest US$ 0.08 US$ 0.11 US$ 0.06 US$ 0.07 average US$ 0.07 US$ 0.06 US$ 0.06 US$ 0.06
Colliers International Indonesia - research

522 offices in 62 countries on 6 continents


United States: 147 Canada: 37 Latin america: 19 asia Pacific: 201 EMEa: 118 $1.8 billion in annual revenue 1.3 billion square feet under management Over 12,300 professionals

US$ 50.00 US$ 60.00 US$ 109.89 US$ 150.00

Outlook
the hurdle that industrial developers have to overcome is the lack of availability of industrial land. Last years incredible sales were not wellanticipated by many landlords, as they are now running out of industrial land stock to sell. two industrial areas, namely Bekasi and karawangare, are the most active regions in selling land. Expansion activities and the active searching for new industrial sites in these two regions is providing solid infrastructure and ensuring good accessibility to jakarta as well as to the primary ports for distribution. On the demand side, the industrial market in greater jakarta will potentially continue to attract industrialists. thus, we believe that demand will maintain performance comparable to last years. Nonetheless, the supply side will continue to hinder the industrial markets performance. although most industrial estates with brisk sales are rushing for land preparation works, the short-term momentum will be insufficient for tenants with immediate expansion needs. Given such conditions, land prices will unavoidably be corrected this year. During this landlord market in which land stock is depleting and the economic outlook is promising, industrialists will have limited options for expanding or buying industrial land. In Bekasi, there are two industrial estates with adequate ready-to-use land for sale, while in karawang, there is only one industrial estate that will potentially record high sales throughout the year. automotive (and auto-related), food, steel, consumer goods, manufacturing and pharmaceutical industries will remain active and continue to look for land.

colliers international indonesia: World trade Centre 10th & 14th floor jalan jenderal Sudirman kav. 29 - 31 jakarta 12920 Indonesia tel 62 21 521 1400 fax 62 21 521 1411 Michael Broomell Managing Director World trade Centre 10th & 14th floor jalan jenderal Sudirman kav. 29 - 31 jakarta 12920 Indonesia tel 62 21 521 1400 ext 131 fax 62 21 521 1411 Ferry Salanto associate Director, research World trade Centre 10th & 14th floor jalan jenderal Sudirman kav. 29 - 31 jakarta 12920 Indonesia tel 62 21 521 1400 ext 134 fax 62 21 521 1411
Copyright 2012 Colliers International the information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable. While every reasonable effort has bee made to ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. readers are encouraged to consult their professional advisors prior to acting on any of the material contained in this report.

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