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Mongolia is the least densely populated country in the world with a population of just over 3 million'over 40 per cent of which live in the capital Ulaanbaatar. Mongolia embraced political and economic reforms in 1990 after abandoning its 70-year-old Soviet-style one-party state. The collapse of the economy after the withdrawal of Soviet support triggered widespread poverty and unemployment.
Mongolia is the least densely populated country in the world with a population of just over 3 million'over 40 per cent of which live in the capital Ulaanbaatar. Mongolia embraced political and economic reforms in 1990 after abandoning its 70-year-old Soviet-style one-party state. The collapse of the economy after the withdrawal of Soviet support triggered widespread poverty and unemployment.
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Mongolia is the least densely populated country in the world with a population of just over 3 million'over 40 per cent of which live in the capital Ulaanbaatar. Mongolia embraced political and economic reforms in 1990 after abandoning its 70-year-old Soviet-style one-party state. The collapse of the economy after the withdrawal of Soviet support triggered widespread poverty and unemployment.
Droits d'auteur :
Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
Formats disponibles
Téléchargez comme PDF, TXT ou lisez en ligne sur Scribd
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The Mongolia Equity Opportunities Fund Khan Investment Management Limited (Khan) is a specialist Cayman Island Investment Management Group, specifically created to structure and promote the Mongolia Equity Opportunities Fund (the Fund). Khan has created and structured the Fund in accordance with what it believes are the most important attributes for potential investors, including fund domicile, liquidity terms, portfolio diversification and importantly, to provide access to the local Mongolian Stock Exchange and participate in the many local Initial Public Offerings of private and state owned enterprises slated over the coming years. Khan has also selected all third party services providers of the Fund, including importantly the Investment Manager, Gordian Capital Singapore Private Limited, and the chief Investment Adviser Monet LLC. About Mongolia Perhaps most notably known as the birth place of Genghis Khan and the Mongol Empire, Mongolia is quickly gaining strategic importance not seen since its 13 th century heyday. Land locked between Russia and China, Mongolia is roughly equivalent to the size of Western Europe. It is the least densely populated country in the world with a population of just over 3 million over 40 per cent of which live in the capital Ulaanbaatar. Mongolia embraced political and economic reforms in 1990 after abandoning its 70-year-old Soviet- style one-party state. Democracy and privatisation were enshrined in a new constitution, but the collapse of the economy after the withdrawal of Soviet support triggered widespread poverty and unemployment. Recently however, the small economy has begun to surge following discoveries of significant mineral and energy resources and rising commodity prices.
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Mongolia has expanded political and financial ties with the US, Japan and the European Union, but its main trading partners are neighbouring Russia and China. The latter is the biggest market for Mongolian exports, 8 M Substantial deposits of gold, copper, and above all coal have been discovered in recent years. Oyu Tolgoi, the -copper mine is scheduled to begin production in 2013, and Tavan Tolgoi, one s largest coal deposits, is already exporting to China. There are also immense deposits of uranium and rare earths, as well as molybdenum, tin, tungsten, lead and zinc. S -owned investment fund, Temasek, believes that the value of raw materials in the ten largest mines alone in Mongolia could exceed USD 1.3 trillion (2010 prices), and according to emerging market investor Marc Faber, Mongolia could be become the Saudi Arabia of Asia (Eurasia Capital, 2011). It should be noted however that it is difficult to M commodity reserves at present, as only a small part of them have been explored in this enormous country.
Despite vast quantities of untapped mineral and energy resources, and numerous mining projects already underway, Mongolia currently remains significantly underdeveloped. There is immense scope for catch-up and growth in the secondary sector, from infrastructure to property. The financial sector represents a similar picture, as the industry is not yet prepared for the economic changes that await it. (Renaissance Capital, 2011)
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Economic Outlook The world is thirsting for commodities and prices have been rising for over a decade. Mongolia has large raw
The outlook for real GDP growth is underpinned by the rapidly developing commodity-based economy, dominated by large scale productions starting at Oyu Tolgoi, Tavan Tolgoi, and other mines. From 2004 to 2008 the Mongolian economy grew by an annual average of 9%. After bottoming out at minus 1.3 per cent in 2009, real GDP growth hit 6.1 per cent in 2010 fuelled by mineral exports notably from copper and coal. Production from Oyu Tolgoi mine is expected to start by 2013, while that from Tavan Tolgoi is expected to be gradually scaled up and to reach full capacity by 2016. According to International Monetary l lMl Ms GDP is expected to grow around 10 per cent this year, rise to over 20 per cent in 2013 and continue double-digit expansion annually for the rest of the decade. (IMF, 2011) Real GDP growth is expected to average 13 per cent over the medium term (2013 2018), taking into account the impact on the non-mineral economy (IMF, 2011). Growth drivers for 2011 and beyond (Eurasia Capital, 2011); x USD 2.3 billion capital budget (over one third of M Cu l Mines and Rio Tinto for Oyu Tolgoi (2011) x Strong and growing investments across the mining sector as well as other asset classes x Substantial increase in government expenditures x Positive outlook for commodity prices x Rising export values driven by strong Chinese demand x Growth in personal income underpinned by inflows of foreign capital and the expansion in government social payments The Mongolian economy has a bright economic future as development of the mining sector will lead to a substantial growth in mineral GDP and will have significant knock-on effects on other sectors through a reallocation of resources and changes in relative prices.
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Major mining projects Tavan Tolgoi Tavan Tolgoi is one of the largest undeveloped coking and thermal coal deposits in the world with total resources estimated to be 6.4 billion tonnes according to the World Bank (IMF, 2011). The coal field has a rich percentage of high-quality coking coal, which can be used for steelmaking, and the rest as fuel in power plants (Baasangombo, 2011). Dai Bing, a senior analyst at www.coal.com.cn, the leading e-commerce service platform for the coal industry in China, estimates the total value of the Tavan Tolgoi coal mine to be USD 300 billion (Juan, 2011). Mongolia has split Tavan Tolgoi into 2 zones: central-west and east. The government has shortlisted 6 bidders to develop the central-western part of Tavan Tolgoi which will be developed by a group of mining companies. Successful bidders to develop the central-western block are expected to be announced in July (Juan, 2011). Erdenes Tavan Tolgoi LLC (a wholly owned subsidiary of the state owned mining company Erdenes MGL LLC) owns the rights to mine the eastern, or Tsenkhi block of Tavan Tolgoi, which is estimated to contain 2.2 billion tonnes of coal. It will be developed by a number of companies working in conjunction with the government (The UB Post, 2011). Energy Resources LLC (a consortium of top Mongolian companies) and Erdenes Tavan Tolgoi LLC are currently exporting close to 3 million tonnes per year, however production is expected to quickly ramp up to over 10 million tonnes per year by 2014 (IMF, 2011) The government has announced that it will retain a 50 per cent stake hold in Erdenes Tavan Tolgoi and will offer the balance to investors and its own citizens. Mongolian Prime Minister Sukhbaatar told an Australian Government trade forum in Sydney in February this year that the initial public offering of part of the Tavan Tolgoi coal deposit is scheduled to go ahead in the second half of this year (Mining Journal, 2011). The Wall Street Journal reported on 9 February, 2011, that an IPO of Erdenes Tavan Tolgoi may value the company at between USD 10 billion and USD 15 billion, citing people familiar with the deal (Mining Journal, 2011). Development of the deposit, which is close to the border with China, would make Mongolia a major world coal producer. Initially, its development will increase equipment imports, FDI, and loan inflows, but soon after it will lead to a large increase in exports. China consumed 3.25 billion tons of coal and imported 164.83 million tons in 2010, a growth rate of 30.99 per cent year-on-year, according to the National Bureau of Statistics and National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) (Juan, 2011) C nergy resources, including coal, highlighting the importance of the development of the nearby Tavan Tolgoi resource. The Mongolian government is also considering proposals to build a 1,000 kilometre rail line to shuttle Tavan Tolgoi coal to the Russian rail system and its ports in the far east of the country as this could open up access to markets in Japan, South Korea and Taiwan, leaving Ulaanbaatar less dependent on resource hungry China (The UB Post, 2011). The Mongolia Equity Opportunities Fund Private & Confidential
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Oyu Tolgoi undeveloped copper-gold mine Discovered by Canadian based Ivanhoe Mines in 2001, Oyu Tolgoi is the largest undeveloped copper-gold mine project in the world and is located in the South Gobi region of Mongolia, 550km south of the capital Ulaanbaatar and 80kms north of the border with China where the mined copper is expected to be shipped. 8 l M C 1 estimates indicate that Oyu Tolgoi contains approximately 81 billion pounds of copper and 46 million ounces of gold in measured, indicated and inferred resources (Ivanhoe Mines Ltd, 2011). Production is scheduled to begin in 2013 and to reach full capacity in 2018. Over the anticipated 45 year life of the mine, Oyu Tolgoi is scheduled to produce 450,000 tonnes of copper per year (3% of global production) and 330,000 ounces of gold annually, whilst employing 18,000 people. The Mongolian Government will acquire 34% in the project and Ivanhoe Mines will retain 66% interest in the project. Global miner Rio Tinto which joined Ivanhoe Mines as a strategic partner three years ago, presently holds an approximate 49 per cent interest in in Ivanhoe Mines (December 2010) (Ivanhoe Mines Ltd, 2011). The 2010 estimated cost of bringing the Oyu Tolgoi mine into production was USD 4.6 billion.
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The Mongolia Stock Exchange The Mongolia Stock Exchange (MSE) was established in early 1991 by the government to facilitate the privatisation of state- M Currently dominated by resource related companies within the metals and mining sector, the MSE was the best performing equity market globally in 2010 with the benchmark SME Top-20 Index gaining 138% (or 173.7% in USD terms).
M is often considered too small for institutional investors. The total market capitalisation of over 300 Mongolian listed companies on the MSE is only slightly more than USD 1 billion, which pales in to comparison to the USD 33 billion market capitalisation of internationally listed companies with assets and operations in Mongolia who have sought liquidity abroad with listings on exchanges in London, Hong Kong, Australia and Canada. However, expected major initial public offerings (IPOs) by Mongolian State Owned Enterprises (SOEs) and large private sector companies, coupled with possible dual listings by Mongolia-focussed international listed companies (with a current USD 33 billion in market capitalisation) are likely to catapult the MSE into one of the largest frontier markets globally within the next 4-5 years, resolving current low liquidity concerns and easing the high volatility in the market. Growth of the MSE The Mongolian government has approved a list of more than 50 SOEs that are slated for privatisation starting from 2011, including through IPOs. The SOEs are in the mining, mineral processing, construction material, power distribution and generation, telecommunications and airline industries. Many will pursue a listing locally on the MSE to serve as a vehicle for privatisation and then seek additional listings in regional or international markets to raise capital for expansion and modernisation. There are also a number of SOEs with ownership in strategic mineral deposits, infrastructure service providers and manufacturing entities expecting to offer diversified exposure to a wide range of investors (Eurasia Capital, 2011).
Major SOEs to be Privatized by 2012 Industry Thermal Power Station - III Power Generation Shivee-Ovoo Coal Mining Baganuur Coal Mining Mongolia Stock Exchange Financial Darkhan Metal Production Iron Ore Processing Mongolia Telecom Airline Erdenet Thermal Power Station Power Distribution Source: Government of Mongolia The Mongolia Equity Opportunities Fund Private & Confidential
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Furthermore, a number of leading domestic private companies are expected to launch substantial capital raisings on the MSE. The most anticipated IPO at the MSE is the offering of Erdenes Tavan Tolgoi LLC, a state owned holding company for the Tavan Tolgoi ce. The government is planning the company IPO by the end of 2011 or early 2012. About 30 per cent of the
MSE partnership with the London Stock Exchange Mongolia took a historically important step to develop its capital markets when MSE and the London Stock Exchange (LSE) signed a landmark Master Service Agreement to manage the MSE on April 7 of this year. According to the agreement, the London bourse will appoint a management team to oversee MSE development and privatisation. Over the next three years the LSE will assist the MSE to introduce an integrated securities trading system, create effective legal environment and bring the infrastructure, (Eurasia Capital, 2011). Under LSE management, MSE should be become an effective source of capital for Mongolia companies and widen opportunities for local and international investors with expected IPOs and increased market size. The expectation that LSE would be able to assist in unlocking the huge potential of the Mongolia capital markets valuation rerating, boost liquidity, improvement in corporate governance, stronger pipeline of IPOs and equity offerings as well as dual listings by international listed companies with operations in Mongolia, is likely to fuel MSE global outperformance over the next several years. Currency Growing export revenues, along with surging foreign capital inflows and expected tightening measures to fight inflation will put upward pressure on the Mongolian Tugrik (MNT). Export revenue growth will come from increasing export demand and rising commodity prices (Eurasia Capital, 2011). The MNT has emerged as a new resource currency, following the crisis, and its movements have become coal, copper and gold (Eurasia Capital, 2011).
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About the Fund The Mongolia Equity Opportunities Fund is an open-end Cayman Island investment vehicle with monthly dealing that provides long-only, unleveraged and un-hedged economies. 1 l Mongolian economy by investing in local and international listed companies, or companies soon to be listed, with assets and operations in Mongolia.
The Fund has partnered with and appointed industry leading service providers to achieve its capital growth objectives and position itself as the preeminent investment vehicle for investors who want to gain a diversified
Gordian Capital Singapore Private Limited, a specialist fund management group offering full service fund management infrastructure and operational support, has been appointed as the Investment Manager of the Fund.
Monet LLC, a leading independent investment banking firm operating in Mongolia, has been appointed as the chief Investment Adviser to the Investment Manager.
The proposed launch date for the Fund is July 1, 2011. Investment Philosophy and Approach
The Investment Adviser will initially apply a top-down screening process to identify those sectors which should most benefit from sectoral growth trends. The Mining Sector is leading M prospective stocks will be exploration and operational mining companies. However, as the market progresses, additional opportunities are likely to arise in other sectors especially as more SOEs are privatized and private companies seek additional growth capital through stock listings. Infrastructure, real estate, and services will leverage the mining boom in the near future. Fundamental industry and company analysis, rather than benchmarking, will form the basis of both stock selection and portfolio construction. In the normal course of events, the Investment Adviser expects the Fund to be fully-invested, although the Fund may however, hold cash reserves pending new IPOs. It is expected that the Fund will hold positions for the long-term and thus have limited turnover. As more Mongolian companies offer their shares to the public, the Investment Adviser will be well-placed to participate in these IPOs and offer shares to its clients, including the Fund.
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The Investment Advisor Monet LLC Monet LLC is a leading independent investment banking firm operating in Mongolia. Founded at Bats Invest in 1997, the company provides brokerage, dealing, underwriting and investment banking services for both domestic and international clients. As a private investment banking firm, Monet LLC has a strong market position in each of its core business areas - equity capital markets, investment banking and debt capital markets. Monet LLC is member of both the Mongolian Stock Exchange (MSE) and Business Council of Mongolia (BCM). With acknowledged capabilities and accolades for the best execution and advice, Monet LLC is dedicated to creating real value The Investment Manager Gordian Capital Singapore Private Limited Gordian Capital Limited (Gordian) was established as a Cayman Islands corporation in April, 2004. The firm was conceived to offer offshore structuring and fund management solutions to both Japanese and other Asian fund managers seeking to attract capital from international investors. Gordian identifies both new and emerging investment managers, assisting talented fund managers by providing a full service infrastructure which they can rely upon to grow their fund business. The firm takes on the business risk and provides fund managers with infrastructure and operational support. An experienced investment operations team handles all the operational aspects of funds which include long only, absolute return and hedge funds, managed accounts, limited partnerships and fund of hedge funds. Gordian marshals the operational resources needed to assist the manager to efficiently and effectively run their strat 1 operations are conducted through a Singapore subsidiary, Gordian Capital Singapore Private Limited, an exempted manager under the Monetary Authority of Singapore which provides the regulatory compliant fund management services. Gordian provides efficient and effective vehicles that meet the standard of international institutional investors which make up their investor base of pension funds, institutional investors, Family Offices, Fund of Funds, Manager of Managers and High Net Worth Investors. Since inception Gordian has grown in scope and now manages and operates a number of funds each with varying strategies and structures with total assets under management of USD250 million. Additional Information Please contact Khan Investment Management Ltd for further information. contact@khan-management.com
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Works Cited Baasangombo, M. (2011, March 31). Executive Director, Erdenes MGL LLC. (Bloomberg, Interviewer) Eurasia Capital. (2011). Mongolia 2010 - 2020. Eurasia Capital. (2011). Mongolian Stock Market - Capitalising on Frontier Opportunites. IMF. (2011). IMF Executive Board Concludes 2011 Article IV Consultation, Post Program Monitoring, and Ex Post Evaluation with Mongolia. External Relations Department. Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. (2011). Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. Retrieved from www.ivanhoe-mines.com Juan, D. (2011, March 24). Shenhua shortlisted in bid to develop Mongolian coalfield. China Daily. Mining Journal. (2011). Tavan Tolgoi IPO may take place in second half. Mining Journal. Renaissance Capital. (2011). Mongolia. The UB Post. (2011, April 15). Foreign Firms Aim to Win Big on Mongolia Coal Mine. The Ulan Bator Post.
Disclaimer: The Information contained in this presentation is strictly for informational purposes only and should be considered neither an offer nor a solicitation to invest in the Mongolia Equity Opportunities Fund (the Fund) both now or in the future. The information has been obtained from or is based upon sources believed to be reliable but is not guaranteed as to its accuracy, adequacy or completeness. Liability for errors or omissions is expressly disclaimed. The information is provided without obligation and on the understanding that any person or entity who acts upon it does so entirely at their own risk. No investment decisions should be based on the information herein. Past performance of the Fund is not a guarantee of future performance. Potential investors in funds should obtain independent legal, financial, tax, accounting and other professional advice in respect to investing. Neither the Fund, nor KHAN INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT assumes any responsibility to supply any corrections or updates to the information contained herein.