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US_early_vote@2_october

EARLY VOTE FACTOR ANALYSIS


Among Likely Voters : Your preferred mode and time to vote / Candidate support if the elections are held today.
LV : Likely Voters 20% 14% 66% 100% Mode Early Vote By Mail : Total Early Vote In Person : Total Election Day : Total Total Obama 54% 48% 47% 49% Romney 43% 49% 46% 46%

Base: 1612 LV : Last Two Weeks of September 2012

Mode Early Vote By Mail

GENDER

Early Vote In Person

Election Day

Demography Male Female Early Vote By Mail : Total Male Female Early Vote In Person : Total Male Female Election Day : Total

Obama 53% 55% 54% 49% 47% 48% 46% 49% 47%

Romney 45% 42% 43% 49% 48% 49% 48% 44% 46%

US_early_vote@2_october

EARLY VOTE FACTOR ANALYSIS


Among Likely Voters : Your preferred mode and time to vote / Candidate support if the elections are held today.
LV : Likely Voters 20% 14% 66% 100% Mode Early Vote By Mail : Total Early Vote In Person : Total Election Day : Total Total Obama 54% 48% 47% 49% Romney 43% 49% 46% 46%

Base: 1612 LV : Last Two Weeks of September 2012

Mode Early Vote By Mail

Early Vote In Person AGE GROUP

Election Day

Demography 18 to 34 35 to 54 55 + Early Vote By Mail : Total 18 to 34 35 to 54 55 + Early Vote In Person : Total 18 to 34 35 to 54 55 + Election Day : Total

Obama 58% 59% 45% 54% 63% 48% 28% 48% 59% 47% 41% 47%

Romney 41% 39% 51% 43% 35% 50% 66% 49% 34% 47% 52% 46%

US_early_vote@2_october

EARLY VOTE FACTOR ANALYSIS


Among Likely Voters : Your preferred mode and time to vote / Candidate support if the elections are held today.
LV : Likely Voters 20% 14% 66% 100% Mode Early Vote By Mail : Total Early Vote In Person : Total Election Day : Total Total Obama 54% 48% 47% 49% Romney 43% 49% 46% 46%

Base: 1612 LV : Last Two Weeks of September 2012

Mode Early Vote By Mail

Early Vote In Person EDUCATION

Election Day

Demography Low Medium High Early Vote By Mail : Total Low Medium High Early Vote In Person : Total Low Medium High Election Day : Total

Obama 53% 53% 56% 54% 60% 43% 53% 48% 49% 46% 50% 47%

Romney 45% 44% 40% 43% 35% 54% 47% 49% 45% 46% 46% 46%

US_early_vote@2_october

EARLY VOTE FACTOR ANALYSIS


Among Likely Voters : Your preferred mode and time to vote / Candidate support if the elections are held today.
LV : Likely Voters 20% 14% 66% 100% Mode Early Vote By Mail : Total Early Vote In Person : Total Election Day : Total Total Obama 54% 48% 47% 49% Romney 43% 49% 46% 46%

Base: 1612 LV : Last Two Weeks of September 2012

Mode Early Vote By Mail

Early Vote In Person WORKING GROUP

Election Day

Demography Working Non-working Student Retired Early Vote By Mail : Total Working Non-working Student Retired Early Vote In Person : Total Working Non-working Student Retired Election Day : Total

Obama 54% 59% 61% 46% 54% 52% 56% 60% 24% 48% 48% 45% 70% 46% 47%

Romney 45% 40% 33% 48% 43% 47% 44% 28% 70% 49% 46% 47% 25% 48% 46%

US_early_vote@2_october

EARLY VOTE FACTOR ANALYSIS


Among Likely Voters : Your preferred mode and time to vote / Candidate support if the elections are held today.
LV : Likely Voters 20% 14% 66% 100% Mode Early Vote By Mail : Total Early Vote In Person : Total Election Day : Total Total Obama 54% 48% 47% 49% Romney 43% 49% 46% 46%

Base: 1612 LV : Last Two Weeks of September 2012

Mode Early Vote By Mail

Early Vote In Person INCOME GROUP

Election Day

Demography High Upper Miiddle Middle Low Early Vote By Mail : Total High Upper Miiddle Middle Low Early Vote In Person : Total High Upper Miiddle Middle Low Election Day : Total

Obama 65% 51% 53% 57% 54% 46% 22% 49% 61% 48% 47% 49% 46% 55% 47%

Romney 35% 47% 44% 37% 43% 48% 78% 47% 36% 49% 47% 47% 47% 36% 46%

US_early_vote@2_october

EARLY VOTE FACTOR ANALYSIS


Among Likely Voters : Your preferred mode and time to vote / Candidate support if the elections are held today.
LV : Likely Voters 20% 14% 66% 100% Mode Early Vote By Mail : Total Early Vote In Person : Total Election Day : Total Total Obama 54% 48% 47% 49% Romney 43% 49% 46% 46%

Base: 1612 LV : Last Two Weeks of September 2012

Mode Early Vote By Mail

Early Vote In Person RACE/ORIGIN

Election Day

Demography Black Asian White Hispanic Others Early Vote By Mail : Total Black Asian White Hispanic Others Early Vote In Person : Total Black Asian White Hispanic Others Election Day : Total

Obama 73% 73% 50% 75% 50% 54% 76% 47% 38% 65% 85% 48% 76% 63% 42% 56% 56% 47%

Romney 27% 20% 47% 25% 42% 43% 21% 53% 58% 26% 8% 49% 20% 34% 51% 33% 41% 46%

US_early_vote@2_october

EARLY VOTE FACTOR ANALYSIS


Among Likely Voters : Your preferred mode and time to vote / Candidate support if the elections are held today.
LV : Likely Voters 20% 14% 66% 100% Mode Early Vote By Mail : Total Early Vote In Person : Total Election Day : Total Total Obama 54% 48% 47% 49% Romney 43% 49% 46% 46%

Base: 1612 LV : Last Two Weeks of September 2012

Mode Early Vote By Mail

Early Vote In Person LOCATION

Election Day

Demography Urban SubUrban Rural Early Vote By Mail : Total Urban SubUrban Rural Early Vote In Person : Total Urban SubUrban Rural Election Day : Total

Obama 58% 53% 48% 54% 74% 44% 32% 48% 63% 46% 37% 47%

Romney 39% 44% 50% 43% 24% 51% 68% 49% 33% 48% 54% 46%

US_early_vote@2_october

EARLY VOTE FACTOR ANALYSIS


Among Likely Voters : Your preferred mode and time to vote / Candidate support if the elections are held today.
LV : Likely Voters 20% 14% 66% 100% Mode Early Vote By Mail : Total Early Vote In Person : Total Election Day : Total Total Obama 54% 48% 47% 49% Romney 43% 49% 46% 46%

Base: 1612 LV : Last Two Weeks of September 2012

Mode Early Vote By Mail

Early Vote In Person PARTY

Election Day

Demography Democrat Independent Republican Early Vote By Mail : Total Democrat Independent Republican Early Vote In Person : Total Democrat Independent Republican Election Day : Total

Obama 88% 62% 14% 54% 83% 43% 4% 48% 88% 43% 9% 47%

Romney 11% 34% 84% 43% 13% 55% 94% 49% 8% 44% 85% 46%

US_early_vote@2_october

EARLY VOTE FACTOR ANALYSIS


Among Likely Voters : Your preferred mode and time to vote / Candidate support if the elections are held today.
LV : Likely Voters 20% 14% 66% 100% Mode Early Vote By Mail : Total Early Vote In Person : Total Election Day : Total Total Obama 54% 48% 47% 49% Romney 43% 49% 46% 46%

Base: 1612 LV : Last Two Weeks of September 2012

Mode Early Vote By Mail

Early Vote In Person LAST VOTE

Election Day

Demography Barack Obama John McCain Did Not Vote Early Vote By Mail : Total Barack Obama John McCain Did Not Vote Early Vote In Person : Total Barack Obama John McCain Did Not Vote Election Day : Total

Obama 92% 9% 56% 54% 88% 4% 46% 48% 87% 4% 48% 47%

Romney 6% 87% 44% 43% 9% 90% 54% 49% 8% 85% 52% 46%

US_early_vote@2_october

EARLY VOTE FACTOR ANALYSIS


Among Likely Voters : Your preferred mode and time to vote / Candidate support if the elections are held today.
LV : Likely Voters 20% 14% 66% 100% Mode Early Vote By Mail : Total Early Vote In Person : Total Election Day : Total Total Obama 54% 48% 47% 49% Romney 43% 49% 46% 46%

Base: 1612 LV : Last Two Weeks of September 2012

Mode Early Vote By Mail

Early Vote In Person LEANING

Election Day

Demography Strongly Conservative Moderately Conservative Moderately Liberal Strongly Liberal None Early Vote By Mail : Total Strongly Conservative Moderately Conservative Moderately Liberal Strongly Liberal None Early Vote In Person : Total Strongly Conservative Moderately Conservative Moderately Liberal Strongly Liberal None Election Day : Total

Obama 24% 38% 84% 94% 54% 54% 8% 32% 79% 91% 59% 48% 17% 24% 79% 89% 55% 47%

Romney 75% 61% 13% 3% 39% 43% 92% 65% 19% 9% 28% 49% 81% 66% 14% 8% 38% 46%

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