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WBUR Massachusetts 2012 General Election Poll Topline Results Survey of 516 Likely Voters Field Dates: October

21-22, 2012 I'm going to read you the names of several people and groups who are active in public affairs. After I read each one please tell me if you have a generally favorable or generally unfavorable view of the person. If you have never heard of the person or if you are undecided, please just say so. READ FIRST NAME. How about READ NEXT NAME? REPEAT QUESTION TEXT ONLY IF NECESSARY, PROBE IF RESPONDENT SAYS DONT KNOW. Have you heard of READ NAME and are undecided about (him/her)? Or PAUSE have you never heard of (him/her)? Order rotated Scott Brown Elizabeth Warren Mitt Romney Barack Obama Favorable 49% 49% 38% 58% Unfavorable 38% 39% 54% 35% Heard of / Undecided 11% 10% 6% 6% Never heard of 1% 1% 1% 0% Refused 1% 1% 0% 1%

Candidate order rotated for next three questions If the November two thousand twelve election for U.S. Senate were held today, and if the candidates were for Democrat Elizabeth Warren and Republican Scott Brown, for whom would you vote? If undecided Even though you say you are undecided -- which way do you lean Democrat Elizabeth Warren or Republican Scott Brown? Initial preference (without leaners) Scott Brown 43% Elizabeth Warren 48% Some other candidate 1% Dont Know / Undecided 7% Refused 1% Vote preference with leaners Scott Brown Elizabeth Warren Some other candidate Dont Know / Undecided Refused

44% 50% 1% 4% 1%

If the November, twenty twelve election for President were held today, and the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote? Barack Obama Mitt Romney Another candidate (not read) Dont Know / Undecided Refused 18 Tremont St. Ste. 1120 Boston, MA 02108 / massincpolling.com 56% 36% 2% 6% 1%

Thinking about different approaches to reducing the federal budget deficit, I'd like to know how big a role you think each of the following should play in reducing our nations deficit. First/Next, should READ FIRST/NEXT ITEM play a major role, minor role, or no role at all in reducing the federal budget deficit? Major role 67% 68% 68% 68% 54% 62% 26% 27% 47% 43% 21% 20% 22% 23% 33% 45% Minor Role 21% 20% 23% 21% 28% 24% 38% 38% 35% 40% 38% 31% 38% 34% 36% 36% No role at all 5% 9% 5% 6% 13% 11% 29% 33% 11% 12% 36% 45% 34% 39% 25% 17% Dont Know / Refused 7% 2% 5% 5% 4% 2% 6% 2% 7% 5% 5% 3% 6% 3% 6% 2%

Order rotated Closing tax loopholes for wealthy Americans Closing tax loopholes for large businesses Increasing tax rates for wealthy Americans Increasing taxes for all Americans Reducing spending on government programs and services Reducing benefits paid through Social Security Reducing benefits paid through Medicare Reducing spending on the U.S. Military

Oct 21-22 2012 Likely Voters Nov 28-30, 2011 All adults Oct 21-22 2012 Likely Voters Nov 28-30, 2011 All adults Oct 21-22 2012 Likely Voters Nov 28-30, 2011 All adults Oct 21-22 2012 Likely Voters Nov 28-30, 2011 All adults Oct 21-22 2012 Likely Voters Nov 28-30, 2011 All adults Oct 21-22 2012 Likely Voters Nov 28-30, 2011 All adults Oct 21-22 2012 Likely Voters Nov 28-30, 2011 All adults Oct 21-22 2012 Likely Voters Nov 28-30, 2011 All adults

The MassINC Polling Group

Id like to read you some issues or characteristics that people might consider when they chose for whom to vote for U.S. Senate and ask you to compare the candidates. For each one, please tell me whether it better describes [ROTATE] Elizabeth Warren, Scott Brown, or both of them equally. Dont Know / Refused 13% 10% 18% 25% 5% 3% 8% 12% 6% 5% 9% 14% 5% 5% 9% 8% 7% NA 13% 19%

Order rotated Grew up in a middle class background Oct 21-22 2012 Sep 26-28 2012 Sep 15-17 2012 Feb 2012 Oct 21-22 2012 Sep 26-28 2012 Sep 15-17 2012 Feb 2012 Oct 21-22 2012 Sep 26-28 2012 Sep 15-17 2012 Feb 2012 Oct 21-22 2012 Sep 26-28 2012 Sep 15-17 2012 Oct 21-22 2012 Oct 21-22 2012 Sep 26-28 2012 Sep 15-17 2012 Feb 2012

Warren 21% 20% 24% 17% 41% 43% 39% 30% 46% 45% 45% 35% 51% 47% 54% 25% 30% NA 30% 23%

Brown 29% 33% 23% 28% 34% 35% 29% 33% 38% 39% 33% 36% 25% 25% 19% 33% 38% NA 32% 32%

Both equally 34% 33% 32% 27% 19% 18% 23% 21% 8% 8% 9% 11% 17% 21% 16% 18% 14% NA 9% 14%

Neither 4% 4% 3% 4% 2% 1% 2% 4% 2% 2% 3% 4% 2% 2% 1% 16% 11% NA 15% 12%

Will stand up for regular people when in the Senate

Agrees with you on key issues that matter to you

Will stand up for womens interests when in the Senate Has been honest and forthright during this campaign Knows how to get the economy moving again

The MassINC Polling Group

Demographics For statistical purposes only, can you please tell me your race? Response options collapsed for display Race White / Caucasian All others Dont Know / Refused 81% 16% 3%

Age 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60+ 14% 27% 36% 23%

Gender Male Female 48% 52%

Party Registration Democrat Republican Independent / Unenrolled 36% 12% 52%

Education High School or less Some college, no degree College graduate (BA/BS) Advanced degree Dont Know / Refused 20% 33% 28% 19% 0%

About the Poll These results are based on a survey of 516 likely voters in Massachusetts in the 2012 General Election. The poll was conducted October 21-22, 2012. Live telephone interviews were conducted via both landline and cell phone using conventional registration based sampling procedures. Likely voters were identified using a combination of previous voting behavior and screening questions. Results were weighted to reflect the demographic and geographic makeup of the likely electorate based on previous turnout figures and current trends. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.4 percent with a 95 percent level of confidence. The poll was sponsored by WBUR, a National Public Radio station in the Boston area.

The MassINC Polling Group

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