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International Republican Institute Lembaga Survei Indonesia with funding from the United States Agency for International Development
1
Methodology
This survey was designed, analyzed and fielded by Lembaga Survei Indonesia under the supervision of Fallon Research and Communications on behalf of the International Republican Institute. The provincial representative survey was carried out from January 12-February 1, 2012. A sample of 720 South Sulawesi participants were interviewed face-to-face in their homes.
Multi-stage sampling was used to select villages from South Sulawesis 24 districts to be included in the sample.
The Kish grid method was used to randomize the selection within households among eligible respondents. The households were selected using the random route method. The sample was distributed at the district level, in rural and urban areas, in 24 districts of South Sulawesi. The response rate was 76 percent. The margin of error for the survey does not exceed +/- 3.7 percent with a confidence level of 95 percent. Fifty-two interviewers worked on the study, on average completing 10 interviews per PSU. The interviews were administered using local dialects and conducted by interviewers who are native speakers. The survey questions were asked in a different order than the order in which they are presented here. Due to rounding, charts may not add up to 100 percent.
Survey Demographics
Male 50% Female 50% Urban 31% Rural 69% Marital Status Married 87% Single 9% Widow/Widower 4% Education Less than or equal to primary Junior high or equivalent Senior high or equivalent College/University Age Younger than 24 24 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55+ 7% 24% 30% 18% 21%
Monthly Household Income Up to 400,000 rupiah 38% 400,000 to 999,999 rupiah 27% 1,000,000+ rupiah 35% Religion Islam 90% Christian 9% Other 2%
District of Respondents
SAMPLE VALIDATION
Generally speaking, would you say that things in this province are headed in the right direction or the wrong direction?
80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
72
17
10
Right direction
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia
Wrong direction
No response
Don't know
9
Why do you think that things in your province are heading in the right direction? (Closed-ended)
Respondents who think things are headed in the right direction, N=516
Government governs well/Assisting people 33
26
23
11
Other
No response/Don't know
0
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia
10
20
30
40 10
Why do you think that things in your province are heading in the wrong direction?
Respondents who think things are headed in the wrong direction, N=70
The government is not governing well 25
17
Corruption
16
12
11
There is instability
Other
13
No response/Don't know 0
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia
2 5 10 15 20 25 30 11
Compared to a year ago, has your personal financial situation improved, stayed the same or worsened?
50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Improved Stayed the same Worsened No response/Don't know
12
44 35
20
Thinking about next year, do you expect the economic situation in your household is going to get better, stay the same or get worse?
No response/Don't know 13% Worse 6%
Better 46%
13
ELECTION INDEX
14
Yes 90%
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia South Sulawesi Provincial Public Opinion Survey, January 2012
15
Which one of the following statements most determines for whom you vote?
I usually don't vote the same political party or I usually don't vote forfor the same political party or political group vote depends upon various political group and myand my vote depends upon other factors various other factors 31
22
I usually vote votethe samesame candidate orlocal I usually for for the candidate or his his political group political group local
20
Other
11
No response
Don't know
14
0
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia
10
20
30
40 16
People give different reasons for why they vote for one party rather than another. Which of the following describes your reason for voting for a particular party instead of another party?
The party has the best leader The party's candidate has been working in my The party's candidate has been working in my constituency constituency The party provides assistance 17 21
21
16
Other
No response
Don't know 0
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia
10 5 10 15 20 25 17
Which of the following criteria or characteristics are the most important to you when selecting a legislative candidate to vote for ? (First priority)
Responses two percent and greater
Honesty Close to people Religious Opposed to corruption The support he/she has from the public Experience as a leader Intelligence Proposed policies Charisma No response/Don't know 0
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia
46 12 12 5 5 4 3 2 2 4 10 20 30 40 50 18
I am going to ask for your level of agreement or disagreement with the following statement. I would be more likely to vote for a political party which includes more young people in their political party.
64% Agree 24% Disagree
59
23
12
20
Strongly agree Agree
40
Disagree
60
Strongly disagree
80
No response/Don't know
100
19
I am going to ask for your level of agreement or disagreement with the following statement. I would be more likely to vote for a political party that nominates more women legislative candidates.
48% Agree 41% Disagree
45
38
12
10
Strongly agree
20
Agree
30
40
Disagree
50
60
70
80
90
100
Strongly disagree
No response/Don't know
20
If there are two candidates campaigning for the same elected office with exactly the same qualifications, but one is a man and the other is a woman, which one would you be more likely to vote for?
60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Prefer to vote for a Prefer to vote for a woman man
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia
49 39
If provincial parliamentary elections were held next week, how likely is it that you will vote?
70
61
60 50 40 30 20 10
1 2 Not vote at all 3 No response/Don't know
22
35
0
Very likely
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia
Somewhat likely
23
24
26 14 11 8 8 7 6 4 2 2 2 2 8 5 10 15 20 25 30 25
On the issue most important to you, do you feel that the provincial government is capable of solving the problem within the next two years ?
No 24%
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia South Sulawesi Provincial Public Opinion Survey, January 2012
26
If you could improve one service or policy in your area, what would it be? (Open-ended)
Only displaying responses of two percent and greater
Infrastructure (roads, electricity, bridges) Water drainage Agriculture (fertilizer, irrigation) Availabilty of clean water Environment and sanitation Employment Decrease price of basic needs Security Housing Flooding Economy No response/Don't know 0
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia
41 9 8 5 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 9 10 20 30 40 50 27
In your opinion, how prevalent is corruption within the government in your province?
17
23
15
34
20
Very prevalent Not prevalent at all
40
60
80
Not very prevalent Don't know
100
28
Are you satisfied or unsatisfied with the provincial governments efforts to fight corruption?
26% Satisfied 47% Unsatisfied
24
38
25
20
Very satisfied Very unsatisfied
40
60
80
Somewhat unsatisfied Don't know
100
29
In your opinion, what is the most corrupt institution in the province? (Open-ended)
Responses two percent and greater
Parliament/Local parliament
7
Local government
Legal institutions
Tax office
No response/Don't know 0
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia
70
20
40
60
80 30
Turning to a different topic, in the past year has any legislator or political party member contacted you about any issue of importance to you?
No response/Don't know 2% Yes 7%
No 91%
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia South Sulawesi Provincial Public Opinion Survey, January 2012
31
3
June-08
5
January-09
6
July-09
Yes
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia
No
32
In the future, should a legislator or political party member need to contact you, what is the most convenient way for you to be contacted?
Responses two percent and greater
In person/Travel to my house Through a community/Public event Telephone Through a non-governmental organization Through a political party event In person/Travel to my office Media (e.g. newspaper) SMS Letter Radio program No response/Don't know 0
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia
54 40 9 8 7 6 3 2 2 2 10 10 20 30 40 50 60 33
96
2 No No response/Don't know
34
54 40 9 8 7 6 6 3 5 10 20 30 40 50 60 35
In your opinion, are people in your province afraid to openly express their political views or not?
17
37
18
20
10
20
30
Many are afraid
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Nobody is afraid
No response/Don't know
36
What is your opinion about the trend of religious extremism in your province compared to two years ago? Has it increased, stayed more or less the same or decreased?
14
32
24
30
10 Increased
20
30
40
50
60 Decreased
70
80
90
100
No response/Don't know
37
How concerned, if at all, are you about the rise of religious extremism in your province these days?
Respondents having the opinion that the trend of religious extremism in the province has increased, N=99
27
34
27
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Very concerned
Somewhat concerned
No response/Don't know
38
INSTITUTIONAL RATINGS
39
Now I am going to read various problems, and please rate the provincial governments performance on each of the issues listed below.
Health care Improving the educational system Availability of electricity Gender/Religious/Race/Ethnicity-based discrimination Construction of public facilities schools, bridges, etc. Water quality Water availability Preserving the environment Development of roads and highways Fighting crime Housing Poverty reduction Employment Inflation control Fighting corruption 23 35 32 31 23 41 26 32 47 29 51 20 52 61 59 57 16 23 17 30 27 25 25 63 14 15 21 19 16 23 9 10 6 73 72 71 67 15 18 12 9 13 10 11 15 3 17 18 7 8 15 15 6 13 15 6 7 5 7 4
0 Good
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia
20 Poor
40
60
80
100
Fair
No response/Don't know
40
I would like to ask you about your impressions on the performance of the following institutions. How would you rate the performance of each of the following institutions: very good, good, fair, poor or very poor?
Religious leaders Governor Media Civil service employees Police Local parliament Local election commission Domestic non-governmental organizations Provincial parliament Courts Political parties International non-governmental organizations 43 42 40 37 34 29 25 18 22 47 2 19 24 10 13 54 60 58 55 25 22 3 8 6 39 31 34 29 67 17 20 22 9 81 16 3 7 13 22 31 3 11 1 13 20 15 10 8
0 Good
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia
20 Poor
40
60
80
100
Fair
No response/Don't know
41
Are you satisfied or unsatisfied with the quality of work provided by the provincial legislature?
45
27
3 2
22
20
Very satisfied Very unsatisfied
40
60
80
Somewhat unsatisfied Don't know
100
42
Are you satisfied or unsatisfied with the quality of work provided by the district head in your city/village?
62
24
11
20
Very satisfied Very unsatisfied
40
60
80
Somewhat unsatisfied Don't know
100
43
Are you satisfied or unsatisfied with the quality of work provided by the governor of your province?
64
18
11
11
20
Very satisfied Very unsatisfied
40
60
80
Somewhat unsatisfied Don't know
100
44
MEDIA INDEX
45
61 6 3 3 2 1 1
1 21 20 40 60 80 46
How do you rate the credibility of each of these information sources on a scale of one to five, where one means very unreliable and five means very credible?
Responses of three or higher only
90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
84 82 81 76 71 61 55 41 33 31
47
Once a week
Once a month
Less often
Never
76
No response/Don't know 0
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia
8 20 40 60 80 48
30 24 21 14 12 11 6 4 2 2 2 1 1 10 20 30 40 49
Internet caf
31
Home
28
27
Work
School
No response/Don't know 0
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia
4 10 20 30 40 50
International Republican Institute Lembaga Survei Indonesia with funding from the United States Agency for International Development
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