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constrains: The first one, guarantees that each item is covered at least once by supplier bids, and the
second one is the integrity constrain. The model is formulated as showed below:
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CHAPTER V
Experimental Analysis
In this chapter, we will assess the proposed supplier selection model in real life contexts. The main
goal is to compare the proposed model which minimizes the total cost (bid, operational and
environmental costs) and the traditional model which only considers the minimization of the bid
(price asked by the supplier) as decision criteria. The impact will be measured using the total cost
obtained in both scenarios as comparison metric. In order to be able to compare both the proposed
model, a set of instances is generated and the features of the problem are controlled by the number
of products, the number of suppliers, the number of bids, operational costs and environmental
costs.
5.1. Example tested
For this example, we used as input the number of suppliers [S], the number of items [I] and the
number of bids [B]. Three combinations ([S],[I],[B]) were considered: ([5],[10],[50]), ([7],[7],[40]) and
([10],[5],[50]). The demand for each item [i I] was randomly generated using numbers between
100 and 1000. Similarly, the unitary price asked by each supplier [s S] for a given product [i I] was
randomly generated with values between 50 and 100. Then the total price [b B] asked by a supplier
for a given item [i I] is computed by multiplying its unitary cost by the total amount of products
offered. Finally, for auction ([7],[7],[40]), the suppliers that bid for each product were randomly
assigned.
5.2. Operational costs
5.2.1 Capacity Score
The capacity for each supplier for each product is randomly generated between 100 and 1000.The
two steps fulfillment and the penalty/reward values are calculated using the formula
Fulfillment =1 {if (capacity /demand) >=0}
=0 {If (capacity /demand) <0}
Reward/ Penalty= (capacity/demand) {if fulfillment =0}
= ((capacity-demand)/ (demand*100)) {if fulfillment =1}
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Then fulfillment and penalty are added together to get a total capacity score, which is then ranked in
ascending order for each supplier for each product.
Then the difference between each suppliers value and minimum value is calculated for each
product for each supplier which is the relative score. Then the final capacity score is calculated by
Adding one to the result of the relative score to each cell value.
5.2.2 Leadtime Score
The lead time score for each supplier for each product is calculated by first obtaining lead time
values for each supplier for delivering each product which we created using random numbers
between 1 and 15. Based On his capacity for a particular product, supplier may need more than one
lead time to satisfy the demand of the customer. The first table values are obtained by using ceiling
function in excel to round off to nearest integer as follows:
Ceiling [Demand of product i/Capacity of the supplier s for product i)
Lead time Score values obtained from the supplier are multiplied with a number based on the
capacity of the supplier to satisfy the demand.
Lead time score = [(Demand of product i/Capacity of the supplier s for product i) rounded off to the
Next integer]*Lead time for the product i for supplier s
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Then each supplier is ranked based on the above score for each product.
The difference between the minimum score supplier and the other suppliers are calculated. The best
supplier gets a Final Lead time score 1, While others will get 1 plus the difference calculated based
on their ranks.
5.2.3 Quality Score
The Number of defective products is randomly generated between 3 and 233 i.e., between 6 sigma
and 5 sigma value, assuming that every supplier will have at least 5 sigma quality. Then the Service
level of the supplier is calculated from the suppliers present demand fulfillment ability
The service level score is obtained from difference between 100% service level and number of
defects score is obtained from difference between six sigma defect value which is 3.4 and the
supplier value.
The total score is calculated by the addition of all the three scores.
Then suppliers are ranked in each product category. The difference between the minimum score
supplier and the other suppliers are calculated. The best supplier gets a Final Lead time score (D
s,i
) 1,
While others will get 1 plus the difference calculated based on their ranks.
5.3 Environmental Cost
5.3.1 Energy Score
For Calculating the energy Score, First, The electricity consumption, Natural gas consumption, fuel oil
consumption used for all the twelve months of the previous year and the percentage of renewable
energy used are generated using random numbers using normal distribution. The means of the
distributions are chosen based on the industry average as given below.
TABLE 5.1 ENERGY USAGE STANDARDS USED IN THE EXPERIMENTAL ANALYSIS
Using the values in the above table as the means for the distributions concerned with the data for
each supplier we created the following table in which average values of energy usage is calculated.
The Averaged values are ranked from minimum to maximum. Then for each supplier in each
category, the difference between their energy usage value and the minimum energy usage value is
calculated.
1 Average Warehouse Space 17,400 square feet
2 AverageElectricity Usage IN US warehouses 7.6 Kwh/sqft/yr
3 Average Natural Gas Usage 20,900 Btu/sqft/yr
4 Average Fuel Oil usage in one warhouse 19.2 kbtu/sqft/yr
5 Average Electricity Usage in one warehouse 132240 Kwh/yr
6 Average Natural Gas Usage in One Warehouse 363.66 M Btu/yr
7 Average Fuel Oil usage in one warehouse 334080 kbtu/yr
8 Average Electricity Usage in one warehouse 11020 Kwh/month
9 Average Natural Gas Usage in One Warehouse 30.305 M Btu/Month
10 Average Fuel Oil usage in one warehouse 27840 Kbtu/month
201.7391304 gallons/month
Then the Total Energy score will be one for the minimum value supplier and for other suppliers the
final score will be one plus the difference between their value and the minimum value.
5.3.2 Wastage Score
For calculating wastage score, first, based on the Texas government regulations (any state
regulations in which the supplier operates can be used, we have used Texas government rules for
the ease of use) for hazardous waste materials, Each suppliers hazardous waste material emission is
obtained and the difference between the government norms and the supplier emission is calculated
for each material.
The cumulative sum of all the differences for each supplier is calculated. Then the values for
percentage of hazardous waste in all waste emitted, percentage of waste recovered, Percentage of
Waste Recycled are calculated for each supplier by randomly generating numbers based on industry
Average.
Availability of Waste management system is also checked for each supplier. Then suppliers are
ranked in ascending order based on these values separately .Relative scores of these values are
obtained by finding the difference between each value and the minimum value in each category.
Then the final score for each supplier will be sum of the score of all the categories plus one.
Total Wastage
score
Supplier 1 1.540
Supplier 2 1.117
Supplier 3 1.143
Supplier 4 1.336
Supplier 5 1.167
5.3.3 Packaging and Sourcing Score
The development of the Packaging and Sourcing score is based on the distance the material has to
travel to the supplier. The more the distance the higher the penalty and vice-versa. As sample
example from the tables is:
Packaging
Material Distance of Source Penalty Material Distance of Source Penalty Material Distance of Source Penalty
1 871 3 1 157 2 1 1562 3
2 2604 5 2 452 2 2 566 3
3 810 3 3 142 2 3 2928 5
1 1200 3 1 142 2 1 3961 5
2 397 2 2 385 2 2 1663 3
3 1608 3 3 940 3 3 336 2
1 849 3 1 644 3 1 2512 5
2 2026 5 2 728 3 2 4692 5
3 173 2 3 875 3 3 123 2
1 2663 5 1 511 3 1 3981 5
2 510 3 2 741 3 2 3461 5
3 355 2 3 316 2 3 2116 5
1 519 3 1 486 2 1 3701 5
2 2039 5 2 940 3 2 901 3
3 1911 3 3 642 3 3 396 2
Supplier 1
Supplier 2
Supplier 3
Supplier 4
Supplier 5
Product 1 Product 2 Product 3
Thus from the tables above, it can be seen that Supplier 3 is the best as they have the lowest Penalty
Score.
5.4 Impact of the operational and environmental costs
In order to measure the impact of considering operational and environmental costs, we compare
two scenarios. In the first case (scenario 1), suppliers are selected taking in account the bid,
operational and environmental costs, whereas in the second case (scenario 2), suppliers are selected
base only on the asked price. In scenario 1, the total potential cost incurred by the buyer is given by
the model presented in chapter 4:
In this case, the optimal set of suppliers is selected taking in account the total cost which considers:
asked price, operational cost and environmental cost. In this part, the total cost can be separated in
two parts: the asked price that the buyer will pay for sure and the operational and environmental
costs that will be paid likely during the operation.
In scenario 2, we solved a modified version of the auction model defined in chapter 4:
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Solving this model, we found the optimal solution by minimizing only the bid (asked price), which
represents the cost that the buyer has to paid anyways. Then, given this solution, we determine the
additional costs associated to operational costs and environmental costs which are likely to be paid
during the operation time. The operational costs are: ( )
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Penalty Total Relative Score = R Score
Supplier 1 28 0.03571 1.03571
Supplier 2 25 0.04000 1.04000
Supplier 3 31 0.03226 1.03226
Supplier 4 33 0.03030 1.03030
Supplier 5 29 0.03448 1.03448
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Table xx summarized the results obtained for each scenario after running the models for each
combination. For each scenario, we present the detail of total price asked by the suppliers (bid),
total operational cost, total environmental cost and finally, total cost for each combination.
TABLE 5.2: MODEL RESULT FOR THREE SCENARIOS
For scenario 1, the bid represents on average a 55% of the total costs that could be incurred by the
buyers, whereas the operational and environmental costs represent on average a 45% of the total
costs. Similarly for scenario 2, the bid represents on average a 50% of the total costs that could be
incurred by the buyers, whereas the operational and environmental costs represent on average a
50% of the total costs. Therefore, as expected, scenario 1 increases the total bid costs paid by the
buyer versus decreases the operational and environmental costs, nevertheless, the buyer is paying a
higher bid cost, the total cost is lower when the operational and environmental costs are taken in
account.
These results shows that is very important not only to consider the supplier asked price, because
there are other costs that sometimes are hidden which can affect dramatically the final total cost
that the buyer has to paid. A holistic analysis that considers different potential costs is important to
be conducted, since as we showed in this study, important savings can be obtained due costs that
are hidden, but are very likely to appear during supply process.
Scenario 1
s/I/B Bid Operational Environmental Total cost
10/50/5 352,246 216,477 186,328 755,051
7/40/7 251,541 73,499 63,269 388,309
5/50/10 125,462 29,952 32,175 187,589
Scenario 2
s/I/B Bid Operational Environmental Total cost
10/50/5 324,166 220,101 218,646 762,913
7/40/7 250,202 78,857 68,181 397,239
5/50/10 121,697 48,975 48,470 219,142
CHAPTER VI
Discussion, Conclusions and Future work
Each time more and more companies are concerned to be economic and environmental sustainable,
then important factors as quality, lead time, pollution yield, certification, etc. have to be considered
at the time to evaluate the supply chain as a whole. Additionally, many markets ask for very high
standards in terms of quality, operational and environmental certifications, where if a company is
not able to ensure those standards through its supply chain, the chances to get a percentage of
participation is almost null.
Off late sustainability has become a key point in the development and progress of companies around
the globe. The three pillars which are Economic Sustainability, Social Sustainability and
Environmental Sustainability have to be given equal importance. We proposed a model to select
suppliers considering not only the bid (asked price) that the supplier offers, but other criteria as
operational and environmental attributes which ensure, in certain way, the sustainability of the
company through the procurement segment of its supply chain. The model provides a basic tool to
evaluate a pool of suppliers and ensure to select the best combination in terms of bid, operational
and environmental costs, by minimizing the total cost that the buyer could pay. As we showed in this
study, an average saving of 6% was obtained by minimizing the total cost which considers
operational and environmental criteria.
This models aims to be a tool that helps buyer to reduce uncertainty by considering more factors
than only the asked price. Having the possibility to incorporate other factors that are present or may
potentially appear, the buyer has the choice to decide if paying more it is worthwhile as a return for
getting better operational and environmental conditions.
With respect to eliminating process, country contribution to environment where each suppliers are
from have to be considered to evaluate them to put on the list of elimination as different country
has different burden that they have to observe. Since there are more and more international
companies emerged, a specific burden to keep the environmental regulations on each country could
be applied to the factories where it is based on and applicable to the related countries. Because the
degree of weight factor to each country and each area is controversial, more aspects have to be
considered to this elimination process.
As future work, this model can be modified and more factors can be added in order to run different
scenarios. One improvement could be to incorporate different values from different environmental
acts customizing the tool for suppliers of different countries. On the other hand, even though the
model was tested with random data generated as we explained previously, it would be worth to test
this model with a more accurate companys historical data in order to show the real potential of our
model as a decision tool.
CHAPTER VII
References
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[8] International regulatory policies
8.1 http://www.oecd.org
8.2 http://unfccc.int/kyoto_protocol/items/2830.php
8.3 http://www.vienna.convention.at/
8.4 http://www.basel.int/
8.5 http://www.chem.unep.ch/pops/
8.6 http://ec.europa.eu/enterprise/policies/sustainable-business/ecodesign/index_en.htm
8.7 http://ec.europa.eu/enterprise/sectors/chemicals/reach/index_en.htm
8.8 http://ec.europa.eu/environment/waste/weee/index_en.htm
8.9 http://www.rohsguide.com/
8.10 http://ec.europa.eu/environment/waste/elv_index.htm
8.11 http://ec.europa.eu/environment/air/transport/road.htm
[9] USA CO2 emissions may drop to 1990 levels this year, Posted on July 2, 2012 by Anthony Watts
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/07/02/us-co2-emissions-may-drop-to-1990-levels-this-year/
[10] Kyoto Protocol reference manual Climate Change Secretariat (UNFCCC) & KYOTO PROTOCOL TO
THE UNITED NATIONS FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE UNITED NATIONS 1998
[11] U.S. Energy Information Administration / Monthly Energy Review October 2012
[12] INDIANA ARTICLE 9, CARBON MONOXIDE EMISSION RULES; ARTICLE 10, NITROGEN OXIDES
RULES; ARTICLE 11, EMISSION LIMITATIONS FOR SPECIFIC TYPES OF OPERATIONS