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As consumers spend more time online and businesses devote a greater proportion of their budgets to attain a presence on the Internet, the web is increasingly taking market share away from more established offline business and consumer platforms. This Q&A examines how segments such as online advertising and retailing, VoiP, IPTV and social media are growing in significance and displacing traditional mediums. Why is an online presence gaining greater significance among businesses? Why are retailers increasingly looking to the online consumer market? What is the impact of the web on the advertising sector? How are IPTV and VoIP challenging fixed and mobile telephony as well as traditional pay-TV segments? How is social media changing the way consumers and businesses interact?
Chart 1 million
Source: Note:
Euromonitor International from International Telecommunications Union/OECD/UN/national statistics Data for 2012-2020 is forecast; population statistics at mid-year estimates
In a global climate of economic recessions, downturns and debt, cost savings and operational efficiency are playing a greater role for businesses. Apart from the initial IT investment, an online presence, whether for transactions or information, presents significant savings on running costs, rent, labour and time; In emerging economies, the Internet is a growing replacement for the lack of infrastructure, especially for educational, state and financial institutions. For low-income households, which continue to make up a large ratio of the population in economies such as India and South Africa, the Internet offers on-demand access where physical services are inadequate; In developed nations, where infrastructure is sufficient, mobility for increasingly ageing populations is a growing concern. Businesses can therefore meet demand from the elderly for services such as food home
delivery, pension information or even dating services without expecting this demographic to leave the home. The old-age dependency ratio (which measures the percentage of persons older than 65 per persons aged 15-64) in the developed world stood at 24.4% in 2011; However, factors such as low IT literacy, poor accessibility in rural areas, low speeds and high tariffs remain barriers to wider Internet uptake. Businesses also have to contend with cultural differences and security concerns, with many consumers preferring to conduct business activities face to face and with cash. In SubSaharan Africa, for example, the adult literacy rate stood at only 64.2% in 2011.
Chart 2
US$ million
Source: Note:
Euromonitor International from World Association of Newspapers/trade sources/national statistics Retail value RSP excluding sales tax
The efficiencies of Internet-only retailing, which demands only IT, delivery and storage costs, have allowed marketplaces such as Amazon and eBay to become global brands, while allowing consumers themselves to become self-operating businesses, otherwise known as sellsumers. At end-2011, eBay claimed 100 million active users worldwide while by Q2 2011 Amazon recorded 144 million active users, according to the company; Nonetheless, Internet retailing has largely took off in markets that have strong telecom infrastructure, available online payment systems and reliable postage services, with the segment still underdeveloped in regions such as Africa and Latin America. Countries that hold underdeveloped consumer markets remain dependent on in-store retailers.
How are IPTV and VoIP challenging fixed and mobile telephony as well as traditional pay-TV segments?
Internet protocol technologies are increasingly encroaching on the dominance of subscription services such as mobile phones and satellite TV, offering cheaper rates, more personalised services and a complete whole-in-one package accessible via one device:
One of the primary strengths of the Internet is that it transforms a web-enabled device into a multi-platform multimedia centre, a process that has been aided by increasingly faster broadband speeds (whether through 4G or fibre optics) and rising penetration of web-enabled equipment. This has allowed Internet protocol services to compete with almost every other telecom segment; VoIP services, via providers such as Skype, offer consumers an alternative to mobile or fixed telephony, with the latter especially impacted by the technology due to its immobility, making landline telephones increasingly redundant. In Western Europe, for example, telephone lines in use declined by 6.5% over 2006-2011; VoIP services have been blocked across a number of countries, especially across the Gulf, in order to protect domestic operators' revenues. VoIP providers in the EU have also complained that mobile operators often block them. Mobile telecom revenues as a share of total telecom revenues in the UK declined from 24.4% in 2006 to 22.2% in 2011, in part attributed to rising VoIP usage via smartphones; Similarly, the IPTV sector, essentially TV online, is placing pressure on the traditional pay-TV markets of satellite and cable. Often cheaper, without extra equipment costs and installations, IPTV's ease of use is proving luring to consumers, despite its requirement of a relatively fast Internet connection. In North America, household possession of cable TV has seen a decline from 61.7% in 2006 to 58.5% by 2011.
How is social media changing the way consumers and businesses interact?
Social networking is one of the most rapidly expanding online segments, with its core strengths being its adaptability to environments, technologies and business practices. Building a brand on social media has become a core strategy for most businesses, with consumers able to interact with companies, something not available via more traditional mediums such as print or TV: Social media usage, a phenomenon of the Internet age, allows businesses to target their marketing techniques at specific consumer groups, based on their profiles, likes and dislikes. One of social media's most appealing aspects for marketers is its frequent use, with users visiting their profiles regularly and often for several hours daily. Reach is also a growing factor, with Facebook announcing 1.0 billion global users in October 2012; News providers, whether on the TV, print or radio, are being increasingly squeezed by social media's fast response times, with the latest news often made available either through rumours or personal accounts on social networks. Major companies globally, such as American Airlines for example, have taken to announcing updates on micro-blogging platform Twitter; Consumers are also increasingly benefitting from their ability to interact with businesses through social media, somewhat minimising the significance of call centres and increasing accountability levels. Online techniques such as crowdsourcing also allow businesses to discover trends, plan strategies and receive feedback, reducing the dependence on traditional mediums such as surveys and consultancies; However, while the development of brands on social media is a progressive strategy, the social networking platform is also primarily an ageist one, dominated by the 16 to 35 demographic and largely excluding more elderly brackets. This is likely to change though, as Internet-age baby boomers mature and telecom penetration levels rise. Global possession of a broadband Internet enabled computer is expected to reach almost one-half of all households by 2020. For further information, please contact Pavel Marceux, Technology, Communications and Media Analyst at Pavel.Marceux@research.euromonitor.com