Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
PREPARED BY Mr. LEE Howon Chairperson World Bank-RomeMUN 2013 and Mr. SPROCCATI Giacomo Director World Bank-RomeMUN 2013
ROME MODEL UNITED NATIONS- 2013 EDITION PRESENTATION CHAIRPERSON AND DIRECTOR-WORLD BANK-ROMEMUN 2013
Ladies and gentlemen, My name is Howon Lee from Palo Alto, California! Im currently doing my studies in a triple degree program with Sciences Po Paris, Columbia University and the Universit Pierre et Marie Curie, majoring in economics, law, and biochemistry, and later hope to enter intellectual property law. As for MUN, my career began at the beginning of high school and since I have attended nearly 20 conferences from Berkeley to Brussels. This year, I look forward to being your chair in the World Bank at RomeMUN 2013 and to a great week of debate on MDG 8! All the best for the upcoming RomeMUN 2013 Conference!
My name is Giacomo Sproccati and Im a student at the University of Milan since September 2012. I have taken part in the first Model United Nations conference in 2009 at Bocconi University and I remained so enthusiastic about it that I had continued it for 4 remaining years at high school. After MilanMUN I have participated in many other conferences such as GeMUN, RRSMUN, PAMUN and others. I started as a delegate and I experienced different committees, but in February 2011 in Genoa I was a deputy chair for the first time. My last year has definitely been the most successful one: I was President of the DevCom at GeMUN and Secretary General in MilanMUN 2012. In 2010 I was given the fantastic opportunity to take part in the MUN conference for university students in Milan as the Conference Manager Assistant although I was attending the third year of high-school. It has been really an interesting experience, it gave me the chance to come closer to a different reality. Another very different experience happened to me a month ago when I took a group of students to an MUN conference in Chennai, India, as
VERY IMPORTANT: PLEASE REMIND THAT EACH COUNTRY HAS TO PRESENT A COPY OF THE POSITION PAPER ABOUT THE TWO AGENDA TOPICS OF THIS COMMITTEE BY MARCH 1ST , EMAILING IT AS ATTACHMENT IN WORD FORMAT TO position_paper@romemun.org ALL THE INDICATIONS ABOUT HOW TO PREPARE A POSITION PAPER IS NOT IN THIS GUIDE BUT IN THE DELEGATE GUIDE (AVAILABLE ON ROMEMUN FORUM)
COUNTRIES REPRESENTED AT THE WORLD BANK IN ROMEMUN 2013 EDITION Afghanistan Argentina Armenia Australia Azerbaijan Bangladesh Belgium Bolivia Brazil Canada China France Georgia Guatemala India Indonesia Iran Iraq Israel Italy Japan Kenya Latvia Lebanon Libya Luxembourg Malaysia Mauritania Mexico Mongolia Morocco Nepal Netherlands New Zealand
Nigeria Norway Pakistan Peru Philippines Poland Portugal Qatar Romania Russian Federation Rwanda Saudi Arabia Senegal Serbia Sierra Leone Singapore South Africa Spain Sri Lanka Sudan Sweden Syria The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia Togo Turkey Ukraine United Arab Emirates United Kingdom United States Uzbekistan Zimbabwe
COUNCIL INFORMATION The World Bank (WB) was founded at the Bretton Woods Conference in 1944 with the goal of helping countries rebuild after World War II. Its first loan was one of $250 million to France, after a stringent application process, which also required France to remove all communist elements from its government. However, the subsequent Marshall Plan forced the World Bank to loosen its requirements for lending and also expand its territorial focus. The World Bank today now has a completely different face and it has transferred its focus from reconstruction to poverty reduction as the overarching goal. It is now part of the World Bank Group (WBG), which encompasses the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD), the International Development Association (IDA), the International Finance Corporation (IFC), the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA), and the International Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID). The World Bank should not be confused with the WBG as the World Bank itself only comprises the IBRD and the IDA. The World Banks headquarters are located in Washington, D.C., although it has personnel working all over the world and its current president is Jim Yong Kim, former President of Dartmouth College. As the World Bank, we will be looking at how to tackle both Millennium Development Goals (MDG) 8A and 8D. Although we will be following RomeMUNs rules of procedure, the World Bank has mandates different from UN organs. Its main means of action is through loans and grants via the IBRD (more focused on middle-income developing countries) and the IDA (focused on the worlds poorest developing countries), but it can also call for assistance and aid to any of the other three WBG institutions and advise global economic policy. It will be up to delegates, what will be the necessary measures to solve the crisis at hand.
MDG INTRODUCTION
In 2000, at the UN headquarters in New York, took place the Millennium Summit, a meeting that saw 189 nations present. The conclusion of this reunion was an agreement: make the world a better and more equal place for each inhabitant, especially for the less privileged. In order to formalize this decision, the assembly created the United Nations Millennium Declaration, a document composed by 8 different achievements, defined as Millennium Development Goals, to be carried out by the year 2015. Moreover, its important to underline that each goal is divided into targets, they can vary from one to four but their aim is always the same: increase the effectiveness. The MDGs are the symbol of the willingness of many nations step forward significantly and its fundamental to bear in mind that this initiative will come true just if everyone put as much commitment as they can in it. Lets analyze briefly each goal:
1. Eradicating extreme poverty and hunger: this doesnt only mean improving food safety and food security but also incrementing jobs in the poorest countries. 2. Achieving universal primary education: make sure that every child of both genders is able to complete the primary school. 3. Promote gender equality and empower women: starting from the school, at the beginning at the lower levels (primary and middle) and then at the higher, eliminating gender dissimilarity. In addition making sure that the presence of women increases under every aspect of our life. 4. Reduce child mortality rates: deflate the number of under-five death children and fighting against illnesses such as measles.
DEVELOP FURTHER AN OPEN, RULE-BASED, PREDICTABLE, NON-DISCRIMINATORY TRADING AND FINANCIAL SYSTEM
During this committee session, the World Bank will tackle Millennium Development Goal (MDG) 8, which seeks to develop a global partnership for development. The first topic will cover MDG 8A, which, more precisely, seeks to develop further an open, rule-based, predictable, nondiscriminatory trading and financial system, where developing countries gain greater access to the markets of developed countries and least developed countries benefit most from tariff reductions, especially on their agricultural products.1 The World Bank, which has long been a proponent of an open market, must now look to see how it can further help the current situation. The World Bank has notably identified five factors to strengthen a global partnership: promoting debt relief, developing IT infrastructure, expanding trade agreements, improving access to affordable drugs, and increasing poverty-reducing expenditures.2 Of course, not all are pertinent to MDG 8A and delegates must decide those that are necessary to fulfill MDG 8A. It is important to remember that the World Bank does not function in the same manner as UN organs. Thanks to the World Banks collaboration with multilateral and local partners, actors often look towards to the World Bank to quicken progress towards the realization of MDG 8. Delegates will have to be able to balance the traditional World Bank poverty reduction strategies (country-specific focus) and the international policy necessary within the context of RomeMUN 2013.
"A Global Partnership for Development." Millennium Development Goals. United Nations Development Programme. http://www.undp.org/content/undp/en/home/mdgoverview/mdg_goals/mdg8/. 2 "Develop a Global Partnership for Development by 2015." The World Bank. The World Bank Group. http://www.worldbank.org/mdgs/global_partnership.html.
Development economics is a relatively new field of economics, finding its roots during the industrialization of Eastern Europe after World War II. Early theories based their analyses on Europe and the United States, which led to the failure of certain early theories, such as the linear-stages-of-growth model, which placed too much importance on capital accumulation as a factor of development. As a result the application of theories such as Rostows stages of economic growth (1960) and the Harrod-Domar Growth model (1947) often failed to materialize in less economically developed countries (LDCs). Furthermore, the Lewis model, which sought to describe the structural change from a traditional subsistence agricultural economy to a more modern industrial economy. However, this often neglected the agricultural sector, which, if applied today, would have devastating effects worldwide, and is notably important when looking at agricultural imports. Nonetheless, development economics soon expanded to include Africa, Asia, and Latin America, the regions of the world that require our focus, and have updated to take into account the factors of todays globalized world.3 The subsequent international dependency (1970s) and neoclassical theories (1980s) took into account some of the specificities of globalization, but failed to deliver an empirical substantiation of development economics. Even the current New Growth Model and the Big Push (or Rosenstein-Rodan) Model fail to curry wide scale approval. The only consensus that seems to appear is that there is no universally accepted or applicable paradigm, meaning that further analysis is required as we move forward in our debate. It is therefore essential to identify the strengths and weaknesses of any proposals put forward by the World Bank and to
Poncet, Sandra. "Classic Theories of Economic Development." Lecture. Development Economics. Sciences Po, Paris. http://ces.univ-paris1.fr/membre/Poncet/SciencesPo/Lecture%202%20seminar.pdf.
10
The first target of MDG 8A is to help developing countries gain greater access to the markets of developed countries. Huge progress has been made in the past two decades, notably in Southeast Asia, where countries have been able to create a strong export economy, but many parts of Africa fail to be able to profit from the advantages of a globalized economy. However, it is important to note that this not mean in any way that LDCs are detached from the boom and bust cycles of developed nations, and during the financial crisis of 2007-2008, suffered greater consequences than developed nations (view graph below). For example, growth in Kenya dropped from 7% in 2007 to 3-4% in 2009.5
5 (Graph p. 2)
Poncet, Sandra. "Contemporary Theories of Economic Development." Development Economics. Sciences Po, Paris. http://ces.univ-paris1.fr/membre/Poncet/SciencesPo/Lecture%203%20seminar.pdf. 5 Willem Te Velde, Dirk. "The Global Financial Crisis and Developing Countries: Taking Stock, Taking Action." Overseas Development Institute (September, 2009). http://www.odi.org.uk/sites/odi.org.uk/files/odiassets/publications-opinion-files/3705.pdf.
11
Fergusson, Ian F. World Trade Organization Negotiations the Doha Development Agenda. US Congress, Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service (Order Code RL32060), Library of Congress, 2012. http://www.nationalaglawcenter.org/assets/crs/RL32060.pdf. 7 For more information on MFN, see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Most_favored_nation.
12
8 (Graph p. 62)
This clear upward trend has created a truly preferential regime for developing and LDCs.8 The World Trade Organization (WTO), which encompasses over 95% of all trade, requires under article I:1 of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT)9 that WTO members grant MFN treatment immediately and unconditionally to the like products of other members with respect to custom duties and import charges, internal taxes and regulations, and other traderelated matters. However, regional preference schemes such as the Caribbean Basin Economic Recovery Act (CBERA)10, the Andean Trade Preference Act (ATPA) and the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA)11, and the 1999 Preferential Tariff Treatment for LDCs waive or modify GATT Article I:1, which greatly benefit LDCs.12 However, non-LDC developing countries often
The Millennium Development Goals Report 2012. United Nations Publications, 2012. http://www.undp.org/content/dam/undp/library/MDG/english/The_MDG_Report_2012.pdf . 9 For more information on GATT, see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General_Agreement_on_Tariffs_and_Trade. Full text can be found at http://www.wto.org/english/docs_e/legal_e/gatt47_01_e.htm (GATT 1947) and http://www.wto.org/english/docs_e/legal_e/06-gatt_e.htm (GATT 1994, must be read with GATT 1947). 10 Permanent in the USA until 2020 (Grimmett, p. 7) 11 Authorized in the USA until 2015 (Grimmett, p. 7) 12 Grimmett, Jeanne, J. Trade Preferences for Developing Countries and the WTO. US Congress. Washington, D.C.: Congressional Research Service (RS22183), Library of Congress, 2007. http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/RS22183.pdf.
13
Reductions of agricultural tariffs remain one of the most important goals for developing countries and it has been evident throughout the Doha Round. Although a generalized preference plan is preferred, developing countries often lack the infrastructure to take advantage of a tariff reduction in automobile exports for example, whereas all countries have at least some sort of agricultural industry. However, agricultural tariffs often do not come in the form of a duty, but rather subsidies, making them much more difficult to resolve, to the point that agriculture has become the linchpin of the DDA. Some African countries are even calling for an end to cotton subsidies in the USA and EU, claiming that these subsidies are destroying the market for smaller African producers. However, these subsidies are invaluable in their role in keeping down food prices. A $1 rise in food prices puts 160 million more people in hunger, whereas a similar drop in food prices has devastating effects on producers. As with market access, the situation has improved over the past two decades (see graph below), but tariffs still exist. The blockade in the DDA today demonstrates a certain unwillingness to enter a completely liberalized agricultural market (mainly due to powerful pressure from farmers at home).14 Nonetheless, there is a general agreement that agricultural subsidies must be eliminated, seen by the pledge by WTO members to eliminate export subsidies and export measures with equivalent effect by 2013 during the December 2005 Hong Kong Ministerial. A three band methodology was undertaken, where the EU occupied the highest band, the USA
Graph explained in greater detail in source 8, p. 62. More information on Preference Programs through the USTR can be found at http://www.ustr.gov/trade-topics/trade-development/preference-programs. 14 The approximate position of each caucus bloc can be found in CRS RL33144 (WTO Doha Round: The Agricultural Negotiations by Charles E. Hanrahan and Randy Schnepf) pages 13-21 at http://www.nationalaglawcenter.org/assets/crs/RL33144.pdf.
13
14
8 (Graph p. 63)
However, despite what critics say, the lowering or elimination of agricultural tariffs is not a charity performed unto developing nations. Multiple studies forecast an increase of global welfare if the DDA were to be successful in reducing budget cuts. A study by the University of Michigan even predicts an increase of $574 billion if all trade barriers in agriculture, services,
Developed country tariffs would be cut in a tiered formula in equal increments over five years: a 70% reduction for tariffs currently above 75%, a 64% cut for tariffs currently between 50% and75%, a 57% cut for tariffs currently between 20% and 50% and a 50% cut for tariffs between 0 and 20%. In addition, the draft stipulates a minimum tariff cutof 54% for developed countries, after application of the formula and other exceptions. Developing countries would be able to cut two-thirds of the amount of cuts agreed by developed countries from bands with higher thresholds in equal installments over 10 years. (Fergusson. World Trade Organization Negotiations: The Doha Development Agenda, p. 12-13) 16 Fergusson, Ian F. World Trade Organization Negotiations the Doha Development Agenda. US Congress, Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service (Order Code RL32060), Library of Congress, 2012. http://www.nationalaglawcenter.org/assets/crs/RL32060.pdf.
15
15
Unfortunately, MDG 8.A presents a difficult area for the World Bank to have a direct impact on, but this does not mean that it must take a back seat in the issue. The World Banks extensive network of analysts must be able to identify, which countries would benefit most from an expansion of preferential treatment or further agricultural tariff reduction. Delegates will have to negotiate and form blocs to ensure that their countrys position is heard as delegates lobby for World Bank funds and advantageous policy advising. Convincing proposals can promise loans for infrastructure necessary to compete in a global market. Furthermore, when a country opens its markets, increased imports often cause economic dislocations (much to the ire of many developed countries) at the local or regional level, resulting in loss of jobs. The countries or regions that experience these sort of losses do not
Brown, Drusilla K., Deardorff, Alan V. and Robert M. Stern. Computational Analysis of Multilateral TradeLiberalization in the Uruguay Round and Doha Development Round. Discussion Paper No. 489. School of PublicPolicy. The University of Michigan. December 8, 2002. 18 Thomas W. Hertel and Roman Keeney, What is at Stake: The Relative Importance of Import Barriers, Export Subsidies and Domestic Support, in Anderson and Martin, eds., Agricultural Trade Reform in the Doha Agenda (Washington: World Bank, 2005); and Kym Anderson, Will Martin, and Dominique van der Mensbrugge, Doha Merchandise Trade Reform: Whats At Stake for Developing Countries, July 2005, available at http://www.worldbank.org/trade/wto. The different outcomes in these studies are due substantially to differing assumptions concerning liberalization resulting from the Doha Round as well as from differences in the econometric models themselves. For example, the World Bank studies do not attempt to quantify services liberalization.
17
16
19
Fergusson, Ian F. World Trade Organization Negotiations the Doha Development Agenda. US Congress, Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service (Order Code RL32060), Library of Congress, 2012. http://www.nationalaglawcenter.org/assets/crs/RL32060.pdf. 20 The Millennium Development Goals Report 2012. United Nations Publications, 2012. http://www.undp.org/content/dam/undp/library/MDG/english/The_MDG_Report_2012.pdf .
17
This year the committee of the World Bank (WB) is called to face the issue of the debt in the developing countries at RomeMUN. This topic is not just a current but it is really relevant for the future of the economy on our planet. The issue is pretty vast but it can be developed starting from few points of interests. The first that we have chosen is the debt. The government of every nation has to incur expenses, in some states they are higher whereas in others are lower. In order to cover these costs, the government gets revenue from citizen through taxes that can be direct, such as the ones paid on wages and enterprises, or indirect, such as the value-added tax (VAT). When the income coming from taxes is not enough to cover the whole public expenditure a nations has a deficit to face, which is the situation in which the entries of the government are lower than the outflows. Therefore, in this case, a nation has to face further cost and in order to get the money he needs to do so the government issues state securities, such as BOT for Italy or BUND for Germany, on which it has to pay interests. These latter contributes to enlarge the expenditures for the government. The state securities create the public debt of a nation. Therefore, the government is in a situation in which it needs current assets and the best way to do so is to get them from sectors in which it is directly involved such as increase taxes on wages, on the VAT and decrease the funds for public services, which can be school, health or retirements for example. It is important to underline the fact that the western countries are the subject more afflicted by the problem of the public debt, as it is possible to notice from the graphic below.
18
The history of the past few years has taught that the public debt can be a very dangerous element and it could be the first cause of a very difficult situation for a country. In Europe the examples are many, Greece and Italy just to quote few, but the common denominator is that for different reason the public debt was not given the attention needed and as a consequence the measures carried out by the governments turned out to be unsuccessful. This situation caused very bad aftereffects on citizens first of all. Another relevant element for the topic regards the developing countries. Nowadays the countries who are considered to be developing ones are the so called BRICS, an acronym that stands for 5 different nations, such as Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa.
19
20
The United Nations deals with this issues many times in different summits and by different UN agencies and committees, the following is the list of some of the most important meetings and resolutions approved about the MGD8, target D: Resolutions 58/203 of 23 December 200321, 59/223 of 22 December 200422, 60/187 of 22 December 200523, 61/188 of 20 December 200624, 62/186 of 19 December 200725, 63/206 of 19 December 200826, 64/191 of 21 December 200927, 65/144 of 20 December 201028, 66/189 of 22 December 201129, United Nations Millennium Declaration, adopted on 8 September 2000, Resolution 57/270 B of 23 June 2003,
21 22
21
30 31
22
23
24
25
developing countries to pursue the objectives outlined under the Millennium Development Goals and other internationally agreed development goals, recognizing that official development assistance can also help countries to weather the negative effects of the global financial and economic crisis on trade, investment, debt servicing, remittances exchange rate volatility and capital flows; 19. Notes with concern that some low- and middle-income developing countries that have not been eligible to benefit from existing debt relief initiatives may have large debt burdens that may create constraints on mobilizing the resources needed to achieve the internationally agreed development goals, including the Millennium Development Goals, indicating the need to design debt relief initiatives for those countries, and encourages the consideration of medium- and long-term sustainability as well as new approaches to deal with bilateral and private non-Paris Club debt; A/6
26
cancellation of the multilateral and bilateral debt owed by least developed countries to creditors, both public and private; 22. Welcomes the efforts of and calls upon the international community to continue to provide flexibility, and stresses the need to sustain those efforts in helping post-conflict developing countries, especially those that are heavily indebted and poor, to achieve initial reconstruction for economic and social development; 23. Also welcomes the efforts of and invites creditors to provide flexibility to developing countries affected by natural disasters so as to allow them to address their debt concerns, while taking into account their specific situations and needs; 24. Calls for the consideration of additional measures and initiatives aimed at ensuring longterm debt sustainability through increased grant-based and other forms of concessional financing, the cancellation of 100 per cent of the eligible official multilateral and bilateral debt of heavily indebted poor countries and, where appropriate and on a case-by-case basis, significant debt relief or restructuring for developing countries with an unsustainable debt burden that are not part of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries Initiative; 25. Invites donor countries, taking into account country-specific debt sustainability
analyses, to continue their efforts to increase bilateral grants to developing countries, which could contribute to debt sustainability in the medium to long term, and recognizes
27
28
29
30
We now have a look to what measures the World bank is putting in action forward the achievement of the MDG 8, target D. In 1996, the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund launched the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative so that countries encumbered by debt could get back on their feet. In 2006, the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI) was launched to provide additional resources to HIPCs to meet the MDGs. By June 2010, $76.4 billion in HIPC debt relief had been committed to 36 countries, of which 30 countries have received an additional $45.8 billion under the MDRI. MDG 8 also addresses the digital divide. Studies show that a 10% increase in high-speed Internet connections result in economic growth of 1.3% in developing countries, yet many people live in rural areas without access or are too poor to afford it. The World Bank is the largest international funder of information and communication technology development, currently supporting projects in 95 countries.40
39 40
31
A multilateral debt relief initiative has been discussed among the WB member states and the G8 countries, in fact at the July 2005 g8 summit in Scotland, leaders proposed to cancel the debt of the worlds most indebted countries, most of which in Africa. Debt cancellation will be provided by the IDA of the World Bank, the IMF and the African Development Fund to those countries that have graduated from the Enhanced heavily indebted poor countries initiative (HIPC)41. The HIPC Initiative was launched in 1996 by the IMF and World Bank, with the aim of ensuring that no poor country faces a debt burden it cannot manage. Since then, the international financial community, including multilateral organizations and governments have worked together to reduce to sustainable levels the external debt burdens of the most heavily indebted poor countries. In 1999, a comprehensive review of the Initiative allowed the Fund to provide faster, deeper, and broader debt relief and strengthened the links between debt relief, poverty reduction, and social policies. In 2005, to help accelerate progress toward the United Nations Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), the HIPC Initiative was supplemented by the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI). The MDRI allows for 100 percent relief on eligible debts by three multilateral institutionsthe IMF, the World Bank, and the African Development Fund (AfDF)for countries completing the HIPC Initiative process. In 2007, the Inter-American Development Bank (IaDB) also decided to provide additional (beyond HIPC) debt relief to the five HIPCs in the Western Hemisphere.42
41
32
Countries must meet certain criteria, commit to poverty reduction through policy changes and demonstrate a good track-record over time. The Fund and Bank provide interim debt relief in the initial stage, and when a country meets its commitments, full debt-relief is provided. FIRST STEP: DECISION POINT. To be considered for HIPC Initiative assistance, a country must fulfill the following four conditions: 1. be eligible to borrow from the World Banks International Development Agency, which
provides interest-free loans and grants to the worlds poorest countries, and from the IMFs Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust, which provides loans to low-income countries at subsidized rates. 2. face an unsustainable debt burden that cannot be addressed through traditional debt
relief mechanisms. 3. have established a track record of reform and sound policies through IMF-and World
Bank supported programs 4. have developed a Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (PRSP) through a broad-based
participatory process in the country. Once a country has met or made sufficient progress in meeting these four criteria, the Executive Boards of the IMF and World Bank formally decide on its eligibility for debt relief, and the international community commits to reducing debt to a level that is considered sustainable. This first stage under the HIPC Initiative is referred to as the decision point. Once a country reaches its decision point, it may immediately begin receiving interim relief on its debt service falling due. SECOND STEP: COMPLETION POINT. In order to receive full and irrevocable reduction in debt available under the HIPC Initiative, a country must: 1. establish a further track record of good performance under programs supported by loans
from the IMF and the World Bank. 2. implement satisfactorily key reforms agreed at the decision point.
43
http://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/facts/hipc.htm
33
Once a country has met these criteria, it can reach its completion point, which allows it to receive the full debt relief committed at the decision point. Countries receiving debt relief. Of the 39 countries eligible or potentially eligible for HIPC Initiative assistance, 35 are receiving full debt relief from the IMF and other creditors after reaching their completion points. One country, Chad, has reached a decision point and has benefited from interim debt relief. Three countries, which have been identified as potentially eligible for HIPC Initiative assistance, have not yet reached their decision points.
DEBT RELIEF FREES UP RESOURCES FOR SOCIAL SPENDING 44
Debt relief is one part of a much larger effort, which also includes aid flows, to address the development needs of low-income countries and make sure that debt sustainability is maintained over time. For debt reduction to have a tangible impact on poverty, the additional money needs to be spent on programs that benefit the poor. Boosting social spending. Before the HIPC Initiative, eligible countries were, on average, spending slightly more on debt service than on health and education combined. Now, they have increased markedly their expenditures on health, education, and other social services. On average, such spending is about five times the amount of debt-service payments. Reducing debt service. For the 36 countries receiving debt relief, debt service paid, on average, has declined by about two percentage points of GDP between 2001 and 2010. Their debt burden is expected to be reduced by about 90 percent after the full delivery of debt relief (including under the MDRI). Improving public debt management. Debt relief has markedly improved the debt position of post-completion point countries, bringing their debt indicators down below those of other HIPCs or non-HIPCs. However, many remain vulnerable to shocks, particularly those affecting exports as seen during the current global economic crisis. To reduce their debt vulnerabilities decisively,
44
http://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/facts/hipc.htm
34
About 45 percent of the funding comes from the IMF and other multilateral institutions, and the remaining amount comes from bilateral creditors. The total cost of providing assistance to the 39 countries that have been found eligible or potentially eligible for debt relief under the enhanced HIPC Initiative is estimated to be about $76 billion in end-2010 net present value terms. The IMFs share of the cost is financed by bilateral contributions and resources from the Fund itself, mainly investment income on the proceeds from off-market gold sales in 1999. These funds were deposited to the IMFs PRG-HIPC Trust. Resources available in the trust are currently insufficient to finance the cost of debt relief to all countries that meet the initial conditions for debt relief and reach the decision point. The original financing plan did not include the cost of debt relief to Sudan and Somalia, as well as to other countries that entered the Initiative after 2006. Should these countries progress to the decision point, there would be an urgent need to mobilize resources.
CHALLENGES REMAIN
the four countries that have not yet completed the requirements for full debt relief face common challenges, including preserving peace and stability, and improving governance and the delivery of basic services. Addressing these challenges will require continued efforts from these countries to strengthen policies and institutions, and support from the international community. Another challenge is to ensure that eligible countries get full debt relief from all their creditors. Although the largest creditors (the World Bank, the African Development Bank, the IMF, the Inter-American Development Bank, and all Paris Club creditors) have provided their full share of debt relief under the HIPC Initiative, and even beyond, others are lagging behind. Smaller
45
http://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/facts/hipc.htm
35
List of Countries That Have Qualified for, are Eligible or Potentially Eligible and May Wish to Receive HIPC Initiative Assistance (as of January 2013)46 Post-Completion-Point Countries (34) Afghanistan Benin Bolivia Burkina Faso Ghana Guinea Guinea-Bissau Guyana Mozambique Nicaragua Niger Rwanda
46
http://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/facts/hipc.htm
36
Cameroon Central African Republic Comoros Republic of Congo Democratic Republic of Congo Cte dIvoire Ethiopia The Gambia
Honduras Liberia
Mauritania
Zambia
Interim Countries (Between Decision and Completion Point) (2) Chad Pre-Decision-Point Countries (3) Eritrea Somalia Sudan
37
BIBLIOGRAPHY
"A Global Partnership for Development." Millennium Development Goals. United Nations Development Programme. http://www.undp.org/content/undp/en/home/mdgoverview/mdg_goals/mdg8/ "Develop a Global Partnership for Development by 2015." The World Bank. The World Bank Group. http://www.worldbank.org/mdgs/global_partnership.html Poncet, Sandra. "Classic Theories of Economic Development." Lecture. Development Economics. Sciences Po, Paris. http://ces.univparis1.fr/membre/Poncet/SciencesPo/Lecture%202%20seminar.pdf Poncet, Sandra. "Contemporary Theories of Economic Development." Development Economics. Sciences Po, Paris. http://ces.univparis1.fr/membre/Poncet/SciencesPo/Lecture%203%20seminar.pdf Willem Te Velde, Dirk. "The Global Financial Crisis and Developing Countries: Taking Stock, Taking Action." Overseas Development Institute (September, 2009). http://www.odi.org.uk/sites/odi.org.uk/files/odi-assets/publications-opinion-files/3705.pdf Fergusson, Ian F. World Trade Organization Negotiations the Doha Development Agenda. US Congress, Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service (Order Code RL32060), Library of Congress, 2012. http://www.nationalaglawcenter.org/assets/crs/RL32060.pdf The Millennium Development Goals Report 2012. United Nations Publications, 2012. http://www.undp.org/content/dam/undp/library/MDG/english/The_MDG_Report_2012.pdf For more information on GATT, see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General_Agreement_on_Tariffs_and_Trade. Full text can be found at http://www.wto.org/english/docs_e/legal_e/gatt47_01_e.htm (GATT 1947) and http://www.wto.org/english/docs_e/legal_e/06-gatt_e.htm (GATT 1994, must be read with GATT 1947).
38
http://www.worldbank.org/trade/wto The Millennium Development Goals Report 2012. United Nations Publications, 2012. http://www.undp.org/content/dam/undp/library/MDG/english/The_MDG_Report_2012.pdf http://www.un.org/Docs/journal/asp/ws.asp?m=A/RES/58/230 http://www.un.org/ga/search/view_doc.asp?symbol=A/RES/59/223&Lang=E http://www.un.org/ga/search/view_doc.asp?symbol=A/RES/60/187 http://www.un.org/Docs/journal/asp/ws.asp?m=A/RES/61/188 http://www.un.org/Docs/journal/asp/ws.asp?m=A/RES/62/186 http://www.un.org/ga/search/view_doc.asp?symbol=A/RES/63/206&Lang=E http://www.un.org/ga/search/view_doc.asp?symbol=A/RES/64/191&Lang=E
39
40