1. A manufacturer produces sweets of length L mm where L has a continuous uniform distribution with range [15, 30].

(a) Find the probability that a randomly selected sweet has a length greater than 24 mm. (2) These sweets are randomly packed in bags of 20 sweets. (b) Find the probability that a randomly selected bag will contain at least 8 sweets with length greater than 24 mm.
(3)

(c) Find the probability that 2 randomly selected bags will both contain at least 8 sweets with length greater than 24 mm. (2)

. 5

2.

A test statistic has a distribution B(25, p). Given that

H,:
(a) find the critical region for the test statistic such that the probability in each tail is as close as possible to 2.5%. (3) (b) State the probability of incorrectly rejecting H using this critical region.

(2)

it" X-

3.

(a) Write down two conditions needed to approximate the binomial distribution by the Poisson distribution. (2) A machine which manufactures bolts is known to produce 3% defective bolts. The machine breaks down and a new machine is installed. A random sample of 200 bolts is taken from those produced by the new machine and 12 bolts were defective. (b) Using a suitable approximation, test at the 5% level of significance whether or not the proportion of defective bolts is higher with the new machine than with the old machine. State your hypotheses clearly. (7)

b).

- 0.020T

SLJE

4. The number of houses sold by an estate agent follows a Poisson distribution, with a mean of 2 per week. (a) Find the probability that in the next 4 weeks the estate agent sells, (i) exactly 3 houses, (ii) more than 5 houses. (5)
The estate agent monitors sales in periods of 4 weeks. (b) Find the probability that in the next twelve of these 4 week periods there are exactly nine periods in which more than 5 houses are sold.

(3) The estate agent will receive a bonus if he sells more than 25 houses in the next 10 weeks.
(c) Use a suitable approximation to estimate the probability that the estate agent receives a bonus.

(6)

* no. of period 5 u/We

= o.

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Question 4 continued

c)

P(X?2S) -Jib
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5.

The queueing time, X minutes, of a customer at a till of a supermarket has probability density function

otherwise

(a) Show that the value of & is 4

(4)
(b) Write down the value of E(X).

(1)
(c) Calculate Var(A).

(4)
(d) Find the probability that a randomly chosen customer's queueing time will differ from the mean by at least half a minute.

V32

Question 5 continued

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