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Issue Open: March 13, 2013 Issue Close: March 15, 2013
Issue Details
Face Value: `10 Present Eq. Paid-up Capital: `46.4cr Offer Size: 1.57cr Shares Post Eq. Paid-up Capital: `62.2cr Issue size (amount):* `259-270cr Price Band: `165-172 Post-issue implied mkt. cap*: `1,026cr1,069cr Promoters holding Pre-Issue: 50.0% Promoters holding Post-Issue: 37.4%
Note:*At the lower and upper price band, respectively
Book Building
QIBs Non-Institutional Retail Up to 50% At least 15% At least 35%
Vaibhav Agrawal
022 39357800 Ext: 6808 vaibhav.agrawal@angelbroking.com
Sourabh Taparia
022 39357800 Ext: 6872 Sourabh.taparia@angelbroking.com
Key Financials
Particulars (Rs cr) NII % chg Net Profit % chg RoA (%) RoE (%) P/ABV (x) Lower End P/ABV (x) Upper End FY2009 43 63.6 25 66.6 2.9 17.7 5.5 5.2 FY2010 73 69.4 44 74.9 3.5 25.7 4.5 4.2 FY2011 98 33.8 57 28.7 3.2 26.2 3.6 3.4 FY2012 117 19.3 68 19.4 2.7 24.8 2.9 2.7 1HFY13 63 18.4* 36 10.2* 2.4 22.2 -
Company background
RHFL, a south based housing finance company, was established in April 2000 as a wholly owned subsidiary of Repco Bank. The company is primarily engaged in the business of individual home loans and loans against property, which as of 1HFY2013 accounts for 85.6% and 14.4% of its loan book respectively. As of December 31, 2012, it had a total of 73 branches and 19 satellite centers located in Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Kerala, Maharashtra, Odisha, West Bengal, Gujarat and the Union Territory of Pondicherry. In December 2007, the company raised funds to the tune of `76cr from Carlyle group, a global alternative asset manager and by virtue of which Carlyle group acquired 49.9% stake in the company. Recently, Carlyle group has transferred 26.2% of the total equity shares to Creador 1 LLC, WCP Holdings III and certain other entities; and hence Carlyle currently hold a 23.7% stake in the company. Repco Bank, the promoter of the company, is a Government of India owned cooperative bank, which was established to help and promote the rehabilitation of repatriates from Sri Lanka, Myanmar, Vietnam and other countries. Its operations are largely confined in the four South Indian states and the Union Territory of Puducherry. During FY2012, Repco Bank reported a net profit growth of 30.3% yoy to `73cr, on a total asset base of `4,875cr, which grew by 33.4% yoy. Mr. R. Varadarajan is the Managing Director of the company as well as the promoter and has 35 years of experience in banking industry. He is responsible for the overall strategy and direction of the company. Most of the key management personnel have healthy experience in the housing finance and the banking industry and have been associated with the company for anywhere between 4-9 years.
Investment arguments
Operates in attractive loan segment - Priority sector home loans
RHFL is largely focused on providing home loans in tier-II and tier-III cities (with a sub-`10lakh average loan ticket size), due to which a large part of its book qualifies as priority sector lending (PSL) for banks. In our view, NBFCs operating in PSL segments enjoy competitive advantages, as most banks (especially in the private sector) have a perennial shortage in meeting their PSL targets, creating favorable demand-supply dynamics for those NBFCs that can source higheryielding PSL loans at reasonable asset quality. REPCOs loan book profile also allows it to procure 44% of its total borrowing via low-cost NHB refinance averaging about 7.5-8%. NHB refinance is available under various schemes, primarily for rural loans upto `15lakh and also for low cost urban housing loans up to `10lakhs. As per the management, of its total NHB refinance roughly two-third pertained to rural schemes and balance pertained to urban schemes. Moreover, the funding that it gets from banks in turn largely qualifies as PSL for the banks (loans by banks to NBFCs, which are on-lent as home loans less than `10lakhs qualify as PSL). This makes it attractive for banks to lend to RHFL at a reasonable cost (about 100bps above base rate), as against alternatives such as parking funds under RIDF at extremely low yields, to meet their PSL targets. Relatively low-cost NHB and bank funding enables it to maintain healthy margins and return ratios (NIMs at 3.8% and RoE at 22.2% in 1HFY2013, calculated on an annualized basis).
3 - 7 Weaker section Fixed Persons having annual household 5 -15 Fixed income below `2lakh 1 -15 Any Floating/fixed 1 -15 Any Fixed
In terms of borrower profile, around 53% of REPCOs outstanding loan book constituted loans to relatively higher-yielding higher-risk non-salaried segment. To mitigate risks, the company, lends at a low LTV of about 65%, as per the management. In terms of geographical presence, 67% and 98% of its business is concentrated in Tamil Nadu and South India, respectively, largely in tier-II and tierIII cities.
50.0
49.3
48.9
48.2
2,802
80% 60% 40% 20% 0% FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 1HFY13 43.0 44.4 56.4 48.3 47.2 44.3
1,500 1,000
655
500
991
1,408
2,074
35.8
38.0
Key risks/concerns
Relatively unseasoned, fast growing loan book, focus on non salaried segment could pose asset quality concerns
RHFL grew its loan book at a CAGR of 43.8% over FY2008-12, much higher than industry levels, owing to a small base. From `655cr in FY2008, its loan book has grown more than 3x to `2,802cr in FY2012, and hence a large part of its loan book appears unseasoned. Further, a sizeable proportion of its loan book constitutes loans to non-salaried borrowers (53% as of 1HFY13), which is generally regarded as a more vulnerable segment from an asset quality point-of-view, given the inherently more uncertain income stream of the borrowers, which could be exacerbated by low ticket size. GNPA ratio for the company has increased consistently over the last three years, from 1.0% in FY2010 to 1.4% in FY2012. Segment-wise, while GNPA ratio in the loans against property segment declined from 1.4% in FY2010 to 1.1% in FY2012, it grew from 1.2% to 1.4% over the same period for its individual home loan portfolio. On an absolute basis, while GNPA levels for the company grew at a CAGR of 59.3% over FY2009-12, doubtful and loss assets as a proportion to total Gross NPAs increased from 27.9% in FY2010 to 47.6% in FY2012. PCR ratio for the company stood at 31% as of FY2012. Even during 1HFY2013, subdued economic environment has resulted in a further increase in the GNPA ratio for the company to 2.1%. Though, HFCs generally face higher delinquencies during the year, which get normalize at the end, however, considering continued weakness in the economy and unseasoned nature of its loan book, in our view, the asset quality of the company is likely to remain a concern.
If some or all of these low cost funding alternatives, cease to be entirely available/are available in a reduced extent to HFCs, being a small housing finance company and considering its funding profile, the cost of funding and business growth would get severely impacted for the company. However, given the strong focus of the Government on priority sector, in our view, such an adverse event is highly unlikely to take place. Even in FY2014, the Government has increased the allocation for NHB refinance facility for Rural housing fund by 50% to `6,000cr and bank demand for PSL opportunities also continues to remain strong.
67.9 11.8
Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: *as of Dec 31, 2012, however, for GRUH, funding and average ticket size as of FY2012, #as of Sept 30, 2012, $as of March 31, 2012
CANFIN FY2011 10.1 0.1 10.1 6.9 3.2 0.2 3.4 0.8 2.6 0.7 1.9 7.6 14.3
#
GRUH 1HFY13* 11.8 0.2 11.6 8.6 3.1 0.0 3.1 0.9 2.2 0.5 1.7 8.3 14.4 FY2011 12.3 0.1 12.2 6.8 5.4 0.0 5.4 1.1 4.3 1.2 3.1 10.1 31.4 13.7 0.1 13.6 8.2 5.4 0.0 5.4 1.0 4.3 1.1 3.2 10.7 34.2 13.5 0.5 13.0 8.6 4.4 0.0 4.4 1.0 3.4 1.0 2.4 10.8 25.9 12.0 0.3 11.7 7.1 4.5 0.7 5.2 0.8 4.3 1.2 3.2 8.3 26.2
REPCO 12.4 0.4 12.0 8.2 3.8 0.5 4.3 0.8 3.5 0.8 2.7 9.1 24.8 12.2 0.4 11.8 8.4 3.4 0.4 3.8 0.7 3.2 0.8 2.4 9.3 22.2
FY2011 9.8 1.1 8.7 6.3 2.4 2.7 5.1 0.8 4.2 0.9 3.3 8.1 26.7
FY2012 1HFY13* 10.9 0.5 10.4 7.8 2.6 0.1 2.7 0.8 2.0 0.5 1.5 8.3 12.3 12.1 0.3 11.8 8.3 3.5 0.0 3.5 0.8 2.7 0.7 2.0 8.5 17.4
FY2012 11.2 0.3 10.9 7.8 3.1 0.3 3.4 0.9 2.4 0.7 1.8 7.6 13.3
Source: Company, Angel Research, Note:*on an annualized basis, for CANFIN and GIC, as the data regarding provisioning expenses in total operating expense was unavailable for 1HFY13, assumed similar run-rate for operating expenses (excl. provisions) for 1HFY13 as was in FY2012
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